Get started

Candlestick Analysis

USDCHF: Bearish Wave Ahead 🇺🇸🇨🇭 Quick update for USDCHF. Earlier on Monday, I shared a bearish forecast based on a confirmed violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily. We got quite a deep retest of that and bears finally showed their presence. I remain bearish bias and expect a bearish continuation soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns Is Ethereum Back In Business? A Confluence of Bullish Patterns, Brutal Liquidations, and Fundamental Strength The cryptocurrency market is a theater of perpetual drama, a relentless cycle of fear and greed, innovation and volatility. In this unforgiving arena, Ethereum, the world’s second-largest digital asset, has once again captured the spotlight. After a period of underperformance that left investors questioning its momentum, a confluence of technical signals, market-shaking liquidations, and strengthening fundamentals has ignited a fierce debate: Is Ethereum truly back in business? The answer is not a simple yes or no but a complex narrative woven from bullish chart patterns, the chaotic fallout of political spats, and the quiet, inexorable growth of its underlying network. At the heart of the bullish thesis lies a classic technical analysis signal: the Morningstar candlestick pattern. For traders and analysts who scour charts for clues about future price movements, the appearance of a Morningstar on Ethereum's monthly chart is a development of profound significance. Simultaneously, the market has been violently shaken by an $800 million liquidation event, a brutal culling of leveraged positions in both Bitcoin and Ether, reportedly triggered by a public feud between political and tech titans Donald Trump and Elon Musk. This event serves as a stark reminder of the market's fragility and its susceptibility to external shocks. Yet, beneath this surface-level chaos, a different story is unfolding. On-chain metrics point to a network that is not just surviving but thriving. Institutional interest is surging, evidenced by substantial inflows into newly approved spot Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Whales, the market's largest players, are sending mixed but largely accumulative signals. And technological upgrades continue to enhance the network's scalability and utility. This article will delve into these competing narratives—the hopeful story told by the Morningstar pattern, the cautionary tale of massive liquidations, and the quietly confident hum of Ethereum's fundamental growth—to paint a comprehensive picture of where the pioneering smart contract platform stands today. The Morningstar's Dawn: A Technical Harbinger of a Bullish Reversal In the lexicon of technical analysis, candlestick patterns provide a visual language for market sentiment. The Morningstar is one of the most revered bullish reversal patterns, a three-candle formation that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new upward climb. Its appearance on a high-timeframe chart, such as the monthly chart for Ethereum, carries significant weight, suggesting a major shift in market psychology from bearish despair to bullish optimism. To understand its power, one must first understand its structure. The pattern consists of three distinct candles appearing after a prolonged price decline. The first is a long bearish candle (typically colored red or black), which confirms the continuation of the downtrend and reflects the sellers' firm control. The second candle is the "star" of the pattern—a small-bodied candle that can be either bullish or bearish. This candle often gaps down from the previous one, indicating a moment of acute indecision in the market. The selling pressure that characterized the first candle has waned, but buyers have not yet seized full control. It represents a point of equilibrium, a pause where the prevailing trend loses its momentum. The third and final candle is a long bullish candle (typically green or white) that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle. This final candle is the confirmation; it signifies that buyers have decisively taken over, overwhelming the sellers and initiating a reversal. The psychology behind the Morningstar pattern is a story of a power shift. The long bearish candle shows sellers are confident. The small middle candle reveals that confidence is cracking; a battle for control is underway. The final strong bullish candle declares the buyers as the victors, signaling that the path of least resistance is now upwards. Recently, several crypto analysts have highlighted the formation of this very pattern on Ethereum’s monthly chart. After a period of consolidation and price decline, the emergence of a Morningstar suggests that the bottom of the recent downtrend may be in. Analysts see this as a macro reversal signal, a technical foundation for a potential rally. Some have set initial price targets around $3,300, viewing the current resistance levels as temporary hurdles that will likely be broken in the face of this powerful bullish formation. When combined with other indicators, such as trading volume, which ideally should increase during the formation of the third candle, the Morningstar provides a compelling technical argument that Ethereum