GBPUSD - End Of The Bullish Gravy Train?With a strong bullish rally throughout 2025, it is considered 'stupid' to bet against the trend. As the famous saying goes, 'the trend is your friend' and to a certain extent, it is true.
But during the time of bullish price action, there is a minor retracement that occurs that allow smart money to buy at a lower price and a scenario like this is most likely going to play out going into the next weeks trading as I am seeing weakness across the board with Dollar Index and EURUSD.
1.32340 is my 1st point of interest
Candlestick Analysis
Dow Jones - Market Conditions That Will Make A Grown Man Cry!Dow Jones has not had a good month when comparing with the gains Nasdaq booked or even the recovered losses throughout the month for S&P but I am optimistic about good times ahead.
In the short term, there is high potential for Dow jones to gravitate into the weekly SIBI @ $41,144 - $41,707, especially if NQ continues it's rally into a premium and Sunday NWOG does not change current market structure.
Dollar Index - Short Term Relief Rally Upcoming?From the beginning of 2025, it's been nothing but pain in the markets; bearish prices on bearish prices and it's not looking like it's the ends.
But wheat happens when the market is trading one way for a long time is you tend to have short squeezes. This is where traders place and trail their stop losses above recent highs with the expectation that the market will not reverse back into the highs before continuing lower.
I believe something like this can play out this week It all depends on Sundays opening....
US10Y - Higher Probability Times Are to Come Soon!Throughout this month, its been nothing but indecision in the markets and it does not look like anything will change anytime soon!
With the reciprocal tariffs running rampant throughout the economy, investors and traders cannot make up their mind whether they want to be a buyer or seller.
Best thing to do is sit on your hands and be patient as market conditions like this have the power of ripping your face off!
Gold Market Outlook - Gold BearishGold is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range of $3,280 to $3,360. We are closely monitoring for a breakout in either direction.
Based on current technical analysis, there is a higher probability of a downside breakout below the support level of $3,280. If this support is breached, we may see the following downside targets:
Target 1: $3,270
Target 2: $3,260
Target 3: $3,250
Target 4: $3,240
Traders are advised to plan their positions accordingly, keeping risk management in focus.
Long trade
Trade Overview: AUDUSD – Long Position (Trade 2)
Entry Price: 0.63674
Take Profit: 0.64381 (+1.10%)
Stop Loss: 0.63421 (–0.40%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.79
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
🧭 Higher Timeframe Structure: 1-Hour TF
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
AUDUSD maintained a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming higher lows and consolidating just below a key resistance area before the session crossover.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📈 GBP/USD – Buy-Side Trade
🗓 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 1.32709
Take Profit: 1.34232 (+1.15%)
Stop Loss: 1.32511 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.69
Reasoning Narrative
This GBP/USD trade was built on a clear short-term bullish structure, observed into the New York close, where price respected a key demand zone from earlier in the day.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily H&S pattern forming (Retest of the neckline)
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 143.000
This trade has high potential to create bullish structure
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.11
Entry 90
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Wajani Investments: BCHUSDPair has formed invest neck and shoulder (same formation as XRP). A bullish wedge is also indicated on the chart. In addition, the market tested a very strong resistance become support level or zone. All these indicators point to a bullish move.
NB: Always check your entries and make necessary adjustments.
Let me know your thoughts.
Please let me your thoughts. In addition, I'm trying to build followers so if you like my ideas, don't forget to like and follow for more updates.
Thank you.
Wajani Investments: XRPUSD AnalysisPair has formed an inverse neck and shoulder and broken through the neckline. In addition, a bullish wedge is formed as shown. More so, the market respected a very strong resistance become support zone which has just made a LH. All these indicators point to the fact that the market is bullish.
NB: Always monitor entry and stop loss entries to make adjustments.
Let me know your thoughts.
Thank you.
GBPJPY: More Growth Ahead?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
For some unknown reason, I received a lot of requests from
the members of my free channels to share my thoughts about GBPJPY.
Well, from a daily time frame perspective, the pair still looks bullish to me.
I do believe that the market has unrealized potential to go higher.
A bullish breakout of a neckline of a huge inverted head & shoulders pattern
was a very bullish event. It now turned into a strong support from where
I will look for buying.
