US Stock In Play: $TEN (Tenneco Inc)$TEN share price surged by a further +14.96% since our last update this week. This totals up a gain of +42.34% in a short 9 days trading session. With $TEN continuing to outperform its sectorial competitors with increasing buying demand, trading at a new 52 weeks high on both share price and implied volatility, further upside will be imminent to test its 2019 resistance at $25 range.
$TEN is currently trading at its 52 weeks high, at a market capitalization exceeding $1 Billion USD for the first time since 2019.
$TEN designs, manufactures, and sells clean air, powertrain, and ride performance products and systems for light vehicle, commercial truck, off-highway, industrial, and aftermarket customers worldwide.
Canslim
Stock To WatchThe Market longer term uptrend still intact, many growth names remain choppy. I try to pick the best of the best. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 21 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 4 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. I also add 5 names that should be on everyone's longer term watchlist. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
US Stock In Play: $VRTV (Veritiv Corporation)$VRTV broke out of its 11 weeks consolidated Ascending Triangle chart pattern, rallying over +23.38% (+$11.84) in just 3 days to close at $62.17. It was also announced that the company have added $50 million to its buyback program, expanding the share re-purchase to $100 million mark.
With it currently trading at its 52 weeks high, it is worth to highlight that $VRTV is also $0.43 away from its all time high of $62.60 that was last traded in March 2017. We will be looking at a $1 Billion market capitalization at $VRTV, if it were to successfully trade beyond $63.50 at current total outstanding shares.
$VRTV operates as a business-to-business provider of value-added packaging products and services, as well as facility solutions, print, and publishing products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
Stocks To Watch This WeekThe Market may have some more room to the downside with the longer term uptrend still intact, many growth names remain choppy at best. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 24 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 5 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
ACCD Bullish Trend Line Breakeout....ACCD Bullish Trend Line Breakeout....
Double bottom with handle ( Not sure if that philosophy works on Daily charts)
Take the Trade only if it breaks and closes above 49.90....The Earnings will be the catalyst we've been waiting for.
Manage Risk.....Green Pips
thanks
@RichardMoglen
Stock To WatchThe Market has resumed its uptrend, but I still see growth names not fully participating. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 27 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 7 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Stock To WatchThe Market has resumed its uptrend, but I still see growth names not fully participating. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 32 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 3 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Stock To WatchThe Market has resumed its uptrend, this week could be a choppy market. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 32 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 3 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
FUTU completing a cup and handle ENTER in the green zone... thats when the break out would be confirmed. the grey areas are three areas of support can act as stop losses. (trailing going up, if an entry is made right now, as the ema 12 just cross the ema-26)
futu is an ideal canslim candidate. amazing fundamentals.
$FUTU
Stocks To Watch This WeekThe Market seems like it is getting healthier, this week I expect the market to by choppy. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume and most are in the growth sector. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 32 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 4 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Stocks to Watch Relative Strength Edition The Market is pulling back and might be trying to put in a bottom, this week I expect the market to by choppy. This is the Relative Strength Edition of Stocks to Watch. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 28 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 1 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Stocks To Watch (Relative Strength Edition)The Market is pulling back and might be trying to put in a bottom, this week I expect the market to by choppy. This is the Relative Strength Edition of Stocks to Watch. This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 29 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 4 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
Stocks To Watch This WeekThe Bull Market is strong. This week I tried to pick the absolute best names that present exceptional reward/risk. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 22 total stocks on this list. I add an additional 2 stocks that are on my potential short squeeze watch list. Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!
$DDOG Looking for Long Entry$DDOG Beat on earnings and revenue on Feb 11. However, they guided slightly lower earnings than expected going forward with better than expected revenue, I like how this dipped right down to my support line (nothing too magical about that) and went right back up. I'm hoping for a little consolidation in the next few trading days. Either way, if we get some good up volume in the next few days / weeks, I''ll be looking for a long entry. All TBD. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
According to Earnings Whispers:
Datadog Inc Cl A (DDOG) reported 4th Quarter December 2020 earnings of $0.06 per share on revenue of $177.5 million. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.02 per share on revenue of $163.3 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.05 per share. Revenue grew 56.2% on a year-over-year basis.
The company said it expects first quarter earnings of $0.02 to $0.03 per share on revenue of $185.0 million to $187.0 million and 2021 earnings of $0.10 to $0.14 per share on revenue of $825.0 million to $835.0 million. The current consensus estimate is earnings of $0.04 on revenue of $180.16 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2021 and earnings of $0.19 per share on revenue of $803.83 million for the year ending December 31, 2021.
Chinese Rare Earth Elements (REE) MinersBull Case on Chinese REE Miners:
Increasing domestic pressure to restrict REE exports from China.
China accounts for 60% of the world's mining of REE, China also accounts for over 80% of the world's REE refining. Refining is environmentally intensive & damaging.
