GBPCAD Wave Analysis – 26 March 2025
- GBPCAD reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.8230
GBPCAD recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.8625 resistance trendline of the weekly up channel from 2023 and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the weekly Shooting Star candlesticks reversal pattern – which started the active wave iv.
Given the strongly bearish sterling sentiment and the overbought weekly Stochastic, GBPCAD can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.8230.
Candlestick Analysis
Long Trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side
Date: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
Time: noon NY Time (London to NY PM session)
Trade Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 0.18921
Take Profit (TP): 0.20725 (+9.35%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.18652 (-1.42%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.71
Reason: Observing price action since 23rd March, and momentum to the upside, I decided to place another buyside trade.
Nifty Coming back to test its supports.After a proper breakout and a rally which stretched above 1900 points from the March 4 lows, Nifty was clearly overbought on the hourly chart. It might be coming down for one or more of the following reasons:
1) Retesting support from where it can launch fresh move.
2) Correcting the RSI which had gone into the overbought zone.
3) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial year closing approaching on 28th March 2025.
3) The rally might have fizzled out.
4) Tax harvesting being done by retail investors.
5) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial
The first 4 options seem to be more likely of the 5 points mentioned above. FII was again on the buying side today so DII and Retail were the major selling parties.
Nifty Supports currently remain at:
1) Strong support zone of 23398 and 23309 (Hourly Mother Line support). This zone also includes the formidable mid channel support.
2) Next support is at 23145.
3) The next critical support for the rally remains at (Father line of the hourly chart) which is at 22959.
4) Final support for the rally will be at Channel bottom which is at 22801.
Nifty Resistance currently are at:
1) 23602 which is now a resistance.
2) 23749 a formidable resistance.
3) Recent rally top at 23869.
4) The zone between 24071 and 24267. (The areas that can be new channel top).
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More volatility can be expected int the next 2 days due to ongoing Ukraine-US-Russia announcements, Financial year expiry and Trump Tarif updates. Trade with caution.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
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Nifty Futures Short Setup – Targeting 23,561-23,539📉 Nifty Futures Short Setup – Targeting 23,561-23,539 📉
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: here
Target: 23,561 – 23,390
Exit Zone (Invalidation): Above 23,765
Trade Rationale:
Rejection from resistance
Weak momentum signals further downside
Ideal for intraday or short-term traders
🚨 Watch for confirmation before entry!
#Nifty #NiftyFutures #StockMarket #TradingSetup #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #IntradayTrading #NSE #MarketAnalysis #OptionsTrading
Gold Faces Repeated Rejections, Bearish Outlook RemainsAlthough gold has yet to confirm a significant downtrend, it has faced multiple rejections around the 3030-3040 resistance zone in recent sessions. Notably, after touching 3036 yesterday, gold experienced a sharp pullback, forming a long upper shadow on the candlestick chart. This price action has diminished the supportive effect of the underlying W-bottom structure.
If gold continues to struggle to break above the 3030-3040 zone, the current seemingly strong price action may prove to be a false signal, merely a setup for a subsequent decline. Additionally, with geopolitical risks easing and no significant fundamental drivers supporting further upside, I remain optimistic about a bearish continuation in gold.
We can consider scaling into short positions within the 3028-3038 range, patiently targeting a retest of the 3010-3000 zone. A confirmed break below 3000 could accelerate further downside toward the 2995-2985 region.
I would make more detailed trading plans and trading signals every day according to the real-time market situation, which is also the testimony of every successful transaction and profit of mine; the article has a certain lag, if you want to copy the trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article
EURAUD: Bearish Correction Continues EURAUD formed a huge cup and handle pattern and has broken through its neckline on a 4-hour time frame.
This breakout confirms a change in market sentiment and suggests a potential bearish reversal in the near term.
It is possible that the market will continue to decline and could soon reach the 1.7000 level.
CADJPY: Intraday Bearish Reversal?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
There is a high chance that CADJPY will retraced from the
underlined blue resistance.
I see strong bearish confirmation on an hourly time frame:
a formation of a bearish imbalance and a change of character.
I expect a bearish move to 105.05
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Gold is eyeing highs after a bullish daily candleThis is def a consolidation range so keep your eyes sharp and pay attention to what happens as we break into the highs. Will we displace with longs or will be be saturated by the bearish imbalances above the current hourly range?