is gearing up for a significant move higher. While no technical pattern is infallible, its appearance on a macro scale has undeniably injected a strong dose of optimism into the market, suggesting that Ethereum’s period of slumber may be coming to an end. The $800 Million Purge: A Tale of Liquidations and Political Tremors Just as technical analysts were celebrating the bullish omens on the charts, the market delivered a brutal reminder of its inherent volatility. A massive liquidation event, totaling over $800 million and by some estimates approaching $1 billion, swept through the cryptocurrency markets, disproportionately affecting leveraged traders in Bitcoin and Ethereum. In a span of just 24 hours, hundreds of thousands of traders saw their positions forcibly closed, a cascade of selling that sent prices tumbling. Liquidations are the boogeyman of leveraged trading. When a trader uses borrowed funds (leverage) to amplify their position, they must maintain a certain amount of collateral. If the market moves against their position and their collateral falls below a required threshold, the exchange automatically closes the position to prevent further losses. This forced selling creates a domino effect. As prices fall, more long positions hit their liquidation points, triggering more selling, which in turn drives prices down further, liquidating even more positions. This is a liquidation cascade, and it can lead to rapid and violent price drops. Recent data showed that long positions accounted for the overwhelming majority of these liquidations, indicating that the market was caught off guard by the sudden downturn. Exchanges like Bybit and Binance were at the epicenter of this financial storm, with Bybit alone reportedly accounting for nearly $354 million in liquidations. The largest single liquidation order was a multi-million dollar position, underscoring the high stakes involved. What triggered this sudden market panic? Many analysts pointed to an unlikely source: a public and increasingly acrimonious feud between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Tesla CEO Elon Musk. The dispute, reportedly stemming from disagreements over a major tax and spending bill, spilled out onto social media, creating a storm of uncertainty that rattled investors. In today's interconnected world, high-profile clashes between powerful figures can have an immediate and tangible impact on financial markets, particularly on assets perceived as "risk-on," such as cryptocurrencies. The public fallout was seen as a destabilizing event, injecting political uncertainty into an already fragile market. The fear was that the conflict could have broader economic implications or affect the regulatory landscape for technology and digital assets. This sentiment sparked a broad-based sell-off, not just in crypto but across traditional equities as well. For a market driven heavily by narrative and sentiment, the Trump-Musk tussle provided a powerful bearish catalyst, spooking investors and triggering the cascade of liquidations that sent Bitcoin and Ethereum prices sharply lower. The event serves as a crucial counterpoint to the bullish technical picture, highlighting how susceptible the crypto market remains to macroeconomic and political shocks, regardless of its own internal fundamentals. The Bullish Undercurrent: On-Chain Metrics and Institutional Adoption While the liquidation event painted a picture of chaos and fear, a deeper dive into Ethereum's on-chain data and ecosystem developments reveals a much more optimistic and resilient narrative. These fundamental metrics, which track the health and growth of the network itself, often provide a clearer long-term signal than the noise of short-term price fluctuations. A Thriving and Growing Network One of the most reliable indicators of a blockchain's long-term value is its network activity. On this front, Ethereum is showing undeniable strength. The number of unique active addresses interacting with the blockchain has been on a steady rise. Recent data shows a significant surge, with weekly active addresses surpassing 17 million, a testament to growing engagement and adoption. This isn't just speculative trading; it reflects genuine usage across Ethereum's vast ecosystem, including decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and Layer 2 scaling solutions. Furthermore, the growth in new users joining the network is a powerful leading indicator of future demand. The rate of new address creation has been on an upward trajectory, signaling that Ethereum's value proposition continues to attract a broader audience. This organic growth is the lifeblood of any network, creating a flywheel effect: more users attract more developers, who build more valuable applications, which in turn attract even more users. The Rise of Layer 2 and Technological Upgrades A key driver of this network growth has been the maturation of Layer 2 scaling solutions like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. These networks handle transactions off the main Ethereum chain, allowing for faster speeds and dramatically lower fees while still inheriting Ethereum's security. The explosion of activity on these Layer 2s has been a game-changer, alleviating congestion on the