Candlestick Analysis
NAS100 Bulls Rally – Eyes on 19,860 Resistance Zone!"The NAS100 is sustaining a strong bullish rally after reclaiming the 19,150 🔽 support zone. Price is trading firmly within a bullish structure, but still has some distance to reach the next key resistance at 19,860 🔼.
Currently trading at 19,446, with
Support at: 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 19,860 🔼, 20,347 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: As long as price holds above 19,150, bulls remain in control. A breakout and retest above 19,860 could fuel a further move toward 20,347.
🔽 Bearish: A rejection from 19,860 or a break below 19,150 could trigger a decline toward 18,500.
No breakout, no trade.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DXY Bears in Control ,Will 99.000 Hold or Will 97.600 Be Tested?The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains under strong bearish pressure after failing to reclaim the 100.000 🔼 resistance zone. Price is currently consolidating below 100.000, maintaining a clear bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows.
Currently trading at 99.175, with
Support at: 97.600 🔽
Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 100.000 could open room for a move toward 101.500 and 102.812.
🔽 Bearish: As long as price stays below 100.000, sellers remain in control. A breakdown below 97.600 could trigger further downside.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Long trade
BNBUSDT Buyside Trade
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:45 AM (New York Time)
Pair: BNBUSDT
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 598.55
🔹 Take Profit: 606.20 (+1.28%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 597.03 (–0.25%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.03
Trade Reasoning
Bullish consolidation just above a reclaimed support zone after a minor liquidity sweep.
Weekly candle close is here! Bearishness to start!!?As we can see NIFTY has formed signs of indecisiveness in bigger time frame as we had been waiting for weekly candle close in the structure making it look weak. Now our view just shifts from buying on dips to selling on rise till it closes above the previous high and hence keeping small stop losses we can make new fresh selling positions here for bigger targets so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Long trade
DOGEUSD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:40 AM (New York Time)
Pair: DOGEUSD
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 0.17906
🔹 Take Profit: 0.18264 (+2.00%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.17857 (–0.27%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.31
Trade Reasoning
Consolidation breakout during low liquidity hours provided an early sign of bullish interest.
Long trade
SOLUSDT Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:30 AM (New York Time)
Pair: SOLUSDT
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 146.882
🔹 Take Profit: 149.060 (+1.48%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 146.293 (–0.40%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.70
Trade Reasoning
15-minute bullish structure formed with a breakout above a short-term consolidation zone.
NZDCHF SHORTS Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Very Bullish Setup
Gold closed on Friday in a strong bullish mood.
The price started to rise after a test of the underlined blue
support cluster.
A breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on an hourly
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a rise at least to 3439
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Long trade
ETHUSDT Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Saturday, 25th April 2025, 7:55 AM NY Time
Pair: ETHUSDT
Session: London AM
Entry TF: 5min
🔹 Entry: 1789.52
🔹 Take Profit: 1826.93 (+2.88%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 1775.30 (–0.42%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.40
Trade Reasoning
Price showed bullish structure with higher lows forming leading into the London open.
Long trade
Trade Overview: BTCUSD – Long Position
Entry Price: 94,355.20
Take Profit: 95,775.76 (+1.51%)
Stop Loss: 93,945.35 (–0.43%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.51
🕚 Entry Time: 11:45 AM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Saturday, 26th April 2025
🌍 Session: NY AM
🧭 Entry Timeframe: 15-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
BTCUSD formed a bullish falling wedge structure on the 15-minute timeframe, signalling a likely breakout to the upside. Price action respected the wedge boundaries with multiple touches before showing a compression toward the apex, hinting at an imminent move.
Long trade
Trade Overview: ETHUSD – Long Position
Entry Price: 1778.55
Take Profit (TP1): 1808.63 (+1.68%)
Stop Loss: 1774.44 (–0.23%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.52
🕖 Entry Time: 7:45 AM (New York Time)
📅 Date: Saturday, 26th April 2025
🌍 Session: NY AM
🧭 Entry Timeframe: 1-Hour TF (focused on FVG)
Reasoning Narrative
ETHUSD showed clear bullish intent on the 1-hour timeframe, with price forming a series of higher highs and lows. Leading into the entry, the market had recently filled a fair value gap (FVG) left behind from the prior bullish expansion, signalling a potential continuation setup.
5min TF Overview
Long trade
Trade Overview: ETHUSDT – Long Position
Entry Price: 1789.52
Take Profit: 1826.93 (+2.09%)
Stop Loss: 1775.30 (–0.79%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.63
🕣 Entry Time: 8:30 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Saturday, 25th April 2025
🌍 Session: Tokyo PM
🧭 Bias: Buy-Side
The entry at 1789.52 came after a liquidity sweep below a short-term low, followed by a strong bullish engulfing candle on the 5-minute chart. This action indicated a classic smart money entry pattern, where sellers were trapped below the structure before a reversal.
5min TF
VRAUSDT correction is done time to flyVRAUSDT is presenting a clear completion of a WXY corrective structure into the defined Area of Interest, offering a potential re-accumulation opportunity. Price is currently reacting from the major demand zone with initial upside targets around 0.005284 and a secondary target aligning with the Supply Zone of Interest near 0.015081. The overall structure suggests a corrective phase conclusion with prospects of a new bullish impulse. Future validation will depend on sustained bullish momentum from the current demand area.
