Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
Candlestickpattern
Monday/Tuesday Bullish.. Continuation on Wednesday? Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that began it's ascent at around London close today. The Market is bullish and so continuing to look for longs up to the next 4hr level (79.00) is a scenario for the next session. Another scenario is we push to the 78.50 4hr level and then rollover towards (77.30) 4hr level. The market totally changed behavior after dipping into 73 Weekly Level. The last crude oil inventories, which was forecasted to see a decrease by 2.1m barrels, instead saw an increase and this lined up with a low in the market . The news was About 1.13$ off the low and has been a catalyst for this bullish momentum in the last few days. Interest rates, CPI and Inventories tomorrow will surely send the markets into an uproar so careful trading ahead.
MAX INDIA - Excellent Daily VCP Poised for a minimum 20% upmove.1) The stock is in uptrend in all major timeframes.
2) The stock is in weekly consolidation since JAN 2024 - 4 Months old weekly consolidation.
3) The stock shows strong volatility contraction in Daily, looks poised for breakout.
4) Weekly,Daily,4H & 75 min RSI Intact - Momentum in play.
Entry around 230, Best - Between 215-220.
SL - 214 Daily closing basis.
Target - 330.
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Bitcoin PATTERN - BTC Roadmap to NEW ATHBINANCE:BTCUSDT
👉 Trendline Analysis: BTC has been consolidating directly underneath the resistance zone - BULLISH
👉 Candlestick Analysis: Three white soldiers in the 2W timeframe - BULLISH
👉 Technical Indicator Analysis : Price has cooled down after being "Extremely Overbought", moving averages holds - BULLISH
Technical Indicator Monthly Timeframe:
Technical Indicator Weekly Timeframe:
There is really only one concerning matter, and that is from a potential near term scenario:
❗ Pattern Analysis: Potential for M-Pattern to form, medium risk: BEARISH
The candle closes of the next two weeks are crucial in determining how this pattern will play out.
For further reading, here's the initial Elliot Wave analysis on BTC:
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AUDCAD Analysis: Focus on Bullish Shark PatternIf you're looking at AUDCAD, the 4-hourly chart setup might seem tempting for a buying opportunity. However, I prefer the 1-hourly chart, specifically the Bullish Shark Pattern.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Key Level : Ensure an MCC appears at 0.9041 before entering a buying opportunity.
What's your trade plan for AUDCAD? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
GBPUSD Analysis: Support and Resistance SetupIf you’re into support and resistance trading, GBPUSD might be worth a closer look.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Support Level: 1.2704
- Resistance Level: 1.2743
Before engaging in the trade, wait for a MCC to ensure a reliable entry point.
What’s your trade plan for GBPUSD? Comment down below and share your strategy!
Happy trading!
EURUSD Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Shorting OpportunityHere’s a detailed look at the EURUSD across multiple timeframes:
Weekly Chart:
- The market is in a sideways consolidation phase.
- The upper trendline has been respected, indicating a potential downside movement.
Daily Chart:
- Watch for a retest of the Fib-3 Bat Pattern, which could offer a prime shorting opportunity.
1-Hourly Chart:
- I’m eyeing a retest of the resistance at 1.0863 for a shorting opportunity.
What’s your trade plan for EURUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
USDJPY - 2nd chance sharing opportunityI believe the BOJ conducted its second FX intervention yesterday. As the market retested the sell zone, I shorted this pair and placed Stops at 156.82, which is a good 58 pips of initial risk.
Once the market reaches 155.78, I'll shift my stops to the entry-level. This would prevent any losses incurred by hectic volatile movement.
If all goes well, my 1st target would be at 154.85 and I'll keep my second target open.
What are your thoughts on this?
A Practical Guide For Candlestick Patterns!Intraday trading is a method of investing in cryptocurrencies where the trader buys and sells cryptocurrencies on the same day without any open positions left by the end of the day. Intraday traders aim to either purchase a cryptocurrency at a low price and sell it at a higher price or short-sell a cryptocurrency at a high price and buy it at a lower price within the same day. This requires a good understanding of the market and relevant information to help them make the right decisions. In the cryptocurrency market, the price of a cryptocurrency is determined by its demand and supply, among other factors.
Tools such as candlestick chart patterns are very helpful to traders. We will discuss these candlestick charts and offer steps to help you read them.