main network and making Ethereum accessible to a wider range of users and applications. Simultaneously, core protocol upgrades continue to enhance Ethereum's capabilities. The recent Pectra upgrade, for example, has improved scalability and further refined the network's deflationary mechanics. Since the implementation of EIP-1559, a portion of every transaction fee is "burned," or permanently removed from circulation. This, combined with the vast amount of ETH locked in staking contracts, creates a dynamic where the supply of available ETH is constantly shrinking. This principle of decreasing supply coupled with increasing demand is a fundamental recipe for long-term price appreciation. The Arrival of Institutional Capital Perhaps the most significant bullish development for Ethereum in recent times has been the approval and successful launch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States. This provides a regulated and accessible on-ramp for institutional investors to gain exposure to ETH, unlocking a potential wave of new capital. The early data is promising. In May 2025 alone, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net inflows of over half a billion dollars, a sharp increase from the previous month. This institutional validation is a powerful signal. It signifies that some of the world's largest financial players view Ethereum not just as a speculative asset, but as a foundational technology with long-term strategic value. This flow of "sticky" institutional money is expected to provide a strong support floor for the price and reduce volatility over the long run. The Whale Watch: Accumulation and Confidence The behavior of "whales"—large holders of Ethereum—provides another crucial, albeit sometimes conflicting, layer of insight. On one hand, there have been reports of significant accumulation by these large players. Data shows massive transfers of ETH from exchanges to private wallets, a classic sign of long-term holding, as it reduces the immediately available supply for selling. One notable transaction involved Galaxy Digital moving hundreds of millions of dollars worth of ETH into a private wallet, suggesting strong institutional confidence. Over the past month, data from on-chain analytics firms has shown that whale wallets have increased their holdings, while retail holdings have slightly decreased, a pattern often seen before a bullish market run. However, the picture is not entirely one-sided. There have also been instances of long-term whales selling off portions of their holdings, contributing to short-term price drops. This reflects the diverse strategies among large holders. Some may be taking profits, while others are positioning for a long-term hold. Despite the mixed short-term signals, the broader trend appears to be one of accumulation and a net outflow of ETH from exchanges, which is a fundamentally bullish indicator. With exchange balances hitting seven-year lows, the potential for a supply squeeze is becoming increasingly real. Conclusion: Navigating the Storm Towards a Bullish Horizon So, is Ethereum back in business? The evidence suggests a resounding, if complex, "yes." The current market environment is a fascinating juxtaposition of short-term turmoil and long-term strength. The public spat between Trump and Musk, and the subsequent $800 million liquidation event, underscore the market's vulnerability to sudden shocks and the perils of leveraged trading. These events serve as a healthy dose of caution, reminding investors that the path forward will undoubtedly be volatile. However, when we look past the immediate noise, the underlying picture is one of robust and accelerating health. The Morningstar pattern on the monthly chart provides a powerful technical signal that a macro trend reversal is underway, suggesting that the recent period of bearish sentiment has exhausted itself. This technical optimism is strongly supported by fundamentals. Ethereum's network is growing at a remarkable pace, fueled by the success of Layer 2 solutions and continuous protocol improvements that enhance its scalability and economic model. The most compelling evidence, however, comes from the demand side. The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs has opened the floodgates for institutional capital, a structural shift that will likely define Ethereum's market for years to come. This, combined with the steady accumulation by whales and a shrinking available supply due to burning and staking, creates a powerful bullish cocktail. Ethereum is navigating a perfect storm of conflicting signals. The violent waves of short-term liquidations and political drama can be disorienting. But beneath the surface, the deep currents of network growth, technological innovation, and institutional adoption are flowing strongly in one direction. For investors who can look beyond the immediate horizon, the story told by Ethereum's fundamentals, supported by classic bullish chart patterns, is not just one of being "back in business"—it's a story of a platform solidifying its position as a cornerstone of the decentralized future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news: 1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran 2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve 📈 Market analysis: The 1H moving average of gold has shown signs of turning downward. If a death cross structure is formed subsequently, it will open up further downward space. From the market point of view, the price of gold rebounded to around 3364 after the release of non-agricultural data. This position constitutes a short-term key resistance level. If the rebound is under pressure here during the US trading session, short selling on rallies can still be considered. Although the price of gold has started to decline, it has not been able to fall below the important support of 3,300, so the long-term direction remains unchanged. