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Canadiandollar

NZDCAD Buy opportunity at the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up.The NZDCAD pair hit our 0.85650 Target as discussed on our last idea (August 22, see chart below) and then got immediately rejected: The rejection initiated the Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Up and the price is approaching once more the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. The previous 2 Higher Lows were priced on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which is slightly below, but the 1D MACD is forming a Bullish Cross today, which has been an absolute buy signal this past year. As a result, we turn bullish on this pair, targeting Resistance 1 at 0.86450. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
The Canadian Dollar: What Every Forex Trader Needs To KnowThe Canadian Dollar: What Every Forex Trader Needs To Know Among the major currencies covering the largest part of forex trading volume is the Canadian dollar (CAD), colloquially known as the "Loonie" due to the image of a loon bird on the back of the C$1 coin. This article aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the CAD, a brief overview of its historical journey, and the factors driving it in the forex market today. Understanding the Canadian Dollar Over the years, the CAD has weathered fluctuations and policy shifts, impacting not only its value but also its influence in the world of finance. Originally, Canada used the British pound as its official currency, but it was gradually replaced by the Canadian dollar, which has been the country’s official currency since 1858. Following the establishment of the Bretton Woods system, Canada allowed its currency to fluctuate freely between 1950 and 1962, a period that culminated in a significant devaluation event. Subsequently, Canada adopted a fixed exchange rate until 1970, at which point mounting inflation pressures prompted the government to return to a floating currency system. Canadian Economy Canada boasts a stable and resource-rich economy that is also well diversified, yet when examining Canada's economic landscape, it's crucial to take into account its significant involvement in commodities. Canada is a significant producer and exporter of petroleum, minerals, wood products, and grains. Canadian Dollar Exchange Rate Catalysts Various factors influence the value of the Loonie in the forex market. Here, we will explore some of the primary catalysts. Monetary Policy Decisions Impact CAD Predictions Interest rate announcements by the Bank of Canada usually take place eight times a year on predetermined dates. Higher interest rates often attract foreign investment in the economy, leading to an appreciation of the CAD's value. Following two consecutive pauses, the Bank of Canada surprisingly increased its overnight lending rate by 25 basis points on June 7th, 2023, reaching 4.75 per cent. This decision was primarily prompted by a rise in inflation to 4.4 per cent, marking the first uptick in 10 months. Notably, the EUR/CAD exchange rate exhibited a pronounced reaction to this event. Economic Data Key economic indicators encompass the publication of GDP figures, retail sales data, industrial production statistics, inflation rates, trade balances, and jobs data. These reports follow established schedules; for example, you can use FXOpen’s economic calendar to track major events. Improvements in that data can be bullish for CAD, while a deterioration could exert negative pressure on the currency. In September, Canada’s GDP for the second quarter of 2023 signalled stalling economic activity, remaining unchanged from the first quarter against expectations. Unsurprisingly, there was a significant bullish market reaction in the USD/CAD exchange rate. The Impact of Oil on Canadian Dollar Trading Canada is one of the world's largest oil producers, and its currency is closely tied to the price of crude oil. A rise in oil prices typically boosts the Canadian dollar. Conversely, falling oil prices can weaken the currency. The oil price war in March 2020 between Saudi Arabia and Russia had a direct and adverse impact on the Loonie. The CAD depreciated due to the country's significant reliance on oil exports and the reduced revenues resulting from the sharp drop in oil prices. Unique Factors to Consider in a Canadian Dollar Forecast In addition to the aforementioned catalysts, there are unique factors that forex traders consider when analysing the Canadian dollar buying rate today. Proximity to the United States Proximity to the United States is a defining factor in the performance of the CAD, which is notably influenced by the intricate economic ties with that country. These ties extend beyond trade to factors such as cross-border investments and shared financial markets. Positive developments in the US, such as robust economic growth or shifts in monetary policy, can elevate demand for Canadian exports, thereby potentially strengthening the CAD. Conversely, economic challenges in the US may disrupt trade flows between the two nations, leading to a potential weakening of the CAD. Commodity Prices and the Canadian Dollar Trend Apart from oil, Canada exports various other commodities, including metals and agricultural products. Fluctuations in global commodity prices can influence the CAD, as they impact Canada's export revenues and, respectively, the performance of the Canadian dollar. When commodity prices are on the upswing, there tends to be a surge of incoming capital, which positively affects CAD exchange rates. If you're eager to find new opportunities, you can visit FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Trade Relations Canada is a major player in global trade, having significant partnerships. News or events related to these agreements can significantly influence the CAD's performance. - USMCA (formerly NAFTA): The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement is pivotal for Canada, as a significant portion of its exports are destined for the United States. Any changes or developments in USMCA can impact the CAD's value. - European Union: Canada has a Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) with the European Union (EU). This trade deal promotes exports to EU countries and fosters economic cooperation. - Asia-Pacific: Canada's trade relations extend to Asia-Pacific nations, where it actively trades with countries like China and Japan. The imposition of tariffs or the eruption of trade tensions