ADAUSDT Short Idea / Elliot Wave Principles / Fib AnalysisWhen analysing the market, I noticed this potential Elliot Wave setup on ADAUSDT. For a number of reasons, I suspect that this pairing is forming a good opportunity to achieve a ~5.5 R:R short.
The process taken to get to this idea is as follows:
Macro view of the support / resistance flip zone on ADA between $1.20 and $1.30.
Clean chart showing the interaction with the support / resistance zone.
Validation of Wave 1 Rules
Validation of Wave 1/2/3 Rules
Validation of Wave 4 Rules
Validation of Wave 5 Rules
Correction Wave and Short Area of Interest
Cardanotrading
ADAUSD: 1W MA50 holding. About to explode parabolically to $5.00Cardano tested last week and held (closed the 1W candle over it) the 1W MA50 for the first time since October 2023. The 1D technical outlook is oversold (RSI = 29.115, MACD = -0.050, ADX = 36.349) and the 1W timeframe bearish (RSI = 44.076). The pattern it is printing though is very much like September 2020, when after successfully holding the 1W MA50, it started rising again until it broke out parabolically above the HH trendline. The Cycle top was formed a little under the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Consequently we are targeting the same symmetric Fib (TP = 5.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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ADAUSD: Buying not over yet.Cardano has turned overbought on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 79.294, MACD = 0.031, ADX = 45.270) being on the strongest weekly candle since the previous Bull Cycle and the August 9th 2021 week. Despite that, the market doesn't seem to be done buying as the pattern is an Ascending Triangle whose HH top is exactly on the 1D MA200. Those two along with the R2 level (0.6865) of the May 30th 2022 High make a Triple Resistance Zone. Consequently, if the R1 level is crossed, we will buy the breakout and target just under this Triple R Zone (TP = 0.67500). After that, the market may seek potentially a technical relief pullback to at least the 0.236 Fibonacci level.
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Cardano: Sleeping Beauty 🪡🛏🌹Just like Sleeping Beauty, Cardano is lying asleep, trapped in a green thicket represented by the green zone between $0.2767 and $0.9355. Here, the altcoin still has to finish wave 2 in green, which it should accomplish no later than the bottom of the green zone. Then, Cardano should get kissed awake and rise from the shrubbery, heading for the resistance at $1.64.
ADA Trade SetupCrypto Market is in consolidation phase lately, as we know during this consolidation phase more likely assets form either continuation patterns or trend reversal patterns !
Here ADA against USDT forming ascending triangle pattern, indeed we can have breakout either way but IMO the breakout is likely upwards and it's interesting to make note that BTC experiencing huge sell pressure as of now! Even though many ALTS are forming bullish patterns it's upto BTC to make them work.
But like I said let's just not try to predict the market move, Let's just read the market and wait patiently for the market to make the desired move so that we can enter the trade.
Cardano: Come on!Since January, Cardano has been trailing through the green zone between $0.93 and $0.27 more or less dynamically. Primarily, we expect the altcoin to move deeper into the green zone to finish wave 2 in green. Afterwards, it should develop massive upwards momentum to make it above the resistance at $1.64, which would then augur well for further ascent above the next resistance at $2.46.
Cardano: Indecisive 🤔So far, Cardano has apparently refused to drop deeper into the green zone between $0.9355 and $0.2767 and has not fallen below its last low. This could imply that the altcoin’s preparation for the coming ascent have already begun. However, we rather expect Cardano to make further use of the green zone to finish wave 2 in green at its bottom before moving upwards, confirming the ascent by crossing the resistance at $1.6378. The altcoin should be careful, though, not to drop below the green zone!
Cardano: Terrapin🐢Like a terrapin, which favors overgrown, muddy waters, Cardano is dabbling in the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.27674. As long as we don’t receive any stronger signals for a beginning ascent, we primarily expect Cardano to dive a bit deeper to finish wave 2 in green. However, it is also possible that the Cardano-turtle could paddle upwards already.
