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Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday 🔴 Silence Before the Storm? A “Double Distribution” Kind of Day 📈 Nifty Summary Another quiet yet deceptive start to the week as Nifty opened flat-to-negative (-14 points) but quickly formed a 92-point wide 5-minute candle at the open. That set the tone for the entire day—a tight, trapped market trading within this early range until post-2 PM. Things got interesting later, as Nifty breached its IB Low, Previous Day Low (PDL), and closed decisively below key support zones, finally taking support near 24,920 (day’s low: 24,916.65). The structure fits the classic textbook term—a “Double Distribution Day”, where the index transitions into a new value area in the second half. Option writers erased premiums on both sides, frustrating breakout traders and intraday scalpers alike. 25Min Time Frame Chart: Daily Time Frame Chart: 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Candle Type: Bearish with late-session breakdown Day Type: 📘 Double Distribution Day Key Breakdown Levels: IB Low, CDL, PDL Support Held: 24,920 zone 🕵️‍♂️ Observation of the Day Is this just a pause… or the calm before a storm? Though there's no strong reversal signal yet, subtle clues emerge: 🔎 On the 25-minute chart, the 13:25 candle was the first to close below the 24,980–25,000 support zone. 📉 Post-PDL breakdown, the retracement attempt was shallow, and price remained under S1 and PDL levels, which hints at weak buying interest. 📊 Bias Going Forward No reversal yet. Trend watchers should stay patient. But given price action and weak retracements, the bias tilts toward a deeper retracement, possibly toward the 24,800 zone in the next session. Until strong bullish follow-through is seen, expect continued corrective movement. 5 Min Time Frame Chart: 🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update Strategy Parameters ATR: 330.48 IB Range: 92.9 → 🟠 Small IB Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced Trade Highlights ⏰ 1st Short Trigger: 14:00 ❌ Trade Timed Out → Loss Booked 📊 Total Trades: 1 📍 Support & Resistance Levels 🟩 Resistance Zones: 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,062 ~ 25,070 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,285 25,399 25,485 ~ 25,511 🟥 Support Zones: 24,920 24,882 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,660 24,590 24,530 ~ 24,480 🔮 What’s Next? No storm yet, but the structure is weakening quietly. Until the bulls reclaim 25,000 decisively, the short-term path of least resistance appears lower. A move below 24,882 could accelerate downside momentum. All eyes on 24,800 next. 🧠 Final Thoughts Markets aren’t always noisy when they turn. Watch the subtle signs. For now, retracement bias stays—but don’t front-run reversals. “Strong trends may pause quietly. It’s the silence that often precedes the sharpest moves.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
2
US 500 Index – Upside Rally Facing A Ratings ChallengeThe US 500 index recorded a 2-month high of 5958 on Friday before settling back to close the week at 5922, an incredible 24% rally from the index's tariff induced lows at 4799 seen on April 7th. Impressive indeed. However, late on Friday evening the ratings agency Moody’s downgraded US government debt from its top credit rating of Aa1 to Aaa, citing a ballooning budget deficit and no clear plan to narrow this in the future. This Moody’s decision generated some weekend headlines in the financial press around the sustainability of President Trump’s plans for unfunded tax cuts as the US economy slows due to his recent trade tariff announcements. This even led to a comment on the downgrade from the much-respected US Treasury Scott Bessant, who played down concerns over the US government debt and attempted to reassure investors the Trump administration is determined to bring down spending and grow the economy. Early Monday Trading: Given the extent of the recent upside rally to just short of the physiological 6000 level, perhaps unsurprisingly, early Monday trading possibly suggests traders are reacting with caution to this news, with the US 500 trading down 0.6% at 5888, at time of writing. However, there is a long trading week ahead and it will be important to see how markets respond once US traders are back at their desks. Technical Update: Looking For Potential Support and Resistance Levels This Week As seen on the chart below, the move in the US 500 index from the April 7th low at 4799 into last Friday’s latest recovery high at 5958 completed a rally of 24%, as recent concerns over global trade eased. However, Friday’s downgrade of US debt may prompt some traders to question the sustainability of the current advance, even concluding it is something that could lead to the potential for fresh price weakness. With that in mind, let’s look at possible technical levels in the US 500 that can be monitored this week to gauge the next potential directional price risks Potential Support Levels: The first possible support level to focus on if a more extended phase of price weakness is seen, may be the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May price strength which stands at 5813. While by no means a guarantee of continued declines, if closing breaks of 5813 are seen, a more extended price correction may then be on the cards, which could suggest tests of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, which stands at 5722, or even 5575, equal to the May 7th session low, are possible. Potential Resistance Levels: Previous price highs can be viewed by traders as possible resistance levels, as having previously marked a point where selling pressure has been found, it may be the case again. As such, with the latest price strength trading close to 5988/6007, which is an area where sellers were previously found between February 26th 2025 and March 3rd 2025, this may now be a resistance focus for some. However, closing breaks of this 5988/6007 price range may lead to attempts at further strength, with the next resistance perhaps then marked by 6144, which is the February 19th 2025 all-time high. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher. Key levels to watch: First support: $96,000 If broken, further downside to $80,000 Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility. This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
SGX Iron Ore: Evening Star Reversal Skews Risks LowerHaving completed a bearish reversal pattern and with bullish momentum starting to fade, traders should stay alert to the risk of renewed downside in SGX iron ore futures. A three-candle evening star has knocked the price back below $100 per tonne, putting the spotlight on the 50-day moving average for those eyeing potential bearish setups. A clean break below could invite fresh shorts, allowing for a stop to be placed above for protection. Former downtrend resistance from March 27 may now act as support, offering a potential target around $98 today. Beyond, $96 and $94.75 are levels of interest for those seeking greater risk-reward. While momentum indicators had swung bullish over the past week, that’s now starting to reverse. RSI (14) has broken its short-term uptrend, and MACD looks toppy. With modest volumes accompanying the reversal, patience is warranted. Good luck! DS
SGX:FEF2!Short
by FOREXcom
Long trade 🟩 Buyside Trade Log 📈 Pair: BONK/USDT 🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakout 📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025 🕥 Time: 10:00 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001972 🔹 Profit Target: 0.00002159 (+9.48%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001924 (-2.43%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.90 🔍 Reasoning: The trade was initiated during the LND session AM window, where price action showed a clear breakout from short-term resistance. Momentum aligned with a surge in volume, suggesting strong buyside intent.
