Candlestick Analysis
USDT vs. ETH: A Silent Signal for the Crypto Market?We often scrutinize the price charts of volatile cryptocurrencies, but a look at stablecoin market capitalization can reveal surprising insights.
Recently, Tether's USDT market cap chart caught my eye, particularly when juxtaposed with leading cryptocurrencies.
While comparisons with Bitcoin have shown interesting correlations between USDT supply and broader market cycles, it's the comparison with Ethereum (ETH) that raises a compelling question.
The chart shows that Bitcoin along with several other cryptocurrencies have exceeded their 2021 price highs yet Ethereum remains below its previous peak. The market capitalization of USDT increased by 75% from 2021 to present day.
This divergence is noteworthy. The growth of USDT's market cap signifies an increase in its circulating supply, presumably driven by inflows of USD (or equivalent) into Tether's reserves.
Why would people exchange their fiat for USDT if they did not plan to use the funds within the cryptocurrency space?
The rising demand for USDT coins indicates that market participants expect increased crypto market activity.
However, the fact that USDT's growth significantly outpaces Ethereum's price recovery suggests a potential disconnect.
Either there's an unusual surge in demand for USDT for purposes outside of immediate crypto investment (less likely), or significant capital is being positioned on the sidelines, potentially waiting for strategic entry points.
Considering recent reports of increasing activity in large Bitcoin accumulation addresses, the latter scenario seems more plausible.
The large increase in USDT market capitalization together with Ethereum's flat price performance compared to its former peak might indicate substantial accumulation activities that could lead to future market movements.
Buy gold, expect a rebound to 3000Gold just fell to 2958, but quickly rebounded to above 2965. The short-term support of 2965-2960 was not effectively broken. Gold quickly recovered above the short-term support, proving that bulls still have room to fight back. I expect gold to at least rebound and test the 3000 position again, so in short-term trading, we should not be too bearish on gold.
I actually reminded everyone in the last article update that we can buy gold when gold falls. In this extremely fierce market, with a cautious trading mentality, I actually do not expect too much about the rebound space of the bulls. Once gold touches around 3000, I will leave the market safely and lock in profits!
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GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.29500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.95
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
TESLA Always Pay YOURSELF! Tsla Stock were you PAID? GOLD Lesson
⭐️I want to go into depth regarding the this topic but it is a long one with PROS & CONS for doing and not doing it.
Every trader must choose what's best for them but you will SEE when I finally get to the write up that MANY OF THE PROS are NOT FINANCIAL but PSYCHOLOGICAL❗️
Another of 🟢SeekingPips🟢 KEY RULES!
⚠️ Always Pay YOURSELF.⚠️
I know some of you chose to HOLD ONTO EVERYTHING and place your STOP at the base of the WEEKLY CANDLE we entered on or the week priors base.
If you did that and it was in your plan GREAT but... if it was NOT that is a TRADING MISTAKE and You need to UPDATE YOUR JOURNAL NOW.
You need to note EVERYTHING. What you wanted to see before your exit, explain why not taking anything was justified to you, were there EARLY exit signals that you did not act on. EVERYTHING.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 ALWAYS SAYS THE BEST TRADING BOOK YOU WILL EVER READ WILL BE YOUR COMPLETE & HONEST TRADING JOURNAL ⚠️
📉When you read it in black amd white you will have YOUR OWN RECORD of your BEST trades and TRADING TRIUMPHS and your WORST TRADES and TRADING ERRORS.📈
✅️ KEEPING an UPTO DATE JOURNAL is STEP ONE.
STUDYING IT IS JUST AS IMPORTANT👍
⭐️🌟⭐️🌟⭐️A sneak peek of the LESSON after will be HOW & WHEN TO ENTER WHEN THE OPEN BAR IS GOING THE OPPOSITE WAY OF YOUR IDEA.👌
🚥Looking at the TESLA CHART ABOVE you will see that we were interested in being a BUYER when the weekly bar was BEARISH (GREEN ARROW) and we started to consider TAKE PROFITS and EXITS when the (RED ARROW) Weekly bar was still BULLISH.🚥
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
Gold still has the potential to bounce back to 3070!Gold has been experiencing significant volatility driven by fundamental factors. While bearish sentiment appears to remain dominant, the recent downside move has already priced in much of the negative risk. As such, traders should avoid an overly one-sided bearish bias in the current environment.
