Which cannabis should I own now Biden is the president? part 2Technical overview:
VFF all time high was 17.45$ in March 21 2019.
After COVID-19 our highest high is today’s 10.82$.
Before we start analyzing the wave we are seeing in VFF we must mention a valuable fact ! the resistance level from March 2018 was just broken !! that is big ! it was broken by an igniting bar with a lot of volume and momentum behind it meaning investors belief in the mentioned stock is back and its high !now lets start analyzing the prediction:
If we look at the FIB levels from the Highest high drop of march 2019 we can understand that VFF stock is on the 50% FIB line at the moment – that is very important, which makes me think about correction coming ,ill explain :
So we are looking at an impulse wave in its 3rd stage (tends to be the strongest stage), and once the third stage will end we will go into a minor correction in the fourth stage –the end of the current stage can take us all the way to 13.5$ - 14$ and the correction is expected to be about 618 FIB level which will bring VFF stock to the 10.00$ line once again and prove that number to be a strong support level – remember psychological numbers are very important in the world of stocks. Meaning when the stock starts correcting most investors will put a limit order on the 10$ line to re-buy the stock at that value – which matches our 50% FIB line showing there is big demand for the stock to be at that price level.
ALWAYS REMEMBER support levels are created as demand rises every time an asset reaches that level and the market thinks the asset is valued more -that’s why they are support level -if you use volume indicators you will usually find high volume around support areas.
Back to VFF -so we are looking at a stock that on its 3rd stage expected to reach 13.5$ at least and we still have the 5th stage to go through – in my eyes from technical only this stock is expected to reach the 17$ mark before end of current year and that is without the bill passing, if the bill passes then this is well beyond its 20$ mark.
Lets talk Fundamental :
So the house was suppose to vote on a legalization bill in sept but because of covid it was postponed to after the elections, and the vote is scheduled for mid-December -if that bill passes then you should check your cannabis stock portfolio – we are looking at prices of the cannabis craze a year and half ago. Worth mentioning that in the beginning of Nov we had voters from Arizona, New Jersey, Montana approve ballot measures to legalize recreational marijuana, while south Dakota approved both recreational and pharmaceutical so legalization is here in my opinion it’s a matter of time till its marijuana being illegal days are behind us.
I should mention other countries are following this as well, Israel for example is working on passing a legalization bill as we speak and there are many other countries coming next.
VFF is a Canada based agricultural producer and except many vegetables they also grow a lot of cannabis.
VFF acquired Pure Sunfarm Corp and owns 100% of its cannabis producing shares, which should not be taken lightly as they exist for over 25 years and sell various products from vapes, CBD oil, seeds and over 15 different kinds of marijuana species. Village farms has 9 million square miles of farms delivering produce under exclusive contract with these farmers. Their business model is financing part of the expenses to farmers in order to get them started with the initial capital needed, truly a great vision.
VFF at the moment is the most valuable marijuana stock on the NASDAQ with a TTM P/S ratio of 2.9!
To sum up :
Although a lot think the bill will not be approved this December and may take more time till it does we are still sitting on a cash cow here – with VFF current growth rate and cheap stock price that in my eyes expected to cross 20$
Compare to other cannabis stocks:
Cannabisstocks
SNDL Sundial Fibonacci retracement completedAfter the Tech bubble and the EV bubble now it`s the time for the Cannabis market to shine! :)
Sundial Growers engages in the production and distribution of flower, pre-rolls and vapes. It operates through the following segments: Cannabis, Ornamental Flowers, and Corporate.
If you are interested to test some amazing BUY and SELL INDICATORS, which give the signal at the beginning of the candle, not at the end of it, just leave me a message.
Aphria (APHA) possible long set upAs much as I dislike everything about this company, if inverse H&S holds and we close above $6.40 and 6.40 become our new support - bullish. But honestly, it is a true definition of a $h!t company. Trading it only because I need a revenge.
APHA- Ready to attack the weekly downward trendAPHA is volatile, but I like its long-term prospect and its current technical setup.
I believe APHA has a good chance of breaking through its long-term downward trend.
For the more conservative play, buy on the retest after the supply zone becomes the demand zone.
Just my two cents. Not the investment advice.
**EARNINGS TOMORROW** GRWG!I love this stock so much and I took the trade at 11. Looking at them now they are primed to beat earnings with expansions happening nationwide following states legalization . Because they are a regular company, then are not effected by the lack of legalization because they've grown into what is given and can only benefit from legalization. They did well on earnings and the news feed is chock full of good shit. This is a BUY.
