USDCAD: Back Above Daily Support After Holding The 55-Day EMA After having somewhat of a rough start yesterday, The USDCAD has bounced back above the Daily Support Level upon holding the 55-Day EMA. It will probably be worth getting one more entry on this pair and either having a stop below the previous low or below the 55 EMA.
Canadiandollar
USDCAD: Trading at a Potential Support LevelUSDCAD broke above resistance a few weeks ago and has now pulled back towards the zone. If the level holds, then we could say that it has confirmed it as new Support. The 200 SMA is also here now, which may provide further support for this level.
If this level proves itself to be bullish, I'd expect USDCAD to make its way up to about 1.39-1.40 during the short–midterm.
On the higher timeframes the CAD looks set up to underperform most of the Major G10 Currencies
USDCAD One of the best bullish bets in the market.The USDCAD pair is making Higher Highs within the medium-term Channel Up as presented on our most recent idea (see chart below):
As the price is extending its rise, we shift to the 1W time-frame in order to present to you one of the strongest bullish signals on a quarterly horizon. As you can see the pair broke above the (dotted) Channel Down, which on a wider scale is a Bull Flag, while being supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The successive 1W Golden Cross into 1W MA100/ MA200 Bullish Cross, is identical to the 2019 sequence that led to a massive early 2020 rise.
In fact, the pair shows remarkable symmetry since the January 18 2016 High as it has been trading inside an absolute Rectangle with 1.4700 as its Resistance and 1.20050 as its Support. The Sine Waves show just how cyclical the pattern's peaks and bottoms are. Right now it signals the final phase of the aggressive rally towards the Resistance. We have noticed though that every High has been slightly lower just as every low has beeb slightly lower.
As a result we aim at the 0.99 Fibonacci level at 1.4650.
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USDCAD: Has topped on a 1 year basis. Sell breakout signal aheadUSDCAD has been trading inside a 13 month Rectangle with clear R1 and S1 Zones. Right now the 1D technical outlook is slightly over the bullish mark (RSI = 56.814, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 33.246) as it is on LH after the November 1st rejection inside the R1 Zone.
This is an early sell signal but validation will come if the market closes a 1D candle under the 1D MA50, which hasn't happened since August 1st. If it does, we will target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 1.33250).
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CADJPY Bullish as long as the 1D MA50 holds.The CADJPY pair is on a 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bounce, at the high ranges of the Fibonacci Channel Up that started on the March 2020 COVID crash bottom. The 1W RSI shows a Channel Down fractal on its second Lower Low rebound and the previous two such sequences delivered at least one more rally.
As a result, we see a strong short term buy opportunity to target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at 112.000.
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AUDCAD Rejection on the 1D MA200. Sell.Our last signal on the AUDCAD pair (see chart below) was a dip buy within the width of the multi-month Channel Down:
The Channel Up is adjusted as on Tuesday, the pair got rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) forming the new Lower High. As the same time, the 1D RSI got rejected on its 5-month Resistance Zone and today the sell signal is confirmed by the formation of the 1D MACD Bearish Cross. Sell and aim for a -4.14% (previous Lower High rejection decline) drop at 0.854500.
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USDCAD: Classic Structure Trade 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is testing an important intraday high.
The price formed a tiny double top formation, approaching that.
Its neckline breakout signifies a local change of character and
strength of the sellers.
I expect a pullback at least to 1.3775
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GBPCAD: One More Bullish Confirmation 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD formed a falling wedge pattern after a breakout of a key horizontal resistance.
The price bounced sharply after a retest of a broken structure,
violating a resistance of the wedge.
Probabilities are high that the pair will keep growing now.
Goal - 1.6985
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GBPCAD May Go Higher! Here is Why: 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily since the end of September.
The price set new higher lows, respecting a solid rising trend line.
On Friday, the price set a new higher high higher close, violating a local
daily horizontal resistance.
It signifies a strength of the buyers and a highly probable bullish continuation
to the next strong resistance.
The next structure on focus - 1.699
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EURCAD Rally most likely coming to an end.The EURCAD pair has been rising since the September 28 bottom on the bullish leg of the 9-month Channel Down, turning both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Supports. The uptrend hit the Internal Lower Highs trend-line last week, got rejected but was supported on the 1D MA200 and is testing it yet again today.
As the 1D RSI is making a Double Top rejection under the 2023 Resistance Zone, we may have the first medium-term sell signal emerging and a 1D MACD Bearish Cross will confirm it. In that case, sell and target the 1D MA50 at 1.4500. Those who wish to take some more risk, can extend selling to 1.4400 (-2.43% decline, in line with past pull-backs).
