USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk2In my analysis of the USDJPY Daily Chart, the Bearish Crab Pattern still stands. At this moment it is a Bearish Crab Pattern checkback, which means it is at its best possible price for interested traders to engage this trade with the best Reward:Risk that is possible that happens on the Crab Pattern.
Personally, I'm not that crazy about that because of the prolonged consolidation. I'm more interested in the buying opportunity as I believe that USD still have room for appreciation.
Candlestickpattern
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk2GBPUSD on its daily chart reversed on the Key Resistance level. Counter-Trend traders could wait for a 3-bar reversal on the dotted blue line.
However, that is NOT good enough for me. I will need to see a Double Bottom with an RSI Divergence before I'm interested to engage in the trade.
What is the condition you need for you to get on a counter-trend trading setup like this?
EURUSD before NFP Today is the first Friday of the month and we will see the publishing of the non-farm payrolls.
This will affect all instruments traded against the USD.
We want to see EURUSD with a clean move and better setups throughout the next week.
Right now, we are not looking to enter before the news!
0,9710 is an important level and if we see the market rejecting it, we will probably see another move higher to 0,9920.
QQQ: Doing as expected, but be careful with this resistance!• QQQ did an Above the Stomach candlestick pattern just above the previous support at $268 (black line);
• This candlestick pattern was triggered, and QQQ is trading at its first technical target at the 21 ema;
• QQQ didn’t trigger the bullish candlestick pattern we mentioned last week, and the moment it lost the $275, it just went down to seek our next target at $268, and it hit it with astonishing precision before reacting again, as we expected. The link to my previous analysis is below this post;
• Now that it is near its 21 ema, we’ll see if this is a Dead Cat Bounce or a meaningful reversal sign;
• If it loses yesterday’s low, it’ll show some weakness and a bearish thesis will gain strength. However, by breaking the 21 ema, a mid-term reversal would have a first target at $307, to fill the first gap (yellow square);
• Either way, QQQ is about to do something interesting;
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
EURUSD H1 analysis Like we said yesterday, the downtrend on EURUSD is still valid and the best trading opportunities will appear as soon as price confirms another downside push.
However, it is still early to enter short and expect to see a breakout of the previous low.
We are now waiting for the pullback to continue and trick us a few more times.
That's why we should reduce the amount of trades and position size before we see a clear setup.
We could potentially see a drop to around 0,9750 and then another push higher maybe taking price above the parity level.
No trades on EURUSD Yesterday, EURUSD reached the parity level again.
That means, we could possibly see continuation up in the next few days.
Right now we won't trade EURUSD as current price levels are not good for entries.
We are still in a downtrend on the Daily chart and the best opportunities will be once the market goes back to the downside!
Gaining Uptrend Momentum!The price gained momentum after crossing over the MA20 line backed by volume due to fresh buying interest on the stock. This will be the beginning of a price rally towards the next price resistance.
MACD and OBV indicate a divergence signal, thus, confirming the price momentum towards the next price resistance.
To place a bid, use VWAP as a guideline then place the bid below the VWAP line. Because the price Point of Control (PoC) is the same as the closed price. Therefore, higher risk for a long trade position.
Let's save PTRANS in WL and watch out for the significant price movement backed with volume or the MA50 line crossing the MA20 line, hence, indicating a strong uptrend momentum.
R 0.925
S 0.875
XRP TO $1?We have some heavy price action which has recently broke and this could be the sign of XRP climbing upwards to key levels not seen since May.
1) Weekly Trendline - this has been in state since November 2021 - this hasn't been broken since price action in late September (Bullish)
2) XRP has Strongly broken out of 100 day range trading between $0.30-$0.38 (Bullish)
3) Strong Bullish Volume - this weight has not been seen on the Daily all year
4) Bullish Pennant forming outside of the Weekly Trendline break. Currently on the 12th day of this pattern - we could see this pattern take a few more days to for (Bullish)
5) If price was to break out of the Pennant we look to $0.50 for the BOS and if this is true then we can expect a new strong trend
Take profit areas
Look to previous Market Structure and i use a simple technique such as LH/LL for price points ( when the market reverses to the upside) - there's a long way to go before we hit $1.00 and we need to reclaim areas we lost this year such as
$0.58
$0.65
$0.79
$0.87
Let me know you thoughts on XRP going forward
Ethereum Trade Idea 04/10Looking at a potential move to the upside for ETH - price has bounced away from the 1260 support area and now is looking to take on resistance areas such as the 1355 and 1375.
Any potential upside on ETH will be short as we look to the HTF which suggests the continuation of the order flow (Bearish)
If price was to break these areas, the next level to look to is 1400.
If price breaks 1355 and fails to break 1375 then this could be another rejection of a resistance area.
On the HTF, price is making consecutive LH and LL.
The last sequence of LL/LH rallied 24.65% - this is to be unlikely in the next sequence as we are in a bearish range = high probability to the downside
One thing to keep in mind is that we still haven't 100% retraced from rising wedge which took 32 days to form (13/07-15/08)
Wait for rejection on EURUSDAfter a very definite downtrend, it's now time for a pullback on EURUSD.
