NIO: You must be aware of this KEY POINT! [Trend Analysis].• NIO is still trapped inside a Bearish Flag chart pattern, which we already mentioned in my previous analysis (link below this post);
• In theory, this is a continuation pattern, and since the long-term bias is bearish, NIO would trigger it downwards and seek the next target around $5;
• What’s more, NIO is quite close to the 21 ema in the weekly chart, another resistance level, and doing a Hanging Man candlestick pattern (so far);
• However, in the daily chart, the trend is bullish now, as NIO is doing higher highs/lows and it is above the 21 ema (which is pointing upwards);
• If NIO triggers another bullish pivot point by breaking the $14 area, it will probably break this Flag upwards, and in this scenario, the next resistance around $21 becomes the target;
• Therefore, the $14 is the key point here. It all depends on how NIO will react near this price level. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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Candlestickpattern
SPX: Bullish reaction above a support. What to expect next?• The index is trying to react this morning, and the timing of this reaction is quite good, after all, it is just above our support area, which I mentioned yesterday;
• What’s more, yesterday’s candlestick indicates stabilization, while the 21 ema was working as a resistance;
• Now, the index is just moving according to our previous analysis, and if it closes above the 21 ema again, it might bounce to the 4,083;
• The 4,083 is a key resistance and it was a gap area;
• Only if the index loses the 3,911 I see this bull trend getting weaker. So far, nothing new or surprising is going on. Another update tomorrow.
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USDCAD - Bearish ButterflyLast night during our live session in trading view(www.tradingview.com). I've mentioned that there's no need to chase after the USDCAD trade as there's a rate hike decision happening in less than an hour.
If it's your trade to take, you will have another opportunity.
Missing a trade is better than getting into a trade you aren't supposed to take.
I'm waiting for the current candlestick candle close to engage this trade.
AUDUSD - 2 Headed Orc Head and ShouldersA double-headed head and shoulders were spotted on the AUDUSD H1 chart. While this is rare, it does move the way head and shoulders move and is often overlooked because of its weird-looking candlestick pattern formation.
Perhaps we should call this the Two-Headed Orc's Head and Shoulders.
Well, joke aside, I'm waiting for pattern confirmation before engaging in this trade.
Sales on EURUSDWe have already looked at the possible reversal at EURUSD.
We determined first target - 1,0343. It’s clear, that the idea spoils on a breakout of the previous top.
The goal now, is to find good entry point.
Despite EURUSD is still not the best sell option, there may be a good opportunity today.
Upon another rise to 1,0550 and pullback, there will be good ratio.
Such an entry is highly aggressive and low risk should be used.
Do not sell on impulse rise.
A Reversal Signal!The candlestick pattern indicates a reversal signal and strong uptrend momentum where is closed above the MA50 line backed by high volume.
MACD indicators show a positive with a divergence signal confirming the price uptrend toward the next price resistance.
RSI indicates positive momentum due to fresh interest from the buyer pushing the price toward the next price resistance.
Let's save GOB in WL and watch out for significant price movement toward the next price resistance.
R 0.320
S 0.255
TSLA: Bullseye (again)! Next Key Points to watch [UPDATED].• In our previous post, when TSLA was around $195 I set a target around $179 - $177, if a top sign appears. It happens that TSLA did a Spinning Top, and it dropped sharply afterwards. Now it is below our original target – the link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual;
• Now, TSLA is just bearish, and so far there’s not a single bullish sign indicating a bottom;
• If TSLA reacts and closes above the $177 today, it might bounce to higher levels, like the 21 ema, or even to the $198 again;
• In the lack of bullish reaction, we can assume that it’ll seek the gap at $170;
• TSLA has been a very easy stock to trade, as its movements are all technical and precise. For now, let’s pay attention to these key points. I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
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Sells on EURUSDYesterday we commented the potential trend reversal on EURUSD and the first selling opportunities.
There is still no breakout of 1,0427, that’s why EURUSD isn’t the best trade option.
Upon a confirmation we’ll see push towards 1,0344.
This is just the first target of the H1 trend reversal.
