AUDCAD:🔴Bearish scenario...!🔴
Hello Traders
As you can see the price purged the daily buy-side liquidity and then the market structure was shifted on the hourly chart.
Now the price is inside a range, creating the double purge scenario for us.
If the price sweeps the buy side liquidity first, it is a chance to enter the sell position with LTF confirmation.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️10/05/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Canadiandollar
Will EURCAD pop higher?EURCAD EASYMARKETS:EURCAD
Disclaimer:
easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Canadian Dollar Futures Trading Plan and ExplanationAfter analyzing options trades on CME, we found a promising opportunity to short Canadian Dollar. The option contract is for April with an expiration date of April 5, 2024.
We noticed an interesting option portfolio on March 22 that aligns with the trigger level on the futures chart (refer to chart). A trigger level is a graphical pattern on the underlying asset that
prompts traders to take or avoid specific trading actions.
For the Canadian futures chart, the trigger level is the price breakdown of the local resistance at 0.7403-0.07406. Opening long positions at the breakdown point was encouraged by the bullish shape and intensity of the candlestick with minimal shadows. This level was attractive for making purchases for both chartists and adepts of candlestick analysis.
The study of options trading has revealed that these levels are useful for opening counter positions when the price reaches them. To execute this strategy, smart traders use naked options in advance, specifically PUT options with a strike of 0.74. By utilizing the leverage effect of options, traders can create substantial short positions on futures contracts while maintaining a risk-free position for a limited time.
IMPORTANT! We do not expect the price to move towards the strike level. Instead, we recommend using the obtained exchange data and analyzing it to gain an edge when opening a trade, providing a better starting point and improving the risk/reward ratio.
NZDCAD Going for a 0.786 Rejection. Trade at the right time.The NZDCAD pair just completed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since June 20 2023. Even though the price rebounded inside the 1.5 years Higher Lows Zone, the prevailing pattern since December 2023 is a Channel Down.
With the July 14 2023 High formed (and rejected) on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, it is possible to see a rejection on the new 0.786 Fib, which now happens to be exactly at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, as long as the pair doesn't close a 1D candle above the 0.786 Fib, we are bearish, targeting 0.80300 (the -0.136 Fib extension). If the 1D candle gets closed above the 0.786 Fib, we will take the small loss and buy, targeting 0.85000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CADCHF About to turn bullish long-term.The CADCHF pair Has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since January 2023 but recently it has shown growing signs that the long-term bearish trend is coming to an end. First of all, it formed the first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame since April 01 2022. Since then, it has held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as Supports.
The strongest bullish development is that it turned the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), where it was rejected on September 29 2023, from a long-term Resistance to Support. The last time that this series of events happened following a 1D Golden Cross, was within December 2020 - January 2021. Even the 1D RSI fractals between the two are similar. What the past fractal did after turning those MAs into Supports, was rally aggressively above the previous Resistance.
As a result we turn bullish now on this pair, expecting the Channel Down to break upwards, and target 0.69650 (Resistance 1).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NZDCAD: Scalping Setup?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
There is a nice scalping buying opportunity on NZDCAD.
The price test a solid rising trend line on a 4H time frame.
As a bullish confirmation, the price formed a double bottom
pattern on 30 minutes time frame and broke its neckline.
We can expect a bullish movement to 0.8147 / 0.8158 levels.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EUR/CAD: Leveraging Range-Bound Trading OpportunitiesThe EUR/CAD pair, since January 1st, 2023, has been traversing within a defined range, characterized by notable reversals between support and resistance levels. Recent market movements have unveiled a potential reversal pattern, signaling opportunities for astute traders.
Initiating from its recent peak at 1.5050, EUR/CAD has embarked on a new trajectory, marked by a reversal pattern that warrants close attention. Notably, during Friday's trading session, the price encountered resistance, failing to surpass the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its preceding lower low. This development underscores the significance of technical analysis in discerning potential market movements.