Cardano: Back on TrackAfter trailing along the mark at $0.92258 for so long, Cardano has finally found back to our primary scenario. It has gone below $0.92258 and into the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.27674, where it should finish waves v in magenta, C in turquoise, (C) in yellow and 2 in green. Then, Cardano should turn around and move upwards. However, there remains a 20% chance that the altcoin could start to rise earlier already, crossing the resistance at $1.63781 and heading for the next one at $2.4574.
ADA Cardano: 1H Chart UpdateHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1H linear scale chart for Cardano (ADAUSD).
Cardano price looks like it may be headed back down from the current price. Keep an eye on my Support and Resistance Trend Lines. The Fibonacci Retracement shows price has possibility getting back to the 0.382 level. There is also Ichimoku Cloud resistance ahead. On a positive side, the price may be forming a bull flag as well which would bring the price back to $1.00. The RSI was rejected by the resistance trend line so a greater possibility for price to come back down.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Cardano: Eager Beaver 🦫🦫Cardano is an eager beaver and reaches for the resistance at $1.63781. There is a 35% chance that it could climb above it already and continue the ascent to the next resistance at $2.4574. However, we rather expect Cardano to dive into the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.27674 once more to finish wave 2 in green, wave C in yellow, wave C in turquoise and wave v in magenta before moving upwards again.
Cardano: TarzanA call which makes the trees tremble resounds through the jungle. It is Cardano, swinging along the support at $0.92258 like Tarzan on a liana. As it is currently very close to the support line, Cardano could decide that is has finished wave v in magenta and continue the ascent. However, as it has dipped into the green zone between $0.27674 and $0.93352 only shallowly so far, it could still rope down to complete wave v in magenta a bit deeper, before climbing up again.
ADA Cardano: 4H Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 4H linear scale chart for Cardano ( ADAUSD ).
Cardano price has been on a downward trend. There are multiple Support and Resistance Lines shown. The price may make an attempt to get to the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement areas with the Ichimoku Cloud possibly creating resistance. RSI, MACD and MFI look bearish. Price is below the 20, 50 and 200 SMA.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Cardano: Spa 💆🧖♀️Cardano is on vacation and has gotten comfortable in a spa. There, it has eased into the nice warm mud bath between $0.93552 and $0.27674, closing its eyes and sighing contentedly. We expect Cardano to sink even deeper into the green sludge, ideally until $0.52409, to finish wave 2 in green, wave C in yellow, wave C in turquoise and wave v in magenta. It could also extend its relaxing bath until $0.27674, though, if it is not afraid of getting prune fingers and toes. Afterwards, Cardano should be refreshed and bursting with energy, readying itself for a new ascent.
Cardano: Limbo DanceLimbo cool, limbo fine,
Ev'rybody gets a chance.
Clap your hands, it's party time,
Do the limbo dance!
Cardano seems to have taken David Hasselhoff at his word and is currently doing the limbo dance below the support line at $0.92258. As long as Cardano manages to stay below this limbo bar, we expect it to go deeper still into the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.2767 to finish wave v in magenta – ideally at about $0.52409. Then, the limbo dance should be over, and Cardano should stretch its limbs above $0.92258 again.
ADA Cardano: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Cardano (ADAUSD).
The chart is self-explanatory. The price is sitting at a major support area. It is below the EMA Ribbons, 200 SMA, 50 SMA, Ichimoku Clouds and still within a Descending Wedge Pattern. Volume has been low but steady. RSI and MFI are below the Support and Resistance line. Keep a close eye on the RSI re-test of the S/R line.
Included in the chart: Trend line, Support and Resistance Lines, Ichimoku Cloud, Volume, RSI, MFI ( Money Flow Index), Descending Wedge, EMA Ribbons, and 50 and 200 Simple Moving Average.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Cardano: Last Twitch 🐟 If Cardano were a fish and the bears were hunting for it, it would have made its last twitch by now. Last month, the furry predators had already caught the Cardano-fish at the resistance at $1.63781 and subsequently had dragged it down in the direction of the support at $0.92258. Last week, Cardano made a first attempt to escape, but the bears clamped down hard on it. Now, they seem to be ready to enjoy their prey. We expect them to take Cardano with them below the support at $0.92258 and into the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.27674 to finish wave v in magenta . There, Cardano’s second attempt to escape should be successful and help it back to $0.92258.
