Short trade
15min TF overview
Sell side trade
Pair EURBBP
Tue 11th March 25
05.15 am
LND Session AM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Enrty 0.84365
Profit level 0.84151 (0.25%)
Stop level 0.84445 (0.09%)
RR 2.67
Reason: Price reached a pivotal supply zone 30min TF that seemed indicative of a sellside trade along with the narrative of supply and demand for direction bias.
Candlestick Analysis
Smart recovery by Nifty after opening Gap-Down. Nifty opened Gap down after a sell-off in global markets in general and US markets in particular. Nasdaq tanked 3.81%, Dow cracked 2.08% and S&P 500 cracked 2.70% last night. Nifty however has closed 37 points in positive showing some strength. The recovery from day's low was 183.2 which sounds like a very powerful comeback.
However we are not out of the woods till we close above few important resistances which are in front of Nifty. Immediate resistances are at 22531, 22668 and 22842. Once we close above 22842 there are Mother and Father Line resistances at 23067 and 23439. Closing above 23439 is the key for Bulls to make a comeback. Those who are not aware about my Mother, Father and Small Child theory of stock market can read my book the Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the category. The book teaches Behavioural finance, Fundamental analysis and Technical analysis. Many consider this book as hand book of investment. Anyone who reads it will benefit and take something home some valuable learning whether he is a newbie or a seasoned investor.
Supports for Nifty will be near 22314, 21975, 21782 and 21281. If Nifty can carry forward today's momentum into tomorrow there is a chance of further recovery. Shadow of the candle despite today's smart recovery is absolutely neutral. Market will be closed on Friday for Dhuleti so next 2 days are very crucial for Bulls. Mother and Father lines are far away but bulls will be very happy to get a closing above 22668 if not 22842 this week. Bears will try to drag the market below today's low of 22314. So it can be a tussle of the highest order in store for the next 2 days.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
USDJPY SELLPossible Sell here for USDJPY.
Waiting for current 30m candle close. If we get a strong Bearish Candle, will consider entering the trade.
If 30m candle closes with a Bullish momentum (long wick) or Bullish candle, the trade i dea is no longer valid.
Always manage your risk and best of luck! :)
Long trade
30 min TF overview
Buyside trade
Pair GBPJPY
Tue 11th March 25 4.30 am
Tokyo Session AM
Entry 190.204
Profit level 190.924 (0.38%)
Stop level 190.026 (0.09%)
RR 4.04
Reason: Observing price action since Monday, 10th March 2025 and using the Asia session for liquidity, I assumed a buyside trade idea. Target Asia high
AUD/CAD stalls around 91c, pullback pending?A 3-wave move has developed from the January low, that for now appears hesitant to hold above 91c or its 50% retracement level. Twice we have seen false breaks of the 91c level on the daily chart, and Monday presented a bearish pinbar which closed below the 200-day SMA.
Bearish divergences have also formed on the weekly and daily RSI (14) and daily RSI (2). Perhaps a pullback is brewing.
Bears could fade into moves towards the 200-day SMA, in anticipation for a move down to at least 90c, just above the 50-day SMA and weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
And if the BOC refrain from promising further cuts while delivering an expected 25bp cut tomorrow, it could further strengthen the Canadian dollar and weaken AUD/CAD further.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EURUSD - Next target: Last swing of the three-drive patternGiven the bullish order flow on the lower timeframe and the decreasing strength of bullish candles on the upper timeframe, we are likely to see another attempt to form the last swing of the three-drive pattern on the 4-hour timeframe.
The price is expected to move higher after the correction on the 15-minute timeframe to more penetrate the daily order block.
BITCOIN MARKET ANALYSIS: CRASH OR NEXT BIG MOVE?BITCOIN MARKET ANALYSIS: CRASH OR NEXT BIG MOVE
Expert Insights and Key Trends
Is Bitcoin poised for a significant downturn or a major upward swing? In this in-depth analysis, we examine:
- Current Market Trend: A thorough review of Bitcoin's present market trajectory.
