LODHA - Bearish due to forming double Top pattern
TECHNICAL INDICATORS -
DOUBLE TOP PATTERN formation -
NSE:LODHA has formed a double top pattern indicating strong downward pressure for the stock
Double top is characterized by two consecutive peaks on a price chart, with a dip or low between them & subsequent breakout
VOLUME SPIKE -
the stock has recently shown two large volume spikes indicating strong upcoming momentum for the stock
Generally volumes increase before a significant price movement
SHOOTING STAR candlestick -
the stock has formed a shooting star candlestick recently indicating trend reversal for it ie from upward movement to downward movement
Shooting star is characterized by a small body at bottom and a long upper shadow of a candlestick
GAP-DOWN BREAKOUT -
the stock has broken out of the pattern with a gap-down indicating very strong downward pressure
PROFIT TARGET -
1200
STOP LOSS -
1325
Candlestick Analysis
Dxy bullish idea for next week - MMBMThis is a bullish possibility for DXY price action for next week.
Monthly:
- Price took a swing low confluent with a bearish breaker in discount and closed above the level;
Weekly:
- Price Took a swing below monthly swing with a bullish reaction. If this week closes with above previous weeks high, it confirms a bullish weekly swing;
Daily:
- Monday printed the likelly low of the week
- A daily fair value gap is open allow with a volume imballance around monday open signalling bullish price action - a retrace to these levels would be a good buying opportunity.
4h:
- there is a market maker buy model in play.
- as of now, price already printed an intermidiate term low signalling that low risk buy myght have happened.
News forecast:
- I expect NFP to either retrace price to daily fvg or daily volume imbalance and leave a bullish reaction.
- FOMC next week might bring the volatility to complete the mmbm
Thank you for reading
No BREAKDOWN! Yet to decide the trend! As we can see despite the break it managed to close inside the structure and hence still the indecision remains in view as till it sustains either side of the structure, no directional move can be expected but gaps can be created due to war like situation leading to sluggishness in the market so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily previous Structure point
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.41
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
NVIDIA: Breakout above ascending triangle, retest confirmationNVDA has been forming an ascending triangle over the past few weeks, with declining volume. Finally, it broke out yesterday, and today, we had a retest of the resistance line. NVDA was down about 1% earlier today however after a successful retest of the resistance line, it is now up 0.8% at the time of writing.
In terms of support, it seems the price has successfully bounced off the 50-Day SMA line. While an ascending triangle is bullish, the 200-Day SMA is likely going to be a point of resistance (around $125).
This is amid the renewed overall market strength and the news related to the reduced limitations of exporting AI chips - which is contributing to the momentum.
Please note: Not financial advice.
Gold is expected to fall below 3300, continue to short gold!Fundamentals:
1. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although the gold price gradually rebounded after hitting 3320 points, the current rebound momentum is relatively weak. The gold price has turned from strong to weak, and the short-term "M"-shaped top structure formed by 3435 points and 3414 points above has suppressed the upward space of the gold price. Therefore, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound. First, we focus on the resistance area of 3355-3365 points above. If the gold price rebound fails to successfully break through this area, the gold price will fall again and is expected to continue to fall to around 3280 points.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold after gold rebounds to the 3355-3365 area, target price: 3340
Pay attention to 3360 and go short if it does not break🗞News side:
1. China and the United States hold talks on trade issues
2. India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
3. Geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold has fallen below the trend line support. In the short term, we should focus on the battle for 3360. This point is not only the previous support-to-resistance level, but also the key signal for judging the trend reversal. If it cannot hold on to this position, the short trend will continue; if it recovers effectively, it may return to above 3400. Before losing the defensive line (the last starting and falling point) 3360-3362, the bears will still have the upper hand. It just so happens that the 4H lifeline is also in the 3360-3362 area. If the suppression is successful, the price will enter the 3362-3284 area from the lifeline to the lower track.
The rebound layout of the US market operation is short-selling, with the target at 3340-3330, and further support at 3310-3300.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
AUDCAD: More Growth Ahead?! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD bounced strongly after a test of a significant daily/intraday support cluster.
The price managed to violate a resistance line of a falling wedge
pattern and close above that on an hourly time frame.
I expect a movement higher at least to 0.8944
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Is Horizen $ZEN The Next Big Crypto Investment Opportunity?In May 2025, LSE:ZEN has reached a strong imbalance trading at $8 after a period of consolidation for a couple of months. A morning star price action candlestick pattern is being created This imbalance suggests that buying pressure is outweighing selling pressure, creating a favorable environment for potential upward momentum.