The US & Australia are building out domestic supply chains, but unless they are willing to fight their own environmental regulations to refine what is mined, it still has to be sent to China.
Increasing global demand + restricted supply chains = higher prices = greater profits for Chinese REE miners / refiners (tracked in REMX).
China is bolstering its domestic semiconductor industry due to the restrictions from the US & West, which also require REE; Chinese domestic demand for REE is going to increase to support a domestic semiconductor foundry sector.
Cup & Handle pattern noted.
GRWG - A Bear CaseWeighing both impending federal policy changes and strong fundamentals, GrowGeneration (GRWG) looks like a promising cannabis stock to buy & hold. With an incoming Biden administration, federal cannabis decriminalization will happen, paving the way to allow banking institutions to service the industry. While GRWG doesn’t operate in the agricultural or distribution segments of the cannabis plant (most impacted from federal banking regulations), it will benefit when legal barriers are removed. As a distributor sales channel of hydroponic equipment and consumable products used to grow cannabis, GRWG stands to benefit from a large shift in federal policy and has already benefited from state policies legalizing both medical and recreational cannabis use.
With everything good happening to the cannabis industry, I lay out a bear case for GRWG and why it should not be bought as an investment.
Executive leadership is the primary reason GRWG is uninvestable. Hindenburg Research, an activist short seller, has published findings detailing the company’s leadership indiscretions going back decades...and it’s ugly. Strong executive leadership teams should display the industry’s best business minds, squeaky clean personal backgrounds, and a track record of wins in previous business dealings. Hindenburg brings to light GRWG’s leadership’s ties to prior penny stock pump & dump schemes, various SEC entanglements, personal relationships with known persons associated with criminal syndicates, various failed business ventures, financial accounting gaps … the list goes on and on and on.
Before moving forward, let’s call a spade a spade: the purpose of Hindenburg’s research is to convince investors to sell GRWG. Hindenburg has a publicly stated short position in GRWG and has an agenda to drive the stock price down. They directly benefit from painting this company or its leadership in a negative light. One should take the research with a grain of salt when weighing its importance in a decision to buy or sell the stock.
While Hindenburg Research’s findings were enough for me to sell my position, I found this wasn’t the only red flag.
Following Bill O’Neil’s CANSLIM methodology when analyzing stocks, one of the metrics is Cash Flow per Share vs EPS. Cash Flow per Share for a great stock should be +20% greater than EPS in the same quarter. Starting with FY2019, they posted four quarters of Cash Flow per share equaling EPS; a 0% increase in Cash Flow per Share vs EPS. FY2020 was shaping up with Q1 & Q3 having both +16.6% Cash Flow per Share increases vs EPS. 2020Q2 posted a -83.3% decrease of Cash Flow per Share vs EPS. I would normally give this one miss a pass due to their strong sales growth over the past 8 quarters, increasing more than 125% (QoQ vs PY Q) and strong EPS growth over the past 6 of 7 quarters (QoQ vs PY Q) because, we’re measuring the total sum and not measuring just one metric. But, I also wanted to deep dive that 1 quarter (1 of 7) where EPS contracted. At first glance, the -700% decrease in EPS vs PY Q occurred in 2020Q1 and my first inclination was, it must have been the impact on their business due to COVID-19. I dug deeper into their 10Q and read:
The net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 was primarily due to the increase in share-based compensation from approximately $80,000 in 2019 to $4.1 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2020.
…
If the new share-based awards effective January 1, 2020 were level vesting over two years and not front loaded vesting then the first quarter of 2020 expense would have been reduced by approximately $2.43 million and the first quarter of 2020 net loss would have been net income of approximately $332,000. Future periods share-based compensation would increase as a result of spreading the $2.35 million over two years, had the awards been level vested.
TRANSLATE: Management decided to bump up compensation all at once vs spreading it out over the next two years and by doing that, hurt earnings for the quarter.
What kind of forward thinking, long-term oriented management team would do that? With everything good happening in this industry, management couldn’t have taken compensation increases over the next two years in order to preserve positive momentum the in their fundamentals? I suppose spreading it out over the future 8 quarters could put stress on future earnings, but then, maybe this isn’t the time to increase compensation if it can’t be successfully managed. I get it, an increase in executive compensation after growing at an insane clip for the past 5 quarters feels earned, but great business leaders are supposed to be the harbingers of good faith with the intention of growing the stock price for all shareholders. There was no better way to increase compensation? In my opinion, this decision represents terrible judgment at worst and poor planning at best. This was red flag strike number 3.
1) Hindenburg Research
2) Cash Flow per Share vs EPS not hitting the mark
3) Management throwing a wrench into earnings, when they had the option to otherwise not, in order to benefit themselves.