- Critical Support and Resistance Zones: Identification of key levels that may influence future price movements.
- On-Chain Analysis and Whale Movements: Expert analysis of on-chain data and whale activity.
- 2024 Bitcoin Price Prediction: Insights from industry experts on Bitcoin's potential price trajectory.
Stay Informed, Stay Ahead
Whether you're a trader or long-term investor, this analysis provides crucial information to help you navigate the Bitcoin market.
GBPCHF: Pullback From Support 🇬🇧🇨🇭
There is a high chance that GBPCHF will pullback from the
underlined blue intraday support.
As a confirmation, I see a cup and handle pattern on that
and a breakout of its neckline.
Goal - 1.1367
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SOLUSDT at a Critical Decision Point – Reversal or Breakdown?Solana (SOL) has reached a **key support zone between $116 – $126**, a level that has held strong for the past year. This area will determine the next major move, with two possible scenarios in play:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
- If SOL holds and forms a reversal pattern, we could see a strong move toward $200 as bullish momentum builds.
- Confirmation of a bounce with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns (such as a double bottom or bullish engulfing) would provide an entry signal.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
- A break below $116 would indicate weakness, potentially leading to a retest of $100 or even $80 if selling pressure accelerates.
- A daily close below this support zone would confirm the breakdown and shift momentum to the downside.
🔹 My Bias:
I remain optimistic and will be looking for a reversal pattern within this key zone to enter a long trade with a target of $200.
Gold seems to have found support for the week✈️ As we see the bullish imbalances print on the hourly chart, we will attempt to use these as support for higher targeting 🎯 Clear targets right above the range and clear support levels make for great long opportunities.
My bias is still remaining bearish for the moment as you all know we only change bias when we get a close to the other side. We have yet to have the opportunity to close bullish on the daily (our bias time frame), so we play our targets close since these bullish targets are technically counter trend.
Share with a friend in need of great levels 🔑
The golden counterattack is coming!As expected, gold rebounded with the support of 2880-2870 area, and has now rebounded to above 2893. Don't worry for now, gold still has room to rise. Don't be anxious for now, gold still has room to continue to rise. We insisted on buying gold on dips yesterday and have accumulated a lot of cheap chips. Now it seems to be a wise choice.
I clearly pointed out yesterday that the decline of gold this time is only to cooperate with the recent low of 2830 and successfully build a "W" double bottom structure. After confirming the support and building the "W" double bottom structure successfully, gold will continue to rise. Through the candle chart, we can clearly see that in the process of seeking support this time, gold just fell back to the 50% retracement level (50% retracement level from 2830 to 2930). At present, gold has confirmed the support and successfully built the "W" double bottom structure, which will support the rise of gold and provide good conditions for gold to break through the resistance near 2930 above, and even hope to try to hit the previous high near 2955.
Bros, I am glad that we are holding a lot of cheap chips now. These will be the chips that will bring us huge profits. Let us hold them together.Did you join me in taking the opportunity and going long gold?Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bearish Signal?!The price of 📉GOLD appears to be on a downward trend following a period of consolidation.
A break below a support level within a sideways trading range is a strong indication of a continued decline.
It is likely that the price will drop to the 2870 support level or lower.
Incoming 40% correction for FacebookOn the above 10 day chart price action has rallied 500% since October 2022. It is somewhat unfortunate to see so many long ideas at the moment.
Motley Fool August 8th:
“Here's how Meta could achieve a $2 trillion valuation within three years, and if it does, investors who buy the stock today could earn a 67% return.”
Very misleading.
Why bearish?
Failed support. It is very clear to see, price action has broken through support and confirmed it as resistance. You can see this more clearly on the Log chart below.
Regular bearish divergence. Multiple oscillators now print negative divergence with price action across a 50 day period.
