SPX: Imminent Crash! Next Key Points to Watch.• The SPX reversed the short-term bull trend, as it lost our 21 ema in the 1h chart, failing in breaking the previous top (it did a Double Top chart pattern around the 4k);
• In addition, it lost the support we mentioned yesterday, at 3,950, indicating a sharp correction – maybe even an overreaction;
• Either way, the 3,950 is a new resistance on SPX, according to the Principle of Polarity;
• Now, it seems the index is heading to the 21 ema in the daily chart, as I mentioned yesterday (link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual);
• What’s more, it triggered our Shooting Star candlestick pattern, which reinforces the bearish sentiment, at least for now;
• Let’s pay attention on how it’ll react around the 21 ema in the daily chart.
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Candlestickpattern
TSLA: BULL TRAP? Pay Attention to the Most Important Support!• TSLA crashed yesterday, and it seems it wants to resume the bear trend, making the previous rally a bull trap;
• Today, TSLA is trying to lose the 21 ema in the 1h chart (pre market), and if that’s the case, we can expect more drop ahead;
• What’s more, if it loses the 21 ema in the 1h chart, it’ll lose yesterday’s low at the same time, triggering a Dark Cloud Cover pattern in the daily chart;
• The area at $123 is the next technical support level in the 1h chart: 1) previous top level; 2) 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement; 3) Gap level;
• Therefore, in my view, the $123 area is the most important support level. If TSLA loses it, the bearish momentum will persist, and it could easily seek the $100 again;
• In order to frustrate this bearish thesis, it must stay above the $123, and do a very good (bullish) reaction;
• I’ll keep you updated on this everyday, as usual.
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No new trades in GBPUSD Yesterday we saw a new momentum rally in GBPUSD and reaching all expected levels.
Right now we already have a correction of over 100 pips from the top and there is no basis for new trades.
We will watch the support and resistance areas for a possible reaction.
We will be looking for new entries only when there are good grounds.
During this time, other instruments can be considered and more time spent analyzing and improving strategies.
SPX: Flying High! Next target + Trend analysis. 🤓• The SPX is in a short-term bull trend, as seen in the 1h chart, and only if it loses the 21 ema we would see a correction ahead;
• In theory, it wants to hit the next resistance level, at 4,053, and as long as it stays above the 21 ema, this is the most likely scenario;
• This reinforces our previous reading on this, as mentioned in our previous study from yesterday (link below this post);
• If it loses the 21 ema, the next stop would be the 3,950 area.
• In the daily chart, SPX did a top sign yesterday, a Shooting Star candlestick pattern. However, this pattern wasn’t triggered yet;
• According to Bulkowski’s studies, a Shooting Star works as a bearish reversal 59% of the time, which is not that great;
• Either way, SPX is still trading above its support levels, and even if it corrects in the daily chart, the 21 ema is there to hold the price as well;
• As usual, I’ll keep you updated on this every day.
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USDJPY - FREE MONEY!!This is the kind of trading setup that I used to shout! FREE MONEY!! It's a sideways bounce formation; as the name implies, I expect the market to bounce between the two zones, the red and blue zones. The profits are pretty good, given that it is a 15mins chart, it produces a potential of 56pips(approx 560usd/lot).
With that, risk management is essential. Don't jump into the trade without measuring your initial risk, and it is important to wait for the candlestick patterns confirmation so you can potentially avoid the one that is going to violate (BREAK) the trading setup.
Buys on GBPUSDThe rising on GBPUSD continues and gives another chance to enter into a trade.
Yesterday the price made a new top and reached 1,2289.
However, we still expect that there will be strength to move above 1,2300.
This gives another buy opportunities after the end of the correction. We’re watching for an end of the movement and good time to enter a trade.
You should not enter a buy trade if the price crosses 1,2087.
An Uptrend Momentum Pattern!The candlestick trend indicates an uptrend movement toward the next price resistance backed by continuous high volume on the previous trades.
The MACD indicates a divergence signal, hence, confirming the candlestick movement toward the next price resistance.
The RSI indicates a positive outlook due to fresh buying interest from the market.