The closest resistance is 191.95.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nifty Analysis EOD - 28th April 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - 28th April 2025 🔴
Nifty almost retraced 25th April’s fall — Back to Square One... What Next?
📈 Market Summary
Nifty almost retraced 25th April’s fall — Back to Square One... What Next?
As highlighted in previous sessions, the 24,330 ~ 24,360 zone once again proved to be a crucial resistance. Today, along with the past three sessions, we observed Nifty struggling to breach this wall — a fact clearly visible on the 75-minute time frame chart.
Now the big question:
➡️ Tomorrow, can Nifty decisively breach 24,365 and sprint towards 24,500?
Well, time will answer, but we must stay prepared for moves on either side.
Intraday Walk:
Nifty opened with a gap-up above the psychological 24,000 level at 24,070.
With a slow yet steady bullish pace, it hit a high of 24,355.
After touching this critical resistance, it spent almost 2 hours consolidating in the same zone.
Finally, it closed at 24,312, defending most of its intraday gains — a strong show of resilience by the bulls.
🕯 Daily Candle Structure
Today's Candle:
🟢 Strong Bullish Candle (Almost a Marubozu)
Open: 24,070.25
High: 24,355.10
Low: 24,054.05
Close: 24,328.50
Change: +289.15 points (+1.20%)
Key Observations:
The session opened slightly above yesterday’s close and dipped just marginally.
Buyers took charge from the very beginning, consistently pushing the index higher.
Close near the day's high signals robust bullish momentum.
The candle has a tiny lower shadow and minimal upper shadow, indicating persistent buying throughout the day.
What It Implies:
Clear bull dominance.
Willingness among buyers to step up even at higher levels.
If external cues remain supportive, momentum could continue into the next session.
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 344.11
IB Range: 182.1 (Medium IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
1st Trade: Long Entry triggered at 10:05 AM — SL Hit
2nd Trade: Long Entry triggered at 11:25 AM — 1:2 Target Achieved
Additional Trade (Discretionary Contra): Short Entry at 14:15 PM — 1:1.4 Target Achieved
🧾 Index Performance Snapshot
Nifty 50: +289 Points (+1.20%)
Bank Nifty: +768 Points (+1.41%)
Nifty 500: +254 Points (+1.16%)
Midcap: +870 Points (+1.62%)
Smallcap: +130 Points (+0.78%)
📍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones:
🔹 24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle)
🔹 24,480 ~ 24,540 (24,500 psychological level inside this zone)
🔹 24,800
Support Zones:
🔹 24,190 ~ 24,225 (Immediate support)
🔹 24,120
🔹 24,050
🔹 24,000 ~ 23,950
🔹 23,820
🔹 23,710 ~ 23,660
🔹 23,500
🔹 23,410 ~ 23,370
🔹 23,215
🎯 Final Thoughts
"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt."
The current structure indicates bulls have made a strong comeback, but remember — 24,330 ~ 24,360 remains the battleground. Only a decisive breakout above can ignite a rally towards 24,500+. Otherwise, we stay watchful for possible reversals.
Stay sharp, stay prepared!
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
US 500 Index – How Far Can the Recovery Extend?The upside recovery in the US 500 index continued last week, adding nearly 5% to close at 5523 on Friday, a 1 month high, as weak short positions continued to be squeezed out by a combination of factors, including signs that US/China trade relations may be starting to thaw out, President Trump pulling back on his initial commentary challenging Federal Reserve independence and more positive Alphabet earnings.
Now, looking forward to the week ahead, traders trying to work out where the index may move next face a number of scheduled economic data updates to digest and then react to, which will provide a health check on the US economy and labour market, while also showing the impact of President Trump's tariffs on US inflation.
These include,
* Tuesday 1500 BST US Consumer Confidence
* Wednesday 1330 BST US Preliminary Q1 GDP,
* Wednesday 1500 BST US PCE Index (Fed's preferred inflation gauge)
* Thursday 1500 BST ISM Manufacturing PMI Survey
* Friday 1330 BST US Non-farm Payrolls
Not only that, 4 of the Magnificent Seven companies also report earnings, with Microsoft and Meta results due after the close on Wednesday and Amazon and Apple due after the close on Thursday.
