Trade Recap: USDJPY - SHORT, 01/10/2024UJ Bias Analysis: With 4H displacement lower, and an alignment with the daily short bias, an Optimal Alignment entry presented itself which was in line wit the 1H range. Price traded higher over the course of Asian session into 1H EPD and priori to London open protracted higher, sweeping TBL before displacing lower, where entry confirmation was received.
Grade: High Probability
What I did well or could've done better:
- Did not frame the initial entry the market presented due to the large stop loss, even though the R:R criteria was met.
- Stayed focused and was able to execute on the next opportunity that presented itself, despite having a larger stop than the first position which resulted in a lower targeted R-multiple.
Candlestick Analysis
NZDCAD LONGMarket structure Bullish on HTFs 30
Entry At Daily AOi
Weekly candle stick Rejection
Strong bullish momentum
Daily Candlestick Rejection
Previous Structure point D
Round Psychological Level 0.85000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.1
Entry 90% A
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
GBPUSD LONG§§Market structure Bullish on HTF 30
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Round Psych Level 1.33000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.72
Entry 85%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Jindal stainless steel-Bullish Swing- Is this reversal signal???
12.08.2024
Buy 694
Target 807
Stop Loss 616
Risk Reward- 1:1.5
1. Inside bar breakout
2. Price rejection from both parallel and horizontal support zone
3. Double bottom formation.
4. RSI from over sold to normal bullish level(40)
5. Good increasing volumes in bullish movement
6. Price rejection from 0.618 Fibonacci level
7. 200 EMA Rejection
NSE:JINDALSTEL
Nestle-Bullish Swing- Will this be bullish swing? NSE:NESTLEIND
21.08.2024
Buy-2551
Target 01-2643, Target 02-2761
Stop Loss-2447
Risk Reward- 1:2
After the good uptrend from March 2023, price is
under consolidation from Beginning of January
2024. Hopefully it us under the formation of
Bullish Flag and trying to provide the big breakout.
1.Breakout- Inside Bar
2.Trend- Uptrend in higher TF & trying to break the downward range in shorter time frame.
3.KeyLevel- second time rejection from resistance converted to support zone.
4.Volume- Average volumes. Need more & above average volumes in next sessions for more rewards
5. EMA- Perfect rejection from 200 EMA. Price is above 21 EMA & 50 EMA
6. Chart Pattern- bullish flag in the border view
7.RSI- Strong bounce from 30 RSI. Still very good potential for more movement.
BACK ON TRACKToday, it became a setup... this inside bar technique works well in support & resistance areas... when the price is in the S&R zone, we have to wait for the candle to form an inside bar... whether the candle breaks up or down. In my experience throughout my trading career, when a breakout occurs, the price will break straight through and rarely makes a pullback. Still maintaining a risk & reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3.
GBPNZD: Time to Sell 🇬🇧🇳🇿
I see a nice short trade on GBPNZD.
The price formed a double top pattern after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance.
We see a breakout of its neckline at the moment.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 2.103 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Laconic sign.Hi!
Most ideas about the behaviour of BTC. D that have been published
all this year have not worked. Until those who said every week since
winter that dominance was about to fall have been non confirm their rightness.
And just as wrong are those who talked about figures of 70-80-90 (!!!) %.
I analysed the chart carefully in the first half of the year and decided that
there are 2 levels of the most probable reversal.
They are 58.4% and 61.8% . And I could not make any additional
predictions as to which of them would turn out to be that level. Any of them.
Now it is the 1st of October (congratulations to everyone on the beginning
of the real autumn, if you love it as I do) and we can see that the
September monthly candle closed with a real shooting star .
And new October candle opened as it should with a decline below
the body of the previous star.
That's pretty promising.
The most key thing to say is that the market is in no hurry at all.
4 hour charts are completely useless this year.
Processes are defined on much larger timeframes.
What has Bit done and what does it want to do?HEY, I'm back🫡
What happened to Bit: We were moving in an ascending channel and as you can see, after each hit to the bottom of the channel, we saw a 10% growth, but on the last 5% hit, we could consider weakness. Also, after breaking the 64480 resistance, the candles became smaller over time and a distribution was formed in a lower time frame, and our volume was also killed :)
For these reasons, we could give the possibility of falling↘️
What does the next part of the beat want to do?