US30 LONGS?Expecting bullish pressure on us30 to at least 50% of the sell move to either take it further to the down side or continue a bullish trend. so for now we counter trade with reasonable stops and see where these takes us!
trust your analysis and use good risk management! this is my idea on us30
A Breakout Signal!The candlestick pattern indicates a price breakout signal right above the MA13 line due to significant price movement backed by high volume.
The MACD and RSI also show a positive reading which indicates a divergence signal.
Let's SOLUTN in WL and watch out for significant price movement toward the next price resistance.
R 0.380
S 0.270
Possible reversal on EURUSDYesterday we saw a test of 1,0545 and a rise to 1,0595. A drop followed and low closing of the daily candle.
This gives a chance of trend reversal on H1. We’ll get confirmation on a break of 1,0427.
Before that we may see another upward move towards 1,0550 and upon pullback there will be the first sell opportunities.
Sell trades look better on AUDUSD after correction.
'RESUME' the trend journey via 'PAUSE' candleWe all have experienced the 'TRAIN' journey and similar to that in the stock market we have the 'TREND' journey.
In the 'TRAIN' journey we have stoppages in between our destination called stations and like in the 'TREND' journey we have stoppages
called levels.
And then, among the levels, the most frustrating one is 'pause' where stock price show opposite candles that is against the trend and where most
traders are hunted.
This post is all about the 'pause' and how to use it to enter the trend and finally reach our destination through the 'TREND' journey.
Definition:- As the name suggests pause candle is the candle formed in between the trend, the change is usually opposite the trend
i.e. if the underlined script is moving in an uptrend then the pause candle will be of negative change and the color will be red and vice-versa.
The pause candle indicates a pause in fresh positions by market participants and an entry chance for players expecting reversals.
Also, it's an opportunity for new players to enter the trend i.e. for those who have missed the initial trend.
Rules or Characteristics of a pause candle:-
1. Prior candles should be aggressive i.e. large candles of the opposite color.
2. It is generally of very small size as compared to the previous one and of the opposite color.
3. Volume is considerably low as compared to previous candles.
4. The RSI level of the spot where this candle originates is usually between the band of 35-75 which confirms that trend has not come to exhaustion.
The psychology behind the pause candle:- In the market everything has a cause and a reason similar pause candle also conveys its message to the market players.
The generation of the pause candle signifies that there is fatigue among the participants who were driving the stock or are taking some break.
Also, it alerts that new hands have entered into the trend and are trying to offer resistance. Those who are looking for reversals spot this candle and enter into
trade with the hope of reversals, they are generally weaker hands.
Bigger hands those who were the driving force of the trend also want the new player to enter the trend so that they hunt them down and resume the
rally at a lower price.
How to trade pause candle:- Now, as small players, we don't know what goes inside but try to predict the message through the candle. If a pause candle
is formed it doesn't mean the exhaustion of trend or reversal rather indicates a pause in fresh market position.
But, here the aggressive trader enters with trades opposite to the trend. At this stage, two cases arise, note talking for an uptrend:-
-> The next candle's high crosses above the high of the pause candle:
Maximum times this is the case that arises, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this indicate?
The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are active again and those who have taken a position against the trend are trapped and will
try to escape hence, the move will be much sharper as compared to the initial trend.
How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle
to form. If the next candle crosses the high of the pause candle take the position along the trend and your stop would be the low of the pause candle which is generally
too small and ride the sharper trend which is usually equal to the initial one.
-> The next candle's low crosses below the low of the pause candle:
Though not arises usually sometimes it does occur, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this
indicate?
The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are in the backseat and are not seeing further upside also there is a chance that they can book
profits at this level.
How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle
to form. If the next candle crosses below the low of the pause candle take the position against the trend and your stop would be the high of the pause candle which is generally
too small and ride the reversal trend which is usually half of the initial one. This case comes under the reversal candlestick patterns on which earlier an article was published
by me but here we are concerned about a pause candle after which rally resumes.
Note: The only constraint is to identify the correct pause candle for which you can refer to the above-said rules. Sometimes the candle after the pause candle
crosses both the high and low of the pause candle in that circumstance you have to check the color of the candle, for uptrend it should be green then you can
take the position else if it's red then wait for the next candle, and vice-versa for the downtrend.
