USDCHF LongMarket structure on Higher Time Frames 30
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 0.86500
Touching H4 EMA
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.4
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Candlestick Analysis
Gold - Looking to Sell after breaking 2726 (support level)Gold appears to be approaching a critical support level around 2726. The current market structure suggests a bearish sentiment, as the price is testing this support multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
📈⚡ Trade Setup
Sell Limit 👇
Entry Price: 2725.45
Stop Loss (SL): 2754.43
Take Profit (TP): 2655.92
Analysis
The chart indicates a simple structure-breakout strategy, suggesting that we wait for a confirmed move below 2726 before entering the sell position. The support level at 2726 is crucial; if broken, it may lead to further downward momentum. A sell entry at 2725.45 is positioned just below this level to capture the downward continuation.
The Stop Loss at 2754.43 is set above recent highs, offering protection against potential retracements. The Take Profit at 2655.92 is a level where price may find new support or consolidation, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Summary : Monitor for a decisive break below 2726 before entering the sell position.
EURUSD: Huge Gap Up Opening 🇪🇺🇺🇸
There is a huge gap up on EURUSD after the market opening.
The price reached a strong daily resistance.
I think that the gap will be filled soon.
I already see some signs of strength of the sellers on an hourly
with a formation of a double top pattern.
We can expect a bearish movement at least to 1.087.
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Will Today’s Coffee Market See a 15¢ Drop Like April 18?The coffee market is currently testing its support range around 240-260, but recent patterns suggest a bearish outlook. Looking back at April 18 and September 6, we saw sharp price drops of 15¢ and 10¢, respectively, in a single session—both on the back of bearish signals that are resurfacing today. With the added downward pressure of typical Monday trading, today’s movement could follow a similar path, potentially driving prices down to 233 or even challenging the lower blue band at 230.
If the price breaks below 230, it would signal a shift in momentum and open the door for further declines. I should watch for strong volume on any drop below this level, as it could confirm a break in support and set a new range in motion.
Given my strategy to enter on a reversal bar, consider waiting for confirmation that price has indeed tested or broken the support around 233 or 230. If the price drops to those levels, look for a reversal signal—such as a bullish engulfing or hammer pattern—forming at or just below these key support zones.
My entry level:
Short Strategy
First Level: Follow advanced school run strategy as it is quite a break-out set-up.
Second Level: Reversal bar around Yesterday High 249
Long Strategy
First Level: If the price reaches around 233 and shows a reversal bar with strong buying volume, this could be a favorable entry.
Second Level: Should the price break to 230 and quickly rebound with a clear reversal pattern, this would serve as another possible entry point.
US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Local Bearish Reversal?!We spotted a strong bearish reaction to a significant daily horizontal resistance on the 📉Dollar Index.
Following a test of the highlighted blue zone, the price began to consolidate and created a horizontal range on the 4-hour timeframe.
The support level was violated, indicating strength from the sellers. We anticipate a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially reaching 103.44.
USD/CAD teeters on bearish reversal brink ahead of US electionBearish reversal patterns generated by USD/CAD on the daily timeframe have enjoyed a decent track record recently, especially following a pronounced bullish trend. That makes today's early price action interesting, with the price reversing hard after closing at fresh 2024 highs on Friday.
As the daily candle has yet to be competed, getting short pre-emptively screens as a low probability setup. But if we do see a bearish engulfing candle print, it will provide a decent short setup heading into US election day, especially if the price bounces a touch from current levels.
To make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, the price would need to break several nearby levels, including the uptrend from October 15 and horizontal support at 1.3869. If they were to fold, 1.3815 is one potential target with 1.3748 and 1.3700 the next after that. A stop-loss order above Friday's high would offer protection against reversal.
Bolstering the case for potential downside, RSI (14) has broken the uptrend it was sitting in after sitting in overbought territory for more than a week, hinting bullish momentum may be starting to turn. While the signal is yet to be confirmed by MACD, that too is looking like it may soon rollover as it moves closer to the signal line.
Good luck!
DS
"Gold Price Analysis: Testing Key Demand Zones"By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe that the recent price action highlights several important structural points based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Demand and Supply Zones: There are two main order blocks (OB):
Decisional Order Block (DEC OB) located near the $2731 zone, which represents a demand area where buyers previously entered. This level may act as a support if the price approaches it again.
Extreme Order Block (EXT OB) positioned around $2712, acting as a deeper support zone in case the DEC OB does not hold.
Current Price Action: The price is currently testing the DEC OB near the $2731 level. A positive reaction from this zone may indicate a potential reversal or consolidation, while a drop below this level could lead to further movement toward the EXT OB at $2712.
Outlook: If the price stabilizes above $2731, it could indicate a bullish continuation, with potential targets set at $2739, $2744, and $2752. On the other hand, if the price breaks below $2731, it may signal a move down to $2712, where we might see a demand reaction.
