Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Candlestick Analysis
Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
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NZDJPY: Best Gap to Trade Today?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Among various gap openings that we see today,
the one that I spotted on NZDJPY looks like one of the best to trade.
I see multiple bullish imbalances on an hourly time frame
after a formation of the gap down opening.
Probabilities are high that it will be filled soon.
Goal - 82.15
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USD/CHF: Back at Support – Will Buyers Step In?Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCHF Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
WILL GOLD MARK NEW ATH TRUMP TERRIF ALERT!🚨 GOLD UPDATE (XAU/USD)🚨
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend, and it’s expected to continue for the next month. 🌟 If you see any dips, buy in again and again! We could see gold touch 3200 soon, especially with the ongoing China & Trump tensions. The US economy remains strong, and fundamentally, gold is primed to soar even higher! 📈💥
After Trump's tariffs, gold may dip and sweep more liquidity before bouncing back stronger. ⚡ As China and Trump battle, US strength keeps pushing gold to new heights. 📊
Key Buying Zones 🔑:
- 3030 – 3035: Last zone for reversal 🔄
- 3000: Strong support zone 🚀
Targets 🎯:
- 3100 💰
- 3200 💎
- After 1 month: 3300 💥
⚠️ Always follow risk management⚠️
Bitcoin Bullish Idea I'll be buying for that point of interest 78544.71 if I see confirmation for reversal. Though H8 zone 79100.20 looks valid too as the price has triggered it and rejects it awesomely.
My projection is this new week is going to be Bullish not just for Bitcoin but some other. Crypto pairs too.
I'm bullish on Eth as well.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
Short trade
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Crypto Weekend Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 3:00 PM NY Time (NY Session PM)
📉 Pair: DOGE/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 0.16821
Take Profit (TP): 0.16173 (+3.85%)
Stop Loss (SL): 0.17009 (-1.12%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.45
Reasoning:
Demand Turned to Resistance" — this signals a bearish shift in structure:
I assume a likely failed rally, where previous demand could not hold for confirmation bias
and price seemed to respect the demand zone (highlighted blue) as resistance, giving confluence for a short. Targeting a pivotal low, suggesting a liquidity grab or structure retest.
Short trade
15min TF overview
Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (Intraday Crypto Setup)
📅 Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
⏰ Time: 9:00 AM NY Time (NY Session AM)
📉 Pair: BNB/USD
📉 Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry Price: 592.98
Take Profit (TP): 586.78 (+1.05%)
Stop Loss (SL): 594.97 (-0.34%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 3.12
Reason: Based on the narrative of supply and demand, ideally taken after a bearish confirmation on the 15min and BTCUSD pair as confluence for directional bias confluence
Bearish Reversal Incoming? Key Resistance Holds as Price StallsAfter analyzing multiple timeframes, we observe that the price has surged significantly and is now trading within a key resistance zone. The resistance remains strong, and the RSI across multiple timeframes is in the extreme overbought territory, showing bearish divergences. Additionally, despite the sharp rally, the price has not undergone any meaningful correction.
Considering these factors—strong resistance, the proximity to a weekly trendline, extreme overbought conditions, and bearish divergence—along with the presence of a hanging man candlestick at resistance, a correction is likely. Our correction targets are the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
DXY Technical Outlook📊 DXY (US Dollar Index) – Daily Analysis
Market Structure:
📉 DXY remains in a bearish structure on the daily, making lower highs and lower lows.
💥 Price is currently testing the key 102.812 support level.
-Previous Trend: The market had a strong bullish move from around October to late December 2024.
🌎 Ongoing tariff tensions between the US and other countries have increased market volatility.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
✅ If DXY sustains above 102.812, a push towards 104.223 resistance is possible.
🚀 A clean break and retest above 104.223 could open the way for continuation towards 105.67 and 107.170.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
⚠️ If DXY fails to hold above 102.812, expect a drop towards 101.500.
🔄 In this case, 102.812 could flip into new resistance, confirming bearish momentum.
📉 A breakdown below 101.500 would likely expose DXY to the 100.000 psychological support level.
