Candlestick Analysis
US T-Bonds - Bond Prices Falling Off A Cliff! Happy New Year Traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on T-Bond Futures as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias, especially when comparing the strong inverse correlation to Gov 10y yields.
Countries like the UK are suffering as their prices for their bonds are being sold at extreme losses in order to prop up their restrictive policies.
When will it end..?
US 10Y Yields - Is 5% Yields A Real Possibility? Happy new year traders!
This is a perfect time to do a review on Government Bond Yields as it's the 1st month where you see the beginnings of the 6-Month candle form, which can be very powerful for gauging a bias.
Here, we look into the technical and psychological elements as to why 5% might not be as soon as you think...
S&P ES Long setup target 6129 / Calls SPY target 605Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (6020.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (Jan 17) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (6129.00).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (6129.00), Target 2 at 161.8% (6206.00) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6243.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5983.00).
Option Traders : My SPY AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (605), Target 2 at 161.8% (613) and Target 3 at 178.6 (616)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (592).
$AAPL Bounce Setup: Key Levels to Watch & 2-1-2u Reversal PotentThis is a strong setup for NASDAQ:AAPL to bounce as it held its 200-day EMA again today. Above $225, watch for targets at $227, $228.22, and the bearish gap fill at $230. Keep NASDAQ:AAPL on watch for a potential 2-1-2u reversal here.
However, if it loses support at $219.79, expect a possible retest of $216.39. Keep an eye on these levels, fam.
Stick to shorting goldAs mentioned in my previous analysis, although gold remains in a clear uptrend, the signs of a short squeeze are increasingly evident. Therefore, in short-term trading, we should refrain from chasing long positions at this stage. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2760–2765 resistance zone, a significant corrective move could occur at any time, which is why my current focus remains on shorting gold.
From the current price structure, we can observe a pattern where gold rallies by $60–65 following each confirmed bullish signal, only to retrace by $40 thereafter. Since the last confirmed bullish signal, gold has already advanced $62, indicating a high probability of a $40 correction based on this historical pattern. This means gold could retrace to test the 2740–2730 support range or even approach the 2720 level during this phase of consolidation.
This is precisely why I prefer shorting gold in the current scenario. As my trading plan, I initiated a short position near the 2760 level and continue to hold it. Let’s aim to capitalize on this opportunity and secure profits from the downside ahead of most market participants. Here's to a promising outcome!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
I can't believe I'm doing this - Long GME at 27.47I feel icky and dirty doing this because I hate everything about meme stocks. But the truth is, it is the best chart available right now. Everything else that is on sale according to my algo either has a chart that looks like the inside of a dirty diaper, has too little liquidity, or it's in an area I'm already exposed / overexposed to (shipping is on sale across the board). I can't remember a time when so little of any quality has been on sale. It makes me a little worried, actually.
I'd have used NYSE:FRO for this idea, but I feel like it's a conflict of interest since I'm already in it (I have been for a while) and I am SOLIDLY in the red on it. That said, if meme stocks aren't your thing and you think oil is gonna rally any time soon, it's currently paying an 11% dividend for you to wait for it to turn around. Tankers are notorious for frequent, large and unexpected dividend cuts, so buyer beware on that.
Anyway, back to the meme stock that started it all. It's been on a typically ridiculous bull run, going from 20 to 34 in 2 months for absolutely no good reason. Now, it's pulling back and all the NYSE:GME fanboys are wailing and gnashing their teeth and giving up hope, which is usually a bullish indicator in and of itself for a short term rally. They all start buying puts and then get squeezed out when it turns around.
Besides its uptrend, it did respect support from the most recent Dec 3 low and formed a hammer candle, both bullish signs. But in the end it's a meme stock and meme stocks can do just about anything any time. Unless Roaring Kitty dies or gets arrested, a huge nonsensical pop in this one is always possible, too.
Historically, my algo has been just as good on this stock as others (728-4 the 4 being in this past week so far), though it doesn't pay off as well as you'd expect, but I just hate it so much that it's hard for me to trade - especially right after a 75% run up. Up until the recent correction/fanboy panic, it had actually been producing really good, fast paying trade signals this year.
It's been on my algo's buy list for several days now, and I've bought nothing rather than GME, but the price action today gave me a little hope that the worst MAY be over, short term anyway. Plus it has already pulled back 20% so my patience/resistance is getting me in at a better relative price than most of my buys do. But still...EW. Hopefully I can be out of this with a profit tomorrow and never look back.
So as I hang my head in shame, as a matter of professionalism and good conscience, I can't recommend that anyone follow me on this trade. No sense dragging any of you through the muck and mire of the original meme stock. Keep your hands and your conscience clean, my friends...but if you must, be careful. Use protection and take a shower afterward.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
EUR/GBP at Critical Resistance – Major Move Incoming?What’s great everyone!? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here, breaking down EUR/GBP with an in-depth analysis you don’t want to miss.
Starting from the higher timeframes, we’ve identified a major trendline resistance dating back to January 2023, which has been tested multiple times and is now being challenged again. After a massive impulse move from the 0.8275 area in late December, price has surged to the current levels around 0.8472, but signs of weakness are starting to emerge.
Looking closer at the daily timeframe, we’ve seen a clear rejection off the trendline with significant bearish volume stepping in yesterday—indicating strong selling pressure after a liquidity grab above 0.8444. With a confirmed daily close below 0.8434, we’re now eyeing potential downside targets.
Dropping down to the H1 timeframe, we’re observing a lower high formation, which could signal a continuation lower. I’ve already entered this trade with a high-risk, high-reward approach, placing stops above the recent high and targeting multiple liquidity areas below.
Key levels to watch:
• First target: 0.8433, sweeping liquidity.
• Next: 0.8413 (double bottom) and ultimately 0.8335 if momentum continues.
If we break below key support at 0.8410, this could trigger a much larger drop into untested levels from past price action, potentially targeting the 0.8146 area.
The next few candles will be crucial—will EUR/GBP hold this level or melt down further? Stay tuned and let’s see how it plays out!
If you’re finding value in these breakdowns, make sure to boost, share, and comment with your thoughts. Let’s make some moves!
Inverted Bull Hammer candlestick pattern (weekly chart)Nike has confluence with the RSI already going on up and both MACD and Signal line at the 0 line as well. Strong support is shown at the 70's level and already rebounding upwards, just like when Nike fell through mid 2024.
The Inverted Hammer candlestick formation occurs mainly at the bottom of downtrends and can act as a warning of a potential bullish reversal pattern. What happens on the next day after the Inverted Hammer pattern is what gives traders an idea as to whether or not prices will go higher or lower.
The Inverted Hammer formation is created when the open, low, and close are roughly the same price. Also, there is a long upper shadow which should be at least twice the length of the real body.
After a long downtrend, the formation of an Inverted Hammer is bullish because prices hesitated to move downward during the day. Sellers pushed prices back to where they were at the open, but increasing prices shows that bulls are testing the power of the bears.
Read more at: commodity.com
Good closing today by Nifty but Bull market not yet in sight. Good recovery by Nifty today closing above the mid channel line but there is long way to go before Bulls are back in business. We do not know if today's bounce was a dead cat Technical bounce after the rout yesterday.
The resistances that Nifty now faces are at 23176, 23424, 23657 (Father line resistance), 23850 (Mother line resistance), 24518 and finally channel top resistance near 24799. Above 24800 closing bulls can come back in business and take Nifty North wards to 25299+ levels.
