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ADA Pattern Analysis: Key Levels and Scenarios
$1.20 Rejected Before Reaching
Cardano (ADA) recently made an attempt to push higher but failed to reach the $1.20 resistance level, resulting in a rejection. This rejection highlights $1.20 as a key barrier for the bulls. A successful break above this level in the future will likely require significant momentum and increased volume to confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
Move Up Didn’t Hit the 80% Retrace → Flat/2x3 Ruled Out
The recent upward move failed to reach the 80% retracement level, effectively ruling out the possibility of a flat correction or a 2x3 pattern. These structures typically require a deeper retracement to remain valid. With these possibilities eliminated, attention shifts to other likely scenarios that fit the current price action.
Likely X of 2xZZ or B of a Triangle/1 of Diagonal
The failure to hit the 80% retracement brings a few potential patterns into focus:
X of a Double Zigzag (2xZZ): ADA could be forming a complex corrective structure, with the current move acting as another actionary wave to a most likely break of the W pivot. X waves can be anything, depending, but a ZigZag is the most likely.
B of a Triangle: The price action may reflect a triangle formation, with ADA consolidating within a bounded structure before resolving either upward or downward.
1 of a Diagonal: The possibility of a Ending diagonal suggests the end of a trend.
$0.76 (BCC) Critical
The $0.76 level has emerged as the Bearish Count Confirmation/Conversion (BCC), a critical pivot for determining the pattern printing. Holding above $0.76 indicates that ADA is likely entering a sideways consolidation phase, building a base for the next significant move. A break below this level would signal potential weakness, invalidating some of the bullish scenarios and shifting the bias toward a more bearish outlook.
Conclusion
The $1.20 resistance rejection underscores the need for stronger momentum to break higher, while the $0.76 level serves as a key support. Observing price action at these levels will help determine whether ADA is in an X wave of a double zigzag, a B wave of a triangle, or the early stages of a diagonal.
Patience is key as these patterns develop.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Cardano
I think I have drawn a flawless painting !!! As you can see, the price is forming two bullish patterns on the 4-hour timeframe. I expect the price to rise to the top of the triangle to complete the handle of the cup and handle pattern. If my view is correct, Cardano will rise to $1.5 . so I think I have drawn a flawless painting!!!!!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Phemex Analysis #51: How to Trade ADA Like a ProCardano ( PHEMEX:ADAUSDT.P ) has proven itself as a strong contender in the Layer 1 blockchain category, particularly during the November bull run. The price surged impressively from $0.3261 on November 5th to a peak of $1.329 on December 3rd, marking a staggering 407% increase in just under a month. However, the price subsequently corrected by 42.7%, dropping to $0.7613 on December 20th, and is currently trading around $0.92 (at the time of writing).
Possible Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout
If ADA is gearing up for another bullish breakout, it is likely that the price will consolidate between $0.90 and $1.00 for an extended period, allowing for accumulation of buying power. A high-volume breakout above $1.15 and then $1.32 would signal the start of another significant rally.
Pro Tips: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade. Monitor overall market sentiment to assess whether the rise is sustainable.
2. Second Dip to the $0.70 Area
After the sharp dip to $0.7613 on December 20th, there is a possibility of a second dip toward the $0.70 region. If this occurs with lower trading volume but higher RSI compared to December 20th, it could indicate that ADA is forming a strong base around this level, presenting an opportunity to buy at lower prices.
Pro Tips: If this scenario unfolds, traders can use tools like Phemex’s scaled orders to place buy orders between $0.80 and $0.70, allowing for better entry points while managing risk effectively.
3. Bearish Drop
The recent decline in Bitcoin has negatively impacted overall market sentiment, raising concerns about prolonged bearish momentum in the crypto market. If ADA’s price breaks below $0.82 and $0.76 with high volume and lower RSI compared to December 20th, it could signal further declines toward $0.53 or even as low as $0.33.
