Is a bottom near for Canopy Growth Corp?Did Canopy create a double top, or is the stock going to create a Macro higher low & stick in a bottom tmrw or sometime right away next week?? If Canopy doesn't take control of the market tmrw with some big news to offset the market sentiment than don't look down, in my humble opinion which is only worth a grain of sea salt from...….
Time will tell per usual.
Canopygrowth
Long CGCExpecting bounce from extremely oversold weekly and daily levels. If stop breached, be prepared to catch new daily reversal on lower levels with a tight stop.
$OGI Showing Signs of a Bottom Despite Continued Sector Rout$OGI has held the 200DMA as support the last two trading sessions & on July 15th. Hammer candle was put in on 7/29 followed by a bullish engulfing signal today.
OGI current trades at a 10x P/E 2019 revenue and a 3-4x P/E on FY2020 revenue estimates. We see several near-term catalysts for $OGI and feel the stock will benefit immensely once the current industry chaos settles down (CTST, APHA, HEXO, etc)
The company announced July 15th, it developed a Rapid-Onset Nano-Emulsification Technology for Cannabis Beverages with an initial onset of 10-15 mins vs 60-90 mins on average. The company also clearly told the market they're actively seeking a beverage partner & is for sale.
Management has proven they can execute with positive adjusted EBITDA 4x Qs in a row, minimal dilution to shareholders vs peers, disciplined w/ expenses (No $600M losses here), and a very transparent with investors. $OGI management won't pump the stock & give unrealistic guidance like some of its peers, $OGI is focused on building an operationally sound profitable cannabis company in Canada & Internationally.
We expect $OGI to get a lot of attention from institutional & retail investors state-side in 2H 2019 as investors begin to pay more attention to market caps, margins, profit/loss, etc. The industry is maturing very quickly and we believe investors will begin to see $OGI as a Top 3 LP.
Time will tell...
***Disclaimer: I am long $OGI. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.***
$WEED support lost, will the channel hold? #WEED #CGCOh well, were definitely expecting more energy from around here but now it seems to be that the support that has been holding the price on right course since December '17, is lost. This channel where the price bounced a tiny bit right now has also been tested few times earlier. Not looking that impressive here, for me at least. If this channel is lost, we may see this stock around sub 40 CAD and then maybe even sub 30 CAD. Seems crazy with all this legalization just keep on spreading that the price would see stupidly cheap prices but maybe still lower from here a bit. Direction will chance soon - after the market has done what has to be done.
Cannabis headlines - turning bullishThe Cannabis ETF (MJ -4%) is trading at at six-month low as investor hype around cannabis stocks has faded.
In a somewhat predictable sell-the-news reaction, the MJ ETF peaked when recreational cannabis went into effect last Fall after staging a massive run leading up to the highly anticipated event.
Since then, the onus has been on companies to deliver. Most of them have begun reporting enviably strong sales growth, but the euphoric valuations had priced in a generous amount of future success.
Last week, Canopy Growth (CGC) Founder Bruce Linton was ousted from his role as co-CEO. He did a great job scaling the largest cannabis company in the world, but Constellation Brands (STZ) sought a more sound operational manger for the next phase of growth at its multi-billion dollar cannabis investment.
This week, CannTrust (CTST) announced that it was non-compliant with certain regulations in Canada, resulting in millions of grams of inventory being put on hold. The stock has nearly been cut in half.
The cannabis market is still nascent and the THC and CBD markets have tremendous long-term potential, but unforeseen events are par for the course in the world of business. In hindsight, cannabis stocks were priced for perfection, so it was just a matter of time before sentiment cooled off.
Cannabis stocks have pulled back from their aggressive valuations as expectations have been set at a more reasonable level.
Headwinds in the form of regulations and capacity constraints appear to be abating as the industry starts to mature. The growth outlook remains very promising.
Despite the recent sell off, the leading (largest) cannabis companies Canopy Growth (CGC), Tilray (TLRY) and Aurora (ACB) still trade at ~20x forward revenue estimates. With the backing of Altria (MO), Cronos (CRON) is even more expensive relative to sales estimates while Aphria (APHA) trades at a discount.
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Briefing . com
LONG CGCExpecting bounce from extremely oversold weekly and daily levels in the cannabis market leader. If stop breached, be prepared to catch new daily reversal on lower levels with a tight stop.
Short-term / Technical study of TLRYAs shown in chart. TLRY could benefit of a big rally if we can cross the $56.50 SMA(50) line with strong volume.