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Gold is expected to rise to the 3030-3040 zone againGold encountered a clear rejection signal after reaching around 3036, indicating the presence of resistance and a technical need to retest support. Currently, gold is undergoing this support retest.
Within the current structure, gold has established a notable W-bottom pattern, with key support formed around the 3000 and 3003 levels. This structural support remains relatively strong. If gold manages to hold above the 3015-3005 support zone during the retest, a renewed upward move is likely. In that scenario, gold could resume its ascent, potentially retesting the 3030-3040 resistance range.
So in terms of short-term trading, if gold pulls back to the 3015-3005 zone, we can consider going long on gold in moderation.I would make more detailed trading plans and trading signals every day according to the real-time market situation, which is also the testimony of every successful transaction and profit of mine; the article has a certain lag, if you want to copy the trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Time to Recover
I see a confirmed bullish reversal on Dollar Index
initiated after a test of a key daily horizontal support.
A formation of a double bottom pattern on that and a consequent
violation of its neckline provides a strong bullish signal.
I think that the index will reach at least 105.0 level soon.
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EURUSD - Has Bears Taken Control Now? First and foremost, I want to give a lot of credit to TradingView for picking my previous EURUSD post as the editors picks!
If we have a look at how this week has delivered, the previous weeks buyside was attacked before EURUSD saw rejection, indicating further decline in price.
This also goes hand in hand with the expansion with dollar index
Dow Jones - Frontrunning Nasdaq & S&P 500When comparing Dow Jones to Nasdaq and S&P500, you will notice that this weeks price range is larger than the others, indicating that Dow Jones is the front running market.
Dow is the leading stock index pair to study. If I am expecting to see appreciation in NQ, ES, I want to see YM move first.
ZB1! - Will Donald Trump Pump The Bond Market? On Wednesday, Trump mentioned the need to lower interest rates as the tariffs will have major effects with the rates being where they are at now.
In the last, whenever yields rise, bonds will fall and we have been seeing this from the beginning of September 2024, with minor signs of retracement (factoring Jan 2025 bull run)
Overall, when you look at price action over the past few weeks, it seems as though the bull run has slowed down and there could be a chance for bonds to drop to 116 going into next week.
Short - EUR/JPYGiven the structure that has been formed in the 4 hour timeframe. We can see that there is CHOCH within the structure. This could indicate us that there is potential for the price to move downwards. Currently the price has just touched the first reversal point of the fibonacci retracement it has yet to touch the 2nd reversal point. I would not rush my entry as there are still potential for the price to climb up to the medium risk and low risk zone.
US10Y - Will Donald Trumps Lower Interest Rates Come True?President Donald Trump late Wednesday criticized the Federal Reserve, urging the central bank to reduce interest rates, hours after it chose to leave borrowing rates unchanged.
He quotes “The Fed would be MUCH better off CUTTING RATES as U.S. Tariffs start to transition (ease!) their way into the economy,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social on Wednesday, adding “Do the right thing.”
On Thursday, we witnessed manipulation to the downside, indicating that in the short term we could be in for higher yields, with 4.267% being the 1st point of interest.
Reference: abcnews.go.com
XAUUSD – Market Profile - Week 13 Update - 25.03.25IB (3002–3033) formed Monday.
Confirmed Failed Auction Low after reclaiming VAL (3014).
POC now migrating up (3020), price holding inside value (3012–3026).
Watching for 4H close above IB High (3033) to trigger IBX Long toward 3050–3070.
No valid short plays historically from this structure.
#XAUUSD #MarketProfile #FailedAuction #IBX #PipsnPaper
Silver’s Bullish Breakout Raises Stakes for $34.24 RetestSilver delivered a monster bullish candle on Tuesday, completing a morning star pattern while smashing through wedge resistance that had capped gains earlier in the week. With RSI (14) setting higher lows and MACD on the verge of a bullish crossover, price and momentum signals suggest a growing risk of a retest of the March 18 high at $34.24.
Silver has a habit of gravitating toward round figures, making any pullback toward $33.50 a potential buying opportunity where longs could be established above with a stop beneath for protection. Resistance may emerge near $34, though $34.24 appears a more meaningful initial target. A break above that could encourage bulls to chase a move toward the October high of $34.87.
If silver reverses back beneath former wedge resistance and holds there, the bullish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS