AUDCAD Target achieved. Double Top turning long-term bearish.The AUDCAD pair has gone a long way since our latest analysis and bullish call upon a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) break-out, hitting all of our targets to the upside:
In fact, our long-term buy that targeted the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) was executed perfectly exactly at the bottom as you can see on this September 20 idea:
With the price almost touching the 1W MA300 but more importantly getting rejected on the April 20 2021 Lower Highs trend-line and making Higher Highs Double top on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we are closing all buy positions and instead reversing to long-term sells on the AUDCAD pair. The very same 1W RSI Bearish Divergence (which is on Lower Highs as opposed to the Higher Highs of the price) was also formed on the previous top on April 05 2022. Notice also that that top was formed slightly after a 1D Golden Cross formation. We just had the same Golden Cross 3 days ago.
Our short-term target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and a break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) calls for further selling extension towards the 0.86000 Low. For as long as the long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern holds, the -0.382 Fib extension would be the Lower Low goal.
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Canadiandollar
🍁USD/CAD Continuation of Declines 🍁🍁USD/CAD Continuation of Declines
🍁 Nearest strong support zone: around the fibo level of the 0.618 wave from the bottom to the local peak.
🍁 Nearest strong resistance zone: around the 0.382 level of the same wave.
🍁 Technical environment:
- Moving averages: Downtrend
- MACD: Downtrend
- RSI: Downtrend
🍁 Price action: after yesterday's price rise near the recent current highs, we scored a very quick decline today due to the strengthening of the Canadian dollar. Looking at the dynamics of the downward movement, another attempt to attack north seems very unlikely.
🍁 The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of declines to the vicinity of the support zone. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
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Canadian Dollar: 1.4 and then strengthening.A month ago, we have the Canadian dollar updating on the 3d of each month, I showed you the highs. Back then, the wave of "B" was in question, then I wrote: "there could be 1 or two more tops around 1.4, and if an ending diagonal is formed there in the wave of "B". That's how it's turning out so far.
I continue to wait for the completion of the figure, and I want to trade this diagonal in the wave according to the strategy.
🍁USD/CAD Ready For A Breakout🍁🍁USD/CAD Ready For A Breakout
🍁Looking at the strength with which the USD/CAD took off upwards today.
🍁I get the impression that there is a good chance that this is just the beginning of a new upward wave on this pair.
🍁Looking at the 1D interval (lower right corner) We can see that we have approached the vicinity of a strong resistance zone determined by the 0.618 level of the entire downward wave. Where the price has repeatedly struggled to break upwards.
🍁Looking at price action and the technical environment. It looks like today's movements are not a coincidence and are aimed at breaking through the strong resistance that held the price for a month.
🍁The scenario I'm playing out is a continuation of the upside with the breakthrough of the resistance zone. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
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💵British Pound/Canadian Dollar 💵 Analyze (01/03/2023)!!!The British Pound/Canadian Dollar broke the support zone and is now completing the pullback.
I expect the British Pound/Canadian Dollar will go down at least to the next support zone.
🔅British Pound/Canadian Dollar ( GBPCAD ) Timeframe 4H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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EURCAD looking for shortsEURCAD was rejected at 1.4610, and the supply zone was also around this level. Local support at 1.4357 prevented the price from falling further, perhaps looking for more liquidity.
We might see a retest of the resistance level at 1.4610, printing a double top pattern with a divergence on RSI or MACD.
Then, we have to wait for the local support at 1.4357 to break to confirm a strong down move aiming for 1.400.
If the price does not react to the level of resistance at 1.4610, then the scenario is to move long in order to target the cross of the two yearly trendlines and the 200-week moving average. The fall down from there will definitely be harder!
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🍁USD/CAD Struggles To Rise🍁🍁USD/CAD Struggles To Rise
🍁It looks like the USD/CAD is still struggling to continue its gains
🍁I already thought that we would start a new strong downward impulse, but then today there was a strong upward breakout.
🍁It looks like the momentum that has been established may result in a renewed attack on the strong resistance zone set based on the vicinity of the 0.618 level of the entire downward wave.
🍁The support zone is located around the 0.382 level where the price has repeatedly reversed its direction.
🍁Looking at the technical environment, there are high chances of a continuation of the northward movement.
🍁The scenario I am playing is an increase to the vicinity of the resistance zone. I don't exclude the possibility of changing the scenario if the market situation changes abruptly. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🍁*Please do not suggest the path I have outlined with lines it is only a hypothetical scenario.
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USDCAD: Your Trading Plan 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD formed a double top pattern, perfectly respecting a 618 retracement of the major bearish impulse.
On focus is 1.352 - 1.355 horizontal neckline.
If the price breaks and closes below that on a daily, it will confirm a highly probable bearish reversal.
A bearish move will be expected then to 1.342 support.
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NZDCAD: Classic Bearish Reversal 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD reached a key weekly structure last week.
The price formed a double top pattern on a daily and broke its neckline then this week.
Such a setup is a classic example of a bearish reversal.
I believe that the market will drop at least to 84.2
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💵Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar 💵 Analyze (12/21/2022)!!! The Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar is running near the support zone, and also we can see the Regular Divergence (RD+) between the Price and RSI indicator.