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Gold prices are plummeting, is a bear market coming?🗞News side:
1. China and the United States hold talks on trade issues
2. India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
3. Geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
Today, gold surged to the 3410 line and then ushered in a sharp fall, with the lowest touching near the 3322 line. We also seized the opportunity to notify our VIPs to enter the market, and all VIP members made good gains. At present, gold is still following the news, and the fundamental influencing factors are relatively complicated. Retail investors who trade alone can easily get caught up in the recent gold fluctuations. The gold price fluctuated repeatedly around 3340. The European session focused on the conversion suppression of the 3350-3360 support area. The 4H Bollinger Bands showed a closing shape. If the gold price cannot stand above 3350, then the bulls need to be repaired in the short term before they can continue to rise. The European session focused on the 3350-3360 resistance above and the 3310-3300 support below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold is expected to pull back, short gold!Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech;
I think the Fed will keep the interest rate decision unchanged this time, at least it will not announce a rate cut this time, which may suppress the gold market;
Technical aspects:
Before the Fed's interest rate decision, gold is currently in a volatile state. However, relatively speaking, it is currently in a volatile and bearish state, with short-term resistance in the 3395-3405 area; and gold has repeatedly tested the 3370-3360 below during the retracement process. After multiple tests, gold may be more likely to break through this support area; the key support below is in the 3360-3350 area, followed by the 3320-3310 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3395-3405 area, TP: 3370-3360
BCHUSD getting ready for gainsHello traders,
this is a monthly chart - to keep things really simple.
For the last 2 years BCH price has been "climbing stairs". These "stairs" are based on important levels dating 6 years back (green lines). Price action from Q2 of 2021 up until now has been creating a 'cup and handle' pattern. Handle has beatifully reversed from support level, RSI has found support at 50 level (also important level).
This seems a good entry point to me, with target price for profit taking at 1000-1100 USD. Trade is invalidated, if price dips below 265 USD (one step lower).
It will take some time for this to play out - remember, it is a monthly chart.
This is not a financial advice, trade at your own risk.
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup.
Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊
If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂
Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾
Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below.
Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽
GOLD (XAUUSD): Retest of ATH Soon!Gold broke through a daily significant horizontal resistance level yesterday and closed above it.
It appears that the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the price expected to retest its all-time high soon.
After reaching this level, be prepared for a potential breakout that could drive prices even higher.
AUD/USD Looks Set for a PullbackThe V-bottom on AUD/USD certainly delivered for bulls, considering its low was printed amid a flurry of panicked headlines with the Aussie was on the brink of falling below 59c. But we're yet to see a pullback, even though it has been teasing one for a few weeks.
But given AUD/USD formed its most bearish day since April 4 on Wednesday, with a bearish engulfing candle which saw a false break of 65c before closing beneath its 200-day SMA, perhaps a pullback is imminent.
Also note the bearish divergence on the RSI (2).
Bears could seek to fade into moves towards the 200-day SMA, and retain a bearish bias while prices remain beneath Wednesday's high. A retest of the April VPOC at 0.6371 seems feasible, and a break beneath the 0.6344 low assumes a much larger correction is underway.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Gold fluctuates in a narrow range ahead of the Fed rate🗞News side:
1. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates
2. China is willing to engage with the US, and the situation has eased
📈Technical aspects:
The price of gold fell sharply after the market opened today, once falling to around 3360. Currently, gold is oscillating slightly between 3375-3390. The market has no clear trading direction for the time being. Gold is not expected to change much before the Federal Reserve interest rate is announced. Today, gold prices have continuously tested the lower support 3370-3360, and the upper short-term resistance is focused on the 3390-3400 line. We maintain shock treatment for short-term trading. The focus will be on today’s Fed interest rate issues and talks between China and the United States.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Simple Break of Structure BoS Trading Strategy Explained
One of the best and reliable strategies to trade break of structure BoS is to apply multiple time frame analysis.
In this article, I will teach you my break of structure gold forex trading strategy. You will get a complete step-by-step guide with examples.
Let's start with a quick theory and let me explain to you what is break of structure BoS in Smart Money Concept SMC trading.
In a bullish trend, break of structure BoS is an important event that signifies a continuation of an uptrend. It is based on a violation and a candle close above the level of the last higher high (HH).
After a breakout, the broken level becomes the first strong support for trend-following buying.
Check multiple examples of confirmed breaks of structure BoS on GBPNZD forex pair on a weekly time frame.
In a downtrend, Break of Structure BoS means a bearish trend continuation . Break of Structure is considered to be confirmed when a candle closes below the level of the last lower low (LL).
The broken key level becomes the closest strong support for buying.
That's the example of a healthy downtrend on USDJPY forex pair on a daily. Each break of structure BoS pushed the prices lower, providing a strong signal to sell.
What newbie traders do incorrectly, they trade break of structure without a confirmation strategy, and it leads to substantial losses.