On the monthly chart below a hanging man candle print can be seen. Although the candle does not confirm until the end of the month there is a clear indication of buyer exhaustion. This is an important trend reversal indication.
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Log chart
Monthly hanging man candlestick
Gold Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Taking Over?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown clear signs of weakness after multiple failed attempts to break above resistance. The descending trendline acted as a strong dynamic resistance, leading to a sharp sell-off. The projected path suggests further downside movement, with increasing bearish momentum.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Rejection at Resistance: Price failed to break above the key resistance area, confirming a bearish structure.
✅ Lower Highs Formation: A series of lower highs indicate sellers are gaining control.
✅ Trendline Holding Strong: The curved descending trendline has successfully rejected price action multiple times.
✅ Breakdown Underway: The recent drop confirms sellers stepping in aggressively.
📉 Possible Targets:
1️⃣ Next Key Support: $2,850 - $2,820 zone could act as a short-term demand area.
2️⃣ Deeper Selloff: If momentum persists, a drop toward $2,780 is on the table.
📢 Trading Plan:
🔹 Bearish Bias: Look for pullbacks toward resistance for potential short entries.
🔹 Bullish Reversal? Only a sustained break above $2,910 would shift the bias.
⚡ Do you see Gold dropping further or reversing soon? Comment below!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Metals
BTCUSDT – Reversal Area Holds Strong! What’s Next?BTC has reacted exactly as expected from the Reversal Area, bouncing back with significant strength. The price action suggests a potential move toward the $85K-$86K resistance zone, where we will look for a breakout or rejection confirmation.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Support Held: BTC respected the Reversal Area, leading to a bullish response.
Potential Trendline Break: The descending curve may soon be invalidated if BTC maintains momentum.
Key Resistance Ahead: The $85K-$86K zone is a supply area where sellers could step in.
🛠 Trading Plan:
📌 Bullish Case: A strong breakout above $86K could trigger a move toward $90K+.
📌 Bearish Case: A rejection could offer another buying opportunity near $78K-$80K.
📢 What’s your outlook? Comment below! Follow for timely market updates. 📈
#BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #TechnicalAnalysis #Crypto
Gold is about to take off like a rocket, boldly go long gold!Bros, don't have any doubts about the rise of gold. Gold is just accumulating upward momentum during the shock process. Once the shock ends, gold will take off like a rocket.
In the short term, gold has tested the support of the 2900-2890 area many times and has never fallen below, confirming that the support in this area is effective. In addition, the candle chart forms multiple long lower shadows in the short period, indicating that the gold price refuses to fall, which will attract more off-market funds to buy gold. In this market, the longer the gold shock time, the higher the increase, so please relax and let us look forward to the gold rocket taking off! The first target in the short term is 2920. Once gold stands above 2920, gold is bound to reach 2930, and it is even expected to continue to rise to 2955
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
What to do after you missed a big price move (Example: EUR/USD)There was a big fast move in EUR/USD last week.
The ‘European currencies’ did especially well versus the US dollar, including GBP/USD and USD/CHF as well as the ‘Skandies’ SEK/USD and NOK/USD.
If you rode the move, then job done. If you did ride the move up, you might have taken full profits already - or maybe you are leaving a little bit of the position open to ride any continuation of the move.
But, what to do if you missed it completely?
Explosive moves in the market usually mean traders who were on the ‘losing’ side step out for a while, having lost confidence in their view. For example if you were bearish and the market makes a significant move higher - you’re probably going to be a lot less confident in your bearish view - but perhaps also not ready to take an opposite bullish view. The loss of sellers in the market can see the up-move continue with minimal pullback.
This might suggest buying any small dips to ride the next leg higher, and emotionally it would offer some salvation to capture the second leg of the move even if you missed the first leg. However, what you are doing here is ‘chasing the market’.
One trouble is that after a big move in the market, there is no definitive place to put your stop loss, except at the beginning of the move - which is now far away. That's a bad risk: reward.