GBPAUD Trade Setup: Bearish ChannelGBPAUD has piqued my interest from a mid to long-term perspective. I'm looking at two potential shorting opportunities:
Key Levels:
- Short Entry on Resistance Retest: 1.9212
- Bearish Channel Indication: As long as this channel isn't violated, it strengthens the bearish bias.
I'll be looking for shorting opportunities on both the 4-hourly and 1-hourly charts based on these indications.
What's your trade plan for GBPAUD? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
AUDUSD Trade Setup: Harmonic BandsA lot of traders aren't familiar with Harmonic Bands ; to be fair, they don't appear frequently.
Here's what I'm looking at:
AUDUSD H4 Chart:
- Short Entry: 0.6666
- Long Entry: 0.6600
Target on the opposite end.
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below!
Happy trading!
GBPUSD: A Cautionary Tale of Potential Bearish PatternsWhile the daily chart shows a potential Bearish Butterfly Pattern, my experience suggests this might not play out as expected - or it could be a significant warning sign for traders.
If you're considering shorting GBPUSD, I'd recommend a type 2 retest on the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at 1.2756 as a more reliable entry point.
Share your thoughts and trade plans for GBPUSD in the comments below!
Historical Bitcoin Monthly candle Colours - MAY - JUNE and beyod
So, as we come tot he close of MAY 2024, short of a Catastrophe today, MAY will close Green for the 7th time in Bitcoin History, bringing the score to 7 Green - 6 Red for May
The Current score for June is 7 Green - 5 Red
On 4 occasions, we have had a Green June after a Green May, so odds are higher we will see a Green June, though is os NOT a guarantee..
However, Only on 3 occasions have we seen a Green July after a Green June.
PA has never had a Green Red Green before June. I.e. Green March, Red April, Green May
But in 2018 , we had a Red Green Red. i.e Red March, Green April, Red May and we followed with a Red June......This was After the 2017 ATH and the overall PA declined for a further 8 months, though there were small green candles in that time.
The candles are dependant on Bull / Bear Market and I encourage you to look into this.
IF we are in a BULL market now, we may continue the opposite of what happened in 2018 ?
Only time will tell
Buybacks vs. Rotation: JPM and AAPLMany companies are flush with cash right now, so buybacks are going to increase. Buybacks can create plenty of swing trading opportunities.
Buybacks are used by the Board of Directors to drive price upward, or at least maintain price at a certain level. They also remove outstanding shares from public exchanges. The Percentage of Shares Held by Institutions (PSHI) is based on outstanding shares. So with fewer shares outstanding, it can help PSHI hold at a certain level. The Buy Side has been lowering inventory this year. See red arrows on the JPM chart.
In 2018, Buybacks boosted the index components and kept the market from continuing a bear market, which was already underway--a minor bear not a major one. Then in 2019, buybacks surged as the government cut corporate taxes massively. The cash on hand was enormous for most companies so they did mega buybacks, leading the move upward for index components that year. Then, in 2020 the pandemic stock market collapse completed that very odd delayed bear market.
Buyback candles are frequently solid white without wicks or tails. Buybacks often initiate strong swing-style runs, such as they have in $NYSE:JPM. See the blue arrows.
NASDAQ:AAPL also announced a huge buyback program in early May. This gives the Buy Side Institutions the opportunity to lower inventories of AAPL too, without disturbing price much, if at all. AAPL is in a sideways trading range, which is a tough pattern to trade since there is no consensus about what the company is doing to fuel future growth.
EurUsd Higher on ECB Rates Cut Rumors 🗿Hello traders! EurUsd has wasted no time and is seeing some buying pressure to kick off the week. We are 31 pips from the previous weeks high price as the Eur is being bought ahead of next week's Interest rate announcement by the ECB. Apparently the central bank will be cutting rates and so the market is moving on a "Buy the Rumor and Sell the news " sort of flow. How far can we pull up ahead of next week's announcement? Well we are already up 31 pips.. and our next weekly resistance zone is at 1.09427, or about 63 Pips away. I cant see why not, on this buy the rumor sell the news kind of flow, that we could reach that price level. The monthly candle is bullish after all and we are rejecting the monthly support level . So 1.09427 is our weekly bullish target. For the Short term, I liken pullback scalp buys off 1.08672 or scalp sells off 1.08845 daily level and 1.08945 4hr zone. The Daily candle today closed bullish, in line with the previous Daily candle from Friday.. which was a solid bullish candle in of itself. In our previous analysis, we were biased towards sells but after what the ECB policymakers are saying and the price action so far this week, we must remain flexible in our approach. We did suggest some places to look for longs in our previous analysis and did indeed callout potential longs, in advance, from the daily low of today at 1.08420 1hr support zone. The link for that analysis will be below so go check it out. Otherwise, safe trading everyone!
