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PCC Ratio is looking BullishI have an alert for when the 10-day moving average falls below .8. The PCC spends most of its time between.8 and 1 when the 10 moving average falls below .8 you can count on a bearish reversal in the market. As of right now, we are above that with plenty of room. The reason why I bring this up now is that if we mid-term rally I'm looking for a strong bull push followed by a reversal before we trend. Setting an alert on the PCC for .8 and 1 crossovers will keep you on the right side of the market.
USI:PCCLong
by Optionism
Towel stock will have a glorious bounce. Good entry area now.OBV hasn’t even came close to falling back to its previous lows before BBBY’s run up in July/August. In fact.. OBV hasn’t even broken down resistance.. it’s still holding a pretty strong bullish signal and share price is below previous lows in July.. Certainly share price is undervalued on the technical side. Check out my ideas on GME because these stocks tie together in my personal opinion. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
NASDAQ:BBBYLong
by Trexarch
2
UPS United Parcel Service Options Ahead of EarningsMy recent experience with those global package delivery companies was extremely painful. The have raised their prices a lot, on some occasions you pay the same price to send something to another country than taking the trip yourself and deliver that package in person. So i have tried to avoid UPS, like many of you, and go for smaller unknown companies. I think this attitude will reflect in the upcoming earnings. Looking at the UPS United Parcel Services options chain, i would buy the $160 strike price Puts with 2022-11-4 expiration date for about $4.85 premium. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:UPSShort
by TopgOptions
(UPDATED)Revisiting my prior theory on creation of FTDs thru TTTInstead of explaining why I believe GameStop still has immense value, I am just going to make an update to my previous 3 posts on creation of “Failure to Delivers” through SWAPs and the short ETF, “TTT.” Please check out my other posts if this type of stuff interests you, it is brand new information that just hasn’t been picked up by anyone yet, the correlation between TTT & GME is blatantly painful to look at, considering the amount of people who ignore it. I strongly believe TTT is being manipulated to then also manipulate GME.. We’ve watched GME follow closer to SPY on intraday trading than apple, Microsoft, or even amazon!! WHY?! Crime is the answer… algorithms.. liquidity grabs.. it’s all one big game in which we will end up victorious this time. Now.. for the reason you are all here.. looking at the updated chart above, you can clearly see that TTT has been going straight parabolic ever since we’ve dipped from over the 40’s.. interesting right?? Around when Mayo Man moved over half a billion dollars for “strategic setups.” BS… my real opinion is the price has been even faker than it has ever been since August 8th. I believe this could potentially be the end game short ladder attack.. Mark my words.. Educate yourselves with my ideas on all of my other posts.. it’s okay if you disagree. DRS TO THE FKN MOOOOOOOOOOOOON NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE IM NOT SELLING
NYSE:GMELong
by Trexarch
5
Great Trades are Rarely Crowded: Long TLT and Short Twitter IQEveryone is a good trader in a bull market, but in a bear market, these good traders are reduced to hopium-fueled twitter analysts watching core CPI and interest rates. The former and latter data points serve nothing more as useless, out-of-context generalities for the single-celled Wall Street Bet retail enjoyer. But recent activity across the pond has sparked interest in the bond. These traders are now converting en-masse to self-proclaimed bond market experts with the thesis: "The bond market is broken" Except, the bond market is not broken. It is operating as intended, although two lines on a chart may disagree with anyone unfortunate enough to buy at the start of the year. Why is retail sentiment like this? The simple answer is that the fed is late, but a more-elaborate explanation follows: Bond yields rise because bond prices fall. It is the acquisition of a bond at a specific market price that determines that bond's yield, as a function of the difference between that bonds underlying rate (which is fixed) and the resale price. When interest rates rise, bond prices fall because newer bonds spawn with the higher base rate. This makes prior bonds, which have a lower fixed rate, less valuable because they output less extra cheddar. People then resell these bonds for a lower price and the yield rises according to market forces (the fed does not directly control this). Shorter duration treasuries follow interests rates very closely, whereas longer dated treasuries are difficult to influence by rate hikes. Either way these are secondary or tertiary market effects. This phenomenon is what results in an inverted yield curve: you can be paid more money to lend money for a shorter duration than a longer one. But why would something so illogical even happen? The answer is because the treasury market is not just any pig, it's a truffle-sniffing pig. For every brain cell in the equity or corporate credit market, the treasury market has a thousand-fold more. With these one-thousand brain cells, this pig (specifically the longer-dated pig) is rewarded by looking further ahead into the future. What does this pig see when they look that far ahead? An recession that will obliterate the equity market like Exodia. The long dated treasuries have started to price in a recession (very slowly) by pricing in rate cuts. This is why stocks and bonds are still correlated, but the correlation has started showing signs of weakness. The longer tail of the curve is smarter and refuses to sell these bonds like a fire sale. Recessions imply a fed pause and eventual rate cut, so no more high-interest treasuries. This makes