WEEKLY SUPPLY MAY HOLDAfter price closed strong bearing the previous week, we have witnessed a massive rally back up into weekly highs. Even after 2 days of rally, this strong bullish pressure doesn't seem to be over looking at today's strong daily closure. We might just see price extend a little further into weekly highs as shown and now based on strong confirmations, a plunge back down into April's lows.
Candlestick Analysis
I hold on to my short position and wait patiently.Currently, gold continues to rebound to around 3358, and there has been no decent retracement during the rebound, so during the trading period, apart from chasing the rise, there are almost no opportunities to go long on gold; so is the steady rise in gold during the day brewing a bigger rally?
I think there are three reasons for the continued rise of gold:
1. The continued weakness of the US dollar provides support for the strong rise of gold;
2. The trapped long chips have recently shown self-rescue behavior, and strong buying funds have driven gold up;
3. The market intends to eliminate and kill a large number of shorts in recent times;
Based on the above reasons, I think it is not a wise decision to chase gold at present; on the contrary, I still prefer to short gold in the short term, and I still hold a short position now; the following are the reasons to support my insistence on shorting gold:
1. The US dollar has a technical rebound demand after a sharp drop, which will limit the rebound space of gold and suppress gold;
2. After the recent trapped long chips successfully rescue themselves, they may cash out in large quantities, thereby stimulating gold to fall again;
3. While killing the shorts, the market has also lured a large number of long funds to a certain extent. Based on the above reasons, I currently still hold short positions near 3345 and 3355, and hope that gold can retreat to the 3335-3325 area.
Short gold, it may retreat again after reaching 3340-3350Although the rebound in gold has exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it is obviously not a good time to chase the rise in gold. The gold rebound mainly benefits from Trump's repeated requests for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which has led to the continued weakness of the US dollar. In fact, we can clearly see that the gold rebound is not supported by trading volume, and the rebound without volume may face the risk of collapse again at any time. So I don't advocate chasing long gold at present.
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3339, almost recovering most of the losses in the previous downward wave (the starting point of the previous wave was 3350), but gold is still under pressure in the 3340-3350-3355 area. In the absence of volume support, gold may fall again after touching this resistance area.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; at least make sure not to chase high!
You can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350-3355 area as resistance, and look at the target: 3320-3310-3300
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3333-3323-3315
TP 3341-3355-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
AUDJPY: Bullish Move From Support 🇦🇺🇯🇵
There is a high chance that AUDJPY will bounce
from the underlined horizontal support.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle after its test.
I expect a rise to 94.49 level.
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Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3330-3325-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350-3372
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
SILVER (XAGUSD): Pullback From SupportIt seems that the time has come for 📈SILVER to experience a pullback.
This morning, I've observed a solid intraday bullish signal with the emergence of a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart.
I anticipate a pullback to at least 36.61, followed by a move to 36.95.
SWING IDEA - AKZO NOBEL INDIA Akzo Nobel India , a subsidiary of the global paints and coatings giant AkzoNobel N.V., is a leading player in India’s decorative and industrial paints market. Known for its premium brand Dulux , the company has strong brand recall, a wide distribution network, and consistent profitability.A strong brand, steady margins, and a bullish chart make this a candidate to watch for a short- to medium-term swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
Bullish engulfing candle spotted on the weekly timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Accompanied by the highest-ever volume spike, adding strong conviction to the move.
Price is bouncing off the golden Fibonacci support (0.618), a classic retracement zone where strong reversals often occur.
The level of 3100 acted as a solid support.
The stock is trading above its 50 & 200 EMA on the weekly chart — a sign of long-term strength.
