Candlestick Analysis
XAU/USD 25 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: SOLUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 10:45 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: Not specified (assumed 4Hr or intraday swing)
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 134.93
Profit Level 148.19 (+9.83%)
Stop Loss 130.20 (−3.51%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 2.80 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Range Expansion Setup:
4H Demand Tap / Rejection:
Price respected a previously unmitigated bullish OB near $130 before printing consecutive higher lows.
Volume Increase + Session Alignment:
The NY session entry coincided with a volume surge and expansion candle, indicating breakout momentum.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move From Support
WTI Crude Oil may continue rising from an underlined blue support cluster.
As a confirmation, I see a quick liquidity grab below that and a consequent
bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame.
I expect a rise to 66.24
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
The rebound is an opportunity to short goldAfter the ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel and Powell's hawkish remarks that strongly refuted the possibility of a rate cut, gold fell sharply and hit a low near 3295. Although gold has rebounded, it is particularly difficult during the rebound process, which shows that the bulls are not willing to attack, and the rebound is only a technical repair of the decline.
Since gold fell below 3300 yesterday, the current bull structure has been changed in stages and the confidence of the bulls has been greatly weakened. As gold falls, it will be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. Before gold breaks through this area, any rebound may give us an opportunity to short gold; in addition, after gold falls below 3300 once, in order to move downward and test support, gold has the need to retreat again.
So in the next short-term trading, we can try to use the 3345-3355 area as resistance, short gold appropriately, and look to the 3315-3305 area.
AUD/JPY at Risk of Breakdown as Bullish Momentum FadesAUD/JPY failed to follow through on a bullish breakout above 94.00, despite initial signs of strength from a bullish hammer and inverted H&S pattern. The pair has since printed a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart to take prices near the lows of its range of the past week.
With the 1-hour RSI (2) hitting oversold levels, a minor bounce is possible, but risks remain skewed to the downside. A break beneath 93.70 would confirm a range breakdown and open the door to a deeper pullback towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 93.85.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
ServiceNow Has Been RestingServiceNow has been resting for months, and now some traders may think the software company is ready to move again.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the price area around $960. It was the peak in late April and the low early last month. NOW pulled back to hold that level yesterday and bounced.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average swung up to visit the stock as a hammer candlestick formed. That may reflect positive intermediate-term momentum and a halt to the short-term slide.
Third, stochastics are turning up from an oversold condition.
Finally, Bollinger Band Width recently fell to its lowest reading since 2017. Could that tight price action give way to increased movement?
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Long trade
📍 Pair: DOGEUSDT
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 24th, 2025
📈 Direction: Buyside
TIME: 2.45 PM (NY time)
NY Session PM
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric
Entry Price 0.16375
Profit Level 0.16581 (+1.26%)
Stop Loss 0.16337 (−0.23%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 5.42: 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes – ICT Inversion FVG Model
Fair Value Gap (FVG): The trade was executed based on ICT’s Inversion FVG model, where a previously bearish FVG was broken to the upside and then revisited as a bullish support zone.
🔍 Liquidity Sweep + Displacement:
Price swept a short-term sell-side low, triggering stops before sharply displacing upward, forming a bullish break in market structure and the FVG.
1min TF Entry
Bullish Monthly Candle Expected?4210 Analysis
Closed at 178 (24-06-2025)
Monthly Closing above 173.20 would be
a very +ve Sign.
Crossing & Sustaining 181 on Weekly Basis, may
result in further upside towards 200 - 205.
However, it should not break 136 now; else we
may witness further selling pressure towards 110 - 111.
USDCAD BUY OPPORTUNITY Price pulled back to a support level of 1.36712 a pretty nice level where we’re looking forward to seeing more bullish price action development. This pullback support shares a confluence with a trendline with a Doji candlestick pattern. We should be looking for a confirmation to go long.
BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 106000-105500
TP 105000-104500
BUY 140500-103500
TP 105000-106000
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Long trade
🟢 Trade Journal Entry – Buyside Trade
📍 Pair: DOGEUSDT
📅 Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
🕒 Time: 11:00 AM (NY Session AM)
⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Metric Value
Entry Price 0.15395
Profit Level 0.17081 (+10.95%)
Stop Loss 0.14844 (−3.58%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 3.06 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
4H Order Block Execution:
Entry triggered at the retest of a 4-hour bullish order block following price rejection and a bullish engulfing structure.
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.35000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.52
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.10000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GALAUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
ONDOUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors. Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period. Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions.
We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
After falling below the 3300 mark, gold hit the 3295 line and then rebounded. However, there are too many long orders at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. In the short term, focus on 3290-3280 below. If effective support is obtained, you can go long and look towards 3300-3310. If it falls below the support line of 3290-3280, the downward channel of gold will be opened and it is expected to reach 3265. At the same time, pay attention to the 3328-3338 resistance range on the upside. If the first rebound in the evening encounters pressure and resistance here, you may consider shorting.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3328-3338-3400
TP 3310-3300-3295
BUY 3290-3280
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Buy gold, there may be a rebound in the short termAt present, gold has touched the area of 3325-3315 mentioned in my previous article, and the lowest price is around 3316. At present, due to the current important support area of 3310-3300 below, gold still has a rebound demand in the short term; although gold has not rebounded sharply at present, the downward momentum has indeed slowed down, and gold may rebound after the short force is consumed. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. Moreover, the ceasefire between Iran and Israel has not yet been settled. With the fluctuating situation in the Middle East, bulls may have opportunities to counterattack.
However, the current performance of gold is indeed relatively weak, so there is no need to expect gold to rebound and fill the upper gap area of 3360-3370 in the short term; in trading, the rebound expectation can be appropriately lowered, and long positions can continue to be held and look up to the 3340-3350 area.
Buy gold first, and short on gold after filling the gapGold is currently continuing to retreat, and the lowest has reached around 3333. Gold is quite weak, and the bears have completely taken the upper hand. The overall center of gravity of gold is shifting downward, and the short-term support below is 3330-3325. Once gold falls below this support area, gold may continue to fall to 3300, or even 3280; since gold has fallen to the 3340-3330 area, we cannot rush to short gold in the operation, because there is a technical gap above that needs to be filled, so gold still has a rebound to 3360-3370 in the short term.
Therefore, before gold falls below the short-term support of 3300-3325, we can appropriately consider going long on gold; after gold rebounds technically and fills the gap above, we can consider continuing to try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area.
Nifty lost gains but it is a positive sign to close above 25KNifty in the Euphoria of ceasefire between Iran and Israel gained a lot of ground early in the day and made a high of 25317 but could not sustain the levels and lost massive 273 points due to profit booking to close the day at 25044. Although the loss was big but the silver lining is Nifty still ended the day 72 points in the green and closed above 25K levels. As there were news and claims related to ceasefire violations from both sides a lot of investors and participants were apprehensive of carrying long positions forward. If the things remain positive over night and if important resistance levels of 25116 and 25251 are crossed we might yet again see positive momentum building.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 25116, 25251, 25317. Closing above 25317 will lead to further upside towards the next resistance levels of 25491 and 25660.
Nifty Supports remain at: 25499 (Trend line support), 24713, 24521 (Mother Line Support) and 24463. closing below 24463 can had over the gains to the Bears who can drag index down towards Father line support of 23861.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post).
Let's get started!
Applying Elliott Wave Theory
First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue.
According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle.
Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below
Tweezers at Bottom
Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below
Significant Breakout Pending Yet
Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below
Dow Theory
The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below
Stop Loss
Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below
Projected Target of Wave (3)
So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move.
What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level.
This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses.
We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.