Friday Optimism carries into Monday's trading? ♦️Hello Traders. Welcome back to another Analysis. Last Weekly candle closed down 20 Pips on EurUsd.. which was quite a different picture from the previous 5 weeks. Through the second half of April and throughout most of May we observed alot of optimism and observed a decent rise in EurUsd. This sentiment came to a halt last week as EurUsd pulled down during most of the week as the USD made some gains.. that was until Friday when most of the gains were given up to the Eur as price climbed it's way back up. The 50 pip move down on Thursday, with better than expected PMI numbers for the USD, was corrected in it's entirety on Friday. Now What? Price is in a tight range to begin the week between 1.08524 4hr zone and 1.0845 4hr zone. Well the monthly candle on EurUsd is still quite bullish. It is the End of the month and this last week could see some hectic volatility, so we must be cautious. Either the Monthly candle will keep pushing up or it will pull back and create a larger top wick. We do have a very nice clean traffic area on EurUsd if we can get below 1.0835. We can decrease underneath there for 20 pips at the least down to the 1.08147 Daily Level. Ranges to trade within look quite messy to me to the upside. My Bias to begin this week will be short and we have the weekly candle closure last week to back us up. This doesn't mean that a solid 1hr candle closure off 1.08413 couldn't suggest decent buy scalp opportunities. My bias to begin Monday's trading is a decrease to the Weekly support level 1.08358. Safe trading. Not Financial Advice but purely for General Informational and Educational purposes only.
NZDJPY: A Buying Opportunity Amidst CautionHey traders!
If you're eyeing long XXXJPY pairs, I'd recommend keeping a close eye on NZDJPY. Here's why:
- Natural appreciation for NZDUSD could give your trade a boost
- Waiting for a retest on the trendline before entering a buy position
However, always remember to:
- Plan your trade carefully
- Be aware of the potential for BOJ intervention without warning
Stay vigilant and trade wisely!
GBPUSD - A Bullish Trend with a Cautionary NoteHey traders! Let's dive into the EUR/USD market analysis. While many are eyeing a shorting opportunity at 1.2743, leveraging RSI Divergence, it's crucial to acknowledge the overarching bullish trend on both daily and weekly charts.
Currently, the market is hovering around a critical support level at 1.2723. A 20-pip move might not be substantial, but it can be a telling sign. Here's what to watch out for:
If the market bounces from this support level, it could indicate a continued bullish trend.
A breakdown below 1.2723 might attract more sellers, potentially leading to a short-term correction.
Keep in mind that the bullish trend on higher time frames still holds sway. Let's monitor the market's reaction at this support level before making a move.
Stay vigilant, and let's trade wisely!
EURUSD Analysis: Strategic Approach in Volatility PhaseOn the Weekly Chart, this looks like a regular day strolling down the road of simple support and resistance trading.
This is when new traders got it all wrong!
On the Weekly Chart, sideway consolidation occurred. When sideway consolidation happens, market expansion, known as a volatility increase phase, will definitely follow.
From what we had, at this moment, I'll be more inclined to take a buying opportunity at 1.0842 on the 1-hourly chart than to short at 1.0852.
Of course, this is not a sure thing; always plan and follow your trade plan.
Ancient Trendline with RSI Divergence After a long wait, a trading opportunity that is worthy has resurfaced. I'd execute a long order on NZDUSD when it retest the trendline at 0.6096 and my initial stop-loss is at 0.6076(-20). TP1 will be at the immediate resistance and that's when I'll shift stops to entry.
3 White Soldiers have led to #Bitcoin high's the past 3 timesafter pattern breakouts
what colour will the 4th be?
when approval , when 1st day of ETF trading we don't know of course
and self custody is the true way to own a bitcoin
But anyway I am in the camp of new high's in 2024
stay strong stay long
but expect that the market will try to throw off the bull train.