Dow Jones (March 2025) - Leading The Stock Index PackAs of recently, YM have been seen stepping outside of the usual correlation ES and NQ would have as YM is presenting me with lower prices for the week than Nasdaq and ES indicating that further downside movement is possible this week.
Just like the rest of the market, there is a lot of indecision based on the tariffs Donald Trump is waiting to implement and we are seeing the splitting image of human psychology for YM. Investors and traders are currently unsure.
Candlestick Analysis
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Taking Nasdaq On A DateMe and Nasdaq had a GREAT time last week; riding the lows and highs from sunrise to sunset. Even though the initial target of Mon 27th Daily candles wick encroachment was met, the upside potential was astounding.
Besides that, NASDAQ’s price action over the past 2 months has been lacklustre, struggling to trend and stay in one direction but it’s no surprise as with all the geopolitical drama happening all over the world has caused many institutional traders to sit on their hands and wait.
Dollar Index - Trump & TariffsWith a lot of fundamental conflicts at play, one being the tariffs war on China, EU, Mexico and Canada (we don’t know yet if any more countries will be affected), we are seeing the result in price action.
We are trading in a range from 110.176 - 106.969 and so far, Dollar has managed to support the weekly BISI @ the 107.500 region but also trade up to and reject the 109.770 HTF PD array.
Ultimately, it will be fundamental news that will grant dollar the necessary volatility to run to liquidity pools. My guess, to the downside
ZB1! - Immaculate Draw on Buystops! What’s Next?This weeks breakdown covers the similarities bonds and yields have and as mentioned in my most recent analysis with Yields, I was loooking for a draw down to discounted prices.
With that bias in mind, Bonds would be more likely to trade higher as they both highly correlated.
Nasdaq trade idea for 10 Feb 2025A break and close of 30 min candle above 21633 signals buys to the next zone
A break on close of 30 min candle below 21560 signals sells
I am more in favor of buys as market shows bullish momentum
TPs are next zones
SLs are generally 1000 pips - i am risking 5% capital per trade with 1:1- :1.5 RR
Goodluck
Start shorting gold before the marketGood morning, dear traders! A new trading week has begun!
Last week, I consistently emphasized in my trading strategy that gold still had the potential to rally towards 2900. Since the market opened today, gold has accelerated its upward move, approaching 2900, which suggests a short squeeze from a technical perspective. Additionally, in my trading outlook shared on Friday, I specifically pointed out that as gold approaches or tests the 2900 level, we must remain cautious of a potential pullback. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2895-2905 resistance zone, a short-term retracement to the 2880 zone, or even the 2860 level is possible.
In the short term, I will continue to look for short opportunities within the 2895-2905 range, anticipating that gold will pull back as expected, setting us up for a strong start to the trading week!
Bros, do you have the courage to try shorting gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
High Risk Sell Gold OutlookGold started the week by reaching a new all-time high near the 2,900 mark.
However, as I explained in my weekend analysis, while the overall trend remains strongly bullish, I anticipate a pullback to correct the 3,000-pip rally since the beginning of the year.
I am looking to enter a sell position with a tight stop-loss, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio to justify this high-risk trade.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend Continuation PatternI have seen a promising bullish pattern on hourly time frame on 📈Gold.
Following a new higher high, the market started a correctional movement within the expanding channel, known as a bullish flag pattern.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish trend-following signal that indicates the strength of the buyers.
It is highly likely that the market will continue to rise and potentially reach a new all-time high. Targets are set at 2880 / 2890
Resilient Silver: Charting a Bullish Path ForwardCurrently hovering just above the intersection of minor horizontal and uptrend support, with momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD continuing to generate bullish signals, a potential long setup is emerging in silver.
Bulls could consider establishing longs above $31.75, with a tight stop beneath this level or the minor uptrend established on January 27. Potential targets include the February 7 high of $32.65 and $33.10.
Although the evening star pattern completed last week signalled downside risks, they failed to materialise on Friday despite tricky market conditions triggered by the US payrolls report and escalating trade tensions. Even with higher US bond yields and a stronger dollar, silver remained resilient, reinforcing the merits of the setup being considered.
Good luck!
DS
BTCUSD - M15 Short-Term Downside - Timing Today's USD NewsAnalysis of overall situation:
We had a strong push up (to the left)
We're now in a retracement phase.
Usually there are 3 pushes down before the retracement is done. We're on that 3rd push phase.
I'm looking to Buy overall, so this is a short-term scalp in line with the retracement. (The Buy scenario is the orange SnDR zone lower)
H4 candles still showing weakness, indicating the retracement isn't done yet. Also, the spike from the previous M15 low happened at the new day, which hints it's not the real low.
Waiting for the market to first take liquidity off the high of today, ideally enter into the gap (blue zone) then create strong Bearish candles.
Entry will be on any M5/M15 retracement - after a break of structure. Also eventually breaking the current upward trendline.
Targeting the M15 low
Timing for this entry is after the USD News at NY Session.
If market hits the invalidation level marked, then this idea is discarded.
GBPNZD: Bearish Pattern ExplainedGBPNZD recently hit a significant level of resistance and then formed a head and shoulders pattern.
The neckline of this pattern was broken last week and the price is now retesting it and we're seeing a positive bearish reaction.
It appears that selling pressure is accumulating, indicating a potential bearish move in the near future.
The target for this move is around 2.1803.
XAUUSD 9/2/25XAU is running bullish for the sixth consecutive week. We called for a new all-time high last week and the week before. If new highs form, we will shift our attention to them, but as it stands, we are anticipating another all-time high. Gold is being driven by fundamentals as well as a strong potential for gains based on past performance.
We now look to Orion for the daily bias, and as expected, it remains bullish. Based on this, we have key lows marked on our chart, with the third being a high-volume low. From our understanding, we expect a counter-trend move to start the week before continuing with more long positions. If price reaches our lower areas, we will look for the correct entry to follow through on these moves.
Trade your plan and manage your risk. Always follow Orion.
EURUSD 9/02/25Another week is her and we are back with our Sunday markups to start the week off with a clear idea of what we want to see and what we want to trade, as you can see our Orion system is telling us price is most likely running bullish, unless Orion changes we will follow the bias! now of course we know that the big money player are driving the price higher but we have a clear area that we want price to reach which will allow us to follow these big movers, these areas are below price which mean we have to have a counter bias move to be able to get into that long shift. so always keep in mind for us to follow long we must first have shorts in play, big money cant get entries without causing a counter move first. our main interest is for the high volume lows that are narked in gold dotted lines to be ran and then the highs marked above to be taken out, this would in turn give us our long move that is currently in our bias.
Trade safe, follow your risk profile and trade your rules.
EURUSD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇺🇸
It feels like EURUSD may continue falling,
following a strong bearish reaction to the underlined
key daily/intraday resistance.
A breakout of a neckline of a double top pattern on a 4H
give a strong bearish confirmation.
Next support - 1.0295
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