R 0.675
S 0.620
GBPUSD is heading towards 1,2315GBPUSD is heading towards its final target.
Last week we commented on possible rising to 1,2315.
The movement is developing as planned and this morning the price breaks out the 1,2248 level.
This confirms the expectations and gives a chance for another rising to the final goal.
If the strength keeps we can see higher values.
Thus, it will be possible to partially close the profit, and with the rest to wait for the maximum development of the movement, moving the stop manually!
One of my Oldest Trading TechniqueIf you have been following me, you should know that I was a born counter-trend trader, but you might not be aware that I am also a Breakout trader. What I love about breakout trading is the sudden spike of movement that brings me instant profits; nowadays, I do lesser of those trading setups.
I'm waiting for a break and close above 0.9345 for further confirmation of the trend continuation move; another approach is to wait for a retest on the trendline without having the candle break and close below the trendline.
WORST IS OVER FOR INDIAN IT SECTOR As we can see that given chart the IT sector as form very good base , with bull sash candlestick pattern on last month low with fibonacci retracemet also at that same level suggest how important that level is for price.
Bull sash is very pwerful bottom forming candlestick pattern with high success rate.
As last week was bearish but this week price gapup plus give closing above previous week high.
I suggest to buy top it sectors stock with IT Bees as it is good to accumlate the stock for longterm perspective
JPM Earnings Reversal PatternJPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported earnings today for the 4th quarter. There was no surprise for the professionals and for the Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions. They already knew what the numbers would be.
Today's candle was not just a bullish engulfing candle. It is what we, at TechniTrader, call a major fundamental REVERSAL candlestick pattern.
This is a huge one-day reversal that started out as a High Frequency Trader (HFT) gap down on negative expectations from the retail side and social media telling traders to sell short JPM. Those retail day traders who tried to sell short JPM got whacked big-time. Margin calls are likely, as the sell short losses on this large of a reversal candle are huge.
Why did the stock price reverse so quickly? The outlined area of the sideways consolidation pattern reveals Professional Traders’ setups ahead of the earnings report. The stock dipped into this price level, and then buying commenced that is well above average for JPM stock.
TSLA: Complete Multi-Time Frame Study (H, D and W charts).• TSLA is about to correct today, however, we have yet to see a true breakout from our Trap Zone, which we analyzed in details on my previous public study on TSLA yesterday (link below this post, as usual);
• Short-term speaking, if TSLA loses the 38.2% retracement, the next technical support is the 61.8% retracement. Usually, when TSLA finds a support at the 38.2% retracement (like it did on Jan 10), just to lose it afterwards, it ignores the 50% and seeks the 61.8% in a single move – this is not a rule, though;
• The 61.8% is at $110. Keep this in mind, as we’ll get back to it near the end of this post;
• Either way, the fact that TSLA is losing the 21 ema is another indicator that reinforces a bearish sentiment;
• Could TSLA reverse the bear trend and seek higher levels? Sure, but as long as it stays under the $123, we won’t see any meaningful reversal;
• The problem is that TSLA is in a bear trend in the daily chart, and even if it breaks its short-term resistance at $123, it has many other mid-term resistances;
• We see the 21 ema as the first resistance, and beyond it, the Fibonacci’s Retracements;
• In addition, although TSLA is trying to find a bottom, there’s no clear bullish reversal structure: No double bottom, IH&S, Cup & Handle… Not even a bullish pivot point;
• In the weekly chart, TSLA confirms a bottom sign, as it triggered last week’s Hammer, but although it is a bottom sign, indicating a possible bounce, this isn’t a true reversal sign;
• Remember the $110, the 61.8% retracement in the 1h chart? It is a key support level that has been holding TSLA’s price, and it is a support level from Sep 2020;
• The mid/long-term bear trend would only resume if it loses the $110;
• Therefore, these are the key support/resistances to watch from here. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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GBPUSD after CPIYesterday we saw big swings during the news. In GBPUSD we saw a pullback off the support zone and a new high.
It’s crucial now to see if this movement has the strength to continue.