can exert substantial pressure on the CAD. Tariffs can lead to reduced exports, affecting Canada's trade balance and potentially weakening the currency. Conversely, the resolution of trade disputes can lead to a stronger CAD. Geopolitical Stability Considering Canada's relatively robust economic position, the nation boasts a relatively elevated interest rate compared to other developed economies. Canada has also earned recognition for its prudent fiscal management, striking a harmonious balance between a government-influenced economy and a more laissez-faire approach. This characteristic becomes particularly relevant during times of worldwide economic instability. While not a reserve currency like the US dollar, the Canadian dollar is relatively stable. Takeaway To navigate the dynamic world of forex trading effectively, understanding the factors influencing the Canadian dollar's value is paramount. Among the unique features of the Loonie are its close ties to the US economy, reliance on commodities, and unique geopolitical position. Already have an idea of how to trade the CAD’s fluctuations? Open an FXOpen account and expand your journey right away. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
6
CADCHF Strong short-term buy signal.The CADCHF pair is about to test its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as it is coming off a 2-month Support Zone rebound. A break above the Channel Down would confirm the buy signal but with the price within a consolidation Rectangle pattern, the risk of buying after a Support rebound is low. At the same time, the 4H RSI also rebounded exactly on its 30.00 oversold barrier. Similar rebounds have delivered at least a +1.37% rise, so at this stage our Target is 0.62700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
CADJPY: Accumulating under the 1W MA50. Low risk buy.CADJPY is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.003, MACD = 0.700, ADX = 25.174) as it hit this week the 1W MA50 for the first time in 3 months. Rejection or not, historical price action shows that every time it tests it coming from a bottom on the 2 year Channel Up, the price breaks it and goes for a HH. The 1W MACD just made this week the new Bullish Cross and the last time it did so on such a low level, it was on April 3rd 2023, exactly at the start of the previous bullish wave. We expect initiallt the price to approach the R1 level, which is our Target (TP = 118.000), like the price did on June 26 2023. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDCAD: 1D MA50 just confirmed a sell signal.AUDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.833, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 20.919) as the price hit and remains on the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that 3 weeks ago made the latest HH. The crossing under the 1D MA50 has confirmed the new bearish wave as the July 23rd January 5th 2024 crossings did. The 1D RSI is also on an identical correction. All pullback waves hit atleast the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which yet again is what you should be targeting (TP = 0.905500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
USDCAD Sell signal may be triggered soon.USDCAD is on a continuous rise since the September 24 low inside a Channel Up. The pattern however broke this week sideways and is already showing the first signs of exhaustion as the RSI (4h) is printing a topping pattern similar to August 5th. Still though, the MA50 (4h) is supporting. Trading Plan: 1. Sell if the price crosses below the MA50 (4h). Targets: 1. 1.36500 (potential contact with the MA200 (4h)). Tips: 1. The August fractal started to decline just after the RSI formed this pattern. I may have found the first support base on the 0.618 Fibonacci level but that happened to be on the MA200 (4h) as well and that is why we pursue this as target. Please like, follow and comment!!
Short
by TradingBrokersView
USDCAD: Rejection expected on the 2 year Resistance Zone.USDCAD is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 60.180, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 23.071) and turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.243). This is taking place while the price is just underneath the 2 year R1 Zone, which has rejected the price 5 times already. The 1D RSI is also about to enter its R1 Zone. We expect another rejection towards the S1 level (TP = 1.34500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GBPCAD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for more than 1 year (since September 28 2023) and since September 30 2024 has been on Lower Highs. The last time we saw such a trend-line as on the April 16 2024 Lower High, after which a strong short-term rejection took place. We expect a similar selling sequence to take place that should be contained however above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is 1.77000 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
NZD/CAD Tests Key Demand Area with Bullish Signs EmergingIn the last three days, the NZD/CAD pair has retested a crucial demand area, showing a clear rejection, which indicates potential buying interest at this level. Supporting this outlook, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders continue to hold predominantly short positions, while "Smart Money"—institutional investors—are steadily increasing their exposure to the pair. Additionally, though less significant, the price has reacted to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the swing low, adding another technical layer to the current scenario. Large speculators have already shifted to a bullish stance, signaling growing confidence in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) relative to the Canadian Dollar (CAD). This shift in market sentiment could pave the way for a potential long setup, especially as seasonal trends indicate further upside potential for the NZD/CAD pair. From a technical perspective, the combination of the demand zone rejection and the bullish movement in institutional positioning suggests the possibility of an upward move. Traders will be closely observing the price action over the coming days for signs of a breakout, which could provide an opportunity to enter long positions in line with the growing bullish sentiment surrounding NZD/CAD. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