Technicals
RSI @62 with a stronger comeback from being oversold. (Check chart drawings)
* Always set your stop-limits to protect your position, as well as exit-profit targets to get your gains.
Happy trading!
dorfmanmaster
What does CUSP.P have in common with 2 of the largest MJ Stocks?Bruce Linton & William Hilson, I made it easy for you lol.
They've had their eye on a specific company to takeover before they made this capital pool company!
Cronos Group has a 2.4 Billion Dollar investment from Altria Group.
Canopy has a 5 Billion Dollar investment from Constellation Brands.
Here's a link to Cuspis Overview, put www. before ollerheadcapital.com
ollerheadcapital.com/cuspis-capital.html
Same thing with this link to cusp.p shareholders, just put http:// before cdn.ceo
cdn.ceo.ca.s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/1e8i559-CUSP.P.png
WEED Nothing BullishVery bearish chart - no reason to catch the falling knife and buy until something confirms. Weekly MACD turning negative and already below the signal is confirming this down move.
No catalyst yet - I'll need at least a break of the recent weekly downtrend.
Meanwhile, negative divergence on the MACD and DMI will weigh on it.
Long Canopy Growth - Large Upside PotentialCanopy Growth corporation is planning a $300m acquisition of Acreage Holdings in what is the biggest Marijuana acquisition of all time. The potential acquisition dependent on U.S. Congress changing laws to legalize the sale of marijuana across the US presents large long term upside potential for the stock. However, as with our analysis on Aurora Cannabis we advise the stock be traded with caution as it is very volatile but volatility is dropping as shown by the ATR.
The stock was in a significant downtrend from all time highs as prices hugged the lower Bollinger Band but the downtrend reversed in Jan 19 as prices moved away from the lower band. There has been some weakness in prices over the past couple of months but they have broken out with potential to go back up towards Oct 18 highs at around $59. Additionally the 50 day moving average crossed the 100 day moving average which is a very bullish signal but we would nevertheless start building a long position with caution mainly due to regulatory uncertainty.
$CGC: Watch continuous pattern to the upside!We are currently in a falling wedge; watch price action at the bottom of the wedge for best entry point.
Canopy growth 300% profit expectedCGC looking very promising. If we can continue from here target will be $122 for wave 3.
weedweak at least levels suggest price will come towards 50$ range - it just can't above 65$ not enough buyers showing up..market profile suggest 50$ at a naked VPOC to come test and find buyers 15-20% drop very possible here will probably affect whole cannabis sector which is pretty much overbought anyway
CGC with a massive indecision on the weekly.When this thing breaks, I would expect a massive move either way. What's it going to be heading towards summer ? Is Canopy primed for another leg up after this gigantic bull flag ? Or is it going back down ......what do you think ?
$CGC: Bullish Pennant break out? ready for BLAST OFF!We are currently in a bullish pennant and I believe we are going to breakout to the upside. With the hype around the cannabis sector, it's not likely we will see a major correction before hitting all time high. Weekly Ichimoku cloud also indicates that we are in bullish trend for weeks and month to come.
Be patient and manage wisely :)
This is an analysis, not an investment advice.
Beautiful Bullish Pennant EQ -Break coming!Topside resistance: 48 psychological, break could lead to previous highs 50-55 range, up to 15% profit potential, if not ATH.
Bottom support: 45 psychological & 43,71 previous Higher Low/trendline coming in. Break could lead to HL compared to 25.15, => further tightening EQ range on the Weekly.
Watch for volume when break occurs, in order to avoid fake-outs.
Good luck! ;)
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I think Canopy Growth will retest its support in the coming week
I think Canopy Growth will retest its support in the coming weeks. Much based around the accounting error and no short term catalyst to move the SP higher from a already high SP, price near ATH. I think Canopy Growth will find support around $48-55 Cad or as low as $40 Cad, depending on more factors then only Canopy.
And with positive news around the Cannabis market not having a significant impact on the share price, i believe it impact the sentiment to become more positive towards Cannabis market, see it with a little bit less risk.
And with risk in mind, i think most well known companies have there share price reflecting the risk in the market rather then the potential of the market.
When the shift comes from investing for the potential rather then the risk. I think the good companies will have lower volatility and a steady SP and healthy technical moves. Rather then this risk investing climate, with high volatility, fast up and down moves and SP destroyed in a couple of days/weeks.
Based on the belief stated above, i think the SP will move down from 60 range to 40-50 range depending on sentiment/ things unknown to me.
And from there trade in an range until a leg up or down, or a shift in the sentiment.