I think we are at an important decision point and there is a high probability that we will stay between resistance and support and not make a particular move, but if the 64480 resistance breaks the long position we can
If the support of the 62650 position is broken now, we can take a short position, I need to create a more structured market to get more information. And I will update👨💻
This analysis is just my opinion and it can be wrong😉
⚠️Do capital management⚠️
MHUA Chinese Med Tech Penny StockMHUA is shown here on the daily chart. It is currently trading at about 90% off its high of the
year. It is in the high volume area of the long term volume profile suggesting there is sufficent
liquidity to support active trading. Recent volume spikes suggest buying volume increases with
the spikes being about 10X relative volume. Price is over the POC line of the volume profile
demonstrating that buying pressure exceeds selling pressure. Price is at or near to one
standard deviation below the mean anchored VWAP and so in the undervalued area as
confirmed by the RSI Stochastic < 20 %. Chart patterns include an engulfing " big ass " candle
on 5/1 and a three-bar strike with another engulfing green candle on 5/12. Both of these
could be considered long entry signals especially when supported by the price above the POC
and the RSI. I will take a position risking 0.25% of the trading account to begin the trading
week. I am targeting a gain of $15.00 per share being a 50% retracement back to the high
YTD and a 300% return on investment. I will take a 100 share position and close 10 shares
each time the price rises by $2.00. This will adequately mitigate the risk of a volatile penny
stock while adequately rewarding the risk taken.
Gold Thoughts 01-Oct-2024Happy New Month all, Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Day 2 AI Analyzing my trading ideasThe following chart is not very different from the first except I wanted to focus on a smaller timeframe initially I wanted to focus on the 4h timeframe but the big picture wouldn’t be as clear. I started off sending a picture of the 4h chart to AI and asking if it recognized any patterns, of which it mentioned 3 patterns a Head and shoulders, a rising wedge, and a symmetrical triangle. The rising wedge we talked about yesterday. So I decided to go for the head and shoulders (in this case an inverted HAS) after drawing the HAS on the chart myself I sent a new picture of it to AI and asked what it saw (the yellow price lines were added before posting to highlight the possible target AI suggested. Below is the description I got, keep in mind AI is not to be used as a trading tool by any means, but I like to play with the fact that it takes my emotions away from trading. Disclaimer again, I’m no professional and this is not trading advice. This is what AI said about my chart.
Let’s break down the analysis again with this correct interpretation.
### Key Observations:
1. **Inverse Head and Shoulders Formation**:
- The **left shoulder** forms around early June, the **head** dips lower in mid-July, and the **right shoulder** forms in September.
- This pattern suggests that after a downtrend, there’s potential for a bullish reversal.
2. **Neckline**:
- The **dotted green line** (around $65,000) appears to act as the **neckline** of the pattern. This is a key resistance level that, once broken, would confirm the bullish reversal.
### Possible Outcomes:
- **Bullish Scenario**:
- If the price breaks **above the neckline** (around $65,000), it would confirm the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential upward movement.
- To estimate the potential target, measure the distance between the **head** and the **neckline**. The head dips to around **$50,000**, and the neckline is at **$65,000**, which gives a difference of **$15,000**.
- Adding that difference to the breakout point at **$65,000** suggests a potential upward target of around **$80,000**.
- **Bearish Scenario**:
- If the price fails to break the neckline and instead reverses back down, the key support levels to watch would be the **right shoulder level**, which is around **$55,000**, and the **$50,000** level at the head.
- A breakdown below these levels could invalidate the bullish reversal, leading to further downside pressure.
### Conclusion:
The **Inverse Head and Shoulders** is a classic bullish reversal pattern. If the price breaks above the **$65,000 neckline**, we could see Bitcoin target **$80,000** based on the pattern's projected move. However, failure to break the neckline would mean the pattern is not yet confirmed, and we might see the price retest support around **$55,000** or **$50,000**.
