GBPAUD: Pullback From Resistance 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I think that GBPAUD may pull back from a key intraday resistance.
As a confirmation, I see a bearish engulfing candle after its test
on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 2.0655
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Candlestick Analysis
Pre-Market Prep
Today, I'm narrowing down to six key markets. For the S&P, it's all about waiting for a pullback from the prior day's high or a breakout above the CVA. If it dips back inside the range, I'm ready to go short with some scalps.
For the NASDAQ, it's looking strong. I'm thinking about a long position if it pulls back to the prior day's high.
Gold is in a downtrend across all areas, and I'm already in a short position from the CVA low. I'm thinking about adding to that if it pulls back to the prior day's low.
Crude Oil is pretty balanced. I'm looking at the high of the CVA for a short opportunity if it gets there.
For the Yen and Euro, both are rotational. I'm eyeing long opportunities if they show some acceptance and pullbacks from key levels.
That's the vibe for today. Let's trade smart, avoid the chop, and keep it moving. Peace!
Raid to the Buyside Liquidity [GBPUSD]Looking at the left side, we see a recent sell-side liquidity sweep . Following, is a strong upward movement, resulting in a market structure shift . Price retraces back to the unmitigated demand zone, to mitigate it for an execution of a Buy position. Target is the buyside liquidity
False breakout? Gold reverses sharply after news surgeBecause of the news that Trump hinted at firing Powell, gold surged strongly in the short term and passed to 3377, recovering the recent decline in one fell swoop. We went long on gold near 3323 in advance, and went long on gold near 3340 again after gold retreated, hitting TP: 3345 and 3355 respectively. The two long trades successfully made a profit of 370pips, with a profit of more than $18K.
Although gold has risen sharply in the short term and effectively destroyed the downward structure, it is mainly news that drives the market. After Trump denied firing Powell, gold rose fast and fell fast. So we can't chase long gold too much. First, the sustainability of the news-driven market needs to be examined, and second, the certainty of Trump's news is still unreliable. He always denies himself the next day.
After the gold price retreated quickly, a long upper shadow appeared in the candlestick chart, indicating that the upper resistance should not be underestimated. Therefore, we should not rush to buy gold. We can still consider shorting gold in the 3355-3365 area. We should first focus on the area around 3340. If gold falls below this area during the retreat, gold will return to the short trend and test the area around 3320 again, or even fall below this area after multiple tests and continue to the 3310-3300 area.
The firing of Powell set off the market, don't chase the longsTrump showed a draft of the letter to fire Powell, but whether Powell will be fired in the end remains to be seen, but the impact on the gold market is undoubtedly huge. The wolves have now smelled a very dangerous scent. Don’t chase high prices. Don’t chase high prices! ! ! After all, the impact of the news comes and goes quickly, and there is a high possibility of a reversal later in the evening. The final suppression position of the current gold daily line is 3340. If the closing line today can maintain above 3340, then gold will usher in a real bullish trend in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
BullsHaving in mind that the have been in buys through the year so far. This would be a flag formation and we currently on the daily FVG which provides an entry to continuation in buys.
NB we have a resistance line and that would be iur target before EURUSD starts to dunp massively. Closure below the FVG will result in closure of the buys.
GBPAUD BUY LOW OF THE RANGE (BLSHS)Price is in 3 month trading range, price attempted breakout in either direction but failed multiple times.
In a Trading Range we Buy Low Sell High Scalp (BLSHS).
- Upper Range is at (2.10379 - 2.09843).
- Low of the Range at (2.05636 - 2.04819) where price is currently at.
- Price formed a new higher low at 2.07375 showing buyers coming.
- Price was rejected strongly at the low of the range and formed RSI Divergence at the level signaling a reversal the upside.
- AUD employment data released today at 4:30AM if negative price will breakout strongly
Stop loss below the new higher low at 2.07375 or below the setup at 2.04423.
Take profit at 2.07045 or at the top of the range at (2.10379 - 2.09843).
