CAT
SPX and NQ - looking bearishTime to be careful as there are more technical signs that all is not well:
1. dead cross firmly on the Nasdaq since 28 Feb (impending for SPX)
2. Toppish head and shoulders pattern seen on both
3. no signs of sustainable upward momentum yet (need to see a breakup of the near term downward channel for a start)
Hence, do not be too eager to bottom fish and when we do (yeah, itchy fingers happen), cut losses fast if wrong (unless one is a long term investor who is ok to dollar cost average on stocks with proven long term fundamentals).
The strong sectors right now are in the oil, metals, defence and utilities. The rest could continue to mostly languish or enjoy only short term bounces from oversold conditions.
On the fundamental front, rising oil/commodity prices and high inflation of above 5% is always a precursor to a recession (thou it could still be months away but markets tend to be forward looking).
Perhaps this could turn out to be yet another short term steep correction (like the many in the past decade), be flexible and nimble. It's ok to just let the technicals tell us what to do even if we are noob on macro economics.
Stay safe and good luck.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Please your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you.
Cat is going for $250 with the market . +25% prospected move.Cat is going for $250 with the market . +25% prospected move.
A clear new trend is forming with multiple HH's and LL's with a monthly strong uptrend, thus we have a high probability of a prospected move ahead.
Target is $250 which is the 52WH .
TSLA: These are the KEY POINTS we must watch for now.Hello traders and investors! The movements on TSLA have been so technical and precise, and it is behaving according to our technique. Let’s update our thoughts. Remember, the link to yesterday's analysis is below this post, as usual.
First, in the 1h chart, TSLA is still bullish, as we expected, as it is still doing higher highs/lows. Is there any bearish structure around that could indicate it will do a sharper pullback or even reverse the trend? No.
In fact, TSLA is trying to break the previous top at $ 922, which is another good sign. To me, TSLA is inside a huge Ascending Triangle made by the black line at $ 943 and the purple line which connects the previous bottoms. This tells us that our next stop is the $ 943 again. What will it do from there? We don’t know, but we don’t have to know in order to trade well. Trading is reactive, not predictive.
All we must know is that TSLA is still bullish, and pullbacks to the 21 ema and to the $ 896 are expected, and wouldn’t be a reason to panic at all.
In the worst case-scenario, I see it retesting its purple line again, but I don’t see a technical reason to work with this scenario right now.
In the daily chart, we see many support levels (the retracements), and this is another reason why it wouldn't be too easy for TSLA to drop from here. However, as we expected, the 21 ema is here to annoy us. Probably this week, we’ll have our answer if this is a Dead Cat Bounce or not.
I’ll keep you guys updated every day on TSLA, so remember to follow me to not miss my daily analyses.
30% chance of ATH soon for BTCIn this theory, there seems to be 3 equally weighted scenarios that may play out in the short term. Regardless, I believe the long term is still a slow trend to the upwards side. However, this could become a more exponential growth if 1 of these scenarios plays out, which has a 30% chance of occurring.
Continuation to ATH: 33%
"Dead-cat bounce" with a head and shoulders forming in the $48K-55k range: 33%
Immediate rejection around $48k-52k, then a drop down to the $30k range: 33%
Yea..."it could go up down or sideways"... I get that, however this is my "more detailed" version of that here.
A healthy movement on the RSI over the next week or two will be the best indicator here for the bullish scenario, and an over correction of the RSI will most likely signify the bearish scenarios.
CAT looks like it don't have power to go higher. Hi everyone, Yurii Domaranskyi here. Let's take a look at the chart:
1. Horizontal Price levels are working good
2. globally downtrend, locally uptrend
3. the price level confirmed by a touch
4. that was a near test, but we see week close under the level
5. approached the level sharply
6. the move was with no rollbacks
7. no accumulation
8. no rollback
9. we see that 1 bar closed above the level and 2nd opened above and closed below
10. level of a rollback
11. enough room for a move with r/r 1 to 5.1
12. no model of ascending lows
13. no news in the last 10 days
14. the price came from above, and we see that it can't go higher
15. we have enough room for a move
16. the report on January 27
Potential risk/reward ratio = 1 to 5.1 meaning that potential risk 100$ with the possibility to make 510$
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PATTERNS "BAT" and "CAT".Strange as it may seem, but not only bulls and bears can be found on the market, but also a couple of cats and even a bat!
But don't be afraid, these animals have come to help you get rich in the new year.
Let's go!
The Bat pattern.
The bat is a 5-point pattern that can indicate a bullish or bearish breakout.
What does it look like?
The pattern consists of five points:
X is the beginning, from this point the price makes a significant movement;
A - here the price unfolds, forming the first vertex;
B is a pullback, which can be from 38% to 50% of the X – A movement.