Pro Tips: Traders may consider shorting ADA if this scenario materializes. Alternatively, long-term investors could view this as an opportunity to accumulate more ADA at discounted prices.
Final Thoughts
Trading ADA requires careful observation of price levels, volume trends, and overall market sentiment. By staying disciplined and prepared for these potential scenarios, traders can position themselves strategically to maximize gains or mitigate risks in both bullish and bearish markets.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
ADA/USDT A Bullish Bounce on the Horizon ?The chart shows Cardano (ADA) pulling back to retest the breakout zone, presenting a potential long opportunity if support holds.
Key Observations
1. Retest of Pattern: ADA has broken out of a pattern and is now retesting the breakout zone, which aligns with a critical support area.
2. Support Zone ($0.90–$0.88): This is an important level where price is likely to bounce if buyers step in.
3. Bullish Confirmation Needed: Waiting for a bullish candlestick pattern at this level would confirm a potential reversal.
4. Target Levels: If the bounce occurs, the immediate target would be $1.00+, with further potential upside depending on market momentum.
Strategic Implications
Monitor the $0.90–$0.88 zone for bullish signals.
Enter long positions upon confirmation of a bullish candlestick pattern.
Stop-loss placement below $0.88 to manage risk effectively.
ADA is at a crucial retest point. A strong bounce from support could provide a profitable long setup with targets above $1.00. Keep this pair on watch for confirmation.
ADA Masterclass: Spotting the Perfect TradeHappy New Year, everyone! I hope 2025 is off to a fantastic start for you, filled with success, joy and of course, profitable trades. ADA has been a shining example of technical precision in recent months, offering reliable and rewarding setups. Let’s explore what the charts are telling us as we move forward into the new year.
Market Overview:
ADA has consistently respected key technical levels. Recently, the market completed a perfect ABC correction to the trend-based Fibonacci extension 1:1 at $0.7655, almost to the dollar. Following this correction, ADA has seen a strong rally, now approaching critical resistance levels, while the $1 support zone emerges as a pivotal area.
Key Observations and Levels:
1.) Resistance Zone – $1.079–$1.1108
ADA is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader downtrend from $1.3264 to $0.7624, located at $1.1108.
This level is a significant resistance zone, marking a potential turning point where sellers could step in to take control.
2.) Short Trade Idea:
A short trade setup can be executed at $1.1108, targeting the $1 support zone for a potential 8–9% gain.
Trade Setup Details:
Entry: $1.1108
Stop Loss: Above the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement.
Target: $1
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3:1
Risk: 2.75%
3.) Support Zone at $1:
The $1 level remains a critical support zone due to multiple confluences:
Psychological significance as a round number.
A single print zone between $1.001–$1.003, indicating a key liquidity area.
Alignment with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave (1st January low to 3rd January high).
Anchored VWAP from the recent lows is also sitting at $1, adding further weight to this level as a strong support zone.
Long Trade Idea:
A long trade can be considered if ADA revisits the $1 support zone, but ensure to wait for volume confirmation to validate buying strength before entering.
Price rejection at key area of support.The daily candle has closed bouncing of a strong zone of support at ~.945249 which is also an area that is respecting my trendline. There is no official buy signal as of yet to play it safe - the official buy signal is once price reaches past the area of resistance ~1.007413 AND fully engulfs the daily candle that closed today. Large selloff on all cryptos today so potentially some buying pressure will return to the market tomorrow.
ADA at a Critical Juncture! Call the Ambulance! BUT NOT FOR ME!OKay so ADA at a critical juncture and the moostt likely scenario is posted above. ideal hold for extreme fall is orange line. But before comes the thing green line, if it falls expect wicks down to go up. Overall expecting 1.35+ soon.Would buy here accumulating.
BTC/USD : First SHORT, Then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continued its upward momentum as expected, achieving an impressive over 10% gain, reaching the $102,700 zone! However, due to hitting the supply zone of $101,300 to $102,800, Bitcoin experienced a correction and is currently trading around $100,600.
