DAX SHORTThe DAX, Germany's leading stock market index, is experiencing a downturn due to several factors. Global economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, and fears of higher interest rates are weighing on investor sentiment. Additionally, weaker-than-expected corporate earnings reports, especially from key sectors like automotive and manufacturing, have further contributed to the decline. The ongoing geopolitical tensions and energy supply issues in Europe, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are also playing a significant role. As investor confidence falters, the DAX continues to face pressure, signaling potential challenges ahead for the German economy and its broader market outlook.
Anyway, now SHORT.
Candlestickpattern
Intraday Trading Idea: CADJPY Key Support LevelHere’s an intraday setup on CADJPY that offers a learning opportunity by diving into the thought process behind the trade. Let’s break it down!
Current Overview:
- Key Support Level: CADJPY has shown support on the intraday timeframe, presenting a potential bounce scenario.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: 103.88
- Stop-Loss: Placed at 103.23 (include our stop-loss buffer to manage risk)
- Single Target: Since this is an intraday trade, we’re aiming for a single target instead of multiple target levels.
Strategy:
1. Understanding the Setup: The support level at 103.88 is holding, suggesting a potential entry point.
2. Risk Management: Stops are placed at 103.23, incorporating a buffer to protect against any quick moves below the support level.
3. Focus on Learning: This isn't a trading signal but a chance to understand my thought process behind identifying key levels, managing risk, and setting targets.
Final Thoughts:
Intraday trading requires a strong focus on quick analysis and swift decisions. Use this example to learn how I assess key levels, determine entry and exit points, and manage risk effectively.
What do you think of this approach? Are there any aspects you’d like to discuss or learn more about? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
$GCT BTO to be a beautiful $30 Strike 9/24 Options @.15 PremiumNASDAQ:GCT With strong fundamentals we know the price distributed to the lowest prices in over a year. It is now cognizable to construe this as a false bear pattern which has quickly evened out into a butting bull play, especially for a very cheap option with possible, exploding volatility which can be on the rise any day.
Look at supply / demand zones, support and resistance zones and the price movements that bring to light the emphatic connection you have with the stock market.
I expect my $30 option to be exercised by about August 29th wherefore, I think it will accomplish its alarming intent. Because, this is the first video I've done on #Tradingview. Moved out of whim, and caprice, I had to furnish my thoughts to make them manifest and foster right in front of me. :D
$COIN Proverbial Stock Chart, Must See!NASDAQ:COIN We extrapolate the COIN facts that we can foresee price growth in the over-splendid crypto arena, but today might not be one of the memorable. In-fact, it will be so boring for you today, that I created this funny, proverbial, metaphorical stock chart to depict, denote, and serve a connotation to your experience. We hope you enjoy this art.
Trend analysis, price movement. simple!
Bullish Butterfly Pattern Checkback on EURJPYHere’s an interesting setup for all you counter-trend traders out there. A Bullish Butterfly Pattern checkback could provide a solid buying opportunity. Let’s break it down.
Current Overview:
- Bullish Butterfly Pattern: This pattern is setting up a potential buying opportunity for those looking to trade against the trend.
Strategy:
Entry: Look to enter a long position as the market completes the Bullish Butterfly Pattern.
First Resistance Level:
Trendline Break: The first level of resistance will be at the Red Trendline on the chart.
Partial Profit: When the market touches this trendline, consider taking partial profits.
Stop-Loss Adjustment: Shift your existing stop-loss to the entry price at this point, creating a risk-free trade.
Final Thoughts:
This setup offers a clear strategy for managing risk while capitalizing on a potential counter-trend move. Remember, trading is all about planning and managing your risk effectively.
Are you considering this trade? What’s your approach to counter-trend trading? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Second Chance Shorting Opportunity on EURUSDIf you’re looking for a second chance to short EURUSD, there’s a promising setup involving a Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence. Let’s break it down.
Current Overview:
- Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern:
- What It Means: The first target has already been achieved. This provides clarity on the first target but might reduce participation since the initial group of traders who profited may not re-engage.
- RSI Divergence:
- Signal: This divergence adds another layer of confirmation, especially for traders who rely on resistance and RSI divergence as their entry signals.
Strategy:
- Second Chance Entry: This setup offers a second opportunity to short EURUSD, with the RSI divergence potentially attracting a new wave of traders.
- Profit Factor: The strong profit factor in this trade is what drew me in, despite the potential for reduced participation from the initial group of sellers.
Final Thoughts:
While there might be fewer sellers this time around, the RSI divergence could bring in new participants, making this a solid second chance trade. Always keep an eye on your signals and manage your risk effectively.
What’s your take on this setup? Are you planning to jump in, or do you see other opportunities? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
GBPCAD for Fluffy CatWe ran into some tech issues, and we will work with the live stream provider in the coming week. Anyway, there isn't much for us on GBPCAD.
