BA Weekly Options PlayDescription
BA gapped out of the pattern, a strong signal, and made a nice bullish candle on strong volume.
We'll be looking for this move to continue.
Related idea linked, almost entered on friday, but didn't quite cut it.
Using A call debit spread, because profits are always limited by time.
Call Debit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL is a daily close back in the wedge.
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
11/19 235C
SELL
11/19 255C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
The long call is placed ATM for higher chance of profit,
The short call is placed at a reasonable expected level of price within the expiration time.
The front-week options play is to capitalize on a swift movement following the break.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
Calldebitspread
DHI Descending Channel Break for Long EntryDescription
DHI has been working this descending channel since hitting an ATH in May of this year, and off the earnings we may be seeing a break out.
A close > 94 triggers a long.
Using a call debit spread, because profits are always limited by time.
Will look to enter at EOD.
Call Debit Spread
Tentative Levels on Chart
SL is a daily close back in the channel.
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
12/3 95C
SELL
12/3 105C
R/R & Break-evens vary on fill.
The long call is placed ITM due to limited strikes but also offers good downside protection.
The short call is placed at the ATH. If DHI runs to ATH and holds, I'll look to roll the spread up.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
BA Wedge Break Weekly Options PlayDescription
Watching this wedge for BA. A close over the descending trendline in the wedge will trigger a long.
Seeing bullish convergence on weekly MACD.
Some good news has come out in the last couple weeks, indicating fine time for a supply/demand shift.
Using A call debit spread, because profits are always limited by time.
Call Debit Spread
Tentative Levels on Chart
SL is a daily close back in the wedge.
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
11/19 225C
SELL
11/19 240C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
The long call is placed ATM for higher chance of profit,
The short call is placed to get the desired debit per contract.
The front-week options play is to capitalize on a swift movement following the break. I will look at opening some 2 or 3-month options as well, because its a large pattern.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
UPS Long: Option PlayBroke ATH, good entry on close over 217.5.
Using A call debit spread, because profits are always limited by time.
Call Debit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL < 217.5
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
11/12 220C
SELL
11/12 235C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
The long call is placed ATM for higher chance of profit,
The short call is placed 3 standard deviations away.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
Target - Pullback tradeThe markets have been selling off over the past few days, leaving most of the sectors in the S&P 500 in the red. A stock that caught my eye today was Target. The discount store's stock prices have been trading near it's 21 day exponential moving average only dipping beneath it temporarily throughout intraday trading sessions. Despite the warning signs of what could be another big sell off, I choose to remain bullish on TGT and consider this to be a pullback trade setup. Of course, we might see price dip below the 21 as it has in the past...but that doesn't seem to be more than a day or two. If it does... then consider the possibility that Target is reversing rather than pulling back.
Options speculators should consider the chance of a broad market selloff and at think about using spreads rather than directional plays. If you are trading the stock, plan your trade and trade your plan. Only you know what you can afford.
Applied Materials - Bullish pullback trade ?Applied Materials ( NASDAQ:AMAT ) has an interesting chart in that it tends to pull back below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. I tried to identify a clear area of support for each pullback, but it seems arbitrary. You can see the Keltner Channel falls just short of where the stock reverses the second time and the most recent pullback is actually pulling back to the 34 EMA which I initially did not want to put on my chart to avoid too many lines... but I figured, seeing is believing, so I put a big fat orange line to add to the chart.
AMAT is an upward trending stock and has decent volume...approx 5 million shares traded today...I sorted the S&P 500 constituents by volume and AMAT was #19 in volume (#1 being highest volume which was GE). I did see other stocks that were pulling back as well, but something about their charts didn't convince me.
OK prediction time... so based on what I see on the charts I think we might see AMAT find support at $62.65 ... from there I think its going to ride back up. It is oversold based on the 60 min time frame, but not quite there on the daily time frame... so keep an eye on it tomorrow. If it comes down to $62.65 or to the lower Keltner channel band I wouldn't be surprised... but be wary if it breaks below that. Those considering to go long now, might be a little early...or could be lucky and end up hitting it right on the nose because it doesn't tend to stray too far below the 21 EMA and today's red candle was a decent size.