Nifty Parallel Channel and how things are shaping up. Nifty has closed strongly above the Mother line of Weekly chart this week. This should be considered a solid come back by Indian markets after the Trump Tariff induced fall. Indian economy is showing it's capability to bounce back on the back of strong rally in most of the sectors other than IT. Uncertainty in IT still looms as below par results that have started coming for might TCS and INfosys. We have a long weekend and uncertainties due to various announcements by global leaders regarding Tariffs can still spoil the party so one needs to be cautious in carrying huge positions over night and over the week especially in F&O trades.
Nifty travelling in a Parallel channel depicted above since 2020 is just below its Mid channel resistance at 24415. If you want to see the power of Mid Channel resistnace look at how it stopped Nifty between August 22 to December 23 below it. So Mid-channel resistnace should never be taken lightly. The area is depicted in the chart for your better understanding. Even before we reach that point of major resistance, Nifty has to counter strong resistance which was high of today and this week at 23872. Closing above 24415 can enable and empower Bulls to further push Nifty towards 24894, 25K and 25383 levels if the rally continues.
To know more about Parallel channel and how this Technical tool can be used to create wealth in stock market , you need to read my book The Happy Candles Way To Wealth creation. It is a highly rated book have a look at various reviews of the readers on Amazon. Both paperback and Kindle versions of the same are available on Amazon.
Nifty supports in case it is not able to cross and close above the resistnace zone of 23872 and 24415 will be 23272 (Strong Mother Line Weekly Support or 50 Weeks EMA) and 22698. A closing below 22698 in case of some adverse news or global development can empower the bears and can have potential to drag Nifty towards recent low of 21743 or 52 week low of 21281.
As of now things looking good but we have to wait and see the global and local developments over the weekend.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Candlestick Analysis
Is GBPAUD Finally Ready to Drop?Price is currently struggling to break through a key resistance area. That’s not a problem – I’m not looking to catch the entire move, I only need a clean 1:3 RR and potentially the completion of the Asia range.
🔻 Bias: Bearish
On the 4H chart, I’ve identified the 50 EMA as a possible point of rejection, and it lines up perfectly with a 15m POI (Orderblock).
Since the Asia session opened higher, this creates a solid intraday short opportunity targeting the unfilled Asian range.
✅ I’ve marked two potential zones where price could react. If I get clean bearish price action in either zone – such as a BOS on the 1m or strong rejection patterns – I’ll look to execute the short.
Patience until the setup aligns. Let's see how it plays out. 🔍💯
Gold hits resistance at highs, is the bull market over?The highest price hit the 3358 line in early trading, but we need to be wary of the risks of chasing higher prices. Tomorrow is Good Friday and the market will be closed for one day. There is a high probability that those who hold long orders may take profits and exit. Yesterday, the price of gold rose sharply after opening at US$3,230, with a single-day increase of more than US$100. The daily line closed positive, but it has fallen slightly after rising in early trading. From a technical perspective, if the price of gold falls below the early morning low of 3343, it may turn into a volatile pattern; if it holds this support, there is still a chance to challenge new highs. The key support is located at the top-bottom transition level of the 3310-3305 first-line area. If it falls further to $3270, we need to be alert to the risk of a short-term correction. The upper resistance is clearly at the intraday high of 3358
Intraday gold operation advice
1. In the short term, you can go short, target the 3310 line, and hold if you break the position.
2. If the support below is strong, go long 3300-3310, with the target at 3335-3345.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
BTC 4H Expansion scenario (Pseudo CRT with Elliott Wave)
This is just a sketch, but I found some interesting confluence between Pseudo CRT-like analysis and an Elliott count (expanded/running flat with A as a flat).
The automated indicator I created ("Seer Tee," doing the above-stated "pseudo-CRT" analysis) detected pivots for an upper-timeframe candles-based Modified Schiff Pitchfork.
From a bullish perspective, 89k-92k could be a target zone.
Invalidation below the thick white channel.
If the chart turns bearish, 80k will be the next stop.
GBPNZD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 2.26500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.42
Entry 100
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Daily and weekly poised for a bull run, BULL FLAG $SKLZPersonally see 6.89-7.33 in the coming weeks potentially 9$-10$ by summer with momentum and positive ER. SKLZ is a sleeping giant
Many analyst say its a buy and the chart is bullish for a 6month swing trade easy or a great long term position. Final time we see south of 5$ !?