We’re looking at a new support zone that in the near hours we expect a reaction from.
Upon another rise the goal will be 1,2315.
The scenario fails on a breakout of 1,2087.
6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick PatternHello dear traders,
Here are some educational chart patterns that you must know in 2022 and 2023.
I hope you find this information educational and informative.
We are new here so we ask you to support our views with your likes and comments,
Feel free to ask any questions in the comments, and we'll try to answer them all, folks.
6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick Pattern
1) The Hammer
2) Bullish Engulfing Crack
3) Bearish Engulfing Sandwich
4) Morning Star
5) Tweezer Bottom
6) Piercing Line
1. The Hammer:-
Hammer is a bullish candlestick reversal candle.
Which is formed within the next few candles. As the price declines sharply, we anticipate a final bounce.
But how can we estimate without falling into overselling?
That's where Hammer comes into play. This gives us evidence that the selling pressure is subsiding or being absorbed. Furthermore, if the volume signature associated with the hammer candle is significant, it adds even more confidence to our thesis.
We are looking to cash in on shorts who are taking profits and covering, as well as dip buyers who are taking chances here on oversold positions. Expectation? an assembly.
Ideally, you identify a hammer candle, take a long position on a break on the upside of the candle, and set risk on the low or in the body of the hammer.
Bullish Hammer Example;-
Let’s look at a real-life example with BTC. Right off the open, BTC retests the lows from the pre-market. Once it reaches those levels, volume increases slightly as it reverses on the 5-minute chart seen here.
Visibly, there is a “shelf” forming near the low of the hammer candle’s body. The bar to the left and right is also closed and open in that price “shelf” area.
The second 5-minute chart opens with a bit of weakness, then rallies strongly above the Hammer candle.
This is your signal to go long. The break of the Hammer candle body.
Set the stop below the close of this bullish 5-minute candle.
2. Bullish Engulfing Crack:-
You can imagine that shorts will start covering given the rising price of the stock. This adds fuel to the already existing buying pressure.
The result is a bullish candlestick pattern that swallows up the bears' efforts. For the long-biased trader, the opportunity is perfect.
As is the case with any setup, we are looking for evidence to sway our confidence in either direction. The fact that the bears completely got away in this single bar is proof enough for us.
You go long on the break of the previous bar and set the stop on the low.
Bullish Engulfing Examples:-
Here's a snapshot of BTC, which provided us with a beautiful opening range breakout (ORB) opportunity right out of the gate on this particular day:
After the selloff, buyers come in and remove the selling pressure from the pre-market, engulfing the bears before moving up.
To be safe, you enter long when the red candle breaks, setting your risk at the low level or body of the first green candle.
There are some advanced traders who are more aggressive and may take their positions early if they feel a reversal is imminent.
3. Bearish Engulfing Sandwich:-
do not be confused. Just because the name says "bearish" doesn't mean it's a bearish pattern. Far from it, actually. It is often referred to as a stick sandwich.
The name is derived from the sandwiching of a "bearish engulfing" candle by two bullish candles. Thus, it is a bullish candlestick pattern in this context.
Similar to the above example of a Bullish Engulfing Crack, this pattern takes a bit longer to "move through" so to speak. Essentially an extra bar.
The perception is that the trend has reversed and we are now going down. After all, the bearish engulfing candle gives us that confidence,
If you're on the smaller side, there's hope. However, stocks don't always do what we want them to. We have to react to what the market gives us, not what we think should happen.
In this case, the Bearish Engulfing Crack is used by two bullish candles that move upwards. If you are short, hopefully, you have respected your stop loss. If you are a long-time bias, here is a good opportunity for you.
Bearish Engulfing Sandwich Example:-
After opening with a 5-minute candle chart, BTC gives a great view of it in real-time.
In this case, the right side of the sandwich acts similarly to the Bullish Engulfing Crack candlestick pattern. For all intents and purposes, you should treat your entries and risk according to the same pattern.
4. The Morning Star:-
Morning Star should gap down. It's difficult to find on an intraday basis. For this reason, we are good enough for a solid Doji candle reversal pattern.
