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Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market. That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times. The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase. Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point). That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones. As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage". Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point 1) Market capitalization of different assets: Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $ Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $ Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $ 2) DeFI projects: Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $ Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market 3) Major Stablecoins: Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $ Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $ Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market. 4) Bit cocaine Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $ Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market. 5) Ethereum Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $ Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market. 6) USD index (DXY) The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto). Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. . Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by SpartaBTC
5
🔥THIS PATTERN INDICATES THE BULL MARKET WITH 99% PROBABILITY!🔥 Hi friends! I think not a lot of experts told you about this pattern, so support this educational idea with your BOOST🚀 to make it more visible for many traders! Today I explain you the VERY USEFUL method, which help you to identify the beginning of the bull market with the 99% probability. There is the point where you can open the biggest long trades and get the BIGGEST profit without much effort. ✅HOW TO IDENTIFY THE BULL MARKET BEGINNING WITH 99% PROBABILITY? 📊 The instrtuments that we need: 1. Tether (USDT) capitalization growth after the accumulation. 2. Bitcoin price with new Higher Highs (HH). Look at the USDT cycles. As a rule, the growth of its capitalization coincides with the beginning of a STRONG growth of BTC. The fall of Bitocoin and entire crypto market coincides with the consolidation of the USDT capitalization. 🚩 The simple formulas: 1. growth of USDT cap = growth of Bitcoin 2. consolidation of the USDT cap = Bitcoin fall Additionally, I recommend you to wait until the BTC price make Higher highs (yellow line): 1. $4000 - 2019 2. $10200 - 2020 3. $24200 - 2022-2023(?) As you can see, the most strongest growth beginning with the new HH on BTC chart. So now you have TWO clear preconditions to open a long trade on BTC and any other crypto. ✅WHY IS THIS PATTERN SO SUCCESSFUL? 🔥 First of all , large players who have cash and do not have crypto want to quickly enter the market, but need a large number of stablecoins. The largest in terms of capitalization and the most liquid of all stablecoins is still Tether, so large players apply to this company and make an exchange from their cash to new printed USDT. 🔥 Secondly , a large number of beginners come to the market at the moments of growth, which also have a large amount of cash, but do not have crypto dollars. These 2 cases force Tether to "print" more stablecoins. 🚩 The growth of Tether's capitalization stops at the very BTC ATH, when the demand for stablecoins falls. Despite the fact that the majority of altcoins will gain 300-400% for some time, there is no longer a need for new stablecoins. The bear market begins. ✅ HOW TO USE THIS PATTERN IN YOU TRADING STRATEGY? LONG. With the update of Bicoin's local highs (now 24-25 thousand dollars) and the growth of Tether's capitalization, there is a chance to buy the crypto before the start of the "parabolic growth". The further decision is up to you: 🔥 buy altcoins with a possible profit of up to 500-2000%, but with a higher risk 🔥 buy Bitcoin with a possible profit of 200-500%, but with less risk 🔥 or at least close your short trades :) SHORT. The most dangerous signal for crypto is when the USDT cap not grow. You can use this "signal" with others to confirm your short ideas. For example, false breakout of the ATH at 69k back at 2021. After this, the price of BTC fall for -70-75%. ✅ Traders, Let me know if this idea was useful for you! Is it worth continuing to write such educational ideas? It is very important for me! 💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
by Yuriy_Bishko
28
Altcoins bottomed or expect another drop❓💎Today we will look at the TOTAL3 price action. TOTAL3 is a crypto market cap excluding the Bitcoin and Ethereum capitalization, which is providing the perspective for the Altcoin potential. 💎Back on February 24, TOTAL3 formed a double bottom at 600B, which is strong psychological support. Since then we can observe the price action within the ascending channel. Yesterday TOTAL3 tested and bounced off the bottom of the channel. 💎The low has been printed at 661B, and this might be critical .......
