$BTC is VOLATILE SO DONT PANIC SELLSimple chart here showing the red trend line I placed on the chart 4 days ago or so i posted other idea of it.. left it there just updated and for different time period this time. Also lower projection. Thanks I am new to chart making so it may not be perfect,, but red line again was placed there as a "guess" market move and it kinda has :P anyway enjoy :)
Candlestick Analysis
Gold Futures exactly at mid channel support. Gold futures are exactly at Mid-Channel Support for Gold Enthusiasts. Mother line support is already broken after head and shoulders formation in Gold. Gold Futures CMP is 75200. If Mid-Channel support 74436 (Major Support) is broken we can see gold fall to 73175 or even 71192 levels where Gold will come down to meet the Father line support of 200 days EMA. Resistances for gold on the upper side seem to be at 75836 (Major Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA). 76498, 77683 and 79K. Gold is looking little weak on charts and if Mid-Channel support is broken 74436 it will become vulnerable.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook.
As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass.
Three Major Supports for Nifty are:
1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542.
2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352.
3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845.
Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones.
Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be:
1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance.
2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608.
3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436.
4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High)
5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Important Resistance Ahead! Your PlanSILVER is currently testing a significant area where a daily horizontal resistance meets a descending trend line. Depending on how the price reacts to this zone, there are two possible scenarios.
In a bearish scenario, traders should look for a 4-hour candle to close below the resistance level on a 4-hour timeframe before selling the market. If an engulfing candle forms and closes below 30.65, a bearish trend towards the 30.00 psychological level is anticipated.
On the other hand, in a bullish scenario, watch an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 1H time frame.
30.92 is its neckline.a breakout above the highlighted blue area and an hourly candle closing above it would signal a strong bullish move with potential for further upward movement.
Important fundamental news expected today could act as a catalyst for a breakout in either direction.
EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF looks bullish after a test of an intraday/daily horizontal support.
A confirmation signal is a formation of a double bottom pattern with a nice bearish trap on that.
With a high probability, the price will go up to 0.9386
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Is the bear market bounce in the AUDJPY over? 16 Risk Reward!Hello!
Here is my fundamental case to be short AUDJPY
1) Strengthening economy in Japan
- Is Japan finally out of its 30 year lul?
2) Weakening Economy in Australia
- Are interest rates finally starting to effect the economy?
3) Extreme household debt in Australia due to the extreme property hype cycle (People say its because of immigration, I think this is just a narrative... I remember when Hong Kong 'didn't have enough space') Australia hast had its 2008 moment yet,
4) Debt is on govt balance sheet in Japan already... Australia will probably join the govt debt club once they have their property cycle FINITO.
Here is my technical case to be short AUDJPY
1) We have rallied to the 61% Fibonacci of the first impulse down.
2) The 'False breakout' at 102ish gives us a good level to know we are wrong. This helps to provide a RIDICULOUS risk reward of 16:1.
Thanks
Kavi
Gold- In search for a bottomTrading OANDA:XAUUSD has been nothing short of a roller coaster since early October.
Initially, it seemed like the rally might never end, but now the drop is unfolding in a similar manner.
Although I anticipated a strong decline, I’ll admit that I didn’t expect it to be quite this steep.
Gold has now fallen 2,000 pips from its all-time high, and to me, it’s clear that the 2,800 level is likely to hold for a while.
However, the outlook for the downside remains uncertain. The price has broken below several key support zones and even briefly tested levels below the 2,600 mark.
On a positive note for the bulls, each dip below 2,600 has been met with a quick reversal, which may suggest a false breakout.
Whether this holds true is still unclear and requires confirmation—a move back above 2,620 would be a positive signal, potentially setting 2,660 as the next target.
On the downside, there is significant support at 2,525, although recent rebounds from 2,600 make it unlikely this level will be tested in the coming days (though with this level of volatility, anything is possible).
In summary, I am currently out of the market but will be watching closely for clear signs of a bottom to confirm a new buying opportunity.
DAX looks unwell at these highsIt's been a tough few weeks for the DAX. But if the bearish reversal pattern on the daily chart comes to fruition, things could get a worse. I also factor in price action clues on the monthly candlestick chart, which again suggests things could deteriorate further before they get better.
MS.
