Nasdaq (NQZ2024) - Will We See The Daylight Of $21,000? Wednesday printed the lows for the week, attacking the prior weeks sell stops, before closing inside of the upper portion of the bullish order block.
Shortly after, On Thursday, the Nasdaq rallied thanks to Tesla's strong earnings and optimistic sales outlook, boosting hopes for a solid earnings season. However, the Dow fell further, dragged down by IBM's 6% drop after a revenue miss.
Does that mean daily buy stops above the 14th Oct 24 will be ran on?
Currently, the highs is being tested but will we see a daily closure above leading to further bullish speculation to $21,000?
Candlestick Analysis
StarThe week is coming to its end and the candles are building a star. This may be considered as a trend turning formation. I don't want to judge whether the trend will really turn around but I think that at correction of the rise over the past 2 weeks is quite possible,
I don't expect that the sentiment will change tomorrow and so I think that a short will perhaps has more liability to be profitable than a purchase.
S&P 500 (ESZ2024) - This Is What Price Efficiency Looks Like📈 S&P 500 futures edge up as earnings roll in; corporate America still looking good with 74% of companies beating profit expectations.
Stock futures ticked up, but S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq are on track for weekly losses.
Capri shares sank 40%+ premarket due to a court ruling.
However, throughout this weeks price action, we have not done much in the sense of one-way movements.
$5,927.25 - $5,801.00 is the range to work with. As long as price remains inside of this range, it will be tricky for swing traders to capture moves. Scalpers will be having a field day, aiming for low hanging fruits; buyside and Sellside.
But remember to stay tuned for U.S. durable-goods orders and consumer sentiment readings.
Dollar Index - Election Years Comes With Volatile SwingsThe U.S. Dollar Index tracks the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies. DXY was originally developed by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 1973 to provide an external bilateral trade-weighted average value of the U.S. dollar against global currencies. U.S. Dollar Index goes up when the U.S. dollar gains "strength" (value), compared to other currencies. The following six currencies are used to calculate the index:
Euro (EUR) 57.6% weight
Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight
Pound sterling (GBP) 11.9% weight
Canadian dollar (CAD) 9.1% weight
Swedish krona (SEK) 4.2% weight
Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
US Dollar Slips, Business Spending Rises: The dollar edges lower despite a 4-week winning streak, as positive economic data dampens rate cut expectations.
US business spending plans exceed expectations, while German business sentiment improves.
50/50 going into next week even though business has been conducted @ 104.450. There is still the potential for next weeks price action to attack the daily order block @ 104.801 whilst punishing buyers by continuing to sell-off to 103.444, a target previously mentioned last week.
US T-Bonds - US Elections Is A Hot Topic Right Now!📉 U.S. Treasury yields dip ahead of key employment data and elections.
10-yr yields hit 3-mo high on less dovish Fed expectations.
76.6% odds of 25 bps cuts in Nov & Dec. Yields influenced by betting markets showing greater odds of Trump presidency & Republican majority.
Going into the future, I will be sitting on my hands, awaiting for more data to make logical decision on the next draw on liquidity.
#TreasuryYields #FedInterestRates #USPolitics
US 10Y Yields - Bullish Rip To PremiumYields opened the week inside a discount price range (below 4.169%) and closed above equilibrium, with the next draw on liquidity being buyside liquidity @ 4.292%.
However, I see the potential for a draw up to buyside 50/50% and will be sitting on my hands awaiting for more data to make a educated decision where the overall direction will be.
Understanding Bullish Engulfing Candlestick PatternThe Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern is a popular price action signal used by traders to identify potential trend reversals in the market. If you're keen on mastering price action trading, understanding this pattern is essential. This guide will take you from the basics of the pattern to advanced insights, with easy-to-understand explanations to help you become more confident in your trading decisions.
What is a Bullish Engulfing Candlestick?
A bullish engulfing candlestick is a two-candle pattern that signals a potential reversal in a bearish trend. The pattern consists of a smaller bearish (red) candle followed by a larger bullish (green) candle that completely engulfs the previous one. This indicates that the buying pressure has overwhelmed the sellers, suggesting a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Key Features of the Bullish Engulfing Pattern
Here’s a breakdown of the key characteristics:
Number of Candles: The pattern consists of two candles.
First Candle: A bearish candle, typically red, showing a decline in price.
Second Candle: A bullish candle, typically green, that completely engulfs the previous bearish candle, including its wicks.
Prior Trend: A bearish trend must precede the pattern to validate it as a potential reversal signal.
Prediction: A potential shift from bearish to bullish trend.
The Anatomy of a Bullish Engulfing Pattern
To fully grasp this pattern, let's break down the structure:
The first candle in the pattern is a small bearish candle, indicating the continuation of a downtrend.
The second candle is a large bullish candle that opens lower than the previous close and closes higher than the previous high, completely engulfing it. This suggests a strong buying momentum.
