Candlestickpattern
Closing sales on EURUSD Yesterday we set a new sell zone on EURUSD. We saw a nice pushback from it and a drop of almost 100 pips.
The first level of the Fibonacci extension has already been reached and all positions should be reduced risk!
Support at 1.0660 will now act as resistance and we may see another drop to 1.0577.
When these levels are reached, it is advisable to partially or completely close sales.
Lower values are only sought by manually moving the stop!
GBPJPY 4 Hr Analysis: Mid-Week UpdateHey guys :)
So, after seeing some bullish movement this week, we are now waiting for price to retrace a bit deeper to that fib below and then show us what it wants to do from there.
As per my analysis, I would like to see price retrace anywhere between 159.500 and 158.500 within the fib drawn above. It may not even retrace much further at all and just continue bullish from there. But I would like to see it pull back further into the fib if I am going to consider taking a trade.
There are obviously many pathway options that price may take but these are just the main 2 that I would personally like to see at the moment. If price does not give me either of these I will Of course readjust and plan accordingly. :)
Option 1:
If price pushes higher into the fib and removes liquidity from the previous highs, then it is likely that price is just enticing and accumulating buyers before it drops and continues bearish. I would like to price push higher to about 162.500 or 163.500 before reversing as that will also satisfy and fill the imbalance to our left - But Of course it doesn't have to.
Buyers will see it break the previous highs and think that price has broken Market Structure and is continuing bullish causing them to place buys left, right and center.
Little do they know; price is only retracing further into the Higher Timeframe Bearish Fib, removing liquidity, and in fact, NOT breaking Market Structure. Basically, just performing the good old 'strike and reverse'.
Option 2:
Price will just retrace around the same area (162.500 or 163.500) instead of reversing and continue bullish for the time being.
Again, these are not verbatim. As price changes and moves as it wants, I will react accordingly and make the corrections needed for my analysis and projections. :)
Remember, it is not about being right or wrong. I know I always say this - but there is absolutely nothing wrong with being inaccurate in your analysis.
The problem lies with those who can't ACCEPT being wrong and they try to hold on to their analysis regardless knowing that price is going against them.
People think it's embarrassing to be 'wrong'. What's embarrassing is watching your stop loss being hit all in the name of your family, friends and Neighbours thinking you are right.
Ego will get you absolutely nowhere in these markets and you WILL be humbled and fast!
I can guarantee that there is nobody out there who is 100% right 100% of the time - And if there is, it's from YEARS of wins, losses, trials and error.
Adaptation is the key to survival if you want success in this job.
FIBONACCI 🙌the sing retest is done and it is reversing at the GOLDEN RATIO level {0.618}, next is engulfing bullish candlestick, my moving average is crossed to the bullish side while moving to break my 200SMA on 4HT. we can draw a Fib extension to get your TP levels, i expect it to break the previous sing high.
TSLA: Bear Trap.• The rally persists on TSLA, and today, it almost rejected completely last week’s Evening Doji Star candlestick pattern;
• In order to reject this bearish pattern / top sign, TSLA has to break $214 – today it hit $213.98 - and in this case, TSLA would trigger a Bear Trap (a complete rejection of the previous bearish sign after triggering it);
• We are almost there, and TSLA still could break it – but it must not take too long, otherwise, the market may see a possible Double Top in this area;
• What could make TSLA correct from here? If it loses the purple trend line seen in the 1h chart. Only then the bullish bias will get weaker;
• So far, there’s top sign, and no clear bearish structure on TSLA, but I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
📊 Candlestick CheatsheetCandlestick charts are commonly used in trading to analyze market trends and make trading decisions. Candlesticks can be categorized as bullish or bearish, depending on whether the price has increased or decreased over a given period.
It is important to note that while candlestick patterns can be useful in predicting market movements, they should not be used in isolation, and other indicators and analysis should also be considered. It is also important to have a clear understanding of the market and its underlying fundamentals before making any trading decisions.
🔹 Rails
The rails pattern is a two-candlestick pattern that typically occurs during a downtrend. The first candle is a long red candle, followed by a long green candle that opens below the previous day's close but closes above it, creating a rail-like pattern.