Downward parallel channel still governing NiftyThe downward channel still governing Nifty and crushing it at every giving opportunity through continuous selling pressure from mainly FIIs. However Bollinger Bands is starting to suggest that Nifty might be oversold. Supports for Nifty now remain near 23822, 23611, 23380 and 23197. Resistance for Nifty remains at 23968, 24088, 24167, 24388 and 24548. Every bounce so far has been utilised by FIIs to sell. DIIs however are on a continuous buying trail. This fall for long term investors with a horizon of 12 to 24 months can be utilized for wealth creation as Some of the large caps and Selective Mid and small caps are now started to reach mouth watering levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
FVGs holding BTC up indefinitely right now, deviation targets inFor those who don't know, these imbalanced ranged are the keep to a trend.
Many use trend lines to inadvertently ride the effect of FVGs but it's the zone itself that is propelling the trend and the line that is generated as these keep stacking is a byproduct and a secondary technical tool. These zones are where Supply and Demand will be the strongest!
Keep your eye out for how these are being respected or disrespected in this rally to the deviation targets while keeping in ming that every pull is an algorithmically delivered precise measurement to get the right target for the slingshot.
Be safe on this ride 🧠
USDCAD: Confirmation PendingUSDCAD is currently trending upward. After reaching a new high and closing higher on the 4-hour chart, the pair has started trading within a horizontal range.
I’m expecting a bullish breakout above the range’s resistance. A 4-hour close above 1.3957 would indicate strong buying momentum.
If this occurs, it would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, with the next resistance level to watch at 1.4008.
USDCHF LONGMarket structure Bullish on HTFs 30
Entry at Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Dailly
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 11.02
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
USDCAD: Waiting For ConfirmationUSDCAD is currently in an upward trend.
After reaching a new high and closing higher on a 4-hour chart, the pair began to trade within a horizontal range.
I am anticipating a bullish breakout above the range's resistance.
A close above 1.3957 on a 4-hour candle will show the buyers' strength.
If this happens, it will confirm a continuation of the bullish trend.
The next resistance level to watch for is at 1.4008.
playing with a short ideaLooking for reversal confirmation within 2-3 weeks.
To confirm this negative divergence, I'm looking for:
1) another {three outside down} candlestick pattern to play out
2) followed by a break of weekly EMA30. From there I'll place my short with a tight stop. Short squeezes are usually done by that point.
Let the chart do the work, and keep your emotions in-check.
Hang Seng heaviness opens door to downside flush Hang Seng futures look heavy. Friday’s bearish engulfing candle has been followed by two consecutive declines, leaving the price teetering just above horizontal support at 20280.
With RSI (14) and MACD providing bearish signals on momentum, the inclination is to sell rallies in the near-term. It may also see a potential break of 20280 stick where so many other attempts have failed recently.
If we were to see futures break (and preferably close) below 20280, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection. The May 20 high of 19772 would be the initial trade target, especially with the 50-day moving average located just below.
If that level were to be broken, it opens the door to a potential deeper flush to 18500 with only minor support at 18945 located in between.
Good luck!
DS
Nitin Spinners can spin profitNitin Spinners Ltd. engages in the manufacture of cotton yarn and knitted fabric. Its products include apparels and garments, under garments, terry towels, woven fabrics, home furnishings, carpets, denim, industrial textiles, medical textiles and socks. It operates under the Within India and Outside India geographical segments.
Nitin Spinners Ltd. CMP is 409.95. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 14.9), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and Increasing profits every quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Inefficient use of shareholder funds and Poor cash generated from core business.
Entry can be taken after closing above 412 Targets in the stock will be 431 and 449. The long-term target in the stock will be 462 and 475. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 385 or 375 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Gravita looks Great for a long run. Gravita India Ltd. engages in the manufacture of lead metals by the process of smelting and recycling followed by refining, alloying and manufacture of lead oxide. The firm also trades lead scrap, ore, concentrates, battery scrap and allied Lead products globally. It operates through the following segments: Lead, Aluminium, Turn Key Solution, and Others.
Gravita India Ltd. CMP is 2243.25. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters and Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 57.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2337 Targets in the stock will be 2413 and 2593. The long-term target in the stock will be 2688. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1963 or 1770 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.