Short trade
Trade Overview: DOGEUSD – Short Position
Entry Price: 0.17342
Take Profit: 0.16700 (+3.70%)
Stop Loss: 0.17277 (–0.37%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 10.90
🕗 Entry Time: 8:40 PM (NY Time)
📅 Date: Saturday, 26th April 2024
🌍 Session: Tokyo PM
🧭 Bias: Sell-Side
Reasoning Narrative
DOGEUSD presented a high-probability short opportunity during the Tokyo PM session, following a clear sign of exhaustion at intraday highs. Price had just tapped into a previous supply zone and formed a liquidity sweep above local highs before aggressively reversing, suggesting that buy-side liquidity had been engineered and consumed.
April 25, 2025 – GBPJPY Short📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% | 🎯 Target: 1:3
🧠 Reasoning:
Reaction from Daily Imbalance + Daily EMA 📊. Buyers showing weakness, sellers taking control ⚔️.
After completing the extended wick, price left a clean imbalance – that’s where Im planning to enter 🎯.
⚠️ Note:
We could spike higher into the Weekly EMA, but setup still looks solid. SL: 20 pips 🛡️
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.79
Support and resistance levels:
143.94
143.51
143.23
142.34
142.06
141.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23
If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025 🔴
"Inside Bar Alert — Calm Before the Storm"… And Then the Storm Hit!
📊 Market Recap: A Walk? No. A Sprint Downhill!
As we noted in yesterday’s report, the Inside Bar setup was hinting at a possible breakout—today, it delivered that breakout with thunder and lightning. And if you blinked, you probably missed it.
Nifty opened at 24,289, looked like it might test bullish waters by attempting PDH twice within the first 15 minutes, but the sellers were just getting warmed up. What followed was a merciless 400-point drop in just 30 minutes, slicing through level after level like a knife through butter.
Zone after zone fell like dominoes:
CDO
CPR Zone
PDH
S1, S2, S3, S4
24,225, 24,188
200 SMA at 24,052
24,000 ~ 23,951 Zone
Virgin Zone 23,905 ~ 23,872
Absolutely brutal sell-off. No mercy. No pause. Just raw momentum to the downside.
🕯️ Daily Candle Structure: Long-Legged Bearish
Today’s daily candle adds a strong bearish tone to the chart:
Open: Flat to Mild Gap-Up
High: 24,365.45
Low: 23,847.85
Close: Deep in red
Despite a small attempt at recovery near the lows, buyers couldn’t even regain the opening level. What’s left is a long-legged bearish candle, indicating volatility, intraday recovery attempt, and bear dominance.
📌 This type of candle often signals distribution or exhaustion, especially when it appears after a long rally. If the next session continues the bearish move, this might be the start of a short-term correction. If we get a bullish bounce, then today’s low may act as a temporary support.
🔍 Recalling the Setup:
We previously observed a Hanging Man on April 23, signaling a possible reversal. Then, the Inside Bar formed on April 24—a classic setup for a breakout.
✔️ Our expectation: 1x Mother Bar Range as a move
✔️ Bias: Slightly Bearish due to the Hanging Man and overall overextended rally
❌ Expectation: Didn’t expect this much bloodshed this fast!
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 347.27
IB Range: 405.4 (Extra Large IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
No System Trade: Setup didn’t align with risk management rules
Additional Trade (Discretionary Contra):
Long Entry Triggered at 12:35 PM
✅ Target Achieved: 1:3.7 Risk-Reward
📉 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: -207 Points (-0.86%)
Bank Nifty: -537 Points (-0.97%)
Nifty 500: -332 Points (-1.5%)
Midcap: -1399 Points (-2.5%)
Smallcap: -416 Points (-2.45%)
Midcaps and smallcaps took the biggest hit, showing broad-based weakness across the market.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,050
24,120
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,000 ~ 23,950 (Immediate)
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"The storm doesn't announce itself with thunder—it begins with silence. Yesterday was silent. Today was the thunder."
The Inside Bar setup has played out, but now eyes are on whether we get follow-through selling or a relief bounce. The next session’s first 30–45 mins might give a clue.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Monitoring to Entry – AN/PAGThis pair was added to our Awaiting Confirmation list on April 16 , after showing a potential setup for a long position based on price deviation.
As of April 17 , the setup evolved further:
The pair Started below the lower Bollinger Band , suggesting continued price dislocation.
Stochastic %K and %D were both under 20 , indicating an Oversold condition.
ADX = 12.0 – signaling a sideways market, favorable for mean reversion.
DI-/DI+ ratio = 1.86 – still shows dominance of sellers, but that value improved (decreased) from the previous day.
A strong bullish candle appeared, reinforcing the shift in momentum.
Conclusion:
Although not all indicators were aligned perfectly, the price structure and early momentum reversal were enough for me to trigger a long entry as of April 17.
Now, I am monitoring this position with close attention to DI dynamics and further stochastic confirmation.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position
Entry Price: 3395.9
Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%)
Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York PM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
GOLD (XAUUSD) May Continue Dropping, Here is WHY!The price of 📉GOLD may continue to fall after consolidating at a significant intraday resistance level.
The price broke and closed below the support level of the horizontal range. This violation confirms a bearish trend continuation.
The target price is 3247.