CHF/JPY Reversal brewing?Is the high-flying CHF/JPY cross about to hit an air pocket? Having printed a bearish engulfing candle on Wednesday, and with bearish divergence between RSI (14) and price while still in overbought territory, the risk of a pullback appears to be growing. MACD is also curling over towards the signal line, hinting that bullish momentum is waning.
Should the price break and hold beneath 184.50, shorts could be established with a tight stop above the level for protection. 183.39 screens as an initial target, coinciding with the low struck on July 11. If it gives way, it could open the door to a deeper unwind towards 181.85, a level that acted as both support and resistance in recent months.
If the price resumes its uptrend and takes out the current record high above 186.00, it would invalidate the near-term bearish bias.
Good luck!
DS
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.60000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.93
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
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: Be Patient
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Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Falling correction, shorting in European session📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold continues to consolidate around 3340, and the daily MACD indicator is stuck to the zero axis. Two consecutive days of negative bars also indicate that the overall trend of gold is weak and volatile. The hourly Bollinger Bands are closing, with the upper band located near 3352. The corresponding positions of the upper pressure middle band and SMA60 are basically at 3335-3350, but it is expected to gradually decline over time. On the whole, there are no particularly clear trading signals at present. Both bulls and bears have certain opportunities. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. Pay attention to the 3342-3352 area above. If the bearish trend is confirmed in the future, you can consider shorting when it rebounds here, with the target at 3330-3325. If gold retreats directly to 3325-3320 and gains effective support again, you can consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3342-3352
TP 3330-3325
BUY 3325-3320
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
3325–3315: Potential Bullish Reversal ZoneGold maintained a volatile trend today, but the highest intraday price only touched 3343. Overall, gold is still weak, but the bulls have not completely given up, and there is still a certain amount of energy, which limits the retracement space of gold. The current short-term support is in the 3325-3315 area. If gold cannot fall below this area in such a weak situation, the market may reach a consensus that 3325-3315 is the support area, thereby attracting a large amount of buying funds to flow into the gold market, thereby boosting gold to regain the bullish trend again and is expected to hit the 3350-3360 area.
So for short-term trading, I currently prefer to start long gold with the 3325-3315 area as support, first expecting gold to recover some of its lost ground and return to the 3350-3360 area!
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 16, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
"Bounce Back with Caution: Bulls Show Up, But Still Not in Full Control"
Nifty started the day on a flat note, but the opening candle turned out to be the day’s high, and from there, it quickly lost 91 points, marking the day’s low at 25,121 within the first hour. The early pressure gave a bearish opening tone, but bulls gradually stepped in.
Around 11:45 AM, Nifty broke above the VWAP–Day Low range, crossed the CPR zone, and then pushed toward PDH. It did make one attempt to break PDH, but failed, resulting in a slow drift downward toward VWAP and CPR into the close. The day ended at 25,212.05, nearly at CPR — a zone of indecision.
📉 The structure shows sharp reversal from the lows, but also clear hesitation near resistance zones. The session was volatile, forming a typical pre-expiry pattern with mixed sentiment. Bulls must take charge tomorrow by crossing the 25,250–25,260 zone to regain strength.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,196.60
High: 25,255.30
Low: 25,121.05
Close: 25,212.05
Change: +16.25 (+0.06%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 15.45 points → small green body
Upper Wick: 43.25 points
Lower Wick: 75.55 points → significant downside recovery
🔍 Interpretation
Market opened flat, dropped quickly to test 25,120 zone
Strong buying emerged after initial fall
Buyers lifted the index above CPR, but failed to hold breakout above PDH
Candle closes with long lower wick → buyers defended dip, but lacked closing dominance
🕯 Candle TypeSpinning Top with Long Lower Wick — often a neutral to mildly bullish candle, suggesting buying interest at lower levels, but with uncertain momentum.