Long TLRY [ Tilray ]There is an overall bullish sentiment for Cannabis Stock to experience large growth as a result of the US Presidential Election. NASDAQ:TLRY has recently broken a trendline that indicates price action bullish movement.
The Strong support level that is created at $10,50 is as a result of the bullish trendline and strong resistance that may turn into support.
This setup has an potential growth forecast of 123,74%
Which cannabis stocks should I now that Biden is the president?Which cannabis stocks should I now that Biden is the president (part 1) : Going first with Cronos Group.
Biden won (although Trump wouldn’t agree😊) and the sentiment is talking about green energy stocks, electric vehicle makers, telecommunication stocks, cannabis stocks, government bonds and more. But we cant invest in everything and we cant relay on market hype to make a sound investment. So first I wanted to break down cannabis stocks as they have rallied dramatically in the last 2 trading sessions.
But before all that lets state a super important fact: Arizona, and South Dakota recently voted to legalize recreational marijuana! BOOM!
I choose to start this series with the first stock of Cronos Group.
Cronos Group
Heavily funded by Altria group investment in 2018 with 1.8 billion, the company has been operating in the last two years with no factual growth or sales, I mean 10 million in sales in the cannabis world market would be a drop in the bucket.
Stock rallied 10% in the last week upon elections but once the 15 min of fame are over this stock isn’t going to do much in my opinion.
The spending on growth and technological developments such as “fermented cannabinoids” which I will explain now, have cost the company to fall behind in the cannabis race on market and sales share.
So what is fermented cannabinoids?
The Cannabis flower isn’t using cannabinoids in order to maintain its survival, which can cause a change of up to 30% in the concentration of the flower’s cannabinoids, even if grown in identical conditions it still varies from one flower to another. So, extracting and controlling this would be a very difficult task.
Fermenting it is basically growing its cells in a lab and duplicating them instead of growing the flower itself – again this is explaining it in a nutshell of course.
So the news about Biden wining can maybe translated into good news for Cronos Group, but for me as a skeptical, I’ll need some proof of concept before jumping in and that means sales sales and more sales!
TECHNICAL VIEW on Cronos Group:
Highest high pre COVID was a25.1$ at February 2019.
Dropped from there all the way to 5$ with one Bullish week during that slope.
Then was side channeling from 5$ to 7$ and gave one fake out on June @ 8.09$ and went back down.
This Friday it broke resistance and touched 8.4$ just to drop back down to 7.5.
With all rally and resistance tested twice and broken, I expect the stock to rally up more to the 13$ zone (retracement to the 38 Fib line) but I don’t see it going further then that at least in the upcoming 4-6 months.
Short term Buy
Long Term Sell
Revise again at March 2021.
Here is a chart comparing all major cannabis stocks one next to another (not including Grow generation group that could not fit in the chart since price is too high)
Next up we will cover Canopy Growth!
WE analyze the stock market acc to the great Ralph Nelson Elliot and combine that with fundamental and sentiment analysis on a theory we call Market Cycle Based Analysis and that gives us high prediction rate 😊
This is not a recommendation but our personal advice
Trade safe and invest smart!
Top Cannabis Stock Picks! GRWG APHA GWPH. So I have a Solid pick in $GRWG
$APHA is a great buy right now at the price and with the potential
$GWPH is a LONG hold. And strictly equity. I will be adding at key levels.
I Dont disregard the favorites like $ACB $CGC and others but I think that these offer potential as well. GWPH perhaps I am biased on because ive been watching this company for a while, but I think this goes higher based off potential and foothold
All in all federal legalization will send us flying. Id rather be in position.
Cannabis Stocks- GRWGI LOVE this company LONG. Unfortunately this is the perfect place to buy and the sketchiest place to buy. With a possible Biden win, cannabis stocks like this one will soar. Two things in GRWG's favor in the mean time is the possible legalization in 5 states. Also, earnings coming up is expected to be a good one. So if we hit all three. Biden win. Earnings hit. Legaliztion. Then i could see a strong run up as this ticker as already see some good volume in the past.
LABS.TO - Filled the gap. $2.50 price target from Canaccord.LABS presents a very good entry near .84 gap fill. Canaccord analyst has revised the price target to $2.50 after EU deal announcement and the company continues to produce excellent news flow. Strong support in the low .80s. Gap above at 1.69. Positive MACD divergence. Sector is finally turning bullish. I like this setup.
Correction after a bounceWeekly candle close bearish so a correction it's expected for the next week, looking closely to see any reversal signal. $22 resistance expected to be touched soon.