BTC.D Keep calm, don't lose your headThe market will do what it always does—play with our emotions. We're all eagerly anticipating an altseason, right? But the market will test everyone’s patience, so it's wiser to stick with spot purchases and use DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) for entry. Don’t give up, and above all, don’t sell now—you’ve weathered a tough bear market.
Dominance is set to decline, just as it has in previous cycles within these Fibonacci parameters. Stay calm, keep your emotions in check, and remember: patience and strategy are key.
AUDCAD SHORTMonthly
Overall sentiment Bullish, I'm expecting price to continue lows having come of a tweezer top candle formation last month with price failing to close above this resistance level at 0.9375 for 2 years now with almost identical PA coming of those very highs. we have EMA support which if breached will be further confluence for big move to the downside.
Weekly
Overall sentiment Bullish, although looking at PA in the bigger picture it seems bullish with price closing below my AOI and dynamic ema resistance I feel there is a chance we can get a ema crossover if PA continues bearish for the early part of next week with aims to fill out previous weekly candles wick. On the other hand any significant change of character or bullish formations or closes above 0.9200 key level and just above previous weekly highs would be a signal of a reversal.
Daily
Overall bearish PA producing LH & LL, I like this daily chart as PA is ver simplified along with LL/LH we have price consistently rejecting AOI at 0.9170 this area is now acting as a resistance whereas it was previously support for the month of October, further confluence is 50 Ema dynamic resistance and weekly fib 0.618 level holding.
4hr + Entry
Overall bearish with somewhat clean PA to the downside, outlooks similar to daily with ema, fib and PA confluences ill await 4hr bearish close somewhere below 0.9160 to execute shorts
This was the analysis I mentioned in previous video where I stated I believe I may prefer this over FX:AUDCHF Shorts
If you find this analysis helpful or even if you oppose it pls like or comment would be good to hear your feedback! ;)
All Technical analysis is for journaling purposes.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/02/2024Good afternoon,
Today, my focus will be on identifying long entries for a long position, as we appear to have reached a selling climax.
On the 15-minute time frame, a robust demand zone is evident between 1.0300 and 1.0400. The market has made a significant move towards 1.0300, leaving indications of early buying activity from "Market Makers." A notable reversal occurred on October 1st, followed by the formation of a bullish wedge (which is typically a bearish pattern) that pushed the market below the previous low. Currently, we are beginning to form a triangle on the 15-minute chart, which serves as a critical signal for a potential market reversal, particularly since it has not managed to fill the liquidity above it. This downward movement seems designed to eliminate the remaining sellers and early buyers. Additionally, my strategy, "High Clear," has materialized, suggesting that a liquidity sweep of the recent low was anticipated.
I am now monitoring the fourth leg of the triangle as it approaches the lower congestion line, preparing for a potential breakout with the fifth leg. It is important to note that if a sixth leg forms, it would indicate a continuation of the market trend.
I suspect that the market is attempting to prompt traders to shift to short positions, setting the stage for one final significant rally towards 1.1300. I anticipate that the market could reach this level in the coming weeks, unless we observe the formation of a six-legged triangle.
The Pip Assassin
FX:EURUSD TVC:DXY XETR:DAX
Strong EUR? - A EUR/USD AnalysisEUR/USD has displayed bullish characteristics over the last couple of weeks.
- We have reach a high in the market @ 1.095.
- This high was made after a bullish A,B,C,D pattern aka (Trend).
- In bullish markets, prices tend to find support at the previous high, the previous high in this market (To me) is @ 1.085.
- We currently have made a bullish pin bar rejection candle on 3/19/2024.
- Currently we have untapped orders at 1.098, this is where I believe prices want to go in the next month.
- Breaking the 1.098 level, could lead to a bigger move up toward 1.11.
** as always, trade smart, trade responsible, and manage the risk as much as the reward **
Mother Line, Trend line and other resistnace up ahead to watch.Before Nifty can fly further there are some important resistances to be crossed in the near by zone are 24368 that is the high of Muhurat day, Mother line resistance at 24391, Trend line resistance near 24400. After closing above 24400, Nifty can quickly reach 24505 or even 24601 in a short time. Supports for Nifty are at 24280, 24239, 24172 and 24142. Final support for Nifty is in the range of 24069 below which bears can create further havoc. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive but FII's deep selling is making the investors vary and fearful this does not include DIIs as of now but below certain level even they can start to give in if things do not improve. Shadow of the candle is slightly positive.