If however the pair closes a 1D candle above Resistance 1, we will take the loss on the sell position and open a buy instead, targeting Resistance 2 at 1.51000.
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CADJPY Bullish Cross signalling a buy.CADJPY it at the top of a short term Falling Wedge pattern inside a larger Channel Up.
The 1day MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. Every time the price has been on the 1day MA50 while the MACD formed a Bullish Cross, the pair traded inside a similar Falling Wedge pattern.
A break out followed with the price hitting at least the previous High (Resistance A).
Buy now and target 111.245 (Resistance A).
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NZDCAD: Descending Channel TopAs we can see from the chart this pair has been in a long-term downtrend, and we're now at the top of the falling channel.
We've seen support hold around 0.797 so my target will be just above this for a short position this week, a break above 0.8215 will invalidate, breaking both the channel and creating a HH, so this would suggest a potential reversal.
I'm looking at overall NZD performance (NZDWCU) and how it sits against the various crosses, it's had a strong few weeks but I'm expecting across the board retracement from it.
For this pair a fail to break below 0.796 will leave a double bottom / HL and again signify a potential reversal in the making.
This week short for me.
CADCHF - BULLISH MOVE
As We Talked in The Previous Analysis:
On Thursday 19 Oct, The CADCHF Price Reached a Support Level (0.64800 - 0.64950)
The Price Created a Rectangular Range.
The Upper Resistance is Broken.
Currently,
The Price Created a Correction and Touched The Support Level!
and Now it Will Continue its Bullish Movement !
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TARGET: 0.65980🎯
NZDCAD: Targeting the 1D MA200NZDCAD just turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.955, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 22.539) as it rebounded on the 1D MA50. The signs for this rally emerged after a Double Bottom Zone emerged, following a nearly 5 month RSI Bullish Divergence on HL, which indicates that we may be initiating a new long term bullish trend.
Our focus for now is on the short term though as we go long, targeting the R1 level (TP = 0.82175) and a potential touch with the 1D MA200. That will be a new LH for the Bearish Megaphone pattern.
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CADCHF: Ready to go?Been watching this pair for a while, I'm noticing the Swissie generally weaken against it's crosses, many look ready for a reversal to me.
CADCHF has been trading in a range, we can see daily failures at the current level which suggests to me we're about to bounce up so I'm looking for a buy on LTF's.
I first posted this idea on the 18th October, it now looks like we're about ready to go!
CADCHF: Six month Support Zone holding.CADCHF has held trading over the six month S1 Zone for the eight straight session. Obviously this turned the 4H timeframe (and below) neutral (RSI = 52.551, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 32.796), which makes for a solid bottom formation. On a wider look it appears that the original Channel Down transitioned into a Rectangle of a R1 and S1 Zone. The 1D MACD Bullish Cross will give the buy signal if formed and our target will by the LH trendline of the Channel Down (TP = 0.67850).
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EURCAD - Resistance Becomes SupportHello Traders !
The EURCAD Price Broke a Daily Resistance Level (1.45161 - 1.44648)
Currently,
-This Resistance Level Becomes a New Support Level.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 1.46220🎯
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USDCAD: Overbought Market & Pullback 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD looks exhausted to me.
After a strong bullish movement, the pair formed a rising wedge pattern.
The support of the wedge was broken with a bearish engulfing candle.
It is an important sign of strength of the sellers.
A retracement is expected to 1.3789 / 1.3768
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AUDCAD Best sell entry of the last 3 months!The AUDCAD pair is trading inside a Channel Down for the whole year.
Today it hit the 1day MA100 for the first time in 3 months.
After March 24th, all 1day MA100 tests have ended with huge price rejections.
The lowest bearish sequence has been -3.14% and the highest -4.68%.
Sell now and target 0.8515 (-3.14% decline).
Previous chart:
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Best trade of the week? USDCAD or Oil? Will bearish bets on the Canadian dollar grow in the lead up to Wednesday? It is widely expected that the Canadian central bank will leave interest rates on hold during its meeting that concludes on this day (Although, it may be a hawkish hold as the Governor Tiff Macklem will mention that another hike is still on the table for the bank).
Perhaps piling on the bearish sentiment is the slight fall in the price of oil (one of Canada's major exports), as US diplomatic efforts continue to contain the conflict between Israel and Hamas. How long this quietish period can last is up for debate though, and a ground offensive by the IDF in Gaza could send oil prices higher.
Bullish takes on the USD/CAD (i.e., bearish bets on the Loonie) will have 1.37350 to content with, which is the high the pair reached before cratering to 1.36712 to start the week. 1.36936 is the more immediate resistance for bull to cross before even thinking about the day's high. The RSI’s weakness suggests this won’t be too difficult though, and 1.37189 might be the more formidable resistance.