Moreover, seasonal trends play a pivotal role in shaping price dynamics, and EUR/CAD is no exception. Historical data indicates a seasonal pattern where prices tend to decline until October. Armed with this insight, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalize on anticipated price movements.
At our trading desk, we are closely monitoring these developments, poised to seize opportunities presented by the current market configuration. Leveraging our analysis, we are inclined to open a short position, targeting the 1.4200 level. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the possibility of further downward movement, potentially breaching the support level of the established range area.
GBPCAD Sell the spikeThe GBPCAD pair gave us a solid short-term sell signal last time (January 29, see chart below):
At the moment it is declining within a Channel Down pattern which emerged after the 6th rejection on the Resistance Zone. Having broken below both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we are expecting a short-term rebound to price the new Lower High and fail on the 1D MA50 test as a Resistance.
There is a strong Support confluence below, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and Support 1 (1.67685), our Target is at 1.6700, marginally below those on the dashed Higher Lows trend-line, always above the 1W MA100 (red trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CADJPY: Follow the breakout or rejection. Low risk trades.CADJPY is just above the bullish barrier on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.297, MACD = 0.230, ADX = 26.548) despite the fact that it is near the HH trendline of the Ascending Triangle and supported at the same time by the 1D MA50. Technically this calls for a decline and the minimum inside this pattern is the 1D MA200 (TP = 109.350). If it crosses over the HH trendline and closes a 1D candle over it, we will go long, aiming at the top of the Channel Up that will prevail (TP = 115.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCAD Near the 5-month High. Strong SELL.The USDCAD pair hit our 1.36200 Target (February 09, see chart below) and even broke above the Symmetrical Resistance Zone:
The price now sits at the top of the 2024 Channel Up, a similar pattern with the July 14 - November 01 2023 Channel Up. In fact the pair is approaching that November 01 High (Resistance 1) and being at the same time on an overbought 1D RSI while the 1W RSI is approaching the 13-month Resistance Zone, is turning into a very strong sell again.
Such tops have given a minimum of -3.23% declines (February 02 2023) during this 18-month period that the pair has been ranging. As a result, our new medium-term Target is 1.34500.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AUDCAD: Channel Up bottom buy opportunity.AUDCAD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.713, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 36.219) as it is testing the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 periods at the bottom of February's Channel Up. This is a technical buy opportunity on the lowest possible risk, since as long as the Channel Up holds, we can target a Higher High at +2.30% (TP = 0.90500) like the one before. If the Channel Up breaks the loss will be minimal and we'll be able to short and target the S1 level (TP = 0.87300).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCAD Best sell entry in 6 months.The USDCAD pair is crossing over the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the long term range since October 2022.
The last two times it did that break out, it turned into the most efficient sell opportunity. Last time to do so was on November 1st 2023.
With the 1day RSI also deep into the overbought region, we turn bearish.
Sell and target 1.3300 (0.236 Fib, it has been hit all times the pattern gave this sell signal).
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
EURCAD: Quick short opportunity + bonus for long term.EURCAD marginally turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.842, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 27.243) as it hit both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 today. That is dead neutral on a 15 month basis as the pair has been on a wide ranged price action since the start of 2023. Currently it sits exactly at the middle of this pattern on the 0.5 Fibonacci level. This gives us the opportunity for a quick short term sell on the HL trendline (TP = 1.45750). The HL trendline has always been crossed downwards these 1.5 years so if we see a crossing under the 0.618 Fibonacci, we will sell again and target the 0.786 Fib (TP = 1.43650).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCAD - Long Trade IdeaThis is a long trade idea I have, based on the abundance of buyside liquidity in the form of relative equal highs that extend beyond the left of the chart, as well as the trendline resistance building up below it. Whilst it is possible for price to make new lows, my focus is on HOW and WHEN price reacts when it gets to this POI.
Although the DXY seems overextended, many of the XXXUSD pairs have yet to reach their draw on liquidity, furthermore, they have created even more relative equal lows. This further adds to my USDCAD bias. My only concern is that the DXY generally sees more seasonally bearish sentiment during the month of April.
Let's see what pans out.
- R2F