The Higher-Timeframe, Weekly and Daily chart is showing a bullish trend, however the 4-hourly and 1-hourly chart is on a bearish trend.
Key Resistance level at 1.7634
Key Support level at 1.7467
Given a choice, any of my 12 pairs would be a better fit compare to GBPCAD.
Price levels that induce Fomo #1These price levels are dangerous for retail traders. They are highs and lows of price strucutre. They are walls where price has bounced mutlitple times. They are prices where some traders may begin to chase price in attempt to catch the trend and not miss out. At the same time, they provide great entries for mean reversion traders. Watch and Learn and safe trading.
How to Identify Candlestick Strength | Trading Basics
Hey traders,
In this educational article, we will discuss
Please, note that the concepts that will be covered in this article can be applied on any time frame, however, higher is the time frame, more trustworthy are the candles.
Also, remember, that each individual candle is assessed in relation to other candles on the chart.
There are three types of candles depending on its direction:
🟢 Bullish candle
Such a candle has a closing price higher than the opening price.
🔴 Bearish candle
Such a candle has a closing price lower than the opening price.
🟡 Neutral candle
Such a candle has equal or close to equal opening and closing price.
There are three categories of the strength of the candle.
Please, note, the measurement of the strength of the candle is applicable only to bullish/bearish candles.
Neutral candle has no strength by definition. It signifies the absolute equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
1️⃣ Strong candle
Strong bullish candle signifies strong buying volumes and dominance of buyers without sellers resistance.
Above, you can see the example of a strong bullish candle on NZDCHF on a 4H.
Strong bearish candle means significant selling volumes and high bearish pressure without buyers resistance.
On the chart above, you can see a song bearish candle on EURUSD.
Usually, a strong bullish/bearish candle has a relatively big body and tiny wicks.
2️⃣ Medium candle
Medium bullish candle signifies a dominance of buyers with a rising resistance of sellers.
You can see the sequence of medium bullish candles on EURJPY pair on a daily time frame.
Medium bearish candle means a prevailing strength of sellers with a growing pressure of bulls.
Above is the example of a sequence of medium bearish candles on AUDUSD pair.
Usually, a medium bullish/bearish candle has its range (based on a wick) 2 times bigger than the body of the candle.
3️⃣ Weak candle
Weak bullish candle signifies the exhaustion of buyers and a substantial resistance of sellers.
Weak bearish candle signifies the exhaustion of sellers and a considerable bullish pressure.
Usually, such a candle has a relatively small body and a big wick.
Above is the sequence of weak bullish and bearish candles on NZDCHF pair on an hourly time frame.
Knowing how to read the strength of the candlestick, one can quite accurately spot the initiate of new waves, market reversals and consolidations. Watch how the price acts, follow the candlesticks and try to spot the change of momentum by yourself.
Trading Idea: Bearish Shark Setup on NZDUSDI wanted to share an interesting setup on NZDUSD that’s been forming for a while. Let’s dive into the details!
Current Overview:
Bearish Shark Setup:
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) : The setup has been hovering at the PRZ, which some traders might misinterpret as a violation.
Key Insights:
Having the Right Knowledge Matters : From my 19 years of trading and nearly 16 years of coaching, I’ve seen even experienced traders make mistakes in reading signals like this. It’s not uncommon for traders with 8 years of experience to misjudge such setups.
Strategy:
Second Chance Entry:
Key Level : 0.5935
What to Do: If you missed the initial signal, wait for the market to retest 0.5935 for a second chance entry opportunity.
Community Alert:
This Trade Alert was triggered at 14:00(SGT)
Final Thoughts:
Patience and proper signal interpretation are crucial in trading. If you’re looking for a second chance, keep an eye on 0.5935. Don’t hesitate to reach out if you need more insights or if you missed this trade.
What’s your take on this setup? Have you seen similar patterns before? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone!
Focus on Buying Opportunities and Key Event AlertThis week, I’m focusing on buying opportunities more than shorting. Here's a key level and some important advice if you’re trading Japanese Yen related pairs.
Current Overview:
- Key Level for Buying:
1. Support Level: 153.45
2. What to Do: Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at this level to enter a buy position.
Important Event Alert:
- Date: 31 July
- Event: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Decision
- Impact: Whether the BOJ increases the Japan Interest Rate or not, it will significantly affect the Japanese Yen movement.
Strategy:
1. Magic Candle Confirmation: At 153.45, wait for this confirmation before entering a buy position.
2. Managing Running Trades:
- 50 Pips Profit : If you have a running profit of 50 pips or more, consider shifting your stops to entry to protect yourself from undesirable surprises.
- Less Than 50 Pips Profit: Start planning your trade move before the BOJ announcement.
