Buy gold and wait for a breakoutBros, the recent rise and fall of gold has not continued, and the overall price is still fluctuating widely in the 2930-2895 area. After the fierce game between the long and short sides, there is not enough momentum to support the structural breakthrough of gold. However, according to the current structural trend, gold has repeatedly tested the area around 2920-2930 and has been effectively supported at 2890-2900. Overall, the probability of gold breaking upward is greater.
Then in short-term trading, we can temporarily go long on gold in the 2905-2985 area, and first see whether gold can stand above 2920. If gold stands above 2920 for a long time, then gold will definitely break through 2930 and still have the opportunity to test the previous high area near 2955.
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Candlestick Analysis
potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains.
A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength.
From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions.
Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions.
Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge.
Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
GBPUSD Week 11 Swing Zone/LevelsLast week marked the first losing week of the year.
With a strong upward trend, a price pullback is expected.
By using tight stop losses and effective trade management, we keep losses small while aiming for larger gains. To achieve this, the stop loss is moved to break even once the price gains 20 pips.
a or b? Only price can tell
USDCHF SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily And Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.16
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
BTC\USD minor movement to be caught(buy signal ) Starting on the smaller timeframes, 15 minutes we had a shift in structure higher and we currently watching price reprice the 15 minute fir value gap marked with the blue horizontal lines.
one hour BISI(fair value gap) the purple lines should be used as exit points.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCHF, EURAUD, US30
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD weekly time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
After multiple attempts to violate a key daily horizontal resistance,
EURUSD was rejected.
It looks like the underlined blue area will keep being a strong supply area.
Probabilities will be high to see a pullback from that.
2️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price reached a significant daily demand cluster on Friday.
That zone concentrates huge buying volumes.
I think that the pair is going to start a correctional movement soon.
3️⃣ #EURAUD weekly time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market did not manage to break a key daily horizontal resistance level.
We see a strong bearish pressure after the market opening today.
Chances are high that the market will continue falling.
4️⃣ #US30 1 hour time frame 🇬🇧🇨🇦
I see a nice gap down opening.
With a high probability, it is going to be filled soon.
Expect an intraday bullish movement.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Breakdown – Next Support Zones🔻 BTCUSDT Breakdown – Where Is the Next Bounce? 🔻
Bitcoin has broken below a crucial support level, confirming a bearish continuation. The price action is following a curved decline, indicating further weakness.
🔹 Key Observations:
📉 Bearish Breakdown: BTC has failed to hold support and is now in a downtrend.
🔎 Short-Term Support Zone: $82,000 – $81,000 (potential temporary bounce area).
📌 Major Reversal Area: $79,000 – $78,000, where significant demand could appear.
🛠️ Technical Outlook:
Breakdown Structure: BTC’s inability to reclaim previous highs resulted in this sharp decline.
Potential Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: A bounce from $82,000 before another leg down.
✅ Scenario 2: A deeper drop to $78,000, followed by a reversal.
📉 Trading Plan:
🔹 Short on Retests: If BTC retests previous support and fails, a short opportunity exists.
🔹 Look for Reversal Signs: If BTC finds support at $78,000, a long position could be considered.
🔹 Risk Management: Maintain tight stop losses due to potential high volatility.
⚠️ Keep an eye on price action around support levels for the next major move! ⚠️
💬 What do you think—Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue dropping? Share your thoughts! 🚀👇
#BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
Intraday Gold 10/03/2025Gold remains range-bound (2919-2909) after a weak bearish close Friday, despite mixed NFP data. We’ve already retested 2902 and are approaching the range high again. Given how long we’ve been in this range, I’m only trading breakouts:
A 30min break & close above 2919 could give a push to 2926 (+80 pips).
Sells only below 2893, targeting 2882 due to 4hr choppiness.
Staying patient until a clear breakout occurs!
AUD vs DXY: Analysis of Both ChartsWE can see a clean bearish intent on DXY right now so we may be able to get a good long going against the DXY rn 🔑
If we stick to our closes being our guiding light, we will await the close to get our entry after if this bulls take a fib correction into buyside 🎯
Share with a friend 🙏🏾
GBPCAD: Classic Trend-Following Trading SetupLook at the price movement of 📈GBPCAD.
Following a significant bullish movement, the price began to consolidate within a horizontal channel on a 4-hour chart.
The breakout above the upper boundary of the channel, signifies a strong bullish trend continuation.
The next level of resistance to watch for is at 1.8703.
Short trade
4Hr TF
Pair DOGEUSDT
Sellside trade
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Sat 8th March 25
7.00 pm
Entry 0.19316
Profit level 0.14457 (25.16%)
Stop level 0.19435 (0.62%)
RR 40.83
Reason: Observing price action on the Dy TF seemed indicative of a sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for directional bias.
