Candlestick Analysis
NEM SHORT IDEANEM Insurance stock is ready to have a drop. There's a bearish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator showing that there's a high tendency for the price of the stock to drop as much as to 11.65 and below that value. Any value below 11.50 is the discount level where there can be a potential for the next long opportunity.
Looking at the past data, some patterns were revealed. In September 2016, there was a bearish divergence signal and the price dropped from around 3.71 to around around 1.51. Likewise, in September 2022, there was a bearish divergence and the price dropped from around 5.65 to around 3.71. Similar pattern is what is repeating itself showing that there's a higher probability that the price dropped into the discount level. For an investor holding this stock, this maybe a signal to sell and wait for another long opportunity. For a trader, it's an opportunity to short the stock, targeting the discount price around 11.65.
Confluences for the short signal:
1. Price is showing higher high while awesome oscillator is showing lower high indicating bearish divergence.
2. When similar patterns occured in the past, price dropped into the discount level.
3. A bearish engulfing candlestick had been formed showing that price is likely going to drop further.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
GBPAUD…being the best is a mindset!!Good day traders, I am back again with another great setup and again another opportunity to learn something new.
On the daily TF on GBpAUD we still in a bearish structure and if we use the 2022 model, we had a structure shift lower and now that price is retesting the OTE entry levels we can now expect price to shoot lower, before you asked about the recent FVG on 4H TF. That newly formed BISI is that candle that created the BPR and from what I’ve learned is that price normally shoots past BPR’s.
My poll of liquidity is resting below(weekly), that Ray line makes weekly represents previous week’s low which we want to see the market get to. Just on top of that ray line we have a FVG that price left open, we also wanna see price fill that FVG fully.
Why EUR vs GBP Could Be Your Best Trade This Week!When it comes to forex swing trading or even forex intraday trading, the temptation to zoom into lower timeframes—like the 15-minute or 1-hour charts—is strong. Most forex traders focus on short-term momentum, often diving into scalping strategies that chase quick pips. However, the real edge lies where most don’t look: the higher timeframes, particularly the weekly chart. The EUR/GBP forex pair is a perfect example of these higher timeframes' power, especially when paired with smart money concepts like demand and supply imbalances.
EUR/GBP: A Hidden Gem for Forex Swing Traders
The EUR/GBP Forex cross pair is often overlooked compared to major USD-based pairs. However, for seasoned swing traders and institutional players, EUR/GBP offers deep liquidity, cleaner technical analysis and price action structures, and strong reaction zones that are respected time and time again.
At the end of May 2025, a significant weekly demand imbalance at 0.8384 finally took control of price action—something smart money traders had been anticipating for months. This wasn't a surprise for those watching the higher timeframes. Similar to how the previous weekly imbalance at 0.8299 took control in February 2025, these zones have proven critical in guiding the medium- to long-term direction of EUR/GBP.
How to plan for gold price box fluctuations🗞News side:
1. The situation between Russia and Ukraine escalated again
2. Israel in the Gaza Strip was once again criticized by the international community
📈Technical aspects:
After gold opened lower today, it fell into a small box-shaped shock in the short term. It seems that the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East over the weekend did not have further impact on the gold price. The gold daily level closed with a positive line again, injecting new vitality into the trading space last week. These two rounds of rise not only successfully crossed the resistance level of 3250 last Monday, but also further broke through the suppression of 3320, showing a clear upward trend. The current volatility is more like a correction after breaking through the previous high! Last Friday, the price failed to break through the 3370 line several times and encountered resistance continuously, which shows that the pressure from above is still relatively strong! Due to the particularity of today's market trading, the technical side of the hourly chart shows a downward trend. The European session temporarily focuses on the 3350-3355 line resistance, and the 3330-3320 support is seen below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
USD/CHF: Ducks in a Row for a Dive Below .8200?USD/CHF is teetering on .8200 horizontal support, with a break of the level opening the door for a move towards the April low at .8040.