We shall see, in time
USD/JPY: Buy Opportunity from Key Demand ZoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Long trade
15min TF overview
Entry at a discount within a 15m bullish leg
📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (GBP/USD)
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
⏰ Time: 5:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM
📉 Pair: GBP/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
⏱️ Entry TF: 2-minute (LTF precision entry)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.32335
Take Profit (TP): 1.33771 (+1.09%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.32007 (–0.25%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.38
London AM continuation setup:
Built on a bullish structure shift post-Tokyo sweep for a buyside trade idea.
Long trade
15min TF entry
📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (EUR/USD)
📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025
⏰ Time: 4:00 PM – NY Session PM
📈 Pair: EUR/USD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.12842
Take Profit (TP): 1.14254 (+1.25%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.12692 (–0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.41
Day -Structure
🧠 Trade Narrative:
Targeting: A return to an HTF premium zone and previous daily high for buyside trade idea.
Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (GC!1 – Gold Futures)
📅 Session: Tokyo to London AM
⏰ Time: 4:45 AM
📉 Pair: GC! 1 (Gold Futures)
🧭 Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 3324.7
Take Profit (TP): 3288.2 (–1.10%)
Stop Loss (SL): 3331.3 (+0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.53 ✅
🧠 Trade Narrative:
A short setup during the transition between Tokyo and London. The trade idea is based on combining session timing with the sweep of Tokyo high, where gold often reacts to macro flow and liquidity grabs for a sellside trade idea.
EURUSD Short IdeaI see that we broke structure to the downside on 15m, isnt the best break but i will still count it based on the fact where we are on HTF (D/W OB) and the mini-gap which got created in current asia.
I cant cover the highs with a 10 pip stop so i will wait to see some bearish confirmation either a clear 1m bos to the downside, or nice price action on 5/15m indicating reversal in price.
TP will be as always 1:3 and extendet TP will be unfilled previous asia sessions.
EURUSD EXPECTING TO GO LONG FROM MY POI Seen, that price is overall in a bullish structure on the higher timeframes (H4-H1), Will now find Entries in that direction following the pro trend .
We head to H1 And spotted our range and our break of structure to the upside after that will look for our premuim level of supply or demand using our fib tool which gave us the above Point of Interest we marked with our rectangle tool.
overall we wait for price to do its thing to get to that zone then will take either a risk entry or confirmation on that premuim level .
USDCHF: Your Next Bearish Signal 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is consolidating after a massive selloff that we saw last week.
The price formed inside bar candlestick pattern and is currently
stuck within the range of the mother's bar.
Your next confirmation to sell will be a violation and a candle close
below 0.8098.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling then
and reach at least 0.8 psychological level.
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Gold surges to a new high, market analysis and operation layoutToday, the price of gold has been rising all the way in the Asian session, reaching a high of around 3317. From the perspective of the general trend, the overall trend of gold remains bullish. The high point we see now is only a temporary high point. It is very likely that the European and American sessions will break through again in the later period, so don't blindly guess the top.
At present, the relative low point has risen by nearly 80 points, and there is a trend of further hitting new highs. Once it breaks the high again, it will continue to hit the 3330-50 line. Therefore, we still maintain the main decline in intraday trading.
If the European session maintains a small sideways fluctuation, then the US session will most likely launch an upward attack again. What needs to be focused on at the moment is the extent of the bulls' callback repair. In view of the current volatile market, a drop of tens of dollars may only be a normal adjustment of the bulls, not a trend reversal. At present, the lower support can refer to the low point of 3280, which can also be used as an important reference for European market operations. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3330-3350, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3275-3280.
Bros, when you keep up with the pace of trading, you must control the risks reasonably.
Intraday gold operation suggestions
sell 3330-3340
TP 3320-3310
buy 3280-3290
TP 3310-3330
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Failed Breakout + Rising Wedge = Bearish Signal for Bitcoin!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840) and the important Resistance line as I expected in yesterday's idea , but it seems that it failed to break .
Bitcoin is moving between two Support and Resistance zones .
From a Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Pattern .
From an Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 5 on the 1-hour time frame .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
If we look at the Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe , a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern with high volume is clearly visible near the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ), which could signal a reversal and decline in Bitcoin .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again after an upward correction and break the lower line of the rising wedge pattern , and reach the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $87,708-$86,487
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,520-$83,687
Do you think Bitcoin can finally break the important resistance line? I would like to hear your thoughts.
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840), we can expect a pump.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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USD/JPY(20250416)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.10
Support and resistance levels
144.08
143.72
143.48
142.72
142.48
142.11
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48
If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48