Target - 3812 // 4520
Stoploss - weekly close below 3000
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The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation After Breakout 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is going to rise more following a bullish breakout
of a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
Next goal - 0.66
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XAU/USD 01 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
The latest analysis and layout of gold in July made a good start📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday, we gave the idea of looking at the upper resistance of 3310-3320. The 4H pressure is still at 3327. As long as this key resistance level is not effectively broken, gold will fall again. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3327, the trend may reverse. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance of 3327. If it is not broken, you can short with a light position. If it falls below 3300-3290, consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3310-3320
TP 3305-3300
BUY 3300-3290
TP 3310-3320-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The limit is 3320. Rebound and still short📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3295, reaching our ideal trading area. I have given the short-selling trading idea in the previous post. At present, in the short term, we still maintain the short-selling trading idea before effectively breaking through the upper resistance. Focus on the 3325 line of resistance
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3295-3310-3320
TP 3285-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
ZKUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
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Gold (XAUUSD) 4H Technical Outlook
In line with my previous projection, price dropped from the 3330 region toward the key level around 3224, bottoming out at 3245 after sweeping liquidity—forming what now appears to be a potential double bottom.
However, the rally from 3245 looks more like a liquidity build-up than a true reversal. This suspicion is strengthened by Silver’s behavior, as it failed to confirm any bullish structure shift last week and isn’t participating in the rally as expected.
Currently, Silver is trading back into a premium zone around 36.27. With that in view, it would be ideal for Gold to revisit the 3322 region, offering a cleaner and more logical sell opportunity with defined risk. That said, overnight volatility during the Asian session could still lead to unexpected movements and early reversals.
USDJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 145.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
H4 Head and Shoulder Pattern, Retest of the neckline
Levels 3.56
Entry 95%
DUE TO H4 I WILL BE GOING 1/2 A % RISK TO SEE IF MY EDGE WILL WORK
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NZDCAD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.82500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.08
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Short BTC, it is about to retrace and test 100000 again!As BTC gradually fell back, the rebound did not stand above 110,000 in the short term, proving that there is strong selling pressure above, and the trend line formed by the technical high point 111,000 and the second high point 110,000 formed an important resistance area, which limited the rebound space of BTC and strengthened the demand for BTC's short-term retracement.
According to the current trend, the short-term oscillation bottom area of 106,000 may be broken at any time. Once it falls below the oscillation area, it may arouse a certain degree of profit-taking chips and stimulate BTC to accelerate its decline. I think BTC will at least test the 105,000-104,000 area again during the retracement, and may even test the 100,000 integer mark again.
Therefore, shorting BTC is still the preferred option for current short-term trading.
Consider shorting BTC in the 108,000-109,000 area, and the target area in the short term is 104,500-103,500. After breaking this area, the target can be extended to 101,000-100,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Short gold, it will fall again when encountering resistanceIn the short term, gold retreated to around 3274 and then rebounded again, and it is only one step away from 3300. Will gold regain its bullish trend again?
I think it is difficult for gold to break through in the short term. Although gold retreated to around 3274 and successfully built a double bottom structure with the second low point and the low point of 3245, it only increased the rebound space; it is not enough for gold to regain its bullish trend. Since gold fell and broke through, the confidence of bulls has been hit hard. The previous support at the technical level has formed a strong resistance area after the top and bottom conversion, and to a certain extent helped the short force. In the short term, gold faces resistance in the 3310-3320 area. Before gold breaks through this area, the short energy still has the upper hand.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading.
It is appropriate to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area, and look at the target: 3385-3375-3365
Go long on dips and short on rallies📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
SELL 3295-3300-3310
TP 3280-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Analysis and layout of BTC trend in the third quarter📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the movement of the cryptocurrency market
2. The impact of DAA, etc.
📈 Technical Analysis:
As demand weakens and supply pressure rises, BTC's network valuation exceeds the speed of activity. Exchange inflows and negative DAA divergences indicate that despite price stability, the risk of selling remains. Currently, BTC is experiencing a retracement after a rebound. In the short term, it is still possible to retrace to 106,500 and then rise after stabilizing.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 108000-107500
TP 107000-106500
BUY 106500-106000
TP 107500-108000
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.