🔻 Tariff-driven risk-off sentiment could accelerate the move lower.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially with ongoing tariff talks and geopolitical developments. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ tanks below key levels amid new Trump tariffs!The market free-falls as Trump's new tariffs send shockwaves through global sentiment.
Sellers are piling in — but it's the fear of economic fallout that's truly fuelling this drop.
The NAS100 has broken through major support zones with strong bearish momentum.
Sellers are clearly in control, and price action shows little sign of slowing down.
Structure around 18,324 failed to hold. Next major support zone: 16,968.5.
Will the bleeding stop there?
⚠️ Reminder:
No one can predict what will happen next.
Markets react to collective psychology, news flow, and big players—not forecasts.
✅ Focus on:
-Key Levels 🔎
-Market Structure 📐
-Risk Management 🛡️
❌ Don’t trade based on emotion or prediction.
🎯 Trade based on probability, not certainty.
👉 Let price confirm your bias — watch for clear breakouts, retests, or rejections before jumping in.
Stay patient, stay disciplined. 📈📉
Clear DayTrading strategy video. The "Inside Bar"🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Trump Tariffs send global Markets into free fall. Trump Tariff announcements has sent the global markets into free fall. The reaction has sent global markets into knee jerk reaction. Global trade will axis will realign because of these actions of US. As per the analysis of many experts the disadvantages to India are limited. There are opportunities galore in sectors like Pharma and Textile etc. The support levels for Nifty currently are at 22338, 21983, 21289, 20095 and finally 19864. The resistances for Nifty are 23037, 23266 and 23894. Long term Resistance for Nifty remain at 24831 and 25K levels.
Short term outlook for Nifty is weak. In the medium term Nifty can remain range bound and Long term outlook for Nifty still remains strong. Investors with Long term outlook can search for Bottom Fishing opportunities in Blue chip stocks which are available at good prices.
Focus should be on India centric themes where products and companies are less dependent on exports specially to US. Having said that it can be a blessing in disguise for sectors like Pharma and Textile. If Indian leadership can turn this obstacle into oppertunity by taking the right steps it can be a curse in disguise. Investors can also look at collecting some ETFs international as well as local as a long term investment.
In cricket matches sometimes losing a toss can be a blessing in disguise this is something like that.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Gold Wave Analysis – 4 April 2025
- Gold broke daily up channel
- Likely to fall to support level 3000.00
Gold recently reversed down from the resistance level 3150.00 (which formed the daily Bearish Engulfing) and broke the sharp daily up channel from February.
The breakout of this up channel added to the bearish pressure on Gold – accelerating the active downward correction to the higher-order impulse wave (3) from November.
Gold can be expected to fall to the next round support level 3000.00 (which stopped the previous short-term correction iv).
Are These the Three Black Crows Signaling More Pain Ahead? The S&P 500 has just printed three consecutive long-bodied red candles following a brief uptrend. This classic "Three Black Crows" formation could be a powerful bearish reversal signal—one that historically hints at a deeper correction on the horizon.
📊 What does this pattern mean?
Appears after an uptrend or rally.
Consists of 3 bearish candles closing near their lows.
Suggests strong seller control and trend reversal potential.
🔍 Current context:
The S&P is already under heavy pressure from macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns.
This pattern adds further bearish sentiment, especially if we see continued follow-through on volume.
🚨 If confirmed, we could be looking at the continuation of a larger downtrend. But remember: confirmation is key. Watch closely how price reacts in the next 1–2 sessions.
🧠 Do you see this as a real warning—or just a pause before the next leg up?
#SP500 #ThreeBlackCrows #CandlestickPatterns #BearishSignal #TechnicalAnalysis
NZDUSDwait and see , valid rejection set up to buy.
risky cause all demand above mitigate.
DISCLAIMER:
what I share here is just personal research, all based on my hobby and love of speculation intelligence.
The data I share does not come from financial advice.
Use controlled risk, not an invitation to buy and sell certain assets, because it all comes back to each individual.