Navigating A Weaker Bull Trend For Strategic TradingIt appears EURUSD is currently within a Weaker Bull Trading setup.
For trend traders, waiting for a counter-trend opportunity might be a potential strategy.
Counter-Trend Traders, here are two considerations for your approach:
As the market resides in the supply zone on the Daily Chart, waiting for a double top formation coupled with RSI Divergence could offer an entry point for your trade.
Alternatively, keep an eye out for an ABCD Pattern as it unfolds, presenting another counter-trend trading setup.
These strategies aim to navigate against the prevailing trend, so it's essential to apply rigorous risk management practices.
Happy trading!
Candlestickpattern
A Lucrative Trading Opportunity with Cautious ConfirmationA retest of the Bearish Gartley Pattern, especially on a Friday, presents an intriguing opportunity.
Waiting for candlestick confirmation before initiating a short on the Gartley pattern aligns with a counter-trend trade strategy.
This cautious approach can often mitigate risks associated with abrupt market movements.
Good luck with your trade and stay vigilant with risk management!
#AUDCAD Bearish structureHello dear friends and traders. Let's take a look at AUDCAD and explore the potential selling opportunity in this pair.
As seen in the chart, we have a 4-hour bearish market structure where the price is creating lower highs and lower lows. Consequently, we are only interested in taking short positions for the moment.
After the price formed a recent low, it started to develop a bullish corrective move that ended up testing our bearish trendline, coinciding with a static resistance area. Now, if you examine the 1-hour timeframe chart , you'll notice that the price attempted to go above our horizontal arrow line but failed to close above it. This suggests that the recent bullish move could be considered a liquidity-taking activity, and now that the price failed to close above, we may consider opening a sell position.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#EURGBP selling opportunityEURGBP exhibits a valid bearish market structure in the 1-hour timeframe, as illustrated in the chart. This structure begins after the price tested an important daily resistance and was subsequently rejected.
With this ongoing bearish move, we are inclined to take sell positions in this pair as long as the current structure persists.
Upon closer examination, the price tested the bearish trendline and formed a 1-hour engulfing candlestick pattern . When combined with the preceding candles, it resulted in an evening star candlestick pattern.
The occurrence of this pattern within a resistance area enhances the likelihood of its significance.
The formation of this pattern leaves us with a clean-break area, which serves as an important supply zone where traders may consider selling this pair.
Additional bearish confluences include the price testing the 1-hour and 30-minute 200 EMA.
For selling this pair, the optimal area to place your stop-loss would be above the previous high. If the price reaches that point, it indicates the end of the bearish trend, and we would then be dealing with a bullish trend.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#GBPCHF buying opportunityHello dear traders and friends, let's take a look at this chart and explore the potential buying opportunity.
As observed in the chart, we have a clear bullish market structure. Therefore, as long as the price remains above our horizontal arrow, which marks the 1-hour timeframe low in the market, as well as the previous day's low, we are interested in taking long positions.
In addition to the market structure, other confluences include the price being above the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframe EMAs, and above the 4-hour timeframe bullish trendline. This recent bearish move could also be viewed as a pullback to the bullish trendline, as indicated in the chart.
With the market structure in our favor and supported by a cluster of bullish confluences, we have sufficient confidence to open a long position in this pair.
I'll place my stop-loss just below the arrow line because if the price is able to go lower than that, it would signify a break in the structure to the downside.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#EURCAD selling possibilityHello, dear traders and friends. Let's take a closer look at the EURCAD chart and examine the potential selling opportunity in this pair together.
Firstly, we can clearly observe a bearish trendline in the 1-hour timeframe, connecting lower highs. This trendline suggests the possibility of a bearish bias for this currency.
Secondly, when you examine the Daily timeframe for this pair, you'll notice that the price broke above the bearish trendline last week but failed to follow through and has since consolidated around the bearish trendline. This appears to be a false breakout.
Furthermore, the price's bullish moves seem to occur in a corrective manner, indicating a lack of clear intention for a bullish move, at least for now.