After bottoming out near the 2970 level, gold staged a strong rebound. During the ensuing consolidation phase, the 3010–3000 zone has provided consistent support, signaling the emergence of a short-term demand zone. This indicates that the bulls have not completely capitulated and may attempt to stage a corrective rally toward the 3050 level, or potentially even as high as 3070.
From a short-term trading perspective, we may consider initiating long positions within the 3015–3005 range, aiming for an upside target of 3050, with a possible extension toward the 3070 resistance area.
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USDJPY Buy scalping positionI took this trade based on an uptrend formation in the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframe. Price is going back up to retest the last low on the Daily and 4hr timeframe, and there is a probability for a downtrend to form which will give us a swing trade. I'm just taking advantage of the retest move to make some extra greens. LOL
Nifty recovers from lows of the day. But not out of danger yet.Nifty as expected suffered heavy losses due to Trump Tariff Tornado which has engulfed the global markets. The good thing which is the silver lining in the cloud was that it recovered from the lows of the day by a lot. The lowest point of today or perhaps the year 2025 so far was 21743 and we closed the day at 22161. Which is about 418 points. However we are not out of the woods yet. We will hopefully see bottom formation later during this week or the next if this lowest point is already not the bottom. The support levels for Nifty remain at 21743, 21289, 20790 and 20320. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22266, 22711, 23083 and 23384. Above 23384 closing Nifty will be back to the bulls territory and we can hope for a recovery towards 24K first and then 25K.
As of now the ball is still in Trump's court as the world sizzles with his Whims and fancies. China is planning a stimulus package for its industry and High level cabinet meeting is going on in India as I write this to counter the effects of Trump Tariff and swift recovery of our economy in addition to minimising the effect of damage.
The best strategy is to wait out the Trump Storm reassess the situation once bottom is formed. Those who have liquidity this is a good oppertunity to go long after bottom fishing.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
EURCHF: Classic Gap Down To TradeOut of the different gap openings present today, the one I noticed on 📈EURCHF appears to be a promising trading opportunity.
I have identified a clear double bottom pattern on the hourly chart following the gap down opening.
There is a strong likelihood that the gap will be filled soon, with a target set at 0.9431.
AUDCAD: True Bullish Reversal?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD formed a nice inverted head and shoulders pattern
after a test of a key historic support.
A bullish violation of its neckline with a strong bullish candle
provides a reliable confirmation.
I expect a correctional move at least to 0.8723
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Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders!
Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August.
ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate.
One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend.
However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W
atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days.
The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets.
The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections.
Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month.
Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time.
If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory.
For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance.
A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections
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Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
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Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
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NZDJPY: Best Gap to Trade Today?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Among various gap openings that we see today,
the one that I spotted on NZDJPY looks like one of the best to trade.
I see multiple bullish imbalances on an hourly time frame
after a formation of the gap down opening.
Probabilities are high that it will be filled soon.
Goal - 82.15
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USD/CHF: Back at Support – Will Buyers Step In?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH TRUMP TERRIF ALERT!🚨 GOLD UPDATE (XAU/USD)🚨
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend, and it’s expected to continue for the next month. 🌟 If you see any dips, buy in again and again! We could see gold touch 3200 soon, especially with the ongoing China & Trump tensions. The US economy remains strong, and fundamentally, gold is primed to soar even higher! 📈💥
After Trump's tariffs, gold may dip and sweep more liquidity before bouncing back stronger. ⚡ As China and Trump battle, US strength keeps pushing gold to new heights. 📊
Key Buying Zones 🔑:
- 3030 – 3035: Last zone for reversal 🔄
- 3000: Strong support zone 🚀
Targets 🎯:
- 3100 💰
- 3200 💎
- After 1 month: 3300 💥
⚠️ Always follow risk management⚠️