The opening candle should be long-bodied and bearish. The middle candle is the one with the smaller body. A reversal candle is another bullish candle with a long body (usually gaping up). The close of this bullish long-bodied candle should be above the midpoint of the first candle.
Without much selling pressure, the candlestick climbs to higher prices as sellers cover and buyers take advantage of discounted stock pricing.
Morning stars can also appear as morning Doji stars. They look almost identical except for the body of the middle candle. The story of buyers and sellers remains the same.
Bullish Morning Star Example:-
You can see this in action with the BTC example below. A long-body bearish candle, followed by a narrow-body indecision candle. The bulls take control of the next candle and the rest is history.
It is worthwhile to note the volume of the first candle. We cannot assume that this is a complete recession. As you can see, there is buying pressure at lower levels. When a Doji candle is formed, it gives us confidence.
As a result, as soon as the price moves away from the lower level of the green candle; It does this in small amounts.
How can we explain that?
It took less effort to increase the price. Therefore, we can assume that the reverse is "ease of movement". This should give us confidence in our long position.
5. Tweezer Bottom:-
The Tweezer Bottom Bullish candlestick pattern consists of two candles – usually with small bodies. The first should be a red/bearish candle, and the second a green/bullish candle.
Theoretically, the Tweezer Bottom alerts the chart reader to the fact that an attempt is being made to push the price down, but to no avail. Two smaller-sized candles represent the presence of demand in the market.
Supply is being absorbed keeping candles short in the presence of selling pressure, so the volume sign will appear higher.
Entry should be taken as soon as the price breaks through the second candle. Stops can be set on the lows.
Bullish Tweezer Bottom Example:-
BTC is displaying a beautiful tweezer bottom candlestick pattern for us on the 5-minute chart. Note the narrow bodies of the two candlesticks, their symmetry, and the close range from red to green.
The volume of this first red Doji is particularly interesting. Note how high it is here. Given the context, we can interpret this as an absorption of supply.
The second candlestick (green) then rapidly decreases in volume. Thus, our thesis is confirmed that sales are absorbed and eliminated.
6. Piercing Line:-
The piercing line may look similar to a bullish engulfing pattern. The exception is that the piercing line does not completely encircle the previous candle.
It is still considered a bullish candlestick pattern as it overcame the downward momentum to close at least midway in the body of the previous candle.
It pierces the bottom line but inevitably retraces.
Bullish Piercing Line Example:-
Piercing lines may present a greater risk to reward at lower levels of support. They can also act as a spring in the trading range.
This 5-minute chart of BTC shows the combination of an opening range breakout (ORB) with a piercing line. Together, it's a combination that can really add confidence to our entryways.
As with any setup, the more evidence we have to confirm our bias and plan, the better. For this reason, it is always good to ask yourself:
Are the trends in my favor?
Is it time for a change?
Does the volume confirm my thesis?
Is the stock in an area of support or resistance?
Are the multiple timeframes in line with my view?
Trade with care.
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SPX: What it Takes to REVERSE? Let's see. 🕵️♂️• Despite the Shooting Star from yesterday, it seems the SPX found a strong support level at the 21 ema;
• As stated yesterday, on my previous public analysis on SPX (link below), this movement could be just a pullback to the 21 ema, just to resume the bull trend again;
• Therefore, the 21 ema is our key support level, and only if the index loses it, we would see a stronger correction – possibly to the 3,744;
• Although it found a support at the 21 ema, and it closed above the 3,911 yesterday, it didn’t reject yesterday’s Shooting Star completely, as it must break yesterday’s high in order to do so (3,950) – however, I agree that it is doing a decent job so far;
• In my view, we won’t see more correction as long as we stay above this 21 ema. Let’s see what happens today, I’ll keep you updated every day on this.
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The rise on EURUSD continues Yesterday, EURUSD held above 1.0700 and made almost no correction.
This prevents us from entering into a trade and we will wait for a better opportunity.
Tomorrow is the important inflation news and we expect big swings again.
We will be looking for an entry only upon correction and confirmation!