SWING IDEA - EQUITAS SMALL FINANCE BANKEquitas Small Finance Bank , a leading small finance bank in India, is showing promising signs for a potential swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
75 Zone as a Strong Support Zone : The 75 level has proven to be a solid support zone, providing a strong foundation for a potential upward move.
Bullish Hammer on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish hammer on the weekly chart, which also engulfed the previous week's candle, indicates strong buying pressure and a potential reversal from the support level.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The stock is currently resting at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a key area where buyers often step in to push the price higher.
Gradual Uptick in Volumes : An increasing volume trend suggests growing investor interest, further supporting the potential for a bullish move.
Target - 95 // 105 // 115
Stoploss - weekly close below 72
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Candlestick Analysis
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth is Coming Next Week
US100 nicely respected a recently broken horizontal structure resistance.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on that and bounced.
I think that the Index will continue growing next week.
Next resistance - 20460
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Titagarh Rail systems catching the train. Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of freight wagons, passenger coaches, and steel castings. It operates through the following segments: Freight Rolling Stock, Passenger Rolling Stock, Shipbuilding, and Others. The Others segment includes miscellaneous items like specialized equipment's for defence, bridge girders, tractors, and others.
Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd CMP is 1197.50. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Strong Annual EPS Growth. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=55.3), High promoter stock pledges AND Companies seeing significant coronavirus impact.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1283. Targets in the stock will be 1338, 1509 AND 1596. The long-term target in the stock will be 1710, 1795 AND 1876. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1049.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Kopran can climb further. Kopran Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and related products. It operates through the following business units: Formulations, and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients. The firm's products include Amyn, Lokit, and Ciproquin.
Kopran Ltd CMP is 320. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash AND Stocks in the sell zone based on days traded at current PE and P/BV.
Entry can be taken after closing above 321. Targets in the stock will be 330 and 342. The long-term target in the stock will be 352 AND 368. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 291.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
EUR/USD Long Counter-Trend Setup (4H/8H Timeframes)I’m looking at a long counter-trend trade on EUR/USD based on several technical confluences across multiple timeframes.
Market Sentiment: Currently, risk sentiment is “risk-off,” which has pushed the dollar higher, but now we’re seeing signs of a potential reversal in both EUR/USD and the Dollar Index (DXY).
Key Observations:
Engulfing Candles on the Daily Timeframe:
Both EUR/USD and DXY have printed engulfing candlestick patterns on the daily chart. This could signal a potential reversal, with the momentum shifting in favor of EUR/USD.
Monthly 20 MA:
The 20 MA on the monthly chart is being tested on both EUR/USD and DXY, adding to the importance of the levels we’re currently observing. A bounce or break here could trigger significant moves in either direction.
5 EMA Hit Probability:
On the weekly timeframe, the 5 EMA lines up with my 4H target. Historically, if a session doesn’t hit the 5 EMA, the next one has a higher probability of doing so, something to be mindful of as we approach the weekly close.
Divergence on Multiple Timeframes:
MACD divergence is present on the 4H and 8H timeframes for EUR/USD, suggesting weakening downside momentum. Additionally, there’s a bearish divergence on DXY and a bullish divergence on EXY (Euro Index), further supporting the case for EUR/USD upside.
Conclusion:
With the alignment of these factors—candlestick patterns, moving averages, and divergences—this setup presents a solid opportunity for a long counter-trend trade on EUR/USD. While it’s a counter-trend trade, the confluences from multiple timeframes increase the probability of success. Keep in mind that this trade is aligned with technical signals and risk sentiment, so proper risk management is essential.
REVERSAL AUDUSDAUDUSD has now started a reversal to the upside making higher highs and higher lows, price is currently consolidating on previous level of resistance that has now become support with some signs of rejection around this area. Push to the upside continues to feel optimistic. Price could keep pushing up although could be affected by some US data coming out next week
Low Timeframe DOGE ShortDoge has had a massive run over the past few days and has just taken out a 12H swing high. It's looking a little exhausted at this key level on the higher timeframe, so I'm looking to catch a pullback on the l15 M timeframes.
I used a 15M Bearish OB in conjunction with OTE to catch my entry. Stop Loss above recent high.
Nifty is trying to stage recovery but 3 big hurdles are nearby.Nifty has on Friday tried to stage a recovery. It ended up 287 points from day's low which was a remarkable feat. Now it is staring at 3 or 4 major hurdles before Bulls can come back in business. But well begun is half the job done. The three major resistances are at 24886 that is Friday's high, 24960 that is Mother line of 1 hour chart, and 25172 that is father line of 1 hour chart.
To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version.
After 25172 the major hurdle will be at 25211. Closing above 25211 the bulls can try to take Nifty to higher levels. Support zones for Nifty will be at 24611, 24559 and 24466. If we get a closing below 24466 the bears can pull the Nifty further down and create more downside.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Oil is still bearish but clearly at a key bullish zoneThe bullish array we are at now contains a flipped imbalance and can indefinitely hold price within it's boundary preventing a close lower close.
If this is the case, we will see heavy wicking in this area and a reverse to the high of the Friday candle high. Depending what happens at the high will determine what to expect next. The main observation that is speaking to us is how price wicked the entire iFVG flip range and closed on the edge of the FVG range. This will be important body level to watch going into next week.
We also expect this low to be wicked but we will have to see how we play the inducement that is going to build in this range.
Unraveling Silver's Price Puzzle: Volume Profile AnalyticsH ello,
As I draft this article, the price of silver is currently hovering above the key level of $31.2. This level is considered "key" because it represents a significant point where large buy and sell forces meet, as indicated by the volume profile at the bottom.