🔹 Three White Soldiers
The three white soldiers pattern is a bullish pattern that consists of three consecutive long green candles with small or no wicks. It typically occurs after a downtrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Three Black Crows
The three black crows pattern is a bearish pattern that consists of three consecutive long red candles with small or no wicks. It typically occurs after an uptrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Mat Hold
The mat hold pattern is a five-candlestick pattern that occurs during a bullish trend. It consists of a long green candle, followed by three small candles with lower highs and higher lows, and ending with another long green candle.
🔹 Pinbar
The pinbar pattern is a single candlestick pattern that has a long tail or wick and a small body. The tail should be at least two times the length of the body. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Engulfing
The engulfing pattern is a two-candlestick pattern that occurs when the second candle's body completely engulfs the previous candle's body. A bullish engulfing pattern occurs during a downtrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction, while a bearish engulfing pattern occurs during an uptrend and suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Morning Star
The morning star pattern is a three-candlestick pattern that typically occurs after a downtrend. It consists of a long red candle, a small candle, and a long green candle, with the small candle gapping down from the previous day's close. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
🔹 Evening Star
The evening star pattern is the opposite of the morning star pattern and typically occurs after an uptrend. It consists of a long green candle, a small candle, and a long red candle, with the small candle gapping up from the previous day's close. The pattern suggests a reversal in the market's direction.
👤 @algobuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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USDCHF: A WEAKER SWISS FRANC?We had a huge impulse on the monthly chart and this medium/longer term move is the retracement of that impulse.
So in the coming week(s) we want to see the Swiss Franc get weaker against the dollar.
Even on the technical side, we see price break above the counter trendline and the weekly resistance. So for those who swing trade, this setup is something you'd wanna look at.
Stay strapped and control risk 🙏🏼📈
EURUSD declines continue Yesterday we saw big swings during the news with no clear direction.
The movement before and after the news suggests that the downward movement will continue.
The support levels we expect remain at 1.0622 and 1.0563!
A break above 1.0805 will indicate that the downtrend has ended and a reversal is coming.
TSLA: About to Continue the Bullish Rally.• Since TSLA did its top sign last week, it lost the $200 support and it has been correcting;
• For now, there’s no meaningful bullish reaction indicating that this pullback is over;
• In order to completely reject last week’s top sign (Evening Star Doji), TSLA must break $214, the Star’s high;
• The next technical support is at $182, and TSLA still could get there, if we don’t see a clear bullish reaction first;
• The $200, our previous support, is a possible resistance now. If TSLA breaks it this week, we might see a promising bullish reaction ahead;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
📍 The 5 Step Process1️⃣ MARKET STRUCTURE
The market structure has a significant impact on the formation of prices, dissemination of information, and execution of transactions. In the context of stock trading, market structure can also refer to the pattern of price movements in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates that prices are consistently decreasing over time and that selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure. The market structure in a downtrend can provide important information to traders and investors about the overall sentiment in the market and can inform their decision-making process.
2️⃣ PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL
A psychological price level in trading refers to a price point that is believed to have a significant impact on market participants' behavior and decision making. These price levels are usually round numbers, such as $50 or $100, or important milestones, such as all-time highs or lows, and are often used as reference points in trading. Market participants often view psychological price levels as significant barriers that need to be breached or defended in order to signal a change in market sentiment.
3️⃣ FIBONACCI
Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool used in stock trading to identify potential levels of support and resistance. It is based on the idea that prices will tend to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they will continue to move in the original direction. The tool is used by drawing a trendline between two extreme points and then dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.
4️⃣ TRENDLINE
A trendline in trading is a straight line drawn on a price chart to identify a current trend in the market. The trendline is drawn by connecting two or more price points and is used to identify the direction of the trend, either up, down, or sideways. If the trendline is sloping upwards, it is considered an uptrend, and if it is sloping downwards, it is considered a downtrend.
5️⃣ CANDLESTICK
A twizzer bottom is formed when a long green candle is followed by a red candle that closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This pattern indicates that the buying pressure that was present in the first candle is being replaced by selling pressure, and suggests a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. It's important to note that a twizzer candlestick pattern is just one piece of information and should not be relied upon solely when making trading decisions. It is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to form a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Important USD news (CPI) Important USD news will be published today at 15:30!
