$BTC TO $78,000 and Possibly $80,000, Institutional Numbers *SMCIn SmarT Money concepts you'll understand that the instutions push for large round numbers whe trying to end a trade. You'll also learn that at large price that has the numbers 0, 2, 5, and 8 at the end are all institutional numbers that are typically price targets, such as $55,000 or $42,000.
Considering the current situation. If tak into consideration the previous all time high before it dipped and broke upward again. You should always place you most current Fib at the bottom of a wav that broke the next high. And if that Price doesn't reach down into "Discount" territory (Below 61.8% of that Fib) Then continue on with the Fib to it.s next high.
Now Considering that current fib has a Fair Value Gap start at the 62% of the current retraction, That is where I would place my buy limit. (The Larger Bullish entry projection) That entry would be 75633. Now if you want to aiim for something more specific, I would aim for the median of that fair value gap (If you study Smart Money Concepts enough, you know that price will usually reach the median of the FVG, if not to the bottom of it) That Entry would be 75410.
Now the exits. The 127% is the first I look to that is past the next liquidity point. That 127% is just past the 78,000 mark. So A conservative trade would be 75633 to 78,000. To play it conservative on the Stop Loss side, place it just below the Bullish Order Block That straddles the previous all time high. Or, if you would would rather put a high risk / high number of Lots for a futures trade and to reach the 78,000. I would place the stop loss around the 0% maybe lower of the current fib, Below $74,550, since it looks for those large round institutional numbers, and $74,550 would be one of them. So thats the small Box Projection for A high risk could be a short run up, hit that 127% and start moving sideways until the next news driver.
However, if we look at the current fib to the 200% Which is typically the ultimate goal of where you want your trade to go, It sitting almost right on the $80,000 mark. Since that is it is a higher probable number to hit as an instutional number, You can take of oof the entries (Or place an entry on both) Maybe low risk with such a large take profit, and try to ride it to $80,000. Or Third scenario, Take a high risk trade, when it hits the $78,000, take half your profit, put your stop loss to break even at that point. and hopthe other half reaches $80,000. Because I have a feeling these numbers are going to be magnets for price. I hope my explaination helps you understand a little of how smart money can work. And let's hope it plays out. I personally don't think we've reach a peak just yet, but this might be the last one of the year, and if it is, then these are the numbers I would be shooting for.
-Bodies X Wix
Smart Money Concepts Technical Analyst