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by CryptoPAMM
SHIB: a token, a dog, or an ENIGMA?(!)as i was attempting to predict the future of our lovable currency unit represented by another charismatic cartoon dog posing on the face of an intangible coin, i realized this chart in particular was very difficult to interpret. while fibonacciatering, i stared at it for quite some time before the answers fell right into place. as they did, i created the image you see above. a completely revolutionary concept, SHIB designed this chart to be used as a crypto-obstacle-course-board-game-video-game...thing . you begin this quest in the lower left hand corner, where you are being accosted by Spanish Blue Man Group. from Spain. they have been playing basketball for weeks and they all have to go to bathroom reeeeal bad. they desperately repeat that one question that every conscious human can ask in Spanish: "¿dónde está el baño?" - which is perfectly fine, but you soon realize that you have never had to answer the question. bolting around the maze indiscriminately, you try to find a way to escape. designed as a labyrinth, you see a single yellow umbrella by the wall. Ted? no. delighted, someone in Spanish Blue Man Group exclaims, "¡Maria Poppins!", and you immediately know what you have to do. you land softly on a large oyster cracker on the other side of the wall and toss the umbrella aside. once again you hear the sound of a bouncing basketball coming to rest on the floor. astonished, you try not to look bewildered as you lock eyes with all three members of Spanish Blue Woman Group. they also have to pee. you do not know how to properly navigate them to the bathroom. you realize you never will. in the distance you see another yellow umbrella, and you immediately act extremely casual . you put out an overwhelming vibe of, "this is part of a normal day for me", with heavy cool smiles and hyper approval-granting head tilts as you try to slip past the lead PVC piper to get to the umbrella. they sense your desperation, and although you've showed them the most impactful, jarring display of "extremely casual, everything's blasting with normality", you, too, realize that none of you would ever forget quite how casual you were in that moment. you reach for the basketball and kick the holy crap out of it, exploding it. you can no longer hear. using the distraction to make your escape. you land on an oversized oyster cracker. the oyster cracker restores your hearing." what?! ", you think to yourself. you didn't have to. because you can hear again. remember the oyster cracker restored your hearing . so you can hear yourself say things again. let's talk about this for a lot longer . "not agaaaaaaainnnnnnn!!" you say. then you say it again. the irony of your statement hits you like a glove. you begin to play on words. "esto es divertido", you think. you hope you don't ramp it up and start to make things rhyme. it is instantly obvious to you that you are now in the midst of Spanish Blue Sexy College Co-ed Group. they have just dropped their basketball. you begin to party. they begin to party. you are surrounded by hot, sensual phones, and they are all making 1-900 calls. toilet paper streamers are flying through the air. drums are beaten with thick wooden rods, their vibrating skins sending thick streams of hard liquor flying up into the air. you hover your head over the drums and let liquor splash all over your face. it is burning the holy shit out of your eyes. you like it. you don't care if you become blind. you keep repeating "mmmmmmmm", uncontrollably. you hear voices chanting to the rhythm of the drums in exotic tongues. somebody lights a match, and your face ignites. you have never felt anything more enjoyable in your life. as you dance around the room, you begin to take note of what Spanish Blue Sexy College Co-ed Group is calling out over, and over, and over again. suddenly, you feel an almost uncontrollable feeling of nausea as your brain uses pure anxiety to convey the only words you're certain they know you understand: " ¿dónde está el baño? ¿dónde está el baño? " suddenly somehow your face is no longer burning, you are umbrella-ing your way down gently onto another oyster cracker, and you think you hear the word "honkey" from a muffled distance. this game was getting long enough already, so it was really good this all suddenly happened so efficiently, and without any permanent damage done to anything at all. in fact, you have now entered the prime of your life, and have become wealthy. a gigantic magnet lifts you off of your oyster cracker because somehow you have become magnetic. it lowers you onto another oyster cracker atop an airplane that is mounted upon a rocket ship. it blasts you off to YouTube Infinity Stadium 1.005ABCD. you play four rounds of Enormous Paper, Rock, Scissors. you never lose. you never even have to breathe. but you do breathe after you win the fourth round, and you say, "don't hold your breath..." reeeeal cooool -like, and you are in slow-motion. you realize that what you have just said only mildly makes sense to say in that situation. you will probably think of something way better in the shower tomorrow. you like that. you bring your trophy, Maxwell's Actual Silver Hammer with you. it is actual. literally. even though it's way heavier than you ever conceived anything could ever be, it doesn't bother you that you are becoming exhausted and have to leave it somewhere. Lumiere and Cogsworth are waiting for you, ready to welcome you to the upper right hand corner, where you will stay for a really long time. you thought there would be a dog here instead. you never see a dog there. anyhoo, that's my prediction for days 25 and 26, i'm assuming November. and for hours of the clock: 18 o'clock, 06 o'clock, 12 o'clock, 18 o'clock...B, 06 o'clock B, and another 12B. there are other numbers, and oh yeah there was a magical bridge where you have to sing Shooby Taylor through a bullhorn and it will appear and you can get over those other lines. just goes to show you!
SLong
by sweetmusic999
2
Guide to Fundamental Analysis in Crypto WorldLet's consider a very important topic of fundamental analysis for cryptocurrencies. If we talk about traditional markets the fundamental analysis takes into account the company's financial statement and macroeconomic climate, but in case of cryptocurrencies this information is unavailable because the lack of the publicity. As a result the technical analysis role in crypto world is more significant, but applying the FA you can significantly improve your trading results. Here is 7 areas which should be analyzed to apply complex approach. 1. ROADMAP AND WHITEPAPER. This point is most significant for the altcoins. The most reliable projects have a very serious development plan, every step should be explained in details in the roadmap and whitepaper. If it's not everything good with it, the project could be just scam. 2. MARKET CAPITALISATION. It is simple the coin quantity multiplied by the current market price of one coin. It is widely known that the lower market cap associated with the higher potential price growth. 3. VOLUME. If the coin has a low volume traded the huge manipulations could take a place in the market. The coin should be represented in the largest cryptocurrency exchanges it increases the probability that the corresponding project is not a scam. 4. COIN SUPPLY. Here we should know about if the coin supply restricted or not. If it is restricted the increasing demand pushes the prices higher. 5. FOUNDERS. The projects with a great potential is driven by founders and developers which have already realized some successful projects. In the opposite case it is probably scam. 6. DOMINANCE. On TradingView you can find the market dominance of BTC, USDT, ETH and Altcoins. This is the demonstration of the capital flow between different cryptocurrencies. For example if the BTC dominance decreased and Altcoin dominance increased the Altcoin's prices are not so significantly affected by the Bitcoin price changes. 7. NEWS. This is the most important part of FA, especially for the large cryptocurrencies. Thus the positive news push the price higher, while negative one entail dumps.