For a more conservative trading approach, you can consider waiting for a bearish breakout of the short-term bullish trendline or simply waiting for a candlestick confirmation to validate a downward movement.
It's also worth noting that there's a possibility that the price may test the previous top formed and extract liquidity from there before reversing to the downside.
by the way If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#CADCHF buying opportunityAs depicted in the chart, the price successfully broke above a range-bound area yesterday. This pattern, known as the "line formation" in Charles Dow's trading strategy, represents the only tradable Daily time frame pattern based on Dow's principles. We are currently waiting for the price to retest the previously broken resistance, with the expectation that it will now act as support.
To maintain our position and adjust our stop loss in line with this bullish trendline, it is essential for the price to remain above our short-term trend.
In order to manage our Risk-to-Reward ratio effectively, we have decided not to initiate a position until the price reaches our designated support level. At that point, we will be on the lookout for bullish price confirmations.
by the way If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#GBCAD selling opportunityHello, everyone. I hope you're all having a great start to the week.
Let's analyze the GBPCAD chart and explore a potential selling opportunity in this pair. However, please keep in mind that since we've also posted another idea for EURCAD, it's advisable not to take both of these ideas simultaneously, as it could increase your risk and disrupt your money management.
The price is currently situated at a Daily Clean break area, which serves as a supply zone in the daily timeframe. Additionally, the price has reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and appears to be forming a rising wedge pattern. Moreover, in less than 10 minutes, a bearish hammer candlestick formation will likely occur in the 4-hour timeframe, further supporting the potential for this trading zone.
It's essential to note that in the forex market, there are times when the price presents clear patterns. However, it often initially moves against the pattern to trigger traders who trade in the direction of those patterns and then reverses in the direction of the pattern. I believe that the bullish breakout from the wedge pattern is a false breakout, and the price will eventually return inside the pattern.
For entering a position, you can either trade based on the 4-hour bearish hammer candlestick formation or wait for the price to return inside the wedge pattern. In any case, your stop-loss should be placed above the high formed in this candle.
Wishing you all the best.
#CHFJPY Buying opportunityHello, everyone. I hope you are all doing well.
Let's dive into the CHFJPY chart and explore a potential buying opportunity in this pair.
As depicted in the chart, the price initially formed a bullish impulsive move, but it has since been undergoing a corrective descent for the past three days.
Today, it appears that the price has cleared out liquidity from the low created yesterday and established a bullish engulfing candle. Additionally, the price is currently situated at a static support area and is backed by support from the 61.8% Fibonacci level.
Given the price's current position at this significant level and considering the favorable risk-to-reward ratio, we are opting to open a position at this price. However, for a more conservative approach, you can choose to wait for the price to break above a short-term bearish trendline that has been constraining the price during this corrective descent.
Potential Bearish Setup on Weekly ChartThe Bearish Fib-3 Bat formation on the Weekly chart certainly catches the eye, particularly with the presence of a long-shadow candle.
However, it's important to acknowledge that the trading setup remains unconfirmed. Waiting for confirmation may entail missing out on potential profits, to the tune of 200 pips.
Here are some strategic considerations:
Option 1: Shorting Opportunity from Lower Timeframes
One approach is to anticipate a shorting opportunity on lower timeframes, thus potentially capitalizing on a downside move without waiting for full confirmation.
Option 2: Trading Within the Range (1-hourly Chart)
Both sellers and buyers find opportunities within the 2 zone. This entails engaging with the Resistance at 150.49 and the Support level at 149.00.
The pivotal question arises: What's your trade plan? Your insights matter. Please share your perspective below!
Potential Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe GBPUSD is currently exhibiting a Weaker Bullish Trend on the Weekly Chart.
Upon closer examination of the Daily Chart, it appears that the completion of the Bullish Shark setup may have eluded us. The current resistance level holds pivotal importance. A close above it would prompt traders to await a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the market respects this resistance, the formation of a double top might signal a shorting opportunity.