Falling Wedge breakout on the RSI for TNYBF.TNYBF has broken flush out of a falling wedge to the upside on the RSI, when a stocks price has been falling over time, a wedge pattern can occur just as the trend makes its final downward move, hopefully, that's what has occurred in this situation.
Tinley's breaking the downward sloping resistance of a bullish flag on the price action outlined in dark blue, only modestly at the time being, it would be ideal to see a flush breakout and a re-test of the downward blue sloping resistance, turning old resistance into new support. If we see a rejection in the upcoming trading days, the baseline of support of the pattern will need to hold to prevent this from playing out bearishly as a descending triangle, like I have hypothetically drawn in green on the price action.
Very noticeable bullish cross on the KST, this is exactly what you want to see in a bull market, it's normally bullish, for now. See previous blue finger icons as previous examples.
Maybe we see a H&S type of pattern on the KST, that's if there's continued upside from here, I have drawn a green line to make a hypothetical example.
Always the possibility of a blue sky breakout, depending on Macro developments over the upcoming months.
CHM.C -- Biomedical/Cannabis play trading below cash positionCHM.C is breaking out on record volume!
The company had $4M in cash at the end of May. The enterprise value of CHM is about $8.5M. Options (.06, .10) and warrants (.50, .70) were issued at significantly higher levels than current stock price. Insiders and consultants hold over 35% of the float.
Cannabis sector is starting to wake up a little but it is the Biomedical angle that has me intrigued about CHM. It has acquired a 16.4% stake ImmunoFlex Therapeutics, the company developing products to enhance immunological responsiveness. It is clear that, once released, they will be marketed in the context of COVID-19 pandemic as preventative and immune system strengthening treatments.
While the target date for ImmunoFlex products release was vague (“late Fall 2020”), there are signs that it will come sooner rather than later. On September 28th, ImmunoFlex announced hiring of prominent medical professionals and established a Scientific Advisory Board. I suspect we will be seeing more news very soon.
On the Cannabis side of things, CHM has recently expanded its Sugarleaf cultivation facility in Washington State by ~ 30%. They are also in the early stages of establishing a California-based operation.
ACB BUY (AURORA CANNABIS INC)Hi there. Price is forming a continuation pattern to the upside. Watch strong price action at the current levels for buy.
GrowGeneration Pushes Higher as the S&P 500 SlidesEven when the big indexes are sliding, a handful of growth stocks with their own stories can rally. Cannabis play GrowGeneration may fit that bill.
The seller of growing supplies like hydroponic equipment exploded higher last month on the heels of a strong quarterly report. (Revenue +123 percent, same-store sales +49 percent.) It’s pulled back and consolidated since as some potentially bullish patterns appear.
First is the support zone around $13.24. It was the close on August 14, one day after its earnings gap up. GRWG bounced there in late-August. It slightly undercut the level on September 4, but held. That resulted in a false breakdown, which was followed by a higher low on September 11.
Second is the narrow range in the last month. Bollinger Band Width squeezed to just 24 percent yesterday, the tightest since late July.
Next is the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA). Most big stocks in the market have been under their 8-day EMAs since early September, but GRWG has recently jumped back above the line – despite the broader market’s selloff intensifying.
Finally, the weekly chart shows an almost-perfect rounded basing pattern around $14.
GRGW is a tiny company serving a fast-growing niche. That also has the potential of reducing its correlation to the broader market.
TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Possible Head & Shoulders for APHA?A H&S pattern is clearly noticeable on the RSI & KST.
On the KST the right shoulder is lower than the left, but on the price the right shoulder is higher than the left, not sure if that's considered a bearish divergence but if there's further downside action it would seem accurate.
On the KST each shoulder & the head display a bearish cross where I have placed the red finger, this happens when the red line crosses over the green in a downward angle.
Bullish Flag or Descending Triangle for TRUL?Notice on the KST there's been a bullish cross, I have placed three blue finger icons to represent previous bullish crosses.
The red finger icon on the KST is there to display some weakness in the previous bullish cross, notice how there was no higher high creation on a Macro perspective and the blue downward sloping resistance, if we get a bullish cross on the KST but no higher high and another rejection at the blue downward sloping line, it's possible we see a bearish outcome in relation price action.
I have drawn a green line on the KST to represent the hypothetical scenario I've suggested is possible.
MJ- Cannabis stocks in the accumulation zoneACB, APHA, CGC, CRON, GTBIF, TLRY are in my Cannabis watchlist. I am bullish on APHA and GTBIF.
MJ is a more conservative approach to capture the gain with limited downside risk.
Ladder buy within the demand zone. Set the stop loss 10% to 15% below the demand zone for the swing to intermediate setup.