Education
by Skyrexio
2
21.8.2019 - Crypto CapitalizationHi traders! Today we will look at the cryptocurrencies capitalization chart to complement the previous analysis . If we want to know what the market is like, it is not enough to do just a bitcoin analysis. The world's leading traders are doing the following analyzes - bitcoin, BTC dominance, cryptocurrency capitalization and long / short ratio . After such a comprehensive analysis, we have a real overview of the market. Last week we focused on the dominance of BTC and today we look at the capitalization of cryptocurrencies. The capitalization chart shows the total amount of capital in all cryptocurrencies. Bullish scenario We are in a triangle from which capitalization will rise up . If you find the chart of capitalization and bitcoin very similar, you are right. Their charts are almost identical. However, they have a few differences, and at this point the capitalization of cryptocurrencies seems to be ahead. The space in the triangle appears to be smaller, and therefore it may be capitalization that first leads to possible growth . Bearish scenario In this scenario, we track the channel we've seen on the chart for 2 months. In this case, there would be an even more radical decline , which could stop at $ 200 billion. So over 72 billion will go out of the crypto market, a radical decline. Most likely all altcoins and bitcoins would drop quite sharply. Even though this possibility is quite extreme, it is still possible. At this point, we must wait to which side capitalization will go . As long as we are in our narrow corridor, it is still irrelevant. To see the confirmation, we need to break through either the upper trendline or the lower edge of the triangle . If we break through the upper trendline and we can fix it, we will most likely go up. If we break the triangle formation, we will go down. However, until we break the structure, the next direction is questionable. May the crypto by with you!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by DolleroTechnology
S&P ETFs - Comparison by cap size (L/M/S)2019 seemed quite bullish, but comparing S&P constituents by size shows a clear divergence year to date: - Large caps (blue) SPY are in an up-trend - Mid caps (grey) AMEX:IJH are sideways. - But small caps (orange) AMEX:IJR are in a downtrend ever since 2018 (lower highs & lows). Not to say we're on the verge of a correction, but this shows that risk appetite (= smaller caps) is shrinking, not a sign of a healthy bull market. Perhaps this says we'll be in a sideways market for a while (months, years?), until risks shrink a bit. How to play this? Ideas: - Avoid being too "one-sided" - take profits when available (to avoid them turning into losses) - many occasions will happen to accumulate quality names. So don't worry if you miss this or that awesome stock, another chance will come down the road. Just wait for some future Trump tweet ;-) - get "time on your side": get paid to wait, either via options strategies or holding quality dividend paying stocks. My take is we get another dip down later, perhaps as low as in Dec 2018 or lower. But until then don't hold your breath. Markets will have wild up & down swings, so be prepared to play both sides.
AMEX:SPY
by deryb
Bitcoin vs. ALTBTC MARKET CAPITALIZATIONALT market cap priced in BTC. It shows the changing valuation of the entire altcoin market with respect to the spot price of Bitcoin. As you can see, at its height, the altcoin bubble was worth around 30 million BTC. That's about 50% more BTC than were actually available in circulation. Even though the price of Bitcoin had already dropped about 33% from its 2017 ATH at this point, it still shows the massive overvaluation of this altcoin space. The 200 and 500 daily moving averages give a slow changing (long-lagging and therefore fairly reliable) signal of shift between so-called bearish and bullish trends. Alts had already started turning bullish in January when the Bitcoin breakout in April changed their course, turning the MAs bearish again. Bitcoin on the other hand has shown an incredibly bullish upthrust and the MAs look set to cross within weeks. Does this mean the price will continue to soar? I suggest you look at 2012 and 2016 when these MAs last turned bullish (see linked chart). In previous "bull" markets, once these MAs crossed bullishly, they stayed that way until the markets peaked. If they were to uncross here, in this year, then I would expect the price to retest the 3k level as the spot price will cross down below the 200 MA. The altcoin MAs still look bearish. They may turn bullish soon, if altbtc coins are bottoming here. But the chart does not look promising. If this doesn't happen the most likely case, in my opinion, is a limited bounce and then another drop before a bullish crossover of the MAs. As far as alts are concerned, it is still a case of watch and wait in most cases. Log version of altbtc market cap, published May 5: Long-term averages for Bitcoin, published July 3:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RealMcafee
7
Crypto Total Market CapOver the past week, the crypto market capitalization increased by 30% from 100 to 130 billion. A few days ago there was a maximum daily trading volume of 35 billion. Now we see a clear trend. We are moving in the ascending channel and by the end of the month market capitalization is expected to be in the zone of 140 + billion. We begin to grow. A lot of good news. Which pushes investors to invest in projects at low prices. RSI - oversold above MA50,100,200
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by EXCAVO
10