If the Cardano-fish is too slippery though, there is a 30% chance that it could slip from the bears’ paws earlier already and jump above the resistance at $1.63781. From there, its adrenalin rush should be strong enough to lead it above $2.4574 and $3.1000 as well.
Cardano: Skydive🪂After Cardano has parachuted down form the resistance at $1.63781, it has pulled the ripcord shortly before the support at $0.92258 and has been gliding along it for some time now, experiencing a little bit of updraft lately. However, we expect the volplane to reach the $0.92258 support line soon, where it should gain drive for further downward movement. Cardano should then ideally land at about $0.52409 in the green zone between $0.93552 and $0.27674, where the flight should end with the magenta wave . Then, Cardano should fold up and pack its parachute and make its way back above $0.92258.
As long as Cardano has not reached the support at $0.92258, though, there remains a 25% chance that there is too much updraft for it to land properly. If the wind then carries Cardano back above the resistance at $1.63781, its power should suffice to blow the price further upwards above $2.4574 and from there, even above $3.100.
Cardano: “The Long and Winding Road”“… that leads to your door will never disappear…”
Quite similar to the road in the famous Beatles-song, Cardano’s development has also been a long and winding road in the last few months. Now that it has finished its extended wave as well as its shorter wave in magenta, we see Cardano heading through the support at $0.92258 and to the green door between $0.93552 and $0.27674. In this door frame, the price should turn around and rise up again.
Still, there remains a 25% chance that Cardano does not make it into the green door frame, but instead rises above the resistance at $1.63781. If it has managed to get this far, the price could also reach further destinations at $2.4574 and $3.1000.
Cardano: Tie Your Hiking Boots 🥾🥾Cardano has tied its hiking boots and packed its backpack for the long trek uphill. It has left the valley where wave in magenta ended and has begun the new ascent. Thus, Cardano is sufficiently warmed up for the continuing climb and should reach a first target at $2.4574. From there, it can already see the next summit cross at $3.1000.
However, there is a not too small 45% chance that Cardano might need to go down again – to get its shoes repaired or to grab some more food supply or because it has forgotten to pack its rain gear, which is much needed in alpine terrain…
CARDANO ALMOST ON THE LAST SUPPORT AREA.Cardano almost on the last support area.
Price around 0.986 - 1.062
Price previously reversal there, just wait and see before take position because for now still too risky.
Wait for confirmation before take any position.
note: only take position after confirmation and do your own research before trading.
ADA/USD MAJOR UPWARDS PRICE DIRECTION ADA/USD made a upwards breakout and tested the trendline. I think it will go upward from here. I think even it will break out to his RESISTANCE @3.0000 and will make a new high !
If you also look at the 144 wma it bounced off nicely ! And stoch it was recently oversold ! I think its a great chance to buy , but thats my opinion :D (i am not an financial advisor)
FOLLOW and LIKE for more !
ADAUSD We Have A Massive Bull FlagDisclaimer: I am in the process of learning technical analysis and please feel free to point out flaws that I have with my chart. This is based on my personal observation and is not financial advice. Thank you so much for reading this.
I just found something very interesting while looking at the daily chart of Cardano - A massive massive bull flag. This will take times to play as I am not here to swing or day trade my asset. A short-term TA of Cardano might not look great and I know many of us are being discouraged at the moment. Thus, I would like to put out this chart to give everyone a zoom-out picture of Cardano. Please note that since Alonzo hard fork happened on September 12th 2021, we have a total of 2,334 smart contracts being deployed on Cardano blockchain. Hodl on to your ADA, we have a very bright future ahead.
Thank you and happy trading!