With price and momentum indicators both trending lower, and Friday’s bearish engulfing candle warning of further dollar weakness, the ducks appear to be lining up for downside near term.
If the price breaks .8200 and holds there, consider initiating shorts with a stop above the level for protection. .8100 and .8040 screen as potential targets.
Good luck!
DS
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: SHIB/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Breakdown
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🕗 Time: LND Session AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001433
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001401 (+2.23%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001440 (-0.49%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.57
🔍 Reasoning:
A New York session high was swept during the Tokyo session, triggering a liquidity trap. This was quickly followed by strong sell-side pressure, validating the setup for a lower low. The LND session entry capitalised on directional momentum as market structure broke to the downside
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BONK/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001992
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001908 (+4.22%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00002007 (-0.75%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.60
🔍 Reasoning:
This breakout trade was initiated after BONK/USDT failed to sustain its rally and formed a lower high structure. The price broke below a key intraday support zone during the LND AM session, signalling a shift in directional order flow.
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
EUR/USD: Engulfing candle, momentum signals boost bullish caseThe case for EUR/USD upside was looking good even before Donald Trump’s latest tariff backflip on EU imports, with Friday’s engulfing candle joining momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD in generating bullish signals.
With the price banging on the door of minor resistance at 1.1380, a bullish setup has been generated. If the price can clear 1.1380 and hold there, longs could be established on the break with a stop beneath for protection. Offers may emerge around 1.1420 where the pair topped out in late April, making that screen as an initial target. For those seeking greater risk-reward, 1.1500 has proven to be a strong resistance zone over the years, making that another level to aim for.
While the U.S. dollar has benefitted from similar tariff backflips previously, they are now widely expected by traders, meaning the tailwind they used to provide may no longer apply.
Good luck!
DS
Short trade
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: PEPE/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
📅 Date: Sunday, 26th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 0.00001317
🔹 Profit Target: 0.00001267 (+3.18%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.00001324 (-0.53%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.14
🔍 Reasoning:
This sell-side breakout trade was initiated during the LND AM session following a clean break of consolidation support, with price accelerating through key short-term liquidity.
Congestion Entrance TradingCongestion Entrance marks the transition from a trend to a period of uncertainty and range-bound price action.
📘 Key Concepts:
Congestion begins when price fails to close on one side of the PL Dot for 3 bars.
The first bar that closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot (after a trend) is the Congestion Entrance bar.
This signals a likely end of the previous trend and the beginning of congestion or reversal.
🧩 Key Structures:
Dotted Line: Highest high (or lowest low) of the previous trend — often acts as a cap or floor.
Block Level: Low (or high) of the Congestion Entrance bar — often attracts price and marks congestion boundaries.
Parameters of Congestion: The range defined by the Dotted Line and Block Level.
⚙️ How It Evolves:
There are multiple transition scenarios, for example:
Trend Up → Action → Trend Down: Resistance holds at the Dotted Line, Block Level breaks.
Trend Down → Action → Trend Up: Support holds at the Block Level, Dotted Line breaks.
Trend Up/Down → Reversal: Direct shift into opposite trend if support/resistance is firm enough — skipping action phase.
🔍 Key Takeaways:
Congestion Entrance is often the first clue the market is shifting gears.
It's essential to monitor how price reacts to the PL Dot, Dotted Line, and Block Level.
Anticipate Ping trades (quick scalps) or prep for potential Congestion Action if price fails to establish a trend after entrance.
📌 Pro Tip: Watch how higher timeframes align — if the HTP is showing signs of topping or bottoming, the LTP congestion entrance may lead into a reversal or major trend change.
KHB - Downtrend Phase is FINISHED ?KHB - CURRENT PRICE : RM0.125
KHB was in downtrend since its listing day on 08 OCTOBER 2024. Recently the stock price rise with a bullish candlestick on 09 MEI 2025. The stock is making higher high and higher low. This indicates that the downtrend may end. At current price, it gives an attractive RISK REWARD RATIO.
