Get started

CAT

BTC/USD might be calling for a mayday soon. Expect panic sellingThe ABC correction from the 305 top has finished off exactly as predicted, see chart. After the bottom of C, the downtrend resumed and touched down on the (minor) 266 support. Of course a rebound was to be expected as prices don't move straight down or up. Now we are looking at a bearish wedge forming with a possible break down sometime tomorrow, or wednesday at the latest. The breakdown will take us down to the previous low of 255-258. At this moment it is becoming more and more dangerous to short this market, even though there is a possibility of a flash crash to the lower 200's. Either way, we are approaching bottom, meaning despair phase will kick in and shortly after this we might see some pretty amazing action towards the upside. Good luck to all traders!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by moker-X
6
Looking for the Dead Cat Bounce S&P500In my quest, I am looking for Mr Dead Cat the First, the very first short recovery or dead cat bounce which might be signal to us the confirmation of the continuation of a major Bear Market. As illustrated in the previous crashes, we see that almost uncanny similarities when using the Commodity Channel Index as an indicator to predict start and end of cycles. The 1st Crash happened in 2000 which was the Dotcom Bubble, and the bear market around lasted 760 days or just about 2years and 1 month. We then enjoyed a long Bull market from Oct 2002 till June 2007 when the Great Financial Crisis(GFC) happened. There were hiccups along the way, but we are looking at major crashes resulting in more then a 30% market decline from the high. After the Dotcom Bubble Crash, we had enjoyed 1765 days or roughly around slight more than 4 years and 10months of good bull market runs before the Great Financial Crisis happened which saw the fall of Lehman Brothers and Bear Sterns in 2007. After the GFC, the bear market this time was relatively shorter and only lasted 487days or around slightly more than 1 year and 4 months. I guess people learnt to pick themselves up faster, that's the spirit of the human race. Currently, we have the good fortune of enjoying 2039 days of bull markets and nothing major. No Black Swans were born, no bad omen. However we do need to becareful, everything on the charts is showing that we are at a critical juncture now. The crash might not happen now but it's not far from now. So if you know your poker, you've had an amazing good run the past 5 years. And you're running out of Aces. It's time to cash out the big chips in the left pocket and play only with the dimes in your right pocket. History might not repeat itself but the Smart Money, the instituitions do leave footprints. When the smart Money knows there's something bad about to happened, they need to unwind their positions. They will need to make the market think the other way. They need to create the markets to sell so that they can buy. Similarly they need to create the markets to buy so that they can sell. These are all shown in the price patterns and to a certain extent trackable. At least I believe so, due to their sheer size, the 10 major banks control more than 60% of the total money invested in the markets and they certaintly can do that. So what can we retail traders do to track the Smart Money? We try find the bodies of the Dead Cats that the Smart Money kills and leaves behind to save their own asses
FX:SPX500
by topgun76
CAT classical "h-pattern"This construction mashinery company entered into strong uptrend since December 2013 after it broke up major consoldation resistance in the mid $80ish area. Now stock with the whole sector ($MTW, $TEX, $DD, $JOY) showing relative weaknes vs broad market. I use my 8 and 21 EMA to measure short term sentiment ant to make adjustments if i am positioned. It dropped its 8/21 EMA on 20th of May first time since mid March. And settling for a nice h-set-up which is classical pattern in technical analysis. Break down below $100.72 may attract more active, swing traders and I expect to see some follow through. Stop above previous swing high at $104.50 makes this trade attractive from R/R point of view. Target is $95 previous base support level, 200 EMA. All traders should manage this trade depend on their time-frame and strategy.
NYSE:CATShort
by andrew.berg