Supports for Nifty remain at 22935, 22465, 21866 and finally 21232. Below 22935 is a pure Bear territory. We are terribly close to the bear territory. Shadow of the candle is neutral.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Long trade
15min Entry
Buyside Trade
Pair GBPUSD
Tokyo Session PM
8.00 pm (NY time)
Entry 1.23602
Profit level 1.24457 (0.89%)
Stop level 1.23204 (0.13%)
RR 6.78
Buyside trade based on the narrative of supply and demand - observing the fractal formation and assuming price to break NY's previous high.
AVAX at a Turning Point: Key Levels to WatchHello, Traders!
After reaching its local high last month, AVAX price experienced a significant correction, dropping by 40% from its peak.
Such a correction is not unusual after a strong rally and can be seen as a healthy market reset.
Currently, AVAX is trading near its local bottom, showing signs of stabilization.
The current price action indicates that we might be approaching a critical inflection point, and there’s a high probability that the price will resume its uptrend toward new highs.
For this bullish scenario to play out, it's crucial for AVAX to rise above the $42-$44 resistance levels.
Breaking these levels would invalidate the current local descending trend and signal renewed strength in the market.
Once the price establishes itself above the $44 mark, the uptrend can be considered official, with the $54 area emerging as the next major target.
Traders should also keep an eye on volume spikes, as increasing volume near resistance levels would confirm buying pressure and strengthen the breakout scenario.
However, if AVAX fails to reclaim the $42-$44 range in the near term, we could see further consolidation or even a retest of lower support levels.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
#NZDCHF to the upside? Possible scenario--------------NZDCHF LONG--------------
Maybe this is the time for CHF to pause its strenghtening curve. The pair can reach the upper bound of the channel. I am long, but that is just me. We will see in a few months.
Important: This is not financial advise. Do your own research and analysis!
Why I Like Chainlink: A Technical Perspective with 40$ targetAs I’ve mentioned before, one of the reasons I favor BINANCE:LINKUSDT is its strong adherence to technical patterns. This characteristic makes it a reliable asset for chart-based trading strategies.
Let’s break down the past:
• Accumulation Phase: From May 2022 to October 2023, LINK underwent a long, one-and-a-half-year accumulation phase. This created a solid foundation for future price action.
• Breakout and Corrections: After the accumulation ended, LINK experienced an upward move, followed by a correction that perfectly tested the resistance of the previous accumulation zone.
• New local Highs: A subsequent rally took the price to around $30, followed by another correction. This time, the correction confirmed a previously broken resistance level as new support, which acted as a springboard for another reversal upward.
The technical behavior of LINK stands out as methodical and predictable, with clear levels of support and resistance consistently respected.
Looking ahead, I anticipate that LINK will continue its upward trajectory, with a potential target of $40.
My strategy is buying dips.
However, a definitive break below recent support would force a reassessment of this outlook.
In conclusion, LINK’s well-structured price movements make it an excellent candidate for those who favor technical analysis in their trading approach.
EurUsd- A nice bullish setup with 1.06 targetLike most major pairs, EUR/USD experienced a challenging final quarter of 2024, with the price dropping approximately 1,000 pips following the double top at 1.12.
The start of 2025 saw a further decline, breaking below the 1.0350 support level and reaching a low of 1.0180.
However, the market quickly reversed after this low.
On Monday, a strong Bullish Engulfing candlestick formed, reclaiming the 1.0350 support level.
Yesterday, this support was confirmed again, leaving a continuation Pin Bar on the daily chart. Adding to this bullish picture, the price also broke above the falling trend line, signaling a well-structured bullish setup.
Currently, the bulls have the upper hand. If the price manages to break above the horizontal resistance at 1.0440, the path should be clear for a rise toward the 1.06 zone.
In conclusion, buying on dips appears to be the ideal strategy, with invalidation of this setup occurring if the price falls below 1.03.
Bitcoin teases a record high (but I'm not 'buying' it)While my bias for bitcoin futures to reach 125k remain in play, I'm a tad suspicious of its attempt to take out the previous record high with any conviction this week. I take a closer look at trading volumes and futures market positioning to explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and TradingView