For these reasons, GRWG is entirely uninvestable.
In all honesty, if we play devil’s advocate and assume everything in Hindenburg’s Research is true, that is more than enough reason to not own this stock. I encourage everyone to read it in order to familiarize themselves with what a worst case scenario looks like. The overall fundamentals in this stock look pretty damn good and even Hindenburg states, “... bulls would likely argue that the business is positioned well to consolidate its industry niche and grow into its numbers with the backing of strong management.” Unfortunately, that does not seem to be the case.
When heeding activist research, be skeptical when talking heads make claims like the those laid out in Hindenburg’s piece. They have a short position; they want the stock to go down. Gauge your own risk profile and trading style. Do your own homework.
Happy Stock Picking!
TREND EXPERIMENT: IS KPOWER A SUPER PERFORMANCE STOCK?Well, this is the very 1st time I'm posting here (also acting as my own practical notes).
*Premium account tu sebab aku tersalah beli, cost me few millions, sekian. (No way a pro in this field, just yet!)
Simple revision based on:
1) William J O'niel's How To Make Money In Stocks.
2) Mark Minervini's Trade Like A Stock Market Wizard.
3) Simply Wall St website: Do Subscribe although a bit expensive. This would give you a diagramatic presentations which is super simple to understand.
4) MalaysiaStock.Biz
Why do I choose this particular counter? I have made 18% and pulled out too early knowing that if I still keep it till today, I could have easily made almost 50% gain in capital and made few billions like Bezzos within 30 days. Lesson learnt, be fear not if the company adheres strongly to the FA + TA + CA = "Trend is your friend" says the great investor Marty Zweig.
FA: Fundamentals (CAN SLIM)
C- Current QR reports have been showing super profitability for past 4Q. Yesterday's announcement 30/11/2020 of QR could be a huge catalyst.
A- Annual Report shows outstanding profits YoY
N- Previous business based on retail goods, which later ventured into Constructions and Clean Energy (now on huge trend globally) + New big boss appointed on last November 2019 + New Q121 profit + YoY profit 759% + secured multiple projects globally for past 1 year mainly on energy plants + Ex dividend date 8/12/2020 & Pay date on 23/12/2020.
S- Supply Demands +++
L- Leader in its sectors? OTW
I- Tokyo Marines, Allianz, AIA, NORGES BANK, UOB-OSK, Affin Hwang, Barklays Bank, Maybank Investment. LET EM' SHARKS IN!
M- Market? Uptrend and following current global needs for green energy.
TA; Finding a possible super performance stock criteria based on his "Trend Template". I find this company chart fits most of it.
1) Phase: In Stage 2/ Uptrend/ Accumulation Phase
2) Current stock price trading above MA50,150,200. GREAT!
3) Current stock price at least 30% above its 52WL (could be more before emerging as consolidation period)
4) Current stock price is at least within 25% of it's 52WH; in this case (on 12/1/2020) it's nearing peak!
5) 150MA >200MA
6) 200MA in uptrend for past 4-5 months (minimum 1 month)
7) Relative Strength is no less than 70, preferably 80s or 90s
TRADING PLAN: 2 WEEKS SWING
All seems good for this counter? cashed in on 30/11/2020 at
EP: 4.830 x ????units
COST: RM ?????.00
SL10%/ 4.35 / -RM???
TP8%/ 5.2 / +RM???
TP10%/ 5.3 / +RM????
TP15%/ 5.55 / +RM?????
OR
Follow trend for 2 weeks and take profit.
EXTRAS: VALUATION (based on Simply Wall St)
Fair value of the stock price is at RM10.22 compared to current price RM4.84.
Potential IPO base $LMNDPotential IPO base
"90 seconds to get insured. 3 minutes to get paid"
If you haven't already noticed, we are living in a world of immediate gratification. Insurance is just another sector that's ripe to be disrupted by better efficiency.
TA,
- Increasing volume and consolidating at previous highs $69.
FA,
- Disrupting the archaic industry of insurance
-High NPS score of 70. Industry average is 70.
- $5 Trillion TAM. Current market cap is $3.8Bn
- Huge barrier between insurance companies and customers. Making claims is a headache. Lemonade is bridging that gap through better customer service by leveraging the powers of AI. AI JIM and AI MAYA
- +167% revenue growth 2020
- Expansion beyond US. France is next by end of 2020.
- Only 3 types available still. Renters, home and pet insurance. More potential for other types
Concerns,
- Still not fully convinced of the business model
-Continued losses(side effect of disrupting)
- Price discovery phase still so will be super volatile.
Entry : Break of 69.2
Stop loss: 62.2
Extended from a more probable cup with handle. Room to run?$5.94 is the top of the current consolidation(not much of one). Its a real gamble, but I'll take the bet. Lines up reasonably with CANSLIM criteria; though it could be better.