By default, they cause large fluctuations.
All active positions must be reduced risk.
New positions are wanted after the news!
The more likely direction remains for the downside to continue towards 1.0620 and 1.0565.
This scenario breaks down on a closing above 1.0790.
GBPCHF: pretty interesting patternHi guys, yesterday while looking at my charts I noticed quite an interesting GBPCHF model. In the chart above, you can see the pattern that I have drawn, how after every big and sharp drop, there is a consolidation for about 3 touches and then the price makes an ascent to the existing trendline made by the recent highs.
I am not saying here that you should go long now and wait 1-2 months for it to reach TP, but you may consider entering multiple long positions with shorter TPs.
You can take this as the general trend direction for the near future of GBPCHF.
I personally will do just that and if this pattern repeats I will milk quite a lot out of GBPCHF for the next 1-2 months.
TSLA: Did a Top Signal.• TSLA is doing a top sign, and it is showing some weakness;
• Since TSLA is losing the $200, and it did a top sign, the next technical stop is the $182;
• The last 3 candlesticks form what appears to be an Evening Doji Star, which according to Bulkowski’s studies, works as a bearish reversal 71% of the time;
• Therefore, a correction wouldn’t be surprising, especially when we realize how far TSLA is from its 21 ema right now. The mid-term bias is still bullish, despite the possible correction. In this scenario, any bullish reaction above a clear support (the $182, or even the 21 ema) would be just an opportunity to buy, as the bias would still be bullish, and the Risk/Reward Ratio would be very good;
• I’ll keep you updated every day on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
EURUSD declines continues EURUSD's downtrend continues and we already have a breakout of the previous low.
This means that all sales from last week should now be with low risk.
The next support levels are 1.0622 and 1.0563.
Important news is coming tomorrow, which will cause great fluctuations.
Therefore, one should not look for new high-risk positions, but wait for confirmation!
GBPJPY 4HR Weekly Projection - Which way will we Breakout?!Hey guys,
GJ is still consolidating and is just accumulating liquidity right now. It is creating some sort of 'Flag', but as you can see, its also consistently hitting each fib as its creating the Higher Lows in that 'flag'.
All it is doing now is just enticing everyone to take either buys or sells before it breaks out.
The 2 options plotted are just my 2 main projections for the time being, and if it doesn't react that way I will OfCourse, readjust and reanalyze my views because remember - we are not fortune tellers, we just react TO price action and not predict it :)
Option 1 - Price may come up and remove all bearish liquidity from all the Support and Resistance Traders that have sold from there (nothing wrong with that) and also fill that imbalance in price. Don't forget that the Overall Higher Timeframe Fib is there so it will hit that too. There is so many confluences for price to fulfill if it breaks out bullish, but also don't forget, it doesn't NEED to do that straight away it can breakout bearish and then come back for the fib, imbalance and liquidity later on.
Option 2 - If price breaks out bearish it will remove all the buyers who bought at the fibs and the prior lows.
I personally think that the most efficient and cost-effective route for price to take is to go bullish and THEN drop. But again, I can't make that decision because as we know - the market can and will do what it wants, all we can do is project our analysis and try to put ourselves in the best position possible for the outcome.
And most importantly, don't worry if you are wrong or you are not comfortable enough to take a trade.
If you are not 110% confident in your analysis and trade - DO NOT take it.
Don't worry about FOMO, don't worry about 'What if price goes without me ' or 'What if it hits my TP without me?' Who cares!?
Once you can shake these thoughts and feelings, you will truly see a drastic improvement in your trading consistency.
The MOST important thing is your confidence and protecting your capital. :)
A Big Fat Trading IdeaBased on the Daily Chart Analysis, GBPUSD is on a Bullish Trend. On the current timeframe, I'm waiting for a Buying Opportunity of the Bullish Bat Pattern trading setup, and the potential entry price I'm looking at is 1.1988.
This has great potential for me to upsize my target level if you know where to look.
A trend trading setup that might go BIGEURUSD is on a Bullish Trend in the higher timeframe, so this week, I'm waiting for a Buying Opportunity within the pair.
The AB=CD harmonic patterns also align with the 4-hourly chart's support level.
With that confidence in place, trading confirmation like the 3-bar reversal is necessary.