After a potential retracement to the $98,700 - $99,600 range, we can anticipate renewed demand, leading to another bullish move. The potential targets are $102,850, $104,400, and $106,800. Stay tuned for further updates!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CARDANO Mega rally starting first to $3 then top expected at $5Last time we looked at Cardano (ADAUSD) we gave a confident medium-term buy signal (November 18 2024, see chart below):
Today, having seen a very strong closing to the year last week and especially since the price bounced off the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), we are making a long-term call towards the top of the Cycle.
Technically ADA's historic pattern is a Channel Up and if we draw its Fibonacci levels, the price is currently within the 0.5 - 0.618 range. That is exactly where it was during the same stage of the previous Cycle in January 2021. As the 0.5 Fib held, once it closed a 1W candle above the 0.618, the price skyrocketed to the 0.786 Channel Fib and tested the previous All Time High (ATH).
We can see the amazing symmetry between the Cycles on the 1W RSI fractals too. As a result, our next immediate Target for ADA is near the previous ATH at $3. Beyond that, we expect the Cycle to top at $5, which is marginally below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which was where the August 2021 Cycle Top was priced.
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CARDANO // long expansionThe bullish trend is valid on all the major timeframes, and the market is at the daily target fibo 61.8, already above the last clean breakdown - the border of the expansion phase.
Daily chart:
If this small countertrend is broken (at the trigger zone), the first target is the daily peak (target fibo 100).
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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Be careful with ADAUSDT !!!As I mentioned, the price finally managed to break the bullish wedge and reach the targets I mentioned. Now, technically, since the price has reached the important 0.618 line, it might correct slightly and then break this line with strength to reach higher targets.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
Give me some energy !!
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ADA - Time to buy again!Possibly due to Bitcoin's price rising above $100,000 and an increase in money injection into Bitcoin, the price may correct slightly in a few days, drop to the support line, and then rise to $1.25 .
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ADA rejection on the way?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
#ADA Rejection on the Way?
Cardano (ADA) has caught the attention of traders with its recent price movements, especially as it approaches key levels that could signal either a rejection or a continuation of its current trajectory. Let’s take a closer look at the dynamics in play and what they might indicate for ADA’s next move.
Recent Price Action
ADA’s recent rally brought it to a critical resistance zone, raising questions about whether the upward momentum can sustain or if a rejection is imminent. Historically, this level has acted as a significant inflection point, and its current behavior aligns with prior instances of strong price reactions.
Key Levels to Watch
1.20: This is the primary level that ADA needs to break and hold above to maintain bullish momentum. A clear breakout here could open the door for further upward movement.
0.77: On the downside, this level represents a crucial support zone. A deep break below 0.77 would not only invalidate the current structure but could also signal a deeper correction.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case: If ADA consolidates sideways near the resistance without significant rejection, it could indicate strength and the possibility of an eventual breakout above 1.20. This scenario would align with bullish continuation patterns.
Bearish Case: A sharp rejection from 1.20, especially if followed by increasing sell volume, could push ADA back toward the 0.77 level. In this case, traders should watch for whether 0.77 holds as support or breaks, signaling further downside risk.
What to Look For
Sideways consolidation around the resistance level would be an encouraging sign for bulls, suggesting that ADA may gather strength for a move higher. Conversely, sharp and impulsive downward moves could point to a rejection in progress. Observing price action and volume near these levels will be key to assessing the next likely direction.
Final Thoughts
As with any market analysis, it’s important to remain flexible and responsive to price developments. ADA’s behavior around the 1.20 and 0.77 levels will likely provide critical clues about its near-term trajectory. While rejection remains a possibility, the potential for a bullish continuation cannot be ruled out. Traders should monitor these levels closely and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Significance of the 100-Day SMA for CardanoCardano (ADA) has recently demonstrated a strong bullish trend, surging past its 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and fueling optimism among investors. This move signals a potential shift in momentum, with bulls now setting their sights on the $1.26 price target. This article delves into the significance of this breakout, the factors driving Cardano's resurgence, and the potential challenges that lie ahead.