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the effectiveness of the 3310 support line in the short term, and consider long trading only after the bottom is confirmed. For short-term trading, consider shorting at 3340-3350, and look to 3320-3310 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3340-3350 TP 3320-3310 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday 🔴 🎯 25K Now, What's Next? Nifty opened on a neutral tone, cautiously awaiting the outcome of the RBI Monetary Policy. As the event unfolded and the repo rate cut of 0.5% was announced, the celebration began on Dalal Street—and the charts reflected it. What followed was a clean, powerful rally, breaking through key levels and carrying the index all the way to the psychological milestone of 25,000, where it closed almost flat on the round number at 25,003.05. Today’s close is just shy of the May 26th high, and a few hurdles still remain:👉 25,060–25,070👉 25,115–25,130👉 25,180–25,212 These levels will decide whether the breakout from the box range—which we’ve discussed in earlier reviews—truly sustains. As long as there’s no negative trigger over the weekend, bulls may carry the momentum into next week. 🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,748.70 High: 25,029.50 Low: 24,671.45 Close: 25,003.05 Net Change: +252.15 (+1.02%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 254.35 pts (Strong Green) Upper Wick: 26.45 pts Lower Wick: 77.25 pts 🔍 Interpretation A session that began quietly turned into a bullish sprint. The small upper wick shows there was minimal rejection at higher levels. The lower wick reflects early dip buying. The strong green body signals dominant intraday momentum, with bulls in charge from start to finish. 🔦 Candle Type 🟢 Bullish Marubozu–like candle– Almost a full body with small wicks, indicating powerful follow-through buying and confidence among bulls. 📌 Key Insight 25,000 breakout looks clean and technically sound. Holding above 24,900–24,950 in the coming session could lead to further upside exploration. All eyes on volume confirmation and whether we can conquer the next resistance band near 25,130+. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 274.31 IB Range: 91.90 → Medium IB Market Structure: Balanced Trades:✅ 10:05 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:1.4)✅ 10:40 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:2) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,062 ~ 25,070 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels 24,972 24,920 ~ 24,894 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,727 ~ 24,737 24,660 💭 Final Thoughts Momentum is back.Bulls not only broke free from consolidation—they made a statement. The RBI’s surprise move might just be the fuel Nifty needed to launch toward unexplored zones. 📌 “Big breakouts don’t ask for permission. They just happen—when doubt is highest.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity. Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market. Trading strategy: 1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 ​​area, TP: 3360-3350; 2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Long positions have made profits, focus on support📰 Impact of news: 1. The United States issues new sanctions on Iran 2. Trump continues to criticize the Federal Reserve 📈 Market analysis: At present, the gold price has touched 3340. If it stabilizes here, we can arrange to go long. However, the gold price is constantly testing downwards, which is why I did not arrange to go long immediately. At the same time, we need to be vigilant about whether the gold price will fall below the important support of 3330. If it really falls below 3330, the gold price may test the support of the integer mark of 3300, which will also determine the future market trend. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3400-3370 TP 3340-3330-3300 BUY 3335-3330 TP 3350-3370 SELL 3325-3320 TP 3310-3300 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 June 2025 - USDJPY reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 146.00 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the support area between the support level 142.50 (which has been reversing the price from the end of April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The price earlier formed multiple consecutive Japanese candlesticks reversal patterns near the support level 142.50 – Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star and Pricing Line, Given the strength of the support level 142.50, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 146.00.