For those inclined towards a shorting stance, my focus lies on the formation of a double top pattern at the Bearish Crab Pattern, projected at 1.2441 on the 1-hourly chart.
I'm curious about your perspective. What's your take on the GBPUSD? Please share your insights below!
Think You Know Candlestick Patterns?Welcome to the world of candlestick patterns!
💜If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Doji candlesticks, with their equal or nearly equal open and close, offer crucial insights into market indecision. Understanding these formations is key to anticipating potential reversals and trade decisions. Let’s delve deeper into their significance and how to incorporate them effectively into your trading strategy.
Understanding Doji:
A Doji occurs when opening and closing prices are almost identical, signaling market indecision.
Neutral Nature: Doji are neutral signals, highlighting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Psychological Insight: Forming amid market uncertainty, Doji reflect hesitancy and potential trend shifts.
4 Types of Doji and Their Meanings:
Dragonfly Doji:
Description: Open and close near the high of the day.
Interpretation: Sellers drive prices down, but buyers regain control.
Action: Explore long positions with support from trend analysis and resistance levels.
Gravestone Doji:
Description: Open and close occur near the low of the day.
Interpretation: Buyers initially push prices up, but sellers regain control.
Action: Consider short positions if confirmed by trend analysis and support/resistance levels.
Traditional Doji:
Description: Open and close are almost identical.
Interpretation: Strong market indecision; trend reversal potential.
Action: Confirm with trend analysis; consider reversal or continuation trades accordingly.
Long-Legged Doji:
Description: Significantly long upper and lower shadows.
Interpretation: Represents high indecision; neither buyers nor sellers dominate.
Action: Await confirmation from other indicators for trade decisions.
Incorporating Doji Into Your Strategy:
Combining with Support/Resistance: Doji at key support/resistance levels enhance their significance. Use them to validate potential reversal points.
Utilizing Trend Analysis: Doji are potent when aligned with prevailing trends. In an uptrend, Doji signal potential reversals, while in downtrends, they may indicate trend exhaustion.
Implementing Fibonacci Levels: Combine Doji with Fibonacci retracement levels for robust entry/exit points. A Doji at a Fibonacci level strengthens the reversal signal.
Risk Management: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels logically. Doji, while insightful, don’t guarantee outcomes. Protect your investments with sound risk management.
Remember, successful trading is a blend of strategy, discipline, and adaptability. Doji candlesticks, as valuable tools, provide glimpses into market psychology. When integrated wisely, they can bolster your trading decisions, enhancing your overall effectiveness in the dynamic world of trading.
BITCOIN can rally to $170K if it repeats 2018-21 historyHere we looked back at the bars pattern from 2018 to the beginning of 2021 and replicated it at April 2022 (the BLUE pattern).
We can see a clear similarity in the bars' pattern from April 2022 to January 2023 which makes us believe that the price will repeat history.
We are presently in a Concentration Zone where the price is predicted to BREAKOUT bearish at the start of February 2023 and rally as low as 8.5k.
The price would then come back bullish and rally as high as 170k and hit new ATH.
Bitcoin looks bullish in the long run !!!
Let me know if you agree!
This is an analysis. Not financial advice.
#DXY more bullish outlookHello, everyone. I hope you're all having a great week.
Let's analyze the DXY chart and try to make some predictions for the upcoming week.
Last week, the price was rejected from the important low indicated on the chart and also established a new 4-hour high, as evident in the chart. Consequently, the market structure in the 4-hour time frame is now in alignment with the higher time frame, daily market structure, and they both exhibit a bullish trend.
Given this scenario, our primary interest lies in taking long positions in high-probability trading zones. These zones could be around the short-term low marked with an arrow or during a pullback to the broken short-term bearish trendline.
In the meantime, as we await the price to reach these levels, we will closely monitor the market. Once the price approaches these areas, we will be looking for confirmation signals before considering our trades.