Key Considerations:
- Exiting Trades Before Announcement: Decide if you’re comfortable exiting your trades before the Bank Rates announcement, even if the market moves significantly in your favour.
- Holding Through Announcement: Alternatively, consider the risk of holding through the announcement and how you’d manage your trade based on the market reaction to the BOJ decision.
Final Thoughts:
Be cautious and plan your trades carefully this week. Whether you choose to protect your profits or take a risk on the BOJ announcement, make sure you’re prepared for any outcome.
What’s your plan for this week? Are you focusing on buying opportunities or do you have a different strategy? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Buying Opportunity on GBPUSDIf you're looking for a buying opportunity on GBPUSD like I am, there’s an exciting setup to keep an eye on.
Current Overview:
4-Hourly Chart:
- There’s a Bullish Shark Pattern nearing completion, which is a great setup for a potential buy.
Buying Opportunity:
Bullish Shark Pattern Completion:
- Key Level: 1.2807
- What to Do: Wait for the Bullish Shark Pattern to complete at 1.2807.
Strategy:
1. Magic Candle Confirmation: This is crucial! Wait for the Magic Candle Confirmation at 1.2807 before entering a long position. It increases the chances of a successful trade.
2. Stop-Loss: Include our stop-loss buffer just below the pattern completion level to manage risk.
Final Thoughts:
Trading the Bullish Shark Pattern can be highly rewarding if executed properly. Stay patient and wait for the confirmation before jumping in.
Are you planning to trade GBPUSD? Do you have any additional insights or strategies? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
SPY: A Dangerous Turning Point (D&W charts).The SPY chart exhibits some key technical aspects worth noting.
On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower.
On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames.
The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment.
The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY.
For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
USDJPY Opportunities for Both Bears and BullsHere’s an exciting update on USDJPY, which has something for both short-sellers and those looking to buy. Let’s dive in!
Current Overview:
- 4-Hourly Chart:
- There’s a sell zone, but the overall movement of USDJPY is on a bullish ride. :chart_with_upwards_trend:
Shorting Opportunity:
- Key Level: 157.69
- What to Do: If you’re looking to short, watch for a Magic Candle Confirmation within the sell zone (red box). The ideal entry would be at 157.69.
Buying Opportunity:
- Key Pattern: Potential Head and Shoulders Formation
- Key Level: 157.69
- What to Do: Like me, if you’re waiting to buy, this is the level to watch. Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at 157.69 to enter a long position, betting on a Potential Head and Shoulders Formation.
Final Thoughts:
Whether you’re looking to short or buy, the key is patience and waiting for confirmation. Trading is all about making informed decisions and managing risk effectively.
What’s your plan for USDJPY? Are you in the short camp or the long camp? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone!
GBPUSD Breakout and Bullish Shark Pattern!I hope you’re all doing well and staying sharp in the markets. I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve been eyeing on GBPUSD that could be a great opportunity for both new and experienced traders alike.
What’s Happening?
- Weekly Chart:
- GBPUSD has finally broken out from its sideways consolidation, which is super exciting! This breakout could mean we’re in for some upward action.
The Plan:
On the 1-hourly chart, I’ve spotted a Bullish Shark Pattern. This pattern is a fantastic tool for identifying potential buying opportunities.
- Key Level: 1.2873
- What to Do: I’m waiting for a “Magic Candle Confirmation” at this level. This confirmation will give me the green light to enter a long position.
Why This Setup is Cool:
- Breakout: The breakout on the weekly chart signals a possible trend change, which is a big deal!
- Bullish Shark Pattern: This pattern helps us pinpoint a precise entry, making our trading plan more reliable.
How to Trade It:
1. Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush! Wait for the Magic Candle to form at 1.2873.
2. Set Your Stop-Loss: Place it just below the pattern completion level to manage risk.
Final Thoughts:
Trading can be tricky, but by using patterns and waiting for confirmations, we can make more informed decisions. Keep learning and stay patient. Good things come to those who wait (and plan well)!
What do you think about this setup? Do you have any insights or questions? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Long Opportunities on EURUSDIf you are looking to long EURUSD just like me, the 4-hourly chart presents a promising Bullish Shark buying opportunity. Here's how we can approach it:
Bullish Shark Pattern:
- Pattern Completion Level: 1.0820
- Strategy: Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at 1.0820 before entering a long position.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the pattern completion level.
Support and Resistance Level:
- Support Level: 1.0864
- Strategy: Look for a buying opportunity at this support level.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the support.
- Target: Target 1 at Previous High.
Key Points:
- Bullish Shark Pattern: Provides a technical setup for a long position with a specific entry and confirmation point.
- Support and Resistance: Offers a simpler approach for traders looking for straightforward support and resistance trades.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for the Magic Candle Confirmation before entering trades based on the Bullish Shark pattern.