Long
by FxProGlobal
50 bps Repo Rate Cut boosts Nifty. Can it fly further now?The market was expecting a Repo Rate Cut From RBI. The expectation was for 25bps but what we got today from RBI was a bumper 50 bps rate cut. This propelled Nifty to close above much coveted level of 25K as Nifty managed to close at 25003. Now Nifty has entered a critical resistance zone. This zone starts from around 25037 to 25146. Closing above 25146 is mandatory for Nifty to fly further and gain further momentum. Last 4 weeks or so Nifty has been returning back from this zone. We can see this in the weekly chart of Nifty. With rate cut the chances for Nifty to fly above this most important levels has increased a lot. The resistances for Nifty Now Remain at: 25037, 25146 (Important Trend line Resistance, Bulls will be very active above this level.), 25473, 25804 and 26277. Further levels will be given once we get a closing above 26277. The supports for Nifty remain at: 24642, 24425, 23904, 23597 (Most important Mother Line of Weekly Candles). Below this level Nifty will become very week again and bears can drag Nifty further down towards 23201 (Important Trend Line Support). If this is broken in unlikely global or local geo-political event then Nifty can further fall to 22169 or even 21671 levels in unlikely scenario of major geo-political event unfolding. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
XAU/USD 06 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. M4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765. Alternative scenario: Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Long and short battle break out before NFP,gold operation layout📰 Impact of news: 1. NFP data released 2. Geopolitical situation worsens 3. Trump and Musk start a war of words 📈 Market analysis: During today's U.S. trading session, we need to pay close attention to the impact of NFP on the market. Bros who trade independently must do a good job of risk control. The gold 1H chart shows that the current gold price is suppressed by the downward opening of the Bollinger Bands. Gold shorts dominate in the short term, and the MACD indicator has a tendency to form a death cross. At the same time, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a death cross and move downward, indicating that the gold price is still facing adjustment pressure in the short term. Looking at the 4H chart, we can find that although gold is currently rising on the 4H trend line, gold has not yet fallen back to the right level. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possibility that gold will continue to fall back in the future. The key resistance level above is 3390-3400, and the support level below is 3350-3340, with a focus on the important support level of 3330. Participate in high-altitude and low-multiple in the European session today, and consider retreating to 3350-3340 to place longs 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3350-3340 TP 3365-3385-3395 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
LLY Daily: Navigating Key Levels - Two Strategic OpportunitiesOVERVIEW: LLY has recently undergone a significant correction from its highs, finding strong demand at a crucial support zone. Price action now presents two distinct, high-probability long entry scenarios based on the stock's interaction with key horizontal levels. My analysis outlines potential entry points, clear targets, and risk management. KEY OBSERVATIONS & MARKET STRUCTURE: Major Demand Zone Established: Following a notable pullback in early May, LLY found substantial buying interest within the lower green horizontal zone (approximately $680 - $710). This area has acted as a robust "Support Trade" zone, preventing further downside and initiating a corrective bounce. Corrective Rally & Intermediate Resistance: From this strong support, LLY mounted a decent rally, completing a clear W-formation or basing pattern (highlighted by the orange and blue zig-zag lines). Price is currently interacting with an intermediate resistance level / supply zone (the upper grey/light green horizontal zone around $755 - $775). This level represents a critical point of contention between buyers and sellers. Two Strategic Entry Scenarios: The current market context offers two distinct long entry approaches, each with its own risk/reward profile: Scenario 1: Breakout Trade (Orange Ellipse / "1st Entry Above 775") A. Condition: This strategy focuses on a decisive breakout and sustained close above the current intermediate resistance level (approx. $775). A strong daily candle closing above this zone would confirm bullish momentum. B. Entry: Look for price action to confirm the breakout, potentially on a retest of the broken resistance now acting as support (as indicated by the orange arrow and ellipse). An entry above $775 is targeted here. C. Risk Management: A stop-loss should be placed just below the breakout level and the recent swing low, ideally around $745.33 (bottom of the red box). Scenario 2: Support Trade (Blue Ellipse / "2nd Entry 710") A. Condition: This strategy anticipates a potential rejection from the current intermediate resistance, leading to a pullback to the primary demand zone (approx. $710). B. Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, hammer, demand zone rejection) if price retraces to the lower demand zone around $710 (indicated by the blue arrow and ellipse). This offers a potentially lower risk entry with a better risk-to-reward ratio for the same targets. C. Risk Management: A stop-loss would be positioned just below the main support zone, around $675.70 (bottom of the larger red box). POTENTIAL TARGETS: Regardless of the entry scenario, our upside targets remain consistent based on prior price structure and supply zones: • 1st Target: $860 (Green Zone): This is a significant resistance level from earlier price action, representing the first major hurdle for buyers. • 2nd Target: $920 (Upper Green Zone): This represents the ultimate upside target, aligning with the previous all-time highs and a major supply zone. INVALIDATION: • For "Breakout Trade" (1st Entry): A sustained daily close below $745.33 would invalidate this specific trade idea. • For "Support Trade" (2nd Entry): A sustained daily close below $675.70 would invalidate the entire bullish bias derived from the primary demand zone and suggest further downside is likely. CONCLUSION: LLY is presenting clear technical setups after finding substantial support. Traders can opt for an aggressive Breakout Trade if momentum sustains through intermediate resistance, or a more conservative Support Trade if price retraces to the established demand zone. Both strategies aim for significant upside potential towards $860 and $920, with clearly defined risk management levels. Risk Management is Paramount : Always adhere to your stop-loss and position sizing to protect your capital. This is not financial advice; do your own research. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NYSE:LLYLong
by ManiMarkets
The long strategy has been successful, pullback and go long📰 Impact of news: 1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5 2. Initial jobless claims data 3. Non-farm payroll data 4. Worsening geopolitical situation 📈 Market analysis: At present, the gold price has broken through the previous highs of 3392 and 3395. There is no obvious peak signal in the short term. At the same time, as the gold price continues to rise, the lower support will also move up in the short term, and the 4HMACD has a golden cross trend. In the short term, pay attention to the 3385 support below and the 3410 resistance above. The 1H indicator is close to the overbought area. We still need to be vigilant about the risk of rising and falling. If the gold price retreats to 3390-3385, we can consider going long with a light position. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3390-3385-3375 TP 3400-3410 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Bull market returns? Aiming at 3400?📰 Impact of news: 1. New uncertainty in Russia-Ukraine negotiations 📈 Market analysis: The current trend of gold prices is erratic and discontinuous, and only swing trading can be adopted during the day. In the short term, there is a certain pressure at 3385-3395 above. If this resistance area is broken, the gold price is expected to continue to rise. The short-term support below FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is at 3350-3340. At present, the news has a greater impact on the gold price, coupled with the support of market risk aversion, so in the short term, attention should be paid to the break of the upper resistance. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3370-3365 TP 3385-3395-3400 SELL 3395-3400 TP 3380-3370 BUY 3350-3340 TP 3370-3380 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term. Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected. Trading strategy: Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 ​​area, TP: 3365-3355
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