Understanding the Significance of the 100-Day SMA
The 100-day SMA is a widely used technical indicator in financial markets, representing the average price of an asset over the past 100 days. It serves as a crucial trend indicator, helping traders and investors identify the overall direction of an asset's price movement.
When an asset's price crosses above its 100-day SMA, it is often seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that the asset is gaining positive momentum and may continue to rise in value. Conversely, a drop below the 100-day SMA is typically considered a bearish signal.
Cardano's recent breach of this key indicator is, therefore, a significant development, indicating a potential shift from a bearish or sideways trend to a more bullish outlook.
Factors Driving Cardano's Resurgence
Several factors appear to be contributing to Cardano's recent price surge:
1. Increased Network Activity: Cardano has seen a significant increase in network activity in recent months, with a growing number of projects building on its blockchain and a rise in transaction volume. This increased adoption and usage is a positive sign for the long-term health of the Cardano ecosystem.
2. Positive Developments and Upgrades: The Cardano development team has been actively working on improving the network, with several successful upgrades and developments implemented recently. These improvements enhance the network's scalability, security, and functionality, making it more attractive to developers and users.
3. Growing Institutional Interest: Cardano has also been attracting growing interest from institutional investors, with several major players expressing support for the project. This institutional backing provides further validation for Cardano's potential and can contribute to increased investment and adoption.
4. Overall Market Sentiment: The broader cryptocurrency market has also been experiencing a period of positive momentum, with Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies showing strong gains. This positive market sentiment can spill over on altcoins like Cardano, contributing to their price appreciation.
Potential Challenges and Resistance Levels
While the recent breakout above the 100-day SMA is a positive sign for Cardano, it is important to acknowledge that challenges and resistance levels may still lie ahead.
The $1.26 price target represents a key resistance level, and Cardano may face some resistance at this point. If the bulls can successfully push through this level, it could pave the way for further gains.
Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, and sudden price swings are always possible. Investors must remain cautious and not get carried away by short-term price movements.
Conclusion
Cardano's recent rally above its 100-day SMA is a significant development, signaling a potential shift in momentum and fueling bullish optimism. The factors driving this resurgence include increased network activity, positive developments and upgrades, growing institutional interest, and overall market sentiment.
While challenges and resistance levels may still exist, the current trend suggests that Cardano is well-positioned for further growth. Investors and enthusiasts will be closely watching to see if the bulls can maintain this momentum and push Cardano towards the $1.26 target and beyond.
Ada breaking up out of a Bull pennant.Target for the pennant hound be around $1.86 . I also noticed the.bitcoin dominance chart’s 200ma looks like its finally flipping back to resistance which if so will increase the probability of ADA hitting this pennant target as well as alt season finally officially starting. *not financial advice*
Cardano ADA Continues Outperform The Market In JanuaryHello, Skyrexians!
In our recent analysis on BINANCE:ADAUSDT we predicted the price growth above $1.20 when the price was $0.37. When price reached the $1.30 we told you that it's time for retracement to $0.8. Cardano reached exactly this target and has already bounced. You can find all this predictions in this article . Now it's much more important to understand what is the next move.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. After reaching the local top price has printed red dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and dumped -40%. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Dump has been stopped inside the Fibonacci 0.5 zone with the green dot on this indicator. This is the strong sign that corrective wave 2 has been finished. The next target is 1.61-2.61 Fibonacci extensions. We suppose that price can reach $2.5-$3.5 in January-February 2025.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025, trading near historic lows. Barclays recently upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of €70, saying the current price could represent a good opportunity for long-term investors. Despite a 15% decline in the past month, earnings growth expectations for 2025 and 2026 remain above 10% per year, despite doubts about volume and margin targets.