Right now, we don't have any signals to sell yet.
Today, we need to observe and see how it will react between the levels of 0,9850-0,9930.
In moments like this, it is very important to show patience and wait for the right signal to enter a trade.
The downtrend continuation will be confirmed on a breakout of the previous low!
Is it time to sell EURUSD?EURUSD rejected the sell zone on Friday.
Now, we could see the beginning of the next downside move.
You can wait for a confirmation which will be a breakout of 0,9731.
However, selling right now is not yet confirmed as we can easily see price going above 0,9854.
The direction is still to the downside and we are only looking to sell!
BTC - 1W ThoughtsThe Inverted Hammer candlestick formation occurs mainly at the bottom of downtrends and can act as a warning of a potential trend reversal.
After a long downtrend, the formation of an Inverted Hammer is bullish because prices hesitated to move downwards.
Sellers pushed prices back to where they were at the open, but increasing prices shows that bulls are testing the power of the bears.
**This is not a signal and should be used for educational purposes only.**
Gold Analysis Sunday October 2nd, 2022Potential Piercing Line on the weekly bouncing off support.
Closed above the 50% of the previous week's body.
The Daily finished with a Shooting Star.
Recently, This candle can funtion in two different ways.
1. Bulls lost out and bears brought price back down. More bearish movement.
2. A test of new highs followed by bulls pushing backing up and going higher.
This time, let's look at the previous canle and support and resistance as well.
Price is at strong S&R. the previous candle was a Hanging man. However, it closed slightly higher than the previous candle.
We have to see what Gold will do this week in order to fully understand what these candles could mean.
NZDJPY - Bullish SharkTo those who trade based on currency correlation, this is one setup you have to look at. On the surface, the NZDJPY and NZDUSD both have a Bullish Shark Pattern on the 1-hourly chart, but if you look closely at the 4-hourly chart, you will be able to see the future of these two pairs differs from one another.
On the NZDJPY, the Shark Pattern is more direct, in and out of the setup. However, on the NZDUSD setup, there is a potential trading combo setup.
Check out the related ideas at the bottom of my tradingview post to learn more.
NZDUSD - Bearish FlagCounter-trend traders do take note, if you are looking for a trend-reversal trade, it might not be the time yet.
What I've spotted is a potential Bearish Flag Pattern, the Flag Pattern confirmation will happen when the candlestick break and close below 0.5560, so I say, "Hold your horses!" Let's see what pans out.
Check out the related ideas at the bottom to access the lower timeframe analysis.
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Oct22,Wk1The EURUSD is on a Bearish Trend on both Daily & 4-hourly charts. The key resistance level on the Daily chart is at 0.9900, and on the 4-hourly chart, we have a Bearish Shark Pattern that completes within the sell zone(supply zone) at 0.9866.
Last Friday, we did an aggressive short on the 1hourly chart based on a potential double top setup that has an RSI Divergence with it. Currently, the setup is a double top with a retracement pull-back. Normally, it is a perfect opportunity for traders to engage in the trade, I don't quite like the current candlestick pattern confirmation.
I leave that to you. Related Ideas is at the bottom of the tradingview chart.
AUDJPY / BUY TRADE SETUP!!Ill be monitoring price around the highlighted zone (91.650) early next week to see how price reacts. We should see a bounce at the least which ill be taking long trades to give myself the opportunity to hopefully see price return to the resistance of 95.700. On the daily you can see we have already had one rejection from this support zone, so a nice morning star formation on the daily would be a good indication to take entry's! As always trade smart risk appropriately!!
UBER: A bullish reversal pattern! Will it REVERSE?• UBER is reacting today, however, this reaction alone is not good enough to characterize a true bullish reversal;
• Today it is doing a Piercing Line candlestick pattern just above the previous support at $27.10 (black line) – a bullish reversal structure;
• Although this is a decent reaction, it seems it is too soon to tell if this reaction will last long enough. As far as I know, the trend is still bearish, and UBER is heading to fill the last gap at $24.62;
• In addition, UBER did a Double Top chart pattern at $33.78, which indicates more sell-off in the mid-term;
• Could UBER perform a better reversal sign? Yes, but it must not frustrate this Piercing Line candlestick pattern (meaning, it must not lose yesterday’s low at $26), and it must close above the $27.69 (dotted line);
• Why above the $27.69? By doing this, it’ll frustrate the Double Top chart pattern I mentioned above. This point is the previous bottom seen on September/August and the trigger point of this Double Top;
• Only if UBER does both things I’ll see a recover to the $33 again (mid-term). The volume must increase as well, as it has been quite low recently.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
Stop buying the EURUSD EURUSD completed the upside move to 0,9850 pretty quick.
That means, it's probably best to close all long positions and wait for the right moment to enter again.
We could see a continuation up but buying right now is probably not the best idea.
You should focus on price rejecting the zone.
It could take some time until the market gives us a clear move and that's why you should wait for a further confirmation.