EURUSD Volatility Alert - ECB Rate Decision/US Non-farm PayrollsEURUSD has experienced a choppy start to the week so far. Initially trading from opening levels around 1.1345 up to a 6-week high of 1.1455 early Tuesday morning, before running into profit taking and then bouncing between these two levels in response to various drivers, including updates on US/China trade discussions, Eurozone inflation, US economy ,and constantly changing interest rate differentials. Looking forward, there may be potential for this type of price action to continue over the next two trading days, as traders first digest the ECB interest rate decision, which is released at 1315 BST later today, then the comments of ECB President Lagarde in the press conference that commences at 1345 BST. A 25bps (0.25%) interest rate cut from the ECB is fully anticipated, so is unlikely to cause much of a stir. However, comments from Madame Lagarde in the press conference could lead to volatile EURUSD price action, depending on if she outlines whether policymakers remain open to further cuts, as Eurozone inflation (May CPI 1.9% YoY) moves below the central bank’s 2% target, or if now is the time for a pause to assess the potential impact of US tariffs and future European defence/infrastructure spending. On Friday, the dollar side of the EURUSD currency pair, could be impacted significantly by the outcome of the latest update on the US labour market in the form of the US Non-farm Payrolls release at 1330 BST. Data out earlier in the week has so far offered a mixed assessment of the US labour market during the on-going trade tariff uncertainty. However this payrolls update is the one that usually grabs the attention of traders and investors and probably holds more significance. Their focus is likely to be on the direction of the unemployment rate (currently 4.2%) and average hourly earnings, where any large deviation from market expectations may see EURUSD volatility increase into the weekend, especially if it indicates a weakness in the US economy. Technical Update: Today’s ECB announcement, followed by payrolls on Friday, has the potential to be the next important EURUSD sentiment driver, with the reaction to these events possibly offering clues to the next path for price activity. It has already been an impressive recovery in EURUSD since the May 12th session low at 1.1065, a move that has now seen closing breaks above resistance at 1.1425, which is equal to the April 28th last recovery failure high. However, as we approach the ECB decision and payrolls release, what are the potential support and resistance levels traders may be watching? Potential Resistance Levels: Price strength so far this week has been capped by sellers at 1.1455 on June 3rd. As such, this level represents a first possible resistance focus, as having found sellers at this point previously, they may be found again. While breaks above the 1.1455 high will not guarantee continued price strength, it could open potential for an upside push in price towards the April 21st high 1.1573, possibly further, if this were to give way on a closing basis. Potential Support Levels: After a period of price strength, such as that seen since the May 12th low, it is potentially the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the upside move, which in EURUSD stands at 1.1306, that may be viewed as a first support. As such, if breaks below 1.1306 are seen over coming sessions, it may lead to a deeper decline in price towards 1.1214, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, possibly further. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
Gold price fluctuates before NFP data, be careful📰 Impact of news: 1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5 2. Initial jobless claims data 3. Non-farm payroll data 4. Worsening geopolitical situation 📈 Market analysis: Since the release of ADP data last night, gold prices have been rising all the way, reaching a high of around 3382, which is in line with the expected resistance of 3385-3395 we saw yesterday. Currently, the bulls are stable above 3330, and the gold price is still in a bullish trend on the daily chart. Although the current market is in a state of consolidation, there is a possibility of a surge and fall in the short term. Only after a negative line correction occurs, it may continue to be bullish. In short-term trading, pay attention to 3385-3395 on the top and the opportunity to retreat to 3365-3355 on the bottom. Pay attention to data such as initial jobless claims and tomorrow's non-agricultural data. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3365-3355-3345 TP 3370-3380-3400 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market. The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels. Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮‍💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades
2
ExhaustedThe long red candle indicates an overbought market. Despite the good economic results no new highs could be reached and the week showed beginning profit taking. Most of the market participiants are long and convonced of the good results. They are right and many of them are sitting on good profits. The more profit taking will come in here they will be thinking of taking an increasing part of their profit. f this is true the chart picture will show a double top and a beginning bear market in the shorter time frame.
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by motleifaul