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Carmaker

One luxury carmarker is down 20%, a buying opportunity?Although founded in 1948, Porsche became a public company in late September 2022. Initially, the company started to float on the market with an opening price of €84. However, shares rose as high as €120.80 in the coming months. Yet despite these impressive gains since the IPO, shares of the company began to decline in May 2023, losing about 20% of their value through the summer. In its recent financial report, Porsche AG Group revealed that its operating profit rose 10.7% YoY and sales revenue 14% YoY in the first six months of 2023. Meanwhile, cash and cash equivalents decreased by 52% (by €2.466 billion to €2.244 billion), and the deliveries went up by 14.7% YoY to 167,354 vehicles, with increases in all sales regions. Based on the report, the biggest demand was for models Macan and Cayenne, with 46,842 and 46,399 cars sold, respectively. Going forward, the company cited supply chain challenges related to auto parts and their quality while noting that risks associated with gas shortages and the Russia-Ukraine conflict decreased. On top of that, the report states: “The explanations on the liquidity risks presented in the risk reporting section of the 2022 combined management report remain unchanged… The overall conclusion that, based on the information and assessments currently available, a development jeopardizing the group’s ability to continue as a going concern is sufficiently improbable in the fiscal year 2023, remains unchanged." Based on these and other factors, we consider Porsche shares attractive below €100 (with ideal entry around €90 to €92) for the long term (talking about years). However, at the moment, we believe it would be proper to start only with incremental purchases and leave some capital aside for better opportunities. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
XETR:P911Long
by Tradersweekly
6
Tesla's bubble has burstIn late October 2022, we stated the bear market was poised to weigh heavily on shares of Tesla. Since then, the price dropped from 207.28$ to a low of 108.24$ (on 28th December 2022), representing almost a 48% decline. After that, the company’s shares briefly rose above 124$. However, with the start of a new year and its first trading day, shares fell more than 13% following the disappointing report concerned about the automaker’s delivery number. As if it was not enough, the company has been experiencing troubling quality reports for years and regulatory scrutiny over its autopilot feature. Furthermore, its rivals are no longer behind the company’s technological progress, producing competitive electric vehicles and threatening Tesla’s well-being. That comes as a blow to the company, which was once valued at more than the nine biggest automakers combined (globally) while producing only a fraction of vehicles compared to its rivals. Subsequently, that leads us to speculate that the hyper-inflated bubble of Tesla burst and will never reinflate to its previous size. The production number of cars by year (Tesla): 2022 = 1 369 611 2021 = 930 422 2020 = 509 737 2019 = 365 284 2018 = 254 530 2017 = 101 027 2016 = 83 922 Sales by brand (rough estimates) for comparison: Tesla (2022) = 1.31 million BMW Group (2021) = 2.52 million Mercedes Benz cars (2021) = 2.09 million Ford Motor Company (2021) = 3.94 million General Motors Company (2021) = 6.29 million Toyota (2021) = 9.56 million Volkswagen (2021) = 8.88 million Hyundai Kia (2021) = 6.66 million Honda (2021) = 4.45 million Illustration 1.01 Yesterday, shares of Tesla hit a new low at 104.64$. Currently, the price is too far from its 20-day and 50-day SMAs. Therefore, we are cautious as this often precedes price retracement toward these moving averages. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Illustration 1.02 Rising volume hints at tremendous selling pressure in shares of Tesla. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Tradersweekly
27
Volkswagen going wild soon Germany's largest carmaker and DAX40 group Volkswagen did not perform well on the stock market in recent months and the share price went south. Since the beginning of the Ukraine war, the price lost slightly over 50% or 126€. On the overarching chart picture, however, this sell-off is only part of an overarching correction according to my assessment. The market is catching its breath to be able to survive the upcoming wave 3 well. Due to the current market situation on the indices, especially the strong sell-off in the German economy, the price will probably come down to the 0.887 retracement at the 99€, before the trend direction of the market turns. From there, a price increase of at least 300% is possible on a multi-year level. The 1.618 extension is at 396€ per share.
XETR:VOW3Long
by DavidJankowski
General Motors - Trouble brews in the auto industryThe prospect of a recession hints at hard times ahead for auto producers, including General Motor Company; over the past six months, this stock lost more than half of its value. Additionally, it continues to constitute new lows, confirming the presence of the downtrend. As a proxy to that, we are bearish on the title and expect worsening economic conditions to impact the auto industry very negatively in the short-term and medium-term future. Therefore, we would like to set the price target for GM to 30 USD and 29 USD. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the weekly chart of General Motors Company. It also shows two simple moving averages: 20-week SMA (blue) and 50-week SMA (red). These two moving averages continue to confirm the medium/long term bearish trend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is bearish. MACD and Stochastic are neutral/slightly bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. The ADX grows which hints at the increasing momentum. Overall, the daily time frame remains bearish. Illustration 1.02 The weekly chart of GM stock shows the staggering loss of approximately 54% within the past 189 days. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is due to pierce through 30 points, which will further bolster the bearish case for GM. Stochastic, MACD, DM+, DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:GMShort
by Tradersweekly
10
Technical analysis update: BMW (1st November 2021)BMW continues to grow since 20th August 2021. It currently trades around 87.50 EUR per share. Technical factors are neutral to bullish and because of that we would like to set short-term price target of 90 EUR per share. Technical analysis RSI has bullish structure. We will watch it closely and we will look for eventual crossover above 70 points. We expect such phenomenon to be accompanied by further rise in price. MACD is also bullish, however, it loses its momentum. Stochastic is bullish too; and ADX contains very low value which suggests neutral trend. Because of that we would like to see another confirmation of uptrend by price taking out short-term resistance and then lower bound of upward moving channel. Support and resistance Short-term resistance sits at 89.50 EUR while short-term support sits at 86 EUR. Major resistance lies at 96.39 EUR. Our last analysis on BMW from 10th May 2021: Here we correctly predicted end of correction and eventual resumption of uptrend. We also set 90 EUR price target which was subsequently reached. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade. This content is not financial advice.
XETR:BMWLong
by Tradersweekly
9
HYUNDAI with exceptional long setupThe chart of Hyuandai presents itself very strong with a freshly activated long signal. The Weber Trend Suite provided a perfect support line (green horizontal). Additionally the chart formed a bullish divergence to the RSI. After the first leg up, the price consolidated in a bull flag and now we see the breakout. The conservative trade has a CRV of 3 (target old all time high). The more aggressive trade has a CRV of 9 (!) with the old all time high as a target.
KRX:005380Long
by UniqueCharts
TESLA is repeating April 2020! Time to buy?As you see the two charts are fairly self-explanatory. Both in 2020 and now (2021), TSLA had already made a top by early February, formed a MA50/100 Death Cross, followed by a MA50/200 Golden Cross (on the 4H chart) that practically put the bottom behind. The RSI and MACD sequences are also fairly identical. Is it time to buy the carmaker giant again? ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> xBTala --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
12