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Canadiandollar

EURCAD Testing the 1D MA50. Sell opportunity.The EURCAD pair eventually formed the new Lower High on the 17-month Channel Down as presented on our last analysis (May 27, see chart below) and got rejected: The rejection extended to as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and a short-term rebound has brought the price back to a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection. Both previous Bearish Legs declined at least by -3.85%. We expect this 1D MA50 rejection to lead the price to at least Support 1, with our Target being 1.45000 (just above it). On a side-note, check the high degree of symmetry between the 1D RSI sequences of the Channel's Legs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
NZDCAD Excellent buy opportunity on this pull-back.The NZDCAD pair gave us a great buy entry last time we looked at it (May 08, see chart below) and made a direct hit on our 0.8500 Target: The price got heavily rejected straight after and just hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. The pattern that seems to be prevailing is a Channel Up (blue). The last time we had a Higher High rejection on its top, the pair pulled-back to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and then made a short-term bounce to the Internal Lower Highs trend-line. As a result, we will be using this opportunity to buy and target 0.84500 (just below the symmetrical Lower Highs trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
CADCHF Testing the 1D MA50. Sell opportunity.The CADCHF pair has been on a strong 2-week rise after the 1D RSI turned oversold (below 30.00) that is testing today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 1 month (since May 31). Since the dominant long-term pattern has been a 18-month Channel Down, we expect this 1D MA50 test to deliver a rejection similar to November 03 2023, and resume the new Bearish Leg. Our Target is purely symmetrical at 0.63100 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPCAD About to test the 1D MA50. Sell opportunity.The GBPCAD pair is on the latest Bearish Leg of the underlying Channel Up (blue) pattern and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 14. Once the 1D MA50 breaks, we expect a continuation of the Bearish Leg all the way to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Since 2023, -2.66% to -3.08% pull-backs have been common on this pair. As a result, we are looking towards the minimum -2.66% decline, which gives us a Target of 1.71500 and will make a technical Higher Low on the Channel. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USD/CAD:USD Faces Pressure Amid Eurozone Political UncertaintyEid Mubarak to all our Muslim brothers and sisters, Permit me to do a detailed commentary of economic event on EUR, CAD, and USD. Eurozone Political Instability Impacting the Euro The Euro remains under significant pressure, primarily due to escalating fears of a financial crisis in France. Political turmoil and economic instability in the Eurozone, particularly in one of its key economies, have shaken investor confidence. This instability has led to a weaker Euro as investors seek safer assets, impacting currency markets globally. Canadian Dollar Strengthens on Positive Economic Data The Canadian Dollar, commonly referred to as the Loonie, saw a notable increase in value on Friday. This upward movement was driven by positive economic data from Canada, which reported a 1.1% rise in factory sales. The stronger-than-expected performance in the manufacturing sector has boosted investor confidence in the Canadian economy, thereby strengthening the Loonie. Federal Reserve's Policy and Its Effects on USD The Federal Reserve's recent policy meeting introduced a slightly hawkish tone, which initially led to a rise in expectations of interest rate cuts. However, following the meeting, these expectations have diminished. The Fed’s stance suggests a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, which has implications for the USD's strength. The reduced likelihood of significant rate cuts has provided some support to the US Dollar. USD/CAD Outlook and Market Sentiment Looking at the USD/CAD outlook for Monday, bearish momentum is evident as the US Dollar experiences a decline. This drop is largely attributed to the ongoing political uncertainty in the Eurozone, which has ripple effects across global financial markets. Despite the Fed’s hawkish hints, the prevailing sentiment reflects a cautious approach among investors, influenced by geopolitical and economic concerns. In summary, while the US Dollar initially climbed due to Eurozone instability, the overall outlook for USD/CAD appears bearish. The interplay between Eurozone political issues, positive Canadian economic data, and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance will continue to shape market dynamics in the near term. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
USD/CAD Edges Lower as Traders Eye Key US Economic DataUSD/CAD is trending lower during the Asian session on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.3750. This recent movement follows a notable reversal from the 1.3790 area, where technical indicators suggested a potential change in direction. Technical Analysis From a technical standpoint, the USD/CAD pair exhibited signs of overbought conditions around the 1.3790 mark, as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the H4 timeframe. A divergence was observed, signaling that the bullish momentum was weakening and a reversal was likely. The pair has since edged lower, reflecting these technical signals. Market Sentiment and Economic Data The market is now focused on upcoming US economic data releases, which are anticipated to inject significant volatility into the trading environment. The key events include the release of the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision. Core CPI Data The Core CPI data, set to be released today, is a critical measure of inflation that excludes food and energy prices. This indicator is closely watched by traders and investors as it provides insights into underlying inflationary pressures within the US