USD/CAD: What to Expect from BoC Next Week? USD/CAD: What to Expect from BoC Next Week? Canada’s central bank is set to announce its next rate decision on Oct. 23, with Canadian banks largely anticipating a 50-basis-point cut. A similar reduction is also expected at the BoC's final meeting of the year on Dec. 11. For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox. The prospect of back-to-back cuts is weighing heavily on the Canadian dollar, which touched to a two-month low of 1.383 against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday. Technical indicators, including moving averages, suggest a potential short-term bullish trend for the pair. Meanwhile, in the U.S., Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari indicated this week that any future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve could be "modest." Which the market might be interpreting as a bias for a smaller 25-basis point cut.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURCAD: Near the bottom of its Channel Down. Bullish.EURCAD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.446, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 21.257) as it is trading on the 3rd straight red 1D candle and is approaching the bottom of the 10 week Channel Down. The are more probabilities now to see a bullish reversal aimed at the top, so we turn bullish (TP = 1.51.300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
USDCAD Approaching our sell entry.The USDCAD pair has been rising since the September 25 Low, all inside a 2-year Rectangle pattern of a wide range. The 1D RSI is about to enter the 70.00 overbought zone and every time it has done so within this pattern, a little later it got rejected to at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As a result, we will wait until 1.38500 and sell, targeting 1.36000 (which would be a -1.86% decline from the top, the minimum from the group of similar declines) or take the profit if the price hits the 1D MA50 before 1.36000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDCAD Extends Rally as Strong US Labor Data Lifts the GreenbackThe USD/CAD pair continues its upward momentum, extending its rally to around 1.3645 during Tuesday's early London session. The recent surge in the US Dollar (USD) has been driven by stronger-than-expected labor market data released last Friday, which caused traders to reassess their expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts. The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a robust increase in employment figures, along with a decline in the Unemployment Rate, which has reduced the likelihood of more substantial rate cuts by the Fed. Investors now anticipate a more modest 25 basis points (bps) cut in the upcoming November meeting, rather than the previously expected 50 bps. This sentiment shift has provided a solid foundation for the USD to gain traction against its counterparts, including the Canadian Dollar (CAD). In our previous USD/CAD forecast, shared here: USD/CAD Rebounds from Demand Zone Bullish Continuation in Sight, we highlighted a key demand zone where the pair found strong support. As anticipated, the price rebounded exactly from our identified area, and we are now approaching our take profit target. Looking Ahead: Impact of Upcoming US Economic Data Tomorrow and the day after, significant US economic data releases are scheduled, including reports on inflation and unemployment claims, which could further impact the direction of the USD. A continuation of strong economic performance may push the USD/CAD pair higher, while any signs of economic weakness could lead to a brief retracement. Conclusion: Holding the Position for Further Gains Given the favorable technical setup and the strong support from recent labor data, we are holding our long position in USD/CAD. The upcoming economic releases will provide additional clarity, but for now, the momentum remains on the side of the US Dollar. A potential continuation of the bullish trend is in sight, with some volatility expected as traders react to fresh economic news. ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
USDCAD Prepare for red October - November.The USDCAD pair hit both of our Targets on the July 25 (see chart below) sell signal: The initial rebound stopped on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) where the price was rejected with the 1D RSI forming a pattern similar to May 2023. As a result, it is possible to see another short-term rebound but on the medium-term, we expect October and November to be another sell sequence. The March - July 2023 fractal had two similar Bearish Legs of -4.10% each. So since the current first Leg was -3.64%, we expect the one that will follow now to be of around the same strength. As a result we can target 1.32000 on low risk, just above the Support 1 level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
CADJPY Strong buy at the bottom of the 2-year Channel UpLast time we gave a signal on the CADJPY pair (July 09, see chart below), we got the sell we wanted, as a brutal collapse started straight after: This time we get a strong buy signal as the price is rebounding after a Double Bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the 2-year Channel Up. This is similar to the January - March Double Bottom, which until now, has been the strongest long-term buy signal on the pair. Once the price breaks above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have the buy confirmation we need to target the 0.9 Fibonacci level (like June 23 2023) at 117.100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDCAD Excellent buy signal on the 1D MA200The AUDCAD pair gave us an excellent sell signal last time (July 08 2024, see chart below) and easily hit the 0.9000 Target: This time, we have an established Channel Up with two Higher Highs and three Higher Lows priced in already. We are currently on the new Bullish Leg following the rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as this holds, we will treat every touch on the 0.786 as a buy opportunity, similar to the Triple Bottom of March - April. That Bullish Leg marginally surpassed the -0.5 Fibonacci extension to print its Higher High, so our Target will be just below it at 0.94000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
EURCAD Sell continuation signalThe EURCAD pair is trading on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) within the 10-month Channel Up. The previous time we had a peak rejection like this, the pair declined by at least -3.88%. The similarities even between the 1D RSI fractals are obvious. Our Target is 1.46550. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2