It is tempting to place a closer (more manageable) stop loss under lower timeframe levels of support - but then you find yourself trading an unknown strategy that requires different rules to follow because it is based on a lower timeframe.
And indeed, after a sharp move in the market - there is still a chance for a sharp pullback to match. Why? Because buyers quickly take profits on their unexpected quick gains, which will create selling pressure into minimal support - because the next support level is far away.
A sharp pullback would mean an opportunity to buy into the uptrend at a lower level, closer to the previous support. But then the flipside of the sharp pullback is that it raises questions over the sustainability of the initial move.
Probably the biggest takeaway here is not to think about this ‘explosive’ move in isolation.
Instead of forcing a trade, consider:
1. Waiting for the right setup in the same market. If your strategy is based on structured breakouts, wait for the next clean consolidation or pattern before re-engaging. A big move often leads to a new setup—but forcing a trade in the middle of a volatile move isn’t a strategy, it’s FOMO.
2. Looking at uncorrelated markets. Just because EUR/USD already made a big move doesn’t mean you have to trade it now. If you want to be in at the start of a move, shift focus to another market that hasn’t yet made its move.
3. Sticking to your edge. If your strategy works over hundreds of trades, don’t abandon it just because one market moved without you. The next opportunity will come—if not in this market, then in another.
Again, the best trades don’t come from reacting to what already happened, but from positioning for what’s about to happen. If you missed the move, accept it, reset, and wait for the next high-quality setup—whether in the same market or somewhere else.
Buy gold aggressively and grab bargains!Bros, I have just clearly pointed out in the last article that gold will continue to rise after repeatedly testing and confirming the support of the 2900-2890 zone. I expect gold to at least test the 2920-2930 area again, and once gold stands above 2920, it will inevitably break through 2930 and even hopefully reach the previous high of 2955 again.
So brothers, gold falling back to the 2900-2890 zone is a good time for us to pick up bargains. I have picked up a lot of bargains in this zone, have you picked them up?
Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
ETH → Gearing Up for $10,000!? Or $1,200? Let's Answer.Ethereum finally fell into my buy zone this past week and I was able to buy with an average price of $2,185.18. This is a target I've been watching for months in anticipation. The best part is that it may go lower!
How do we trade this? 🤔
ETH has landed on a key support area of $2,100 and is now flirting with falling to the .236 Fib level at $1,800. A final target would be around $1,500 which brings us back into the bear market range. ETH formed a triple top over the course of 2024 and as expected, it pulled back hard with the alt market.
Bitcoin Dominance has been in a bull trend since the last cycle and hasn't shown any signs of weakness yet. Currently at 62%, it could jump up to 70% easily. Until it drops, ETH and the alts are going to remain bleeding out.
I'm targeting the previous all-time high for a first profit target, around $4,800. Whether I take profits at that level depends on the price action leading up to it. If we get a strong push with strong candle closes leading up to that price, I'll likely hang on. Otherwise, I may take 25% of my position off the table and look for a potential re-entry.
Final target price is $6,750, just below the 1.618 Fib level. This level also corresponds with a measured move target if the price attempts $4,000, pulls back to the 3-Year Support, then moves up again. I believe $10,000 ETH is absolutely possible for this run, but given how slumpy the alt market is, I don't see that probability being as high as the previous high of $7,000. This is why I'm taking my profits before that 1.618 Fib level is hit.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,185.18
🟥 Stop Loss: $700
✅ Take Profit #1: $4,800
✅ Take Profit #2: $6,750
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. 2024 Triple top led to a retrace down to the 2023 range.
2. First buy at $2,185.18, potential buy at $1,800 and $1,500
3. Stop loss at $700 below the 2022 bear market low
4. Holding the position until the previous all-time high around $4,850 where the first take profit waits. $6,750 is the second take profit just before the 1.618 fib level
5. Weekly RSI is near 34.00 and below the Moving Average. This is a good level to buy.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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