Why Do Bullish Engulfing Patterns Work?
A bullish engulfing pattern is significant because it reflects a shift in market sentiment. Here’s why:
Seller Exhaustion: The first candle shows a bearish trend, indicating seller dominance. When the second candle engulfs it, it suggests that sellers are losing control.
Buyer Strength: The second candle’s larger body signals strong buying interest, indicating a shift in market control from sellers to buyers.
Market Psychology: A bullish engulfing pattern indicates that traders are willing to buy at higher prices, leading to increased bullish momentum.
Why a Pin Bar Can Be an Engulfing Pattern
A common observation among experienced traders is that a pin bar on a higher timeframe can appear as a bullish engulfing pattern on a lower timeframe. This happens because:
A pin bar shows a strong rejection of lower prices, which on a lower timeframe looks like a large bullish candle engulfing smaller bearish candles.
This highlights the importance of multi-timeframe analysis. Understanding how patterns form on different timeframes gives a more holistic view of market dynamics.
EURUSD - Reversal In The Works? Clear rejection from higher timeframe volume imbalance and bullish order block.
This suggests that although the overall sentiment for Euro is bearish, a short term play to the upside is up for grabs, with the weekly bullish order block @ 1.08857 being a point of interest
GBPUSD - Run On Short Term Highs Gaps don't always get filled but when you combine it with other factors such as the monthly Sellside liquidity being swept plus a rejection from the weekly volume imbalance, a higher probable approach to running on buy stops seems reasonable.
T1 @ 1.30776
T2 @ 1.31030
T3 @ 1.31173 - 1.31266
Dollar presenting risk on conditions will aid this bias.
EURUSD Buy TradeTime Frame:
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1 Entry Signal
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.0807 area, indicating a reversal in market sentiment.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0806 - 1.0810.
3. Position:
Entry : 1.0825
Stop Loss : 1.0811
Take Profit: 1.0849
RRR : 1:1,9x
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CHFJPY: Pullback Trade From Support 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY has a nice potential to pull back from a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a falling parallel channel after its test.
With a high probability, the price will reach 175.9 level.
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GBPNZD: Bullish Trend Maintains MomentumGBPNZD is currently in a strong uptrend. After reaching a recent high, the market has begun consolidating within a narrow parallel channel on the 4-hour chart.
A break above resistance indicates that the upward momentum is likely to persist, with an anticipated target price of 2.1701.
JPM shortJPM demonstrated a weakness at its bottom part of the month candlestick. For now it is in the bearish area, where from it could be started down rally.
It is reasonable to follow after best entrance point with small stop and good R:R.
The idea cancel is month close above 222.50
Will be updated later.
Goatseus Maximus(GOAT) Ready to FALL!!!(Alert)!!!Today, I want to analyze the Goatseus Maximus(GOAT) memecoin, which has increased almost 😱+1500%😱 in less than 12 days .
What is Goatseus Maximus (GOAT)!?
Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) is a meme coin within the Solana( BINANCE:SOLUSDT ) ecosystem, which has gained significant attention due to its AI-driven features and strong community backing. Its recent surge in price has been driven by multiple factors, including listings on major exchanges.
⚠️Regarding the GOAT memecoin , I must warn that as if the team members of GOAT are NOT known, the specific website or social media(just X Platform) related to GOAT that have been approved by the project team CANNOT be found . As a result, please pay more attention to capital management before buying GOAT .⚠️
In terms of Technical Analysis , GOAT is moving near the lower line of the Ascending Channel and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Also, the Evening Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern in PRZ and the Huge volume of the third candle of this pattern again indicate the return and fall of GOAT .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect GOAT to drop at least 🚨 -50% 🚨 after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, according to the explanation above .
⚠️Note: If GOAT can trade above $1.00 for 2-3 days, we can expect an increase.⚠️
Goatseus Maximus Analyze ( GATEIO:GOATUSDT ), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Long ALGOEntry1:
Demand zone: 0.119 considering where the price stopped before.
The entry would be right beneath recent lows. Here, we probably have a lot of SLs, but it's also possible to have breakout shorts. A direct entry without some confirmations on LTF is riskier.
SL: right below the last doji.
TP: on a further away Supply zone that coincides with fib 0.5, or the middle of the range if we consider price action on HTF to be a range.
Entry2:
Demand on the wick of the last doji, also a support zone.
SL: beneath the support
TP: We can have this trade as an HTF play, still in the range. We're betting on a reversal on the H1TF.
GBPNZD: Bullish Trend ContinuesGBPNZD is currently experiencing a significant uptrend.
Following a new high, the market has entered a period of consolidation within a tight parallel channel on a 4-hour chart.
Breaking through resistance suggests that the upward momentum will continue. I anticipate the price to reach 2.1701.