Nasdaq Thoughts 01-Oct-2024Happy New Month all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
A long Position 1HR Timeframe - wait for confirmation The idea was analyzed by ICT and the entry model uses two famous elements that were proven to be used for a successful entry.
The price is targeting the internal liquidity on the 1 HR fair value gap and followed by an order block on the one-hour time frame.
T rade Target: RR1:2.52
This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Try it on a demo account or use backtesting if you missed the idea.
Good luck ;)
Sanofi can ShineSanofi India Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of pharmaceutical drugs. It focuses on the following therapeutic areas: diabetes, cardiology, consumer healthcare, hospitals, central nervous system, and antihistamines.
Sanofi India Ltd. CMP is 7048.85. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 30.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining profits every quarter for the past 3 quarters and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 7066 Targets in the stock will be 7304 and 7434. The long-term target in the stock will be 7618. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 6679 or 6300 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
LG Balakrishnan & Bros looking upwards L.G. Balakrishnan and Bros Ltd. engages in the manufacture and trade of automotive parts and equipment. It operates through the segments Transmission and Metal Forming. The Transmission segment produces chains, sprockets, tensioners, belts and brake shoes. The Metal Forming segment includes fine blanking, machined components, and wire drawing products.
L.G. Balakrishnan and Bros Ltd. CMP is 1384.80. The positive aspects of the company are cheap Valuation (P.E. = 15.7), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield and Strong Performer, Under Radar Stocks. The Negative aspects of the company are MACD Crossover Below Signal Line, Declining profits every quarter for the past 3 quarters, Inefficient use of capital to generate profits and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1394 Targets in the stock will be 1435, 1464 and 1500. The long-term target in the stock will be 1527 and 1572. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1330 or 1279 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Incoming 200% extension for DocuSign?On the above 3 week chart price action has corrected almost 90% since mid-2021. The correction has now printed a break of resistance.
The resistance breakout was preceded by significant bullish divergence. This divergence is measured over the same period of time as the bearish divergence that signalled the market correction.
There are no stock splits.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long: Act sooner than late.
Return: 200%
All around correction on the expected lines. After reaching a new pinnacle Nifty took a dip searching for substantial support. The Nifty which was overbought was looking for some consolidation. FIIs were mainly on the selling side. Sharp declines can correct RSI a lot like we witnessed today. The supports for Nifty now remain at 25794 (Important support level) which can allow Nifty to make a come back right from tomorrow. If not the next support levels will be at 25705, 25595. Below 25595 nifty becomes very weak and has only 200 EMA or father line as support which is at 25381. Bears take over the market below these levels. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 25900 (Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA). Above that the next resistance will be 25991 and 26077. Above 26077 Bulls can come back to rescue above this level and take Nifty further to 26150 and above.
Still short tesla daily viewOnce again I get a lot of flack when I post shorting cult stocks but I called that last rejection. I am enjoying staying short here as a big tech market hedge as well. There is a chance value stocks start to take over, and crypto. On the daily chart TSLA is printing the same long legged doji rejection candle as last time signaling a double top. This is in alignment with the golden momentum fib which means sellers are likely to take control here if they cant push through here with a squeeze.
My position is small but the upside is large on my TSLL puts
% USDT Dominance is giving us the bigger picture.I have been trying to scalp trade crypto profitable since 2017. After looking at all the wrong places I concluded that TA in USDT Dom chart is the best way to go. Just keeping everything clean and understandable with Price Action in DOM chart you can see the big picture for the market, even on lower TF.
At 1H TF Dom will retest the 5.70% level leading to a market dump the following 10-12 days before it starts to drop and lead the bullish cycle mid/end of October.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Correction ContinuesThe earlier bearish prediction on silver was confirmed, as the price declined from the indicated blue resistance today.
Analyzing the 4-hour timeframe, I identified another bearish signal: a breakout below a significant horizontal support level.
I anticipate further bearish movement toward 30.55.
Pre-earnings Run PatternBellwether of the ETF industry, NYSE:BLK reports Oct 11th and has already had a pre-earnings run. It is important to prepare ahead of earnings runs, which form 2-4 weeks ahead of the earnings release date. Dark Pools already know most of what is in the report. The long reversal tail candlestick signaled the probable run for a swing-style trade.