Candlestick Analysis
ETH LongStrong level to long, else you can see on the chart 1D inefficiency tested, fvg from Monday 13 jan holding well, built an order block recently at the same level that holds well
The force did not cause lower breakout, tested well 1h inefficiency from where I grabbed the position, picture looks very familiar to what we have seen in the past on ETH
Typical AMD model logic aiming for breakout higher, probably closing earlier though
Long trade
1Hr TF Entry
Sellside Trade
Pair SHIBUSDT
1min TF
Thu 30th Jan 29
11.00 pm
LND to NY Session PM
Entry 0.000018733
Profit level 0.000019319 (3.13%)
Stop level 0.000018630 (0.55%)
RR 5.69
Buyside trade: Buyside entry is based on the narrative of supply and demand and because of the current observation and momentum of buyside pressure observed with SHIB since the 28th of January 2025.
long eurusdMarket structure
WEEKLY:
bearish, bur right now, in my view, has to go higher in order to complete a retracement.
DAILY:
bearish and is in the premium (that's a bad thing).
4h:
bullish, just made a short retracement and now a bullish CHoCH.
1h:
has been bearish but just made a bullish BOS.
So, 3 timeframes long, one short.
Long confluences
- rejection after touching the mid point of the body of previous week candle;
-daily don't close below, neither inside the previous daily ob, but always above;
-CHoCH on 4h;
-BOS on 1h; (news driven)
-after the up move was a clear liquidity run.
Entry
After 1 h BOS, the second bearish hourly candle is rejected from the inversed 1h OB (this shows weakness and also narrows the 1h imbalance).
Also a 4h OB in this area
I could have enter right when the inversed 1h ob was touched, but would have been a worse rr. And without making the story any longer, I have entered at 75% of 4h ob. Sl a bit below the low of the candle with 1h imbalance.
There could have been 4 levels for my sl:
1 - low of the 1h imbalance;
2 - low of the candle with imbalance;
3 - the low of the 4h candle that has made the CHoCH on 4h;
4 - the absolute low (50% of previous Week's candle's body)
For tp i use first 1h high
NASDAQ SELLNQ toook out the PDLthere's probabilities now price will want to sweep out the liquidity that is resting below the previous day low. already entered the trade on 5 min TF since trading does not allow me to puplish below 15 min but from higher tf perspectives am waiting for price to shift from the mss that enter on a FVG.
Short trade
1min TF
Sellside Trade
Pair SHIBUSDT
1min TF
Thu 30th Jan 29
8.30 am
LND to NY Session AM
Entry 0.000018688
Profit level 0.000018576 (0.60%)
Stop level 0.000018725 (0.20%)
RR 3.03
Target equal lows (1min TF observation)
Reason: Price buyside momentum reached exhaustion and pivotal 4Hr supply zone indicative of a sellside trade
ETH is beyond bullish In the morning I saw the red candles and thought ok we broke out of the wedge, that means a longer term consollidation before the bullish breakout.
But now the daily candle almost close and you see the buyers pushed the price back into the wedge pattern.
So from a technical standpoint the wedge is still intact and that is super super bullish.
The reason why that is a super bullish sign is that today the bears had a chance to break the wedge structure but there was not enough selling pressure to do that.
A wedge pattern falling down like this almost always breakout to the upside.
The wedge pattern is the right shoulder of a bigger inverse head and shoulders pattern, if you zoom out you can see it on the daily.
So price is respecting the chart very good sign.
Off course tomorrow they can try to drop the price again lower out of the wedge but I doubt it because you see the price is already bought up again.
So fundamentally the only thing that we need is wednesday a positive FOMC meeting. And we go moon.
I cannot see anything that is holding us back now.
Gold (XAUUSD) - What Will Stop The Gold Bull Run?It seems like everyone is piling on the gold gravy train as it looks to make new highs in the coming weeks.
With a high level of volatility entering the marketplace over the next two weeks, expect sharp market swings on the intraday timeframes and don't get caught up!
Rate announcements on Wednesday, next week will be the determining factor on whether many will fly to safety or risk buying gold at the current pricing.
EUR/USD - Tickling Old HighsParity in the euro can't come without a MAJOR event happening.
In the meantime, it would be in the market makers best interests to prop up the euro short term, giving the illusion that due to euro being 'stronger' than it was a few months ago, it's the best time to invest in Europe bla bla bla...
Once many of the huge funds, whale traders etc placed their stops below major sellside liquidity pools, that's when the rug gets pulled
Pulled all the way down to parity!
The question is, what news event will it take for this scenario to pan out?
GBP/USD - Dollar Weakening = Stronger PoundWith a strong rally in the dollar index when Donald Trump was chosen to be president, it caused a lot of foreign currency to weaken. GBP being one of them.
Time and time again, we have seen lower lows form and you just have to ask yourself when will this ever change.
The good news is, short-term bullish runs to inefficiencies is still a high possibility going into the volatile periods of next week and the week after next.
Long trade
Entry 1Hr TF
Buyside trade idea
Wed 29th Jan 25
9.00 pm
NY Session PM
Entry 1min TF
Entry 31.680
Profit level 32.775 (3.46%)
Stop level 31.560 (0.38%)
RR 9.12
Reason: Observing price action since the 28th of January and previous trades undertaken was the underlining decision for another buyside entry.