Though GBPCHF is trading in a bullish trend and though each BoS provided a trend-following signal. The price retraced significantly lower below the broken structure before the growth resumed.
When the price retests a broken structure after BoS in a bullish trend, start lower time frame analysis.
If you identified a break of structure on a daily, analyze 4h/1h time frames.
If on a 4H, then 30/15 minutes.
After the price sets a new higher high with BoS in uptrend, it usually starts trading in a minor bearish trend on lower time frames.
With our strategy, your signal to buy will be a retest of a broken structure and a consequent bullish Change of Character CHoCH . That will provide an accurate bullish signal.
In a bearish trend, analyze the lower time frames after a retest of a broken structure. Your signal to sell will be a bearish Change of Character CHoCH.
Look at a price action on EURCHF on a daily.
We see a strong bullish trend and a confirmed Break of Structure BoS.
According to the rules of our trading strategy, we start analyzing 4h/1h time frames after a retest of a broken level of the last Higher High.
Our signal to buy is an intraday bullish CHoCH. We open a long trade after that with the stop loss below the intraday lows and take profit being a current high.
That's how simple this strategy is.
Multiple time frame analysis provides the extra level of security.
Strong lower time frame confirmation substantially increases the win ratio of a trading setup.
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Very Strong performance by Nifty to close in Positive todayDespite the fear of escalation of tensions at Indo-Pak border and Indian carrying out Operation Sindoor Nifty closed in Green today. This signifies the strength of Indian market, India as an Economy and India as a country. Very few would have imagined that Indian markets will close in Green today when the market begun early morning. The situation still remains fluid/dynamic and explosive. so still investors should keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 24315 (Strong Mother line for hourly chart), 24202, 24083, 23944 and 23754 (Strong Father Line support). Below 23754 Bears can take control of the market and drag it towards 23K.
Resistances For Nifty remain at: 24430, 24528, 24616 and 24863. Closing above 24863 can empower Bulls in a big way to Pull Index towards 25K+ levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
The Long, Flat Road AheadWith the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in focus, I wanted to revise a previous idea that called for 6% on the 10 year T-bill, and provide a clearer read on what I’m seeing as the larger trend, which could provide important clues for the future of everything from monetary policy, to mortgage rates, and stocks.
Starting with the 500R chart, I think we are seeing a clear flat correction form, with the current segment of the trend being Wave C of (B). In a flat correction, the endpoint of (B) should reach at least 100% of (A). It can also extend further or, in less common cases, only reach 90% of (A), however for the purposes of this idea I will assume the yield will retrace to the 100% level, which is just above 5%.
If this were to play out, it would suggest incoming pressure to financial markets that will eventually subside, likely later in the year. Something else to look for is that if this (B) wave were to fit a Zig Zag structure, that would cause waves (A) and (B) to be of the same pattern, so we should anticipate an alternate pattern in (C), such as a flat, diagonal, or triangle.
The question on everybody's mind at the moment is if/when the next interest rate cut is coming. For today's announcement, I expect there to be no surprises, which can also be supported by short term technicals.
Looking at the 100R chart (right) and Daily chart (left) at the same time provides useful context. The yield bounced off the 0.618 retracement of the 4/4 - 4/11 rise (labeled as 0.382 on the fib extension) and should have upward momentum. On the contrary, the Daily chart shows resistance at what appears to be a more well-defined lower high, with imbalances below. On the 100R chart, I also have a box drawn to show the extremities of the 500R bar. I expect the yield to move higher without creating a new 500R bar - which means the max low would be just below 4.10%.
A retracement to this level would lead to the yield hitting the middle line of the lower imbalance, which should be a key liquidity zone. From there, a move to the 1.618 extension would take the yield to the targeted 5%.
Something else I look for when detecting reversals is divergence on the Fisher Transform oscillator. I have it on both charts, which suggests a near-term move to the downside. Divergences are even more reliable on the Range charts, so a slightly lower low on the yield occurring while Fisher makes a higher low would signal that yields are about to rise higher.
Assuming we see similar action play out, this would support my fundamental prediction that FOMC will temporarily provide relief to the markets - possibly from there being no surprises or dovish comments on rate cuts. I would, however, expect this to be short lived. Since I am already calling for stocks to be near a major reversal level, I expect a sharp rise in bond yields to correspond with a more powerful sell off of stocks than what we saw in February-April. More likely catalysts could be hot CPI and/or failure of US/China trade talks.
Since there isn't much left to comment about on the technical side of things, I'll leave it at that. I ultimately expect the yield to start moving to 5%, so if it starts moving higher from here (4.36% currently), it would invalidate the idea that this will make one more push lower this week. We'll see what happens. Thank you for reading and let me know what you think!