Next target at EURUSD - 1,0615During the NFP last week we saw decline of more than 100 pips but it was recovered very quickly.
This gives a chance for further increase towards 1,0615, where we will watch how the price react.
Before the entry it is recommended to see test and pullback from 1,0545.
No grounds for sell around these levels.
Upon reaching and crossing 1.0615, we will watch for a possible trend reversal.
EURJPY - Bearish Deep GartleyTwo things can happen, we can engage that trade at the market(now) or wait for the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern to complete.
Why Wait?
I'm not comfortable seeing RSI going higher while the chart wasn't; I take that as a warning sign(check out the yellow eclipse at the bottom of the chart).
I trade with 1 of the mindset. I would rather miss a trade than engage in a low-probability trade.
GBPAUD - Bearish SharkOn the daily chart, there is a kiss-of-death setup. What's kiss-of-death, well a term that was given to describe a retest of double top setup, came so close to violating it. And this is what makes this Bearish Shark pattern special.
I'm waiting for the market open and wait for a shorting opportunity.
Let us know if you prefer the current Shark Pattern setup or the one on EURUSD.
EURJPY - Key Resistance levelI like to make it clear over here. EURJPY on the Weekly Chart, Daily Chart and 4-hourly Chart shows a bullish trend setup. However, I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity at the retest of the key resistance level at 141.91. This analysis will stand for me if the market doesn't break and close above 142.18.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Dec22,Wk1The simplest-looking analysis often is the toughest to plot. I'm waiting for shorting opportunity as early as the market open.
One thing to take note, make sure the market didn't gap up and close higher than 1.2311 for this to be a valid trading idea.
An RSI Divergence did help to give me the push to look for a shorting opportunity on the 1-hourly chart that coincides with the Daily Chart key resistance level.
Quick Update BTC/USDT 2hrQuick Update BTC/USDT 2hr
#BTC/USDT 2hr ANALYSIS
BTC is consolidating in a bullish pennant between the
narrow range of $16,812 to $17,120. A solid breakout of the bullish pennant
and a break above the horizontal resistance will give a bullish confirmation
for a target of $1792.
Also Trading above 200EMA
EURUSD - Bearish SharkFinally, a bearish shark pattern qualifies as a shorting opportunity. It has been a long waiting opportunity for this shark pattern trading setup.
As you know or may not know that Shark Pattern can have as many as three different trading zones.
What is needed is patience; failure to do that results in the loss of profits from trying to capture it and losing confidence to trade the next trading setup.
SPX: Be aware of this KEY POINT! Is this a bottom?• The index did exactly what we described yesterday, as we nailed another support level on the index, at 4,028 (it hit 4,026, but we aren’t that perfectionists). The link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual;
• Now the index is trying to react, and the 4,028 is just where the 21 ema is (1h chart);
• It is losing strength, but if it closes above the 38.2% retracement, it might bounce a little bit more;
• However, if it loses our dual support level made by the 4,028 + 21 ema, then it’ll probably seek the next retracements;
• The 61.8% is the last one, and only if the index loses it we might see a sharper correction in the daily chart, to its 21 ema;
• Speaking of daily chart, it seems it triggered a Spinning Top candlestick pattern, which might bring more correction ahead;
• For now, let’s pay attention to the dual-support level in the 1h chart, as it all depends on how it’ll react around this area today. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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#GBPNZD selling opportunityPrice has been trapped in a rangy market for quite some time, but as it can be seen finally managed to break the consolidation area to the downside which means more downside move can be followed. this kind of formation base on DOW theory area called line formation and by the way they are considered as very important when they break to the one side.
As it can be seen we are already in down trend and breakout of the range area from below shows that a trend may potentially resume. But also it should be in mind that the breakout can always turn to be fake signals and also price can still come higher and take out liquidity from above too.
But for now and to keep things simple we need to be looking at the nearest resistance area to the price which is a structure point, because it used to provide support for price before and now that price broke this area to the down it could provide resistance. and as you can see price already came back to this area once and rejected from.
Now and in the second try if price reject to the downside from this area after a liquidation you can say that this area would hold and selling is an option.