Where to next with XAUUSD (GOLD) ?FX:XAUUSD
Monthly
So the big question is where is GOLD going next?! As shown on the Monthly chart GOLD has been extremely bullish throughout 2023/2024. My outlooks is mixed with current PA but mostly LONG GOLD, I can't see any real reason to short XAUUSD especially looking at this Monthly chart as we have dynamic support from the EMA's, strong bullish candles and consistent Higher highs however thorough analysis of the lower time frames is needed before any conclusions are met.
Weekly
Looking at the Weekly chart and candle close I would expect price to potentially pull back the slightest into structure to continue with its lovely trend of higher lows and higher highs. as demonstrated with arrow. I see this only happening with a breach & close below last weeks support at 2,708.62 along with LH and LL off structure (AOI) which will be shown on other charts.
Daily
Daily charts begin to decipher potential next moves as we have massive bearish engulfing nearly taking out the 2 before it. As shown Fridays price closed at an AOI which was a very significant level in the past weeks holding as strong resistance then support which took price much higher but as we can see the daily candle spiked through this level but did not close along with 10 EMA close dynamic support however the last daily candle especially closing below this AOI tells me we could definitely take the move lower if there is a bearish 4hr close somewhere around market open.
If price goes bearish and breaks both structure levels AOI then I see a deeper retracement into previous structure highs as shown below
4hr + Entry
4hr makes things clearer as explained before I wouldn't be making any moves until either a few 4hr closes at the beginning of market open or a daily close bullish or bearish, this is because we have EMA crossover to the downside and 50 EMA resistance but these can all be breached to the upside based on how gold has been moving and a close above 2,741.50 (4hr or daily) as shown with arrow heading to the upside.
the other option is price continues short term bearish based on ema confluence and PA along with structure resistance as shown after bullish pullback which failed and was engulfed. looking to the left price has already gone short from this AOI and if it does but doesn't reverse from the lower grey box AOI it will fall into Previous Structure highs as outlined.
Possible entries
I favour these in order. ;)
XRP Scalping-Day trading HIGH RISKHigh Risk
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
XRP appears likely to respect the daily bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), and it's rare to see such setups on this asset. Given this unique opportunity, I’ve decided to enter, aiming to close the trade around the Intermediate Term High (ITH).
This is a straightforward setup: stop-loss placed at the swing low, as a break there could indicate a move to seek liquidity at lower levels. Target profit is set in the premium zone.
Litecoin, and the "Falling Three Methods Candlestick Pattern"On November 27th, 2023 the “Collapse to $30” idea was published (below). The idea was met with some rebuttal, shall we say.
The evidence for a collapse in Litecoin price action has only grown in the past few months.
A new candle prints on the above 2-month chart in 14 days. If it prints as is, it will be a Gravestone DOJI. Such candlesticks on this timeframe represent significant profit taking and selling pressure.
The yellow arrows identify bearish engulfing candles. The last one printed on September 2023, confirming legacy support as resistance.
The print was followed by three green candles. Do you recognise them? And the red one that now follows it?
This candlestick pattern is called the “Falling Three Methods Candlestick Pattern”. It is a continuation pattern. When three Green candles in-between the bearish engulfing and DOJI are unable to close above the bearish engulfing candle, a significant sell off prints. Overall the pattern is informing you of the inherent weakness in price action.
Litecoin bulls, you’ve been warned!
Ww
CADJPY: Strong Selling Pressure EvidentA bearish breakout has occurred in CADJPY, with the price breaking below both an upward trendline and a horizontal demand zone.
Following a retest of the broken trendline, a strong rejection suggests potential for further downside movement.
The next key support level to monitor is 108.83.
CADJPY: Clear Strength of the SellersWe observed a bearish breakout on CADJPY, with the price breaking through both an upward trend line and a horizontal demand area.
After retesting the broken trend line, there was a strong rejection, indicating potential for further downward movement.
The next support level to watch for is at 108.83.
Near-term Bullish DXY Bias
Monthly chart for DXY hints a possible distribution zone formation.
As there is a bullish candlestick pattern formed at last month, bullish bias seems to be the higher possible trend for now.
Weekly Bullish trend channel formation suggest higher upside is likely, however, last bar doji candlestick pattern suggest indecision.
Near-term support and resistance at 100.25 and 106.50.
Last Friday bullish bar closes back near Monday's opening reinforced near term bullish bias.
Looking forward, next week 5 Nov being US presidential elections day will add volatility to the market.
So, price may likely to go the next higher order block area.
AUDCHF SHORTAs outlined in the video i expect this pair to continue short as it has been the last few weeks, toward the end of last week it did pull back quite abit, along with all other AUD pairs so i was just watching it for another entry which it has given. I must say the position is pretty text book and i will have eyes on for the market open and the first few higher timeframe closes to see the sentiment likely continue.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
4hr & Entry
All ideas ill be posting are strictly for journalling purposes, therefore always do your own due diligence but if you like the analysis and breakdown pls leave a thumbs up and comment ;)