Decline on EURUSD For several days now, we have been waiting for the EURUSD correction to join the continuation of the downward movement.
Yesterday we saw a pullback just before the zone and now we will watch for a new bottom.
On a break of the previous bottom, the target will be 1.0565.
If you already have trader, reduce the risk when the price reaches 1.0680.
The best scenario for new trades, is when the price rises to 1.0750 and pullback from this level.
Price Rebound From Support Range!The price indicates a rebound within the support range where the price test attempted to break the MA13 line without having a large volume, hence, unable to close above the MA line.
RSI and MACD indicate a divergence signal due to fresh buying interest in the stock.
The candlestick pattern indicates the stock has the potential to continue the price uptrend in the upcoming trade sessions.
Let's save CITAGLB in WL and watch out for significant price movement backed by high volume.
R 0.355
S 0.295
AUDUSD possible long moveAN offers a really good long setup. The confluences are:
1.ascending channel
2.break and retest of S/R zone
3.daily AND weekly 50EMA laying on this level
4.61.8% fibs
So we just need to see rejection candles at POI for entries.
The only thing I don't like is the bearish momentum. The last daily candle is Marubozu candle, a very dominant candle sooo I'll be looking for STRONG 4H rejection candles or daily candle before jumping in longs!
It could easily penetrate the zone, so be careful with entries.
XAUUSD short term long A very risky trade, but if I see a consolidation at this level or lot of wicks I will jump in a long position. Basically the daily 50EMA is laying exactly at this strong level of S/R so we might see a reaction from it. This setup is entirely dependent on the following 4H or daily candles.
BTCUSDT Potential Harami bearish on 1MA Harami bearish, candlestick reversal pattern, is about to occur on 1M chart twice after the All-Time-High event. If this projected drawdown plays out. This indicate a strong bearish signal. Harami is highly reliable in bearmarkets, in which pattern is a signal of top price. A Harami bearish just played on 1W chart. This replication on monthly chart will signal potential lower low, i.e. the bottom 15k of moonbois is nothing but a dream.
Greater timeframe, greater reliability.
The micro price action is performing like a final phase (E) of distribution pattern of Wyckoff method.
Now, on hourly chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders top formation targeting local demand. Also, an Alternate Bat harmonic pattern can occur, projecting price more drawdown, as we can see on chart.
Abandoned Baby bearish candlestick pattern is also performing on H4.
Oscillator Fisher Transform bearish.
Elliot Wave Method ]
Bitcoin seems to be ready to ride a route-off of this choppy bear market, as in a turn-point to made the 5th wave of an expanding ending diagonal, in which a bearish impulsive wave can occurs to throw-over this broadening wedge structure. This indicate potential lower low.
According to my wave count, Bitcoin is about to accomplish this actuall supercycle, making a wave 4 of an expanding ending diagonal, in which one more supercycle may complete this potential pattern, which a new ATH can surpass 200k. The 5th wave of the ending diagonal, which will be the next bullrun supercycle to complete the wave I of the Grand Supercycle, don't needs to touch the upper trend-line. For the validation of this pattern, the bottom of this actuall bearmarket needs to be accomplished, completing wave 4. Then, the shape of the channel will be definetly drew. If this market respect Elliot Wave rules, a severe bearmarket will occurs to made the Wave II of Grand Supercycle.
From a chart pattern perspective, this peak can be consider a pullback to Head and Shoulders neckline in confluence with the back-test to anchored VWAP from ATH. Indicating turn-point.
Fibonacci
Historically, In all corrections, BTC retraced either 88.6% of the same measured Fibonacci retracement, decreasing more than 80% in it's price from each new all-time-high. As we can see applied on this chart, a drawdown either 50% can be expected.
Pivot levels
Stablished pivot levels from the sum of HH+HL+Close:3 from the choppy sectors selected. in a fractal manner, the pivot level is a potential area of interest to re-entry. The price can shakeout in this range due to the anchored VWAP from candle of 13-Jun'22 reaction, thus I've pinpoint these levels to be watched.
Harrmonic pattern prediction
In prediction, a Partizan 2.4 harmonic pattern can be formed on this speculative bottom region, lead price above to 40k supply region.