📌 Key Insight
Bulls clearly defended the 25,120–25,125 support zone
Momentum will only resume above 25,250–25,260, leading to targets around 25,300–25,315
Failure to hold 25,120 could reopen downside toward 25,000–25,050
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 180.99
IB Range: 91.20 → Medium IB
Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced
Trades Triggered
11:34 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved, Trailed SL Hit (R:R 1:2.42)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,168
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,260
25,295 ~ 25,315
Support Levels
25,125
25,080 ~ 25,060
25,000 ~ 24,980
24,965
💭 Final Thoughts
“Structure is forming — but conviction is lacking. Let expiry day bring clarity. Above 25,260 we fly, below 25,120 we fall.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Gold – Bullish Structure Still Intact, but Bears are Knocking📉 What happened yesterday?
As expected, XAUUSD made another leg down, breaking even below my buy zone (3330–3335) and hitting a low at 3320. From there, we’re now seeing a modest rebound, with gold trading around 3333 at the time of writing.
📌 Current position:
I'm currently holding a long position. It hovers around break-even – fluctuating between small gains and small losses. Nothing solid yet.
❓ Key question:
Was this just a deep pullback within a bullish structure… or the beginning of a deeper trend reversal?
🔍 Why bulls still have a case:
• Price prints higher lows – bullish structure technically remains intact
• A clean break above 3350 would show short-term strength
• A confirmed break above 3375 would activate a bullish ascending triangle → targeting the 3450 zone
⚠️ But here's the concern:
• Yesterday’s dip to 3330 happened during the New York session (strong volume)
• The bounce from 3320 has been weak, with no follow-through
• Daily candle closed near the lows, showing a long upper wick → a classic bearish signal
• The confluence support now lies at 3310–3320. A red daily candle closing in this area could mean the medium-term trend is flipping
🎯 My trading plan:
Although I'm still holding my buy, if bulls don’t recover 3350 quickly, I will consider closing early. The break of 3310 would shift my bias bearish.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
We’re in a critical zone. The bullish structure isn’t broken yet, but yesterday’s action was not encouraging. If buyers fail to reclaim control soon, the market may be preparing for a deeper correction. Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Pay attention to 3320, if it falls below, go long at 3310-3300The short order has been completed and profit has been realized. Now the 1H technical indicators show that there is still room for decline in the short term. Focus on the 3320 support. If it falls below 3320, the gold price is expected to reach the 3310-3300 area, which is also an ideal trading area for intraday long positions. There is nothing much to say. Follow the wolves and you will get meat. Currently, the brothers who follow me to trade have all made good gains.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Have Small Caps Hit a Wall?The Russell 2000 has lagged the broader market for years, and now some traders may think it’s stalling again.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the February 14 weekly close of 2,280. The small cap index approached that level last Thursday but couldn’t hold. The resulting “shooting star” candlestick pattern, near a weekly level, may confirm that old resistance remains in place.
Second, RUT made a higher high yesterday and a lower low. That kind of bearish outside day is a potential reversal pattern.
Third, prices returned to a weekly low from July 1. Crossing below it could suggest support is breaking.
Fourth, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.
Finally, small caps are sensitive to borrowing costs. The 10-year Treasury yield has been making higher highs and higher lows on its weekly chart. Could further upside keep weighing on small caps?
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The rebound is not a reversal, continue to shortGold showed a trend of rising and falling back and closing low on Tuesday. The highest intraday rise was 3366, and the lowest fell to 3320. The daily line recorded a medium-sized Yin line with a long upper shadow. The K-line was negative, and the closing line broke the resonance support of the middle track and the short-term moving average, suggesting that the bullish momentum has slowed down and the bears are ready to move. Today, we need to pay attention to the further downward performance of gold. From the 4H level, the price stood firm at the four-hour resistance position last Thursday, and then rebounded upward in the short term. Yesterday, the price fell below the daily support level. Currently, the short-term market is bearish, and attention is paid to the resistance in the 3340-3345 range above. In the one-hour period, the price is in short-term shock adjustment. On the whole, it will be treated as a shock decline before breaking yesterday's low, and the lower side pays attention to the 3225-3320 area support. In the short term, you can consider shorting at 3340-3350 in the European session, and look towards 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSD
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.66
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.