ENTRY PRICE : RM0.125
TARGET PRICE : RM0.140 (+12%) and RM0.150 (+20)
SUPPORT : RM0.115 (-8%) --- The low of long white candle
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-05-23 15:30 UTC💹 BTC/USDT – Technical Analysis (5-min Chart | Binance Spot)
Date: May 23, 2025 | Time: 15:30 UTC
📈 Market Structure & Outlook:
Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a neutral-to-bullish intraday structure, with confirmation bias leaning toward accumulation amid short-term consolidation. The price action is positioned just above key intraday support, with a visible tightening range between major liquidity zones. MACD bullish crossover and candlestick strength indicate persistent buying interest, despite RSI flattening.
📊 Key Indicators:
MACD: Positive histogram (+98.62) confirms bullish crossover; momentum remains constructive.
RSI (14): Neutral at 62.0 — no overbought pressure, leaves room for upside.
ATR (14): Elevated at 368.77 — indicative of high-volatility regime; adjust risk accordingly.
OBV: Net-negative (-1,662) but recovering; suggests quiet accumulation underway.
EMA/SMA:
200-period SMA acting as dynamic support at 109,162.
Price above 50/100 EMA, showing intraday bullish posture.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: 107,968.77 (support zone convergence).
Upper Band: 110,355.26 (immediate resistance ceiling).
🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
109,525–109,550 → EMA/Bollinger convergence zone.
109,162 → 200 SMA acting as institutional anchor.
Resistance:
110,000 → Psychological + stacked ask liquidity zone.
110,280–110,355 → Bollinger top + structural rejection zone (last seen at 14:25 UTC).
🔑 Candlestick Confluence:
Bullish Marubozu (14:30 UTC): Full-bodied candle indicating aggressive buying.
Piercing Line (14:25 UTC): Reversal cue reinforcing dip-buy narrative.
🎯 Trade Setup (Institutional Playbook):
Position Type: Intraday Tactical Long
Entry Zone: 109,525–109,600
Stop-Loss: 109,150 (below SMA-200 + volatility buffer)
Take-Profit: 110,280
Risk/Reward: ~1.8x
Execution Note: Watch for bid thinning below 109,550. Size down to accommodate ATR-adjusted slippage (1.5x).
📌 Summary:
Momentum favors bulls above 109,525; technical alignment supports continuation toward 110,280. However, volatility and macro headlines demand surgical execution and proactive risk control. Maintain discipline around liquidity pockets.
Short trade
5min TF
🟥 Sell-side Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USDT
🏷️ Type: Intraday | LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Liquidity Target (London Low)
📅 Date: Sunday, 25th May 2025
🕓 Time: 4:00 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 107,515.89
🔹 Profit Target: 106,345.53 (+1.09%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 107,711.93 (-0.18%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.97
🔍 Reasoning:
The trade was positioned as a sell-side continuation with a focus on targeting London session low liquidity,
USDCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at the AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.83000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.99
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD short Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.11
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bitcoin 97k??(USD gaining strength)Good day traders, I’m back again with this beauty of a setup on BTCUSD, first things first on the daily TF price created a balanced price confirming our Thursday’s high as the high of the week.
On the 4H TF and this is where my focus is at, on the chart you can clearly see the levels that I would like to see price reaching to. The first one is my 4 hour FVG that I would like to see price leave open because of the second rectangle(1H BPR), to see how I came about this hourly balanced price range, you can just jump to the hourly and try to see how I got to that BPR for educational reward.
On the hourly if we take a closer look, we see that the 4H FVG and the 1 hour FVG are on top of each other again that’s a confirmation to consider. Back on this TF what I’m expecting to see is price try and fail getting to that 4H FVG and than shoot lower to our relative lows.