The importance of this level is further confirmed by the price action itself. Silver has been in a moderately strong uptrend, as suggested by the linear regression on the candles. However, the uptrend was interrupted at this price, and from September 24 until now, silver has been struggling to overcome the supply and push the price higher. You may observe how volume grows around this level, in a so-called "zone", and decreases as the market moves towards the zone borders. It's both a supply and a demand zone as indicated further by how the price usually returned into the zone after going out from it.
Between October 9 and October 14, the market absorbed significant sell forces. Absorption means that there were sellers, but the sum of the buying volumes (what I call buy force) negated the sell force's impact on the price. You can observe it on the chart where relatively tall sell volume deltas belong to candles of the opposite price action - Yellow volume delta candles to green price candles. Furthermore, if you observe it, you can also see that the buy force moved the price upwards against the sales. Additionally, for the first time since September 24, the demand outweighed the supply for a relatively extended duration.
Overall, the chart signals that it's an important time for silver's price. The market is in a balanced state where demand matches supply. However, if you look at the trend within this balanced state, you find a moderately strong uptrend. Thus, despite the balance, the trend projects higher prices in the future.
Regards,
Ely
Continuing the Moon Phase Vs Nifty chart further. Yesterday in the message we understood how The dark circle resonates with the dates of no moon day and Grey circle indicates the day when we saw a full moon. Invariably in most of the no moon days as can be seen in the chart index is at the peak near no moon day. Then there is a fall seen in Nifty. Recovery starts in few days of Full moon day and then again Nifty makes a peak near no moon day. We were trying to contemplate if it is a coincidence. Now we saw a small turnaround today. We do not know if this will hold and if the recovery will start from here and now but we will juxtapose Moon Phases Vs Nifty chart with our Mother, Father and Small Child theory, RSI and Bollinger bands and see what levels we get for support and resistances further.
RSI is currently on daily chart is at 41.27 having taken support near 37 zone. This seems to be a good support zone for RSI as it as bounced from there and there about several times. Nifty took baby steps to recovery on Friday as Full Moon is done. Lowest RSI on daily chart was around 32 that was exactly one year back so we can expect either of these two levels to hold fort.
Father line support is near 23404. Bollinger band shows a support zone near 24373 range in case Nifty takes a dip from here. Mother line resistance is near 25026 and Bollinger Median resistance is near 25372. Resistance for nifty based on Bollinger band top seems to be at 26372.
Mother, Father and Small Child theory is explained in my book Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Do read it as many reviewers on Amazon consider it as a Hand book to equity investment.
In this way we have tried to deduce support and resistance levels of Nifty with the help of Mother, Father and Small Child theory, Bollinger band, RSI. We tried to predict the turnaround phases for Nifty’s upward and downward runs by juxtapositioning it with phases of Moon. To a normal eye all this looks a little complicated and difficult but when you dissect it and spend time with the chart you will be able to deconstruct it bit by bit, frame by frame and level by level.
Disclaimer: There is a chance of biases including confirmation bias, information bias, halo effect and anchoring bias in this write-up. Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risk please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data, chart or any other information provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. They are not recommendations of any kind. We will not be responsible for Profit or loss due to descision taken based on this article. The names of the stocks or index levels mentioned if any in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
New strategy based on 50/200 EMASaw this strategy on Reddit and tweaked some things to what I am showing to you now with a 80-85% win rate. You wait for the 50 EMA to cross over the 200 EMA either the same day or post/pre market before. After the crossover, you wait for the pullback and when a wick hits the 50 EMA and reverses, you enter a long trade until either the trading day is over or the RSI shows overbought. Anybody have any changes that would make it better or that I’m missing? I’ve noticed it works best on 15m.
NZDUSD 4H long watchlistIt's a quiet week no trades yet, but that's a good thing.
That means also no losses are taken. So my decision-making ability to spot only good quality trades for my system works.
NZDUSD 4H long is on only thing that caught my attention and I will explain why.
First thing what I always want to see a long clean downtrend breaking support. It's hovering arround that level so that's good.
Second thing consolidation pattern with a couple of fakeouts. The last deep red candle pierced deeper than the rest. So that indicates price is looking for liquidity to move up again.
What's also really nice after the deep red candle we see some small indecision candles.
The only thing what needs to happen now is one medium to strong bullish candle I draw it on the charts as example. That's enough reason for me to enter.
If not I skip the trade with no problem :)
End of the Trend?It is not a Shooting Star and not a Hanging Man. And I am to lazy to look into my Nison bible what the name of such a candle on top of a Flagstaff is. At least it is not a bullish signal.
When we will hold this price level until Thursday -and I expect it to do so- then a downward correction is likely. I will have a look at the Fibonacci levels to get an idea of the first targets.
Harami?I will check, whether it is a Harami building today. Probably it is not a Harami as the lower lunt ist to long. Nevrtheless it is not a confirming candle but a reversal one.
I am selling some NIO stocks now. The rise seems to have been to fast and the downward correction may still continue a bit longer.
Possible short on AUD/CADThere is a lot of internal liquidity to take and also there is a huge gap that should be filled, so I set the first target on the beginning of the GAP an the second Target on the beginning of the order block, or what I consider order block. I think that could start a short because the price is arrived in a upper order block, and also for my past analysis I think that this pair is in a bearish configuration on a large time frame.
Possible long on CAD/CHFI am long on this pair, but I think that now is the time to enter long for Target 1 and then for Target 2. The rose box are the order block that for my opinion are important to consider as target. There is also a red pin bar, usually the price retrace over these candles, for that reason I set the Target 1. Going long then there is a quite good carry trading.