AUDUSD - Candlestick Analysis Not my favorite opportunity of the week but one that could be sneaky good because of the associated risk to reward ratio. The AUDUSD has been bouncing back and fourth in a period of consolidation for a while now with the most recent move being a retracement into a high volume level.
We end last week with a very positive candlestick combination for the bears offering a potential short opportunity on the open.
If you have any questions or comments about the idea, or if you just want to share your own views, please leave it in the comment section below.
Akil
MSTR Evening Star Poses Whipsaw Risk"Evening stars" are not as reliable as they used to be. They occur after heavy speculation and a steep angle of ascent. A few days ahead of earnings, NASDAQ:MSTR could not break through the resistance above.
The Gap up was HFT driven. This stock has a lot of retail interest at the moment, with every eye on AI. But the selloff from last quarter's reporting season is creating resistance on the daily scales. It is a very pricey stock for this market condition and the emotional state of most investors.
MSTR is likely to gap on earnings news as there are leaks out that it is going to be a blockbuster earnings report.
(XAUUSD) Short Sell Gold After nearly hitting the low for the year, price made a bearish reversal and gapped up from the 1835 area. In October it peaked at the ceiling level and is most likely to decrease until December then after.
*I am not a financial advisor, and the information provided here is for informational purposes only. Any financial decisions you make should be based on your individual financial situation and goals. It is important to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional who can provide you with personalized advice tailored to your specific circumstances. Additionally, please be aware that financial laws and regulations may change over time, so always ensure you are up to date with the latest information and consult with a professional before making any significant financial decisions.*
#OIL buying opportunityConsidering the recent bullish momentum in the oil market, characterized by a clear market structure of establishing higher highs and higher lows while respecting to a short-term bullish channel, we anticipate that oil prices will rise from their current low, as depicted on the chart.
In addition to the bullish channel, there are other bullish indicators on the chart. Notably, the 1-hour 200EMA (Exponential Moving Average) has consistently provided strong support during this recent bullish phase. Every time the price has approached this EMA, it has turned upwards.
Furthermore, the current price level is situated within a 4-hour demand area, which further enhances the possibility of a bullish movement.
If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
#AUDNZD selling opportunity
Hello, dear traders and colleagues. I wish you all a successful trading week.
Let's examine the AUDNZD chart to identify a potential selling opportunity.
As you can observe, the price is currently testing the upper boundary of a bearish channel, which has been acting as a resistance following an extended rally. Recent price movements in the past two days show signs of exhaustion, further increasing the likelihood of a bearish move.
Additionally, by examining the daily candlestick, you'll notice that we've experienced upside rejections in the last two days, indicating the presence of selling pressure.
To initiate a sell position on this pair, we would prefer to witness another upward movement, aimed at clearing liquidity from above the horizontal arrow we've marked on the chart. Subsequently, we'll look for a break below the short-term bullish trendline that has kept the price elevated during the recent bullish movement.
#GBPCAD selling opportunityHello, traders and friends.
Let's analyze the GBPCAD chart, where we believe there might be a compelling selling opportunity.
In the Daily timeframe, you can see that the price has already broken the market structure to the downside. Since the low formed on September 28th, we've been in what we believe is a bullish corrective phase. Consequently, we are now interested in a selling position.
Switching to the 4-hour timeframe, we notice a double top formation that resulted in a lower low, indicating the possibility of bearish continuation, aligning with our higher time frame daily trend. Following this, the price has been moving upwards in a bullish corrective manner, forming a short-term rising channel. Last week, this channel also broke to the downside.
In our view, this recent bullish movement resembles a liquidity-taking activity, and we are keen to observe any rejections from the level marked by the arrow on the chart, with the intent to consider selling.
Additionally, we have identified several resistance factors within a small zone, including the 4-hour and daily timeframe 200EMA, a supply area in the 4-hour timeframe, and the previous high where many traders have placed their stop-loss orders just above it. This presents an opportunity for banks to potentially extract liquidity.
If you have found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to leave a like and a comment or share your idea with me.