Long
by davidjulien369
1
Long trade 1Hr TF overview 🟩 Buyside Trade Log 📈 Pair: SHIB/USDT 🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakout 🆔 Trade ID: #SHIBUSDT-0518A 📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025 🕤 Time: 9:30 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001473 🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001567 (+6.38%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001455 (-1.22%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.22 🔍 Reasoning: The trade was executed as a breakout entry during the London AM session. Price breached a key consolidation high with conviction, signalling the initiation of a new leg higher. The breakout structure was supported by a volume increase and momentum alignment, targeting clean liquidity resting above prior highs.
Long
by davidjulien369
1
Long trade 1Hr TF oveview 🟩 Buyside Trade Log 📈 Pair: BTC/USDT 🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM 🧠 Setup: Breakout 📅 Date: Sunday, 18th May 2025 🕥 Time: 10:30 AM 🔹 Entry Price: 103,269.96 🔹 Profit Target: 105,817.16 (+2.47%) 🔹 Stop Loss: 102,862.74 (-0.39%) 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.25 🔍 Reasoning: This trade was entered following a confirmed breakout during the London AM session, as price action cleanly cleared recent highs with strong bullish momentum. The move was supported by increased volume and a shift in short-term structure, indicating buy-side dominance.
Long
by davidjulien369
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Will We Test ATH Soon?After a strong bullish rally, ⚠️Bitcoin has paused its upward movement and started to consolidate. Currently, I observe a typical bullish accumulation pattern - a horizontal trading range on the 4-hour chart. At this moment, it is testing its resistance. I firmly believe that a bullish breakout, indicated by a 4-hour candle closing above 106,000, will lead to further upward momentum. This could propel the price to 108,000, and potentially even challenge the all-time high.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by linofx1
2
EurAud..Daily Volume Imbalance fillGood day traders, I’m back with another great idea on EurAud and what I like about this setup, is that we can also learn from it. On our daily TF we have a clear volume imbalance since price opened on Monday with a gap and it failed to fill the gap last week meaning it might happen this week where price can fill the gap. On the chart I’m showing you the high/low of the volume imbalance but you can add the midpoint of that gap too if you wish to do so. Price tried filling that gap but we can see it failed to do so because price did not even get to the midpoint of the VI, after it touched the lower quarter of the VI, it pushed lower showing weakness in price. Jumping to the present TF 4H here we can see that we have a bullish flow in price but out structure remain bearish. Going into the new week we wanna see price continue in its original structure to Atleast our first presented FVg that has been noted on the chart. Currently price is inside an inverted FVG which again supports our narrative. We can expect price to fill the 1st.PFVG on Tuesday the latest before it can move higher and for the week we want to see price close above the volume imbalance.
Long
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
1
Adani Green – High-Risk Momentum Play with 30% Upside PotentialSummary Adani Green has broken out above the critical ₹1,020 resistance level with convincing volume and positive price action. The structure suggests a short-term reversal from the prolonged downtrend. Historically, once breakouts are confirmed, the stock has shown rapid upward moves — for instance, a 48.7 percent surge in November 2024 following a similar setup. The current breakout targets the ₹1,360 zone, which represents a 32 percent move from the breakout level and corresponds to a prior key supply zone. Target and Time Frame Target Price: ₹1,360 Estimated Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks (based on previous breakout velocity, momentum strength, and short squeeze potential) Risks Valuation remains extremely stretched with a P/E near 100. The market is pricing in multi-year forward growth High leverage is a structural concern. Debt-to-equity is 6.6x, and a missed execution milestone or policy change—especially the end of the ISTS waiver in June 2025—could lead to volatility RSI nearing overbought zone. Minor pullbacks or consolidations may occur before continuation Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:ADANIGREENLong
by eggubonda