TRADINGVIEW
INVESTING.COM
Key risks include the company’s reliance on the U.S. and Chinese markets, as well as the impact of tariffs. However, the positive outlook for electric vehicles and Porsche’s luxury segment is keeping the stock attractive.
ADA - Time to buy again!After breaking the descending wedge, the price fell to the support line. As you can see, the price has now formed an ascending wedge, which is promising. The price could rise to
$1 or more than after breaking this wedge, but considering the Christmas holidays, this might take a bit longer.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
ADA - 4h - Accumulation RangeADA - 4h - Accumulation Range
REMEMBER that a lot of investors sell stocks or crypto for fiscal conditions in 2024 to close the year.
For that, we have low buy liquidity , and even with that pressure on the price , ADA is trying to remaning in the same range as 1 week ago, so a breakout can restart a new HH , so patience.
Im bullish on it if the 1usd resistance its broken and became a support.
Diving into ADA: Profits, Sharks, and Technical Targets!Hello community,
The ADA coin has gone through various phases. Initially, whales accumulated below 0.4 USDT for an extended period 🐋. However, after the price surged by 250%, a correction became expected as investors sought to capitalize on their profits 💰. Notably, the key level between USDT is significant due to the presence of sharks 🦈, who are intermediate-term investors. Their strategies rely on real volume profiles , which are not commonly discussed on media platforms like YouTube or Instagram, as they necessitate data analytics and volume studies 📈. The technical price objectives are depicted in the chart 📊.
The first objective stands around 1.14 USDT, reflecting a 150% profit for sharks🦈
The second objective is at 1.6 USDT, indicating a 600% profit for whales 🐳
However, it's crucial to note that these objectives are based on technical analysis and may change depending on market conditions 📉📈.
🚨 Attention Traders: Beware of Imitations!
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ADA Analysis: Key Levels and Trend Outlook 2024.12.28Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on ADA (Cardano).
Weekly Chart Analysis
Looking at the weekly chart, ADA is currently within the green box frame.
However, unlike the past, where the price oscillated within a box range with alternating bullish and bearish candles, the current zone has seen three consecutive bearish weeks, signaling persistent selling pressure.
Key Support Zone: Red Box
The red box represents the resistance level from 2022 before the breakout. It is now acting as a support zone under test.
If the support holds: ADA may follow a similar range-bound movement as seen in the green box on the left.
If the support fails: ADA is likely to drop further into the yellow box zone.
Breakdown Scenario:
If the yellow box support also fails, ADA may enter the blue box frame, with the potential to decline to as low as 0.216.
Daily Chart Analysis
The daily chart reveals several bearish patterns:
Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern is complete.
Descending Triangle pattern is also complete.
Key Observation:
ADA is currently holding the 0.87 support level.
However, if the price breaks below the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, the bearish patterns suggest a significant loss of buying momentum and a potential shift to selling pressure.
Target:
If the bearish scenario unfolds, the expected sell-off could lead to a 51% decline, with the price first testing the yellow box zone.
Additional downside potential will depend on whether support emerges in the yellow box zone.
4-Hour Chart Analysis
The 4-hour chart confirms that ADA has broken its short-term trendline, indicating a definitive shift in momentum.
Buying pressure appears to have dissipated, suggesting that the bullish trend is effectively over for now.
Upside Potential:
For ADA to regain bullish momentum, it would need to climb back above $1.00.
Until that happens, the market should be approached with a sell-oriented perspective.
Conclusion
ADA is currently in a bearish trend, with critical support levels being tested.
If 0.87 support holds, a temporary range-bound movement may occur.
If it breaks, ADA could fall to the yellow box zone or even enter the blue box frame, with a potential low of 0.216.
For now, a sell perspective is more appropriate, with cautious monitoring of the $1.00 level for potential signs of recovery.
Trade wisely, and best of luck! 🚀