bonds desirable, and this process is only starting now. I can already feel the credit market enjoyers seething and muttering: SLR relief expired! Reverse Repo! Basil Tea! No, none of these buzzwords matter. It's true that the pandemic has modified the initial conditions of the bond market. The TLT suffered immensely as the federal reserve promised to not raise rates through forward guidance, broke those promises (as is should have), and also allowed SLR Relief exemptions to expire. This made bonds less sexy and glamorous for banks like JP Morgan because the expiry affected treasury exemptions: banks didn't need to hold additional collateral to slurp bond yields, and now they again do. It's much easier now to park money with the fed overnight and get a little more back. The RRP is a much better facility than treasuries as a result, so bond indexes have dropped even harder. SLR relief is a cherry on top, but this truffle has always tasted good without it. It's absence, and whether it is reinstated or not, should not be a determining factor in the recovery of bond prices, because: No market has currently priced in a recession, and interest rate expectations demonstrate that without a chart, but when that happens, the bond market will get top billing. Bonds will decouple from stocks and TLT will rise from the ashes like a phoenix in the next quarters, incinerating twitter and reddit soys drawing lines on a chart and shorting the index. Nobody saw it coming, they will say, but good trades are never crowded. Smart money extracts the deep value from TLT in the pre-recessionary market by going long (DCA or otherwise). Degenerate smart money is gambling with TLT long calls. Whereas most of the market is still buying stocks, crypto, and chanting that the markets are broken and the fed will come roaring in. These pigs won't find any truffles in this market. Interest rate expectations are unrealistic and the fed will have to pause sometime early 2023. The recession will destroy demand, taking growth, inflation, and equity market with it, rising bond prices and dropping bond yields. The stock market will crash (I don't consider this current price action a crash yet) and continue burning even as the fed pauses, and dip buyers will be buying a dip that keeps on dipping while you're selling your new truffles on ebay because you lost your job due to mass layoffs across the entire economy.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by coinhoIio
10
$COIN swing call idea from end of Sept has NEWS to draw buyersThe description below offers an example of a chart story. When you regularly watch a stock and observe how price and indicators change over time, you can create a story that leads to well-planned and successful trade ideas. Between May and July price stalled and took its time to retest lows. While it did RSI was gradually rising. Eventually this led to a quick move up in price (August) and RSI tipped over 70. When RSI rises over 66.66 after being under 33.33, it is a sign that trend may be ready to change. Note this does not always hold true, as it is an advance sign that occurs before trend change confirmation. In September, there was a stochastic buy notice when %K rose sharply over 3 days (orange box and arrow). This is my most reliable early indicator of a directional move to come. It is typical for this early strength move to see a reversal. When price fell (white box) it stayed above the summer range, RSI held bull support zone (green line), and there was bullish divergence (white ovals). Before today's Google-related news spark, price broke the white downtrend line and held a higher low. Now, in the greater context of U.S. markets, I think a rally is imminent. As soon as there is a turning point up, COIN can at least move to 200sma. I am not long-term bullish on the stock right now; I see a nice swing call trade that can gain over the next few months if conditions support it.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by OptionsRising
$U good opening w/ volume and stochastic buy signFirst on this 30min chart please note the white arrow marking a bullish %K stochastic sign. When %K moves from below 20 to above 80 in 2-3 candles (using custom period settings), it gives a high probability sign that more upside is coming. Often a pullback happens first, and thus far the opening move has reversed down but on lighter volume. There may be a retest of Friday's lows or a move lower and then a strong move higher. This reversal after the %K sign offers a low risk entry for call options, and options prices are also cheaper since price has flipped down. The green lines on RSI and stochastic show bullish divergence with price (red line). The dashed green line is a daily support line that broke to retest lows. I am looking for price to move back over this line within two days. Volume shelf price targets are provided on the right.
NYSE:ULong
by OptionsRising
Revisiting my prior theory on creation of GME FTDs through TTTHello everyone, Chem here.. Earlier this year along with the help of copious amounts of information on Reddit. I discovered that it is super blatant that TTT (ProShares Ultra Pro Short), seemingly spikes strongly into GameStop run ups. Overlaying the charts has allowed me to view and observe perfect symmetry between the two. My theory and ideals on this entire topic stands. If you wish to read my extremely detailed ideas and rant topics then feel free to somewhat educate yourself. Kenny G, ain't no stoppin' me. Cant stop. Wont stop. GameStop. Just sold my car for more shares, I bike to my chemical warehouse job where I work 80 hours a week at. I'Il inhale cancerous products 24/7 just to fuel GME fractional amounts if it means cell one day. You give me power Kenny G. Thanks you Check out my other great topics about this same idea. GME to the moon Not financial advice. Also I'm 100% on my calls so far, in terms of success, if that means anything to you analytical people. Further explanation in comments.
NYSE:GMELong
by Trexarch
9