These setups provide clear entry and exit points for long positions on EURUSD.
What’s your take on these strategies? Do you have other approaches that work for you?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Charting the Markets: Top 10 Technical Analysis Terms to KnowWelcome, market watchers, traders, and influencers to yet another teaching session with your favorite finance and markets platform! Today, we learn how to marketspeak — are you ready to up your trading game and talk like a Wall Street pro? We’ve got you covered.
This guide will take you through the top technical analysis terms every trader should know. So, kick back, grab a drink, and let’s roll into the world of candlesticks, moving averages, and all things chart-tastic!
1. Candlestick Patterns
First up, we have candlesticks , the bread and butter of any chart enthusiast. These little bars show the opening, closing, high, and low prices of a stock over a set period. Here are some key patterns to recognize next time you pop open a chart:
Doji : Signals market indecision; looks like a plus sign.
Hammer : Indicates potential reversal; resembles, well, a hammer.
Engulfing : A larger candle engulfs the previous one, suggesting a momentum shift.
Want these automated? There's a TradingView indicator for that.
2. Moving Averages (MA)
Next, we glide into moving averages . These are practically lines that smooth out price data to help identify trends over time. Here are the big players:
Simple Moving Average (SMA) : A straightforward average of prices over a specific period of days.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) : An average of prices but with more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is your go-to for spotting overbought and oversold conditions. Ranging from 0 to 100, a reading above 70 means a stock might be overbought (time to sell?), while below 30 suggests it could be oversold (time to buy?). Super common mainstay indicator among traders from all levels.
4. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands consist of a moving average with two standard deviation lines above and below it. When the bands squeeze, it signals low volatility, and when they expand, high volatility is in play. Think of Bollinger Bands as the mood rings of the trading world!
5. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD is all about momentum. It’s made up of two lines: the MACD line (difference between two EMAs) and the signal line (an EMA of the MACD line). When these lines cross, it can be a signal to buy or sell. Think of it as the heartbeat of the market.
6. Fibonacci Retracement
Named after a 13th-century mathematician, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to predict potential support and resistance levels. Traders use these golden ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%) to find points where an asset like a stock or a currency might reverse its direction.
7. Support and Resistance
Support and resistance are the battle lines drawn on your chart. Support is where the price tends to stop falling — finds enough buyers to support it — and resistance is where it tends to stop rising — finds enough sellers to resist it. Think of these two levels as the floor and ceiling of your trading room.
8. Volume
Volume is the fuel in your trading engine. It shows how much of a stock is being traded and can confirm trends. High volume means high interest, while low volume suggests the market is taking a nap from its responsibilities.
9. Trend Lines
Trend lines are your visual guide to understanding the market’s direction. Technical traders, generally, are big on trend lines. You can draw them by connecting at least a couple of lows in an uptrend or at least a couple of highs in a downtrend. They help you see where the market has been and where it might be headed.
10. Head and Shoulders
No, it’s not shampoo. The head and shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern. It consists of three peaks: a higher middle peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders). When you see this take shape in your chart, it might be time to rethink your position.
What’s Your Favorite?
So there you have it, a whirlwind tour of the top technical analysis terms that’ll help your trading yield better results and, as a bonus, make you sound like a trading guru. What’s your favorite among these 10 technical analysis tools? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
SPY: Beware of These Reversal Patterns!In the daily chart of the SPY, a potential double top pattern is forming, signaling a bearish reversal. The key resistance level for this pattern is around 550.12, where the price has failed to break through on two recent occasions, marked by red arrows.
This level is critical for traders to watch as it represents a significant hurdle for any upward momentum. If SPY fails to close above this resistance, it might lead to a bearish breakdown towards the neckline support at 542.62. A break below this level would confirm the double top pattern, potentially leading to a further decline towards the next support around 533.07.
On the weekly chart, a gravestone doji pattern has emerged, a strong bearish reversal signal, especially after a sustained uptrend. This pattern indicates that buyers were unable to maintain higher prices, leading to a close near the week's low.
The gravestone doji, appearing near the resistance level around 550.12, reinforces the bearish outlook suggested by the daily double top pattern. If the bearish sentiment persists, the first significant support to monitor is the 21-week EMA, which has historically provided dynamic support during uptrends.
Integrating the daily and weekly charts, SPY is at a crucial juncture. The double top pattern on the daily chart and the gravestone doji on the weekly chart both indicate potential bearish pressure. If you are bullish, a decisive close above 550.12 would invalidate the double top and suggest a continuation of the uptrend. However, the current technical indicators favor a bearish scenario, with the potential for a significant correction if key support levels are breached. For now, we should closely monitor these critical levels to gauge SPY's next move, balancing the bearish signals with the potential for bullish invalidation.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.