Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Breakout or Pullback?Hello, Traders!
After reaching new highs, Bitcoin is consolidating within the 92k-106k range.
BTC found strong support within the 89k-92k area and strong resistance at 104k-106k.
Key Levels to Watch:
📌 Bullish Scenario:
For Bitcoin to continue its uptrend, it must break above 106k and hold there with a confirmed daily close. Only then could we see a push toward new highs, possibly targeting 110k+ in the short term.
However, so far, BTC has failed to close a daily candle above 106k, with just upper wicks forming—indicating that sellers are taking profits at this level.
📌 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break 106k and faces rejection, we could see another retest of the 89k-92k support area.
A breakdown below 89k would shift market sentiment and could trigger a larger correction, possibly toward the 84k-86k zone.
📌 Monthly Close & Market Sentiment:
For BTC to close the monthly candle in green, it must hold above 93k.
Currently, this looks achievable, but volatility remains high, and any major shift in market sentiment could change the outlook.
What’s Next?
If BTC closes January in green, this would reinforce bullish momentum heading into February, increasing the likelihood of a continued uptrend.
However, failure to reclaim key levels could lead to more choppy price action in the near term.
🚀 Eyes on 106k—a breakout above could set the stage for new all-time highs!
🔻 Watch 92k support—losing it could mean deeper correction.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Candlestick Analysis
Gold Price Analysis: Bulls Regain Control After CorrectionGold started the week with a correction, dropping to a low of 2730 on Monday.
Following this pullback, bulls regained control, pushing the price back above the key 2760 resistance level yesterday.
At the time of writing, the price is hovering around this level.
Even if there is a dip below 2760, the overall trend remains bullish as long as the 2745-2750 support zone holds.
In conclusion, I remain bullish as long as support holds and will look to buy on dips. Bulls could aim for a new all-time high as their target, while a daily close below 2745 would shift the outlook to bearish.
Nvidia could still be seriously overvaluedIf the release of DeepSeek's AI models really is as disruptive as some suspect, Nvidia bulls could be seriously questioning if they want to hold onto the stock for the long haul. And that means some bulls could be looking to offload into a bounce while bears seek to fade into them. I highlight some key levels for bears to keep an eye on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst City Index and Forex.com
Nasdaq (March 2025) - FOMC Fireworks! #S1E2Tuesday played out exactly as expected, with the daily timeframe retracing inside of the previous days trading range.
Previous sellside liquidity pool was tagged but a failure to close below the red line gives me the indication that we could see a continuation to the upside, attacking the new week opening gap for this week.
Looking forward to FOMC Wednesday as there is a lot of volatility on offer!
XAUUSD/GOLD BUY LIMITGold yesterday took out liquidity and consolidated for a while now it just made a change in a state of delivery now there's probabilities gold will continue going long, because there's also a FVG formed that wiull confirm my entry so am gonna place a buy limit on 2747.205 and target the low hanging fruit the latest high that i see and call it a day, but yhere's prpbabilities that it migh continue going long or not trigger my entry, but am comfortable with that i will wait for the trade to come to me.
Long trade
4Hr TF overview
Pair GC1!
Buyside trade
Entry 4Ht TF
Entry 2747.3
Profit level 2776.4 (1.06%)
Stop level 2744.0 (0.12%)
RR 8.82
Reason: On the 4hr TF, the price seems indicative of continuing with buyside momentum making higher highs and lows...moving along with the trend bais dominated the bayside trade idea.
CYCLE 4 | 200 Week SMA ATH Estimation MethodA quick post to capture the current observed relationship with BTC cycles and the 200W SMA.
When the Horizontal Prine Line (Green) from prior Cycle ATH meets with the 200W SMA (Aqua), this has traditionally approximated the next BTC heigh in the following cycle.
Using this approach, we have estimated where this in time could occur for the current cycle.
Will be interesting to see how this tracks in Cycle 4.
big hammer pattern The hammer candle is at the bottom of the channel with this size and also in green
And its confirmation with the candle after it
Indicates that it is moving strongly upwards
And I don't think there is much correction coming and it is only moving upwards
Also, the news of the dismissal of the lawsuit against Ripple has just come out, which I think could be another reason for Ripple's flight
So fasten your seatbelts because we are going up very fast
Trade Recap: USDJPY - SHORT, 28/01/2025UJ Bias Analysis: Price was trading lower into 1D discount with a bearish 4H trend & so Resistance entries were in consideration. Short entries were in line with the 1H range and price pulled back into OTE before entry confirmation was received on the micro-timeframes.
Grade: Low Risk
Simple chart complexity through you to the error There is a Liquidity on daily timeframe
Show the several signs that lead the price down first sign is bearish engulfing on daily and 4 hourly both timeframes of daily fvg and ob and create a perfect head and shoulder on 4h tf price should down at least my arrow that i mark on the chart more over if it break the resistance then even more expecting bearish otherwise gold can make range between top to of this head and shoulder.
NASDAQ SHORTNQ just took out the previous day low and made a market structure shift and now am waiting for the current candle stick to close below the mss level and the sibi to stay open so i can have all my confirmation aligned but on the 5 minutes the trade is valide and it's already a sell, targeting the NDOL, first TP and the Take Profit is on the minor sell side liquidity. xoxo
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Mon 27th Jan 25
6.45 pm
Structure Day
Entry 0.000018925
Profit level 0.000019926 (5.29%)
Stop level 0.000018725 (1.06%)
RR 5
The buy-side trade idea is based on the narrative of the supply-and-demand structure on the Day TF.
1Hr TF overview
Entry 15min
Failed Past WeekNot only my first long has failed past week but the test of the fresh bottom as well.
We are still within the support zone but it seems to become clearer now that there is a serious bottom building.
It is nor all decided yet as there is an open window to be closed at 121.35-122.29.
Buit when this will have been overcome we may see a further run up.
Another long position will speculate on the close of the window first.
Nifty tried unsuccessfully to close above Mid-channel resistanceNifty today tried unsuccessfully to close above mid-channel resistance but failed. After making a high of 23137 it again closed below 23K at 22957 not able to hold on to 23K+ levels. There was positive movement in Banks, Finance, Auto and Services. The laggards were Pharma, Mid-cap, Small cap, Public sector, IT, Metal and FMCG.
Low of the day was 22857 if this level hold tomorrow and if Nifty can Push itself above 23137 we can see movement further northwards to 23357 or even 23542. Real momentum will build if we get a closing above Father line at 23632 and Mother line above 23727. Till that time we can see wild swings on either sides.
Supports for Nifty remain at 22848 and 22763. Below 22763 we may see Nifty stumbling towards 22465, 22175 or even 21886 levels. It is still hanging by the thread. Shadow of the candle right now is positive to neutral.
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