Candlestick Analysis
Will NZDUSD continue its bearishness?From my analysis, NZDUSD may become bullish for a few days till it gets to the marked point of interest. Then, it'll continue its bearish trend again.
This trade idea has a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:10.
Patience will play a huge role in the execution of this trade.
Silver looks ready to reverse higherThursday's trading in silver saw a brief fall to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price then quickly rallied and closed green on the day, forming a fine bull hammer candlestick. The relative strength index dipped as low as 38, indicating a moderately oversold condition.
The kneejerk selloff in the metals that followed Trump's election appears to be unwinding, and Silver may be ready to begin it's next leg higher.
Retail and pros diverge while bitcoin mulls $100kBitcoin is tantalizingly close to the elusive $100k target - a level which has been thrown around, literally for years, by bitcoin visionaries. And it looks like it will finally get there. Yet with prices rising while real-money accounts derisk from the original-flavoured crypto currency, which crowd should we follow?
MS
Quiet U.S. calendar provides window for possible silver squeezeA squeeze may be underway in silver with a hammer candle printing on Thursday. Traders took one look at the intersection of uptrend support established in February and horizontal support at $29.66 and baulked, sparking a price reversal often seen around market bottoms.
While indictors such as RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide negative signals, favouring a bearish bias, the price signal hints we may see further upside in the near-term.
$30.80 is the first topside level of note with the 50-day moving average and $32.18 the next after that. Some traders may want to get long now purely on the price signal, but ensure you use a tight stop given a lack of nearby technical levels to use for protection.
Setups with better risk-reward would be to wait for a potential break above $30.80, or a pullback towards uptrend support, allowing for stops to be placed below either level for protection.
With a quiet U.S. economic calendar next week, we're unlikely to receive fresh catalysts to push U.S yields and dollar higher. The vacuum creates a window for a countertrend squeeze. A far less dovish Fed rates outlook has already been priced in.
Good luck!
DS
Bullish Crude Oil MoveSummary of Analysis:
Current Consolidation: Crude oil is consolidating along a resistance level touched multiple times, which might strengthen the case for an eventual breakout.
Entry and Target Zones:
Initial Long Position: You plan to go long up to approximately $71.10, which serves as an initial target.
Breakout Target Range: If momentum carries through this level with a solid breakout past the trendline, the next target would be in the $73-$76 range.
Additional Points to Consider:
Monitoring Volume: To confirm the breakout strength, high volume on the 4H and 1H frames as price breaches the resistance could be a reliable signal.
Risk Management: Given that oil markets are known for volatility, consider setting a tight stop just below the consolidation zone in case the breakout fails.
Sweep Potential: If back testing suggests this move might lead to a sweep beyond the $73-$76 range, have contingency levels in mind to lock in profits or reassess if conditions change.
This setup looks poised for an interesting opportunity, especially if broader market conditions support a bullish momentum.
Good Luck!
The Dollar Is Running - So Stop Trying To Call The Top or BottomThe Dollar has had an impressive run over October & now half of November with consistent bullish weekly closes. It's in these times as traders, that we project our opinion onto the market and start saying things like "The market has to pullback or reverse from here" where in reality, the market's going to do whatever it want to.
There is no indication as yet from structure across the board that trends are shifting so continue to ride the wave if it aligns with your strategy. Identify key areas on the weekly and monthly because that is likely where we're gravitating towards.
Tomorrow I see continued upside on USDJPY, which I'm currently long on, which would tie in nicely with the run higher on GBPJPY to sweep TBL and mitigate the bearish order block before a sell off lower.
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities
OANDA:SPX500USD
PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low.
PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high.
PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range.
PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed.
These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14
Simple as that.
NZDCHF LONGMarket structure Bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily Previous Structure Point
around Psychological Level 0.52000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.2
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
POV DCAL : Consolidation Breakout: A Bullish SetupTechnical Education Insight
(A) Downtrend Line: This line indicates a consistent downtrend until a breakout occurs.
(B.1) Trendline Breakout: The stock breaks the downtrend line with strong conviction, marked by significant volume (B.2).
(C) Consolidation Phase: After the breakout, the stock trades within a limited range for over 100 days, showing consolidation.
(D.1) Fresh Breakout: Today, the stock breaks out of this range, closing above it with high volume (D.2).
200 SMA Breakout (E): The close above this key moving average further strengthens the bullish signal.
NZDCHF: Resuming Bearish Trend?The NZDCHF has shifted from its upward trend and is now moving downward after an extended bullish rally.
A decisive break below a key support level signals strong selling pressure in the market.
I expect the downward momentum to persist, with the currency pair potentially reaching the 0.5190 level soon.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Very Bullish Setup, Next Target: $95kToday we will be discussing a setup involving Bitcoin.