economy. Stronger-than-expected CPI figures could reinforce expectations of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, potentially supporting the US Dollar and influencing the USD/CAD pair. FOMC Decision In addition to the inflation data, the FOMC decision is another pivotal event for the day. The Federal Reserve's policy statement and subsequent press conference will offer guidance on the central bank's outlook and future monetary policy actions. Market participants will be keenly observing any hints regarding the timing and extent of interest rate adjustments. The FOMC's tone and projections will be crucial in determining the next directional move for the USD/CAD pair. Anticipated Volatility Given the significance of these economic events, traders are preparing for heightened volatility. The Core CPI and FOMC decision are expected to provide the necessary catalyst for a potential continuation of the reversal observed in the USD/CAD pair. Depending on the outcomes, we could see significant movements as traders react to the data and adjust their positions accordingly. in conclusion USD/CAD is currently consolidating its recent losses around 1.3750, following a technical reversal from the 1.3790 area. The pair's future direction will likely be influenced by today's Core CPI release and the FOMC decision. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility and potential continuation of the bearish trend, especially if the economic data aligns with the technical indicators pointing towards a reversal.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability. the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block. Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target. For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart. First, the price can move down from here. second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario) As always we need LTF confirmation for entry. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 🗓️07/06/2024 💡Wait for the update!
Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below): The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension. The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDCAD About to test the 1W MA200 after more than 1 year.The AUDCAD pair has been on a structured rise since the September 25 2023 Bottom, which technical is a Double Bottom formation for the long-term. The price is about to test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 20 2023 as well as the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the February 22 2021 High. Every time the pair approached the 1W MA200 to this distance, it broke above it, even just for the medium-term. We expect a similar development, which would be conveniently a Lower Highs test. Our Target is 0.92250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDCAD Bearish trend intact. Not too late to sell.The USDCAD pair gave us a wonderful sell trade on our last analysis (April 17, see chart below) as we caught the exact moment of the rejection and reversal of the 4-month bullish trend: The price has now broken below not just the (dotted) Channel Up but closed below the 1D MA50 too, confirming the trend shift to bearish. As you can see on this 1W chart, the pair always declined more following a break below the 1D MA50 and the minimum drop it has has been -3.23%. As a result, our 1.34500 Target remains intact. A Bearish Cross on the 1W time-frame may confirm an even deeper drop. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURCAD Short-term buy signal.The EURCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 15 months and right now is on a Bullish Leg towards its top. The 1D RSI is approaching the overbought barrier of 70.00 and we believe it will give a sell signal after it breaks above, just like November 21 2023 and July 14 2023. Until then, we will stay bullish, targeting the top of the 15-month Channel Down at 1.49750. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Key Canadian trading events this week On Friday, alongside the US PCE data release, Canada will publish its Q1 GDP growth figures. Earlier in the week, Canada will also release its producer prices data. Note that US markets will be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. According to the Royal Bank of Canada, the Canadian economy likely grew more quickly in Q1 2024 based on headline figures. However, this growth was still insufficient to keep pace with the surging population. Consequently, GDP per capita contracted for the seventh consecutive quarter. Speaking of the Royal Bank of Canada, they will also be reporting its earnings this week, along with other major Canadian banks. Tuesday, May 28 Earnings: Bank of Nova Scotia Wednesday, May 29 Earnings: Bank of Montreal, National Bank, EQB Inc. Thursday, May 30 Earnings: CIBC, Royal Bank of Canada Friday, May 31 8:30 a.m. Canada Q1 GDP Earnings: Laurentian Bank, Western Bank The USD/CAD ended its four-day winning streak on Friday, closing down by half a percent at approximately 1.3660. Declining crude oil prices had been putting pressure on the CAD until now. Buyers could step in around this level for a potential bounce back though. Additionally, the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on June 2 could influence this pair. Market participants are watching for potential output cut extensions by major producers to address global oversupply concerns and support prices, which might cause hesitation among USD/CAD buyers at the 1.3660 level.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCAD Strong sell following today's rejection.USDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.081, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 32.778) as it formed a Lower High yesterday and today got sold aggressively. This is a Channel Down since the April 16th High, which having broken under the 1D MA50, has confirmed the continuation of the bearish price action. We expect the 1D RSI to at least hit the 30.000 level, as every rejection on the R1 Zone, saw the pair reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level. We are bearish, aiming at that level (TP = 1.34350). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1