The outcome of all these events, plus trade war/tariff updates may well determine if the rally has already run its course, or has further to go.
Technical Update: Is the Break of Mid-Point (50%) Fibonacci Resistance Important?
Last week was a positive one for the US 500 index, as an 8.5% rally developed from Monday’s session low at 5095 into Friday’s high at 5530. This of course comes after what was an aggressive liquidation of assets into the April lows at 4799 (April 7th), and some may now be asking if this could be a sign of further attempts at price strength.
Much will of course depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but last week’s strength did see a closing break above the 5474 level, which is equal to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the February to April 2025 price weakness.
This upside move may leave traders looking at the possibilities of further attempts at price strength this week and wondering where the next resistance levels may now stand.
Potential Resistance Levels:
A closing break of a 50% retracement while not a guarantee of further price strength, can suggest risks to higher levels and 5635, which is the higher 62% Fibonacci retracement could be the next resistance level to monitor.
If a further phase of price strength is to materialise, traders might now focus on closing defense of this 5635 resistance, with breaks higher possibly opening up potential tests of 5788, which marks the March 25th session high.
Potential Support Levels:
Of course, as we have said, the latest breaks of the 50% retracement resistance are not a sure sign of continued price strength. So, with that in mind, lets look at possible support levels that if broken, might point to the potential of downside pressure.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last weeks rally stands at 5364, so even if the new week starts with a price setback, this level may need to be broken on a closing basis to suggest risks of further price declines.
Such breaks lower could then point to a deeper decline and retracement towards 5313, the 50% level, even 5262, which is equal to the 62% retracement.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
EurUsd- Pay attention to 1.1310Recap:
As discussed in last week's update, EURUSD bulls started losing momentum, and a correction became likely.
Current situation:
• The move from 1.1400 to 1.1577 appears to have been a blow-off top.
• Price is now stuck in the middle of the range, showing signs of weakness.
Key level to watch:
• 1.1310 is critical support.
• A confirmed break below could open the path toward the 1.1100 area.
Trading plan:
➡️ I am closely monitoring the 1.1310 zone for a potential breakdown and continuation lower.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURNZD strong daily demand level at 1.89. Long biasSupply and demand imbalances are the driving forces behind price movements in the Forex market. By identifying these key zones or imbalances, traders can anticipate high-probability reversal or continuation setups. Today, we’ll analyze the EURNZD cross pair, which has recently formed a strong demand imbalance at $1.89—the most significant impulse in months.
The Power of Supply & Demand Imbalances
Supply and demand trading revolves around identifying areas where price has made a strong, impulsive move (demand or supply zone) and then waiting for a retracement into that zone for a potential reversal or continuation.
Key Characteristics of a Strong Imbalance:
✅ Extended Range Candles (ERC): Strong, wide-bodied candles indicate institutional buying/selling.
✅ Strong Imbalance: A clear shift in market structure after a strong rally or drop.
✅ Fresh Zone: The imbalance has not been tested yet or has only been tested once.
Long trade
Trade Overview: NZDUSD – Long Position (Trade 1) & 2
Entry Price: 0.59545
Take Profit: 0.60138 (+1.00%)
Stop Loss: 0.59391 (–0.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.85
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
Price action on NZDUSD leading into the New York close suggested bullish intent, as price had formed a higher low within a broader 1h bullish structure.
Russell 2000: Signs of Topping as Macro Risks LoomRussell 2000 futures look sluggish heading into a week laden with macro risk events. Given the cyclical characteristics of the underlying index, any hint of weakness may amplify U.S. recession fears, increasing the risk of renewed downside for stocks.
Sitting within what resembles a rising wedge and with a possible evening star pattern forming, the risk of a resumption of the broader bearish trend is arguably growing. While bearish momentum has weakened recently, the uptrend in RSI (14) and MACD also appears to be topping out.
A break and close beneath 1917 would generate a setup where bearish positions could be established with a stop above the level for protection. The April 21 low of 1831 screens as a potential target. A break of that would open the door for a run towards the double bottom of 1712 set in early April.
On the topside, a break and close above 1994.8 would invalidate the bearish bias.
Good luck!
DS