ADAUSD: Changing my EW count. Slightly more bullishThe price action between June and October last year as minor wave 1 and 2 bugged me a lot. The move between June 8 and July 14 looks like an obvious 3 waves. I tried to make it fit with 5 waves, but it was a stretch. The current price action is also an obvious impulse move. The leading diagonal idea is not valid any longer since the current price action moved up too high and in 5 waves. So, I had to go back and start to decompose the previous correction.
If we go back to April 14, 2023, high and make that wave X correction high, then things fall into place with a much more prevalent triangle from April 14th to October 19th. So, the start of impulse is on October 19th, rather than on June 10th. In this count we can also assume minor degree waves 1 and 2 are also complete and the very powerful wave 3 of 3 of 3 should be under way. If this holds true, then my previous idea for loading up at $0.45 will not happen any longer. There should be a slight correction, but it cannot break $0.448. This will also mean price should go at the previous all time high in the next 3 to 6 months before any meaningful correction. In grand scheme of things, price will put in some kind of a cup and handle pattern in the macro timeframe.
I was bullish before, but this count make me more bullish and with slightly higher targets. As long as price does not break below $0.448 between now and the end of this new 5 wave sequence, things are good to run wild!