The coin recently broke and closed above the neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4-hour chart.
After retesting the broken neckline, the price formed another triangle on an hourly timeframe, with a breakout above the neckline indicating a strong intraday bullish signal.
I predict that the bullish trend on the coin will continue, with price targets set at $92,910 and $95,000.
Reliance near major support zone. Reliance is a large cap company with a market cap of Rs.17,15,224 Crores. CMP of the stock is Rs.1268 with and EPS of Rs.50.2. PE of the company is 25.2. Ten year PE is 21.2. PE in July was 30.9 which has corrected to 25.2 now.
Reliance Industries is a fundamentally strong stock. The company covers following sectors.
1) Energy
a) Oil and Gas Exploration & Production
b) Refining & Marketing
c) New Energy & New Materials (Production of Green energy
2) Petrochemicals
a) Textiles
b) Polymers
c) Polyesters
d) Fibre Intermediates
e) Aromatics
f) Elastomers
g) Reliance Composites Solutions
3) Retail
a) JioMart
b) Smart Bazaar,
c) Reliance Digital
d) Just Dial
4) Jio
a) Digital Services
b) Telecom
5) Media and Entertainment
a) Jio Cinema
b) via com18
c) Network 18
d) Jio Studios
Thus Reliance is a company with vivid portals of revenue generation and investing in one company called Reliance empowers you into investment in spectrum of companies with multiple revenue sources. Investing in Reliance is like investing in Mutual fund.
The Weekly Chart (which we use for gaining long term perspective of a company) of Reliance indicates it is near a support zone. Immediate support being at 1254. 200 Weeks EMA of the stock or the Father line support is at 1176. This indicates that the stock might be near the bottom if it has not formed the bottom already. On the upper side when Reliance starts to move upwards the resistances will be at 1331 and 1396. 1396 being major Mother line resistance of 50 Weeks EMA. Above 1396 weekly closing Reliance will be very bullish again and can regain the levels of 1532 and 1600+ levels in 6 to 12 month. Channel top seems to be in the range of 1753 to 1980 range depending on the future results and future performances of various revenue streams. Bollinger band suggests a bounce in short to medium term in the stock. Looking at the index and weightage of Reliance in the index it will be imperative for Reliance to bounce for index to bounce in a most probable scenario. The waiting period can be 6 to 12 months as the stock is not very strong on technicals. however it is not below 200 Weeks EMA either.
Overall Reliance is a large cap stock that has created immense wealth over the years and I do not see any reason currently why it can continue to perform and create wealth for years to come. Outlook for the company in the year 2025 specially 3rd Quarter onwards looks very upbeat once the Green Energy production and revenue strats to trickle in. There is also a possibility of listing of JIO Digital and Telecom as a separate company in they year 2025. Listing of Reliance Retail as a company will be next. (Post Jio telecom listing). The potential of value unlocking in the stock remains immense in our opinion.
To know more about Techno-Funda investing, Mother Father and small child theory, Parallel channel you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. My book is now also available on Google Play books. Do read it. Have a look at the reviews which say that the book is a masterpiece and can be considered as a hand book for investing in equities.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NZDCHF: Back to Bearish Trend?!The NZDCHF has reversed its upward trend and is now experiencing a downward movement following a prolonged period of bullish rally.
A significant break below a key support level indicates a strong presence of sellers in the market.
I anticipate that the downward momentum will continue, with the currency pair likely to reach the 0.5190 level in the near future.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Bullish Bias Remains ₿
Bitcoin formed a strong bullish pattern on a 4H time frame.
I see an ascending triangle - a bullish accumulation pattern
with a confirmed breakout of its resistance.
A trend line and a broken horizontal structure compose a contracting
demand zone now.
Probabilities are high that bulls will push the prices higher.
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GBPCHF SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Arouund Psych Level 1.13000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 9.74
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Can Bitcoin reach 100k?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price keeps reaching new all-time highs following the recent U.S. election. BTC recently surged past its previous ATH and quickly touched the 80k level. Now, many traders are wondering - how much higher can Bitcoin go before we see a correction?
Based on current trends, Bitcoin can potentially reach the 84k-86k range before taking a breather. However, this will largely depend on external factors, such as Bitcoin-ETF activity, political statements, and overall market sentiment.
At the moment, market sentiment remains extremely bullish, which suggests that Bitcoin upward trend may continue for some time. However, if a correction does happen, the 74k support level will likely play a key role in determining whether the uptrend continues or not.
On the other hand, BTC price might just keep pumping up to 100k before correction happens.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psych Level 2.39000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.02
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
USDJPY LongMarket structure Bullish On HTF 30
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Bullish Daily Engulfiing
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 153.000
H4 EMA Retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.69
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King