GBP/CAD: Almost 1:5 Risk to Reward RatioLooking at GBP/CAD on the daily time frame price have made its first bearish leg, pullback is now for selling as I am looking to trade the second leg down. On the 4 hour chart MIDAS R1 (launched from 2016-08-03 12:00) have successfully captured the pullback together with a TD-Price Flip on the 1 hour chart. This potential trade setup have a great Risk to Reward Ratio of almost 1:5 giving this the top spot on the watch list for next week.
MIDAS Trading Tools for MT4 is available to download @ MQL5.com
Canada
What's next for the TSX Composite Index? According to investing.com, the average of 27 analysts polled in April shows year end target forecast of 13550. Weekly RSI is approaching 60, with the upper weekly bollinger band starting to level off. Technically the chart appears to indicate the price trend is now towards the upper side of the trading range and offering a less attractive 'risk-reward' ratio after achieving over 18% return from lows earlier this year. Trading at a PE of 17x forward earnings estimates the index certainly isn't undervalued. However, in comparison to the decreasing global yields in our contemporary world of NIRP, the TSX index remains attractive to the 'buy and hold' investor for it's dividend yield of nearly 3%. Yield hungry investors may continue to bid up the price of the TSX, as it offers a substantial 'risk premium' spread over 10 year government bond yields.
The TSX generally shows a very high correlation to the price of oil (at about 90% on the 20 day average). The index will likely continue to closely track the price movements of WTI going forward.
The latest price drop in WTI shows weakness in a resistance level of near $50. Note latest weakness against upper bollinger band. Also weekly RSI of 64 is the highest in 8 months. The 'round figure' of $50 also likely serves as a kind of 'psychological' level in the mind of traders.
The B.H. rig count has not only stopped falling and flattened out, but actually seems to be rising. A year ago when the rig count stopped falling, WTI dropped sharply to reach new lows.
Canadian investors can own the TSX composite index using the iShares E.T.F. trading under the symbol XIC. American investors can buy the iShares MSCI Canada E.T.F which trades under the symbol EWC, offering access to 85% of the Canadian stock market and a lower yield of 2%.
I'm interested to hear from any interested TSX traders and investors. Let's get a dialog going! Please do share your thoughts and insights!
It looks like CRUDEOIL will be between 50-53 this week! FINALLYThe uptrend continues since CRUDE hit 30s. It looks like there is nothing much to keep it lower than 50 this week. Maybe even 53+
Best position would be to go long around 48.50 and TP around 51 but that may be risky. Your call :)
Good luck.
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#USDCAD ABC Correction In Play To Complete Wave 4!This is a monthly chart so it gives the clear vision on where to put your money and where the market is most likely headed.
We have just successfully completed waves 1,2 & 3 now looking to complete wave 4 around 122-120 before going long to the 160 level.
Trade safe, nothing is guaranteed in this market!
CAD/JPY - Confluences upon confluencesTook a long position on this pair based on the following reasons:
- Ascending W/D trendline has not been broken + LH have been made constantly
- Inverted H+S pattern on daily
However, as this is a rising wedge, this has the potential to fall right through the roof and continue heading south, I have entered slightly early neglecting PA, so be patient and assess the situation.
Trade smart.
AUD/CAD Long!!! Another Bounce In ActionAgain, on the daily time frame we see a nice wedge forming here. It appears to me a bit to early for the breakout which is making me lean toward a long position. In addition the 200sma is acting as support to PA. Seems to be a high probability long play here.
As always, risk management is crucial!!!