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
Sellside trade
Sat 8th March 25
6.00 pm
Tokyo Session PM
Structure/Day
Entry 4Hr TF
Entry 0.6715
Profit level 0.5840 (13.03%)
Stop level 0.6794 (1.18%)
RR 11.08
Reason: Observing price action, the Day TF seemed indicative of a Sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for overall direactional bias.
Short trade
4Ht TF overview
Sellside trade
Sat 8th March 25
Pair BNBUSDT
3.00 pm
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Entry 595.31
Profit level 560.03 (5.93%)
Stop level 595.74 (0.07%)
RR 82.05
Reason: Observing price action on the 4Hr TF seemed indicative of a sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for direational bias
Full Market post NFP Review: Pure Consolidation as expectedEverything seems to be at an inflection point with currencies taking the reigns for profitability 💪🏽 EU/GU are inversing the dollar really well as always with that strong direct correlation. This is why we at Hollywoood Trades believe in market diversity. It is good to understand what should happen and what will be the result of an out of sync indices and metal market vs. the currency direct correlation pairs.
Share with someone in need of strong levels 🎯
Bitcoin Analysis with Daily Time Log LinesGreetings and best wishes to our lovely analysts.
As you can see in the image
There are four scenarios in this analysis
These lines are very important and the market reacts 100% to these lines
Make a decision with the confirmation of candlesticks and normal high and low.
Good luck
Weekly Review – Week 10, Prepping for Week 11### **Weekly Review – Week 10, Prepping for Week 11**
#### **Market Context: Higher Time Frames Still Bullish, But Short-Term Consolidation**
- **Quarterly:** Q1 2025 remains in expansion mode, continuing the pattern of higher highs and higher lows over the last six quarters. Price is currently trading above Q4 2024, which acted as a stall candle—reinforcing that the **higher time frames remain in a bullish breakout phase**.
- **Monthly:** February followed through with **bullish momentum**, closing above January’s high. However, the long wick to the upside signals **rejection of higher prices**.
- **Monthly imbalance at 2780**, aligning with **October 2024's STH-HH at 2790**—a key **Point of Interest (POI)** for long setups if price retraces.
#### **Weekly Chart: Defined Range & Potential for Deeper Pullback**
- **Week 10 printed an inside bar**, following Week 9’s engulfing move—**creating both a swing high and swing low**.
- **Weekly Equilibrium at 2745** – Optimal long positions may form below this level, providing a **higher probability setup in discount pricing**.
- Given the defined range, this supports a case for **short-term shorts**, with **long setups likely to emerge at lower levels**.
#### **Daily Chart: Expansion, Consolidation, Breakdown – Is 2830 Weak?**
- **Recent Structure:** Price expanded, consolidated, and then broke down, forming a **swing low at 2830**.
- This swing low **failed to push higher and take out 2955**, which would have confirmed continued bullish structure.
- **Daily consolidation zone at 2935-2940** was the origin of the last **bearish expansion**. If price revisits this area, it becomes a **prime shorting opportunity**, targeting a break of 2830.
- A break below **2830 confirms short-term bearish control**, increasing the probability of a move toward **weekly range equilibrium at 2750**.
---
### **Trading Plan for the Week Ahead**
🔹 **Short Bias Above Recent Swing High at 2930**
- Looking for shorts within the **Daily Bearish POI (2935-2940)**.
- If price rejects and moves down, **targets = 2830**, with potential for an extended move into **weekly equilibrium at 2750**.
🔹 **Longs Not Off the Table – But Caution Needed**
- **Higher time frames remain bullish**, so we are not married to short positions.
- If price shows **strong buying interest we will re-evaluate.
🔹 **Key Events to Watch in Week 11**
- **CPI on Wednesday** and **PPI on Thursday** – These could be **major catalysts for volatility**.
- **Post-NFP reaction was muted**, so we anticipate **stronger price moves following economic data this week**.
---
### **Execution Mindset: Trade the Plan, Stay in Control**
🚨 **No Bias Marriages – We Execute, Then Evaluate**
- Every position is **planned, executed, and then reviewed**.
- **If a setup fails, we adjust. If a setup succeeds, we analyze why.**
🎯 **Focus for March:**
- **Refining the scaling-in model**—balancing profit-taking while managing drawdowns.
- **Strengthening market structure analysis** across multiple time frames.
- **Sticking to daily swing trades** at key reversal points (springs & upthrusts on lower time frames).
🔹 **Let’s see what price prints. We trade what we see, not what we expect.**
#WeeklyReview #Trading #XAUUSD #PriceAction #HandDrawnCharts
Long trade
15-Min TF overview
Buyside trade
Fri 7th March 25
6.15 pm
Pair ETHUSD
NY Session PM
Entry 2125.94
Profit level 2170.40 (2.09%)
Stop level 2117.60 (0.39%)
RR 5.33
Reason: Based on the narrative of supply and demand, 15min TF and observing BTC momentum to the upside seemed indicative of a buyside trade.