ADA → Cardano Gearing up for a Reversal? Let's Answer.ADA has been on a strong bull run since October of this year and we've finally come to the end of a measured move and three legs up. Are we gearing up for a reversal?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We don't have enough evidence for a short entry just yet, but we do have some key data points in our favor. We've completed a measured move to the current price, had three pushes up in a bull trend, two failed attempts to break $0.68, and a gap down below the large bull candle.
What we're missing are the sell confirmation candles. ADA needs to break below the Daily 30EMA, close a strong bear candle, and possibly test the 30EMA as resistance before we enter a short. The re-test of the 30EMA as resistance isn't required, but would add to the probability of profit if achieved.
Once these conditions are met, it's reasonable to enter a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio trade around $0.565, placing a protective stop around $0.70, which puts your take profit at $0.43 above the previous high or "Support Zone". This is a conservative trade because we have several areas of support to consider.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.565
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.700
✅ Take Profit: $0.430
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Potential Double Top after there pushes up. Bias to Short.
2. Large Pin Bar Top on Second Attempt.
3. Wait for break below Daily 30EMA to Enter Short.
4. Large Bull Bar after Breakout, Gap to Close.
5. RSI at 57.00 and below Moving Average. Bias to Short.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Reversal trading is inherently low probability because you're betting against the trend. The tradeoff is your reward will be much higher if you swing trade it. This kind of trade is the inverse of trend trading, where the probability is higher but the reward is lower.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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