I expect the Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar to go up to the resistance zone.
🔅Australian Dollar/ Canadian Dollar ( AUDCAD ) Timeframe 1H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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🍁USD/CAD Refuses To Fall🍁🍁USD/CAD refuses to fall
🍁Looking at the behaviour of the USD/CAD in recent weeks, it seems that we have fallen into accumulation but do not have the strength for declines.
🍁My stance on USD/CAD remains unchanged, I still believe that at the current juncture increases are much more likely than decreases.
🍁Looking at the technical situation, the fact that we are above the 50 and 200 moving average and the MACD and RSI are generating pro-growth signals. I have no doubts about the validity of counting on increases.
🍁The resistance zone is around a cluster of two fibo levels. The first is 0.382 of the entire last downward wave. The second is the 0.236 level of the wave from the 2021 bottom to the 2022 peak.
🍁I set the support zone around the 1.272 level of the last downward wave.
🍁The scenario I am playing out is a continuation of the upside to the vicinity of the support levels. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🍁*Please do not suggest the path I have outlined with lines it is only a hypothetical scenario.
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CADJPY: Can We Drop Lower? 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY formed a cute doji candle on 4H.
Analyzing hourly time frame, I spotted a cute double top.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a sharp short-term bearish trend,
bears may keep pushing the pair.
Goals: 96.26 / 95.9
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AUDCAD a new downtrendAUDCAD Has Bounced off a strong supply zone, breaking 2 trend lines and printing a new price below the previous lower high to make the first lower low in the new downtrend,
we might see a retest at 0.92070 and then continue downwards at 0.90035.
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InvestMate|USD/CAD Ready For New Local Highs🍁🍁USD/CAD Ready For New Local Highs
🍁As I wrote yesterday I expect the upward movement to continue:
🍁There was a beautiful realisation of my upward scenario today.
🍁We found local resistance at 0.618 of the entire downward wave.
🍁Looking at another attempt to break through this level and the dynamics of the candles the breakthrough looks very likely.
🍁Looking at the fact that we are above both 50 and 200 moving averages and the MACD and RSI are generating further upward signals, I have no doubts about the continuation of the upward movement.
🍁The nearest resistance zone is the level of 0.786 of the entire downward wave from the last peak. There may be some reaction there.
🍁The support zone is around the 0.5 level of the same wave
🍁The main target set in the previous post remains unchanged
🍁The scenario I am playing out is a continuation of the upward trend. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
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💵U.S.Dollar/Canadian Dollar 💵Analyze (12/16/2022)!!!The U.S.Dollar/Canadian Dollar made a Descending Broadening Wedge and broke the upper line of it.
I expect U.S.Dollar/Canadian will go up at least until the resistance zone.
🔅U.S.Dollar/ Canadian Dollar Analyze ( USDCAD ) Timeframe 2H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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USDCAD Resistance test and then Sell.The USDCAD couldn't have confirmed our bearish view two months ago, when we called for a sell opportunity based on the RSI Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against the price's Higher Highs):
As you see the divergence sell signal was spot on and the previous two times that this was spotted, helped us in a great way to spot this. Right now the price again above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and based on the fractal, as long as it stays above the 1D MA50, it will approach the 1.39860 High. A Double Top there, will confirm all previous three sequences which got rejected on their previous High and hit at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The max extension on that pull-back is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Notice how the RSI Higher Lows trend-line offers Support and the best buy entry in the past 12 months.
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CADJPY , SHORT Resault: 600 pips✅As you can see in the chart, due to the weakness in the decline and the reaction to the support level , I expect an upward correction first, and then I will update the analysis if there is a reaction to the resistance level .
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InvestMate|USD/CAD Not Giving Up🍁🍁USD/CAD Not Giving Up
🍁The scenario since my last post remains unchanged:
🍁Looking at the behaviour of the USD/CAD price in recent days.
🍁We could call it indecisiveness mixed with a desire to continue upwards.
🍁Following yesterday's 50 basis point interest rate hike in the US, investors in the market resumed the strengthening of the US dollar.
🍁Given that there is no sign of a continuation of the trajectory of interest rate rises ahead. I was surprised to see such a sharp reaction of dollar strengthening.
🍁But in the case of the pair, the main ingredient for the increases is the weak Canadian dollar in recent months.
🍁Looking at the fact that we are above the 50 and 200 period moving average and the MACD and RSI are presenting very bullish signals I have no doubts about the price direction.
🍁The upside scenario remains unchanged, I expect the uptrend to continue. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
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🍁USD/CAD Continued Increases Ahead🍁USD/CAD Continued Increases Ahead.
🍁Post is a direct continuation of the last post:
🍁Nothing has changed on the chart.
🍁The price is still struggling at the 0.618 level to break out above this resistance.
🍁I still think that the way to the resistance zone remains open and we will see further upside within a few weeks.
🍁The scenario I am playing out is a continuation of the upside to the resistance zone. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
🍁*Please do not suggest the path I have outlined with lines it is only a hypothetical scenario.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