C is the price movement, which can range from 38% to 88% of the A – B movement. It is worth noting that C should not go above the point A.
D is the price reversal, after movement C. The shortest movement of all other points. At this point we are looking for an entry into the transaction, you can use the Fibonacci lines. The movement from point D can be 88% of the movement of X-A, and can go above point A.
Risks
The stop loss can be set below the D point, but not below the X point.
The CAT JUMP pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a strong downward movement and, with proper trading, can bring huge profits.
How to find it?
The pattern appears in situations of strong movement, usually caused by bad news.
The following pattern will be observed on the graph:
1. A sharp drop in price, sometimes with a gap;
2. Rollback to the bottom line of the gap;
3. After which there is a long and strong fall.
How to trade?
To begin with, you need to find a strong drop with a gap, as correctly accompanied by a strong volume.
After that, we are waiting for a pullback to the bottom line of the gap and a reversal – this is where you can enter into a deal.
Risks
The stop loss is placed above the lower gap line.
It is worth noting that from time to time the price may go above the lower gap line.
In rare cases, the price reaches the upper level of the gap, and then falls.
It is important to note that the fall lasts from one month or more, which is why this pattern is used by long-term traders.
Important
It is worth recalling that there are alternative patterns: an INVERTED CAT JUMP and a BEARISH BAT PATTERN.
Both models work the same way, only in the opposite direction.
These figures are very profitable, with proper trading.
For example, a fall after a gap and a rollback can be 50% or even 70%, in the CAT JUMP pattern.
Whatever pattern you trade, I wish you good luck and a lot of profit in the new year!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Bitcoin Fibonacci Based on Area - DeadCat Bounce Scenario!Hi guys, Please take a look at my chart. It's pretty basic and let me know how I can improve it. I'm looking to see if Bitcoin can have one last move higher to the mid 50s to complete its "dead-cat bounce scenario." RSI is too oversold and we have majors supports in the 46.5k region. 200 SMA is around the .50 Fibonacci. Thanks.
BTC ETH LTC: Dead Catch Bounce ScenarioHello friends, today you can review the 1H charts for Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Ethereum (ETHUSD) and Litecoin (LTCUSD).
#CryptoPickk notes the following:
1) As the entire crypto market fell drastically, the potential for a move upwards is very possible. In these scenarios, a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern is very possible.
2) For anyone that doesn't know what a Dead Cat Bounce it, please refer to the Investopedia article for further details: www.investopedia.com .
3) Using the Fibonacci Extension, taking the price from the drop start point to the drop end point, the 0.618 - 0.786 levels may be potentials for where the Dead Cat Bounce may happen and the price drops further from that point.
4) Remember one thing that has helped in trading: When a wick happens, the candle body close is surely to follow. Not financial advice of course. Do your own research.
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Chance to Join EURAUD's Downtrend The downtrend of the EURAUD, which commenced following a reversal indicated by the Head and Shoulders pattern, looks poised to continue sliding lower. This was indicated by the recent Dead Cat Bounce from the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.57112.
The price action is now likely to head towards the previous swing low at 1.52680. This is part of the establishment of a broader 1-5 impulse wave pattern, as postulated by the Elliott Wave Theory.
$CAT is moving! Macro analysis + technical with boxes.Hi everyone,
On Saturday US government finally agreed to pass a huge $1 trillion infrastructure bill.
What does that mean?
Utilities, communication, transport and industrial companies will receive subsidiaries for expansion.
So why NYSE:CAT ?
The biggest construction equipment manufacturer in the world. They will benefit indirectly as companies buy/lease their machines/services for infrastructure construction.
Now the chart.
NYSE:CAT is already up almost 5% in premarket after the Saturday news.
It has broken out of the box at 208 and now gapped up deirectly to the next minor resistence level at 216 .
I expect the stock to temporarily trade in a small box before the surge to 223 level.
Long NYSE:CAT :)
Let me know what you think.
What other stocks are going up on this news in your opinion?
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise.
CAT - 220/225 then going shortWith the gap higher this morning I had to re-evaluate CAT. It is trading within this megaphone pattern and on the smaller timeframes it should be looking to complete a minor 5 wave sequence into 220/225. From here I will be looking to get short as I believe it has another wave lower towards 180 range.
EURUSD Completed a Dead Cat Bounce Following the completion of a Dead Cat Bounce, which is a type of pattern that indicates strong bearish pressure, the price action of the EURUSD is currently pulling back to the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 1.15871 from bellow.
Once the pullback is completed, the broader downtrend would likely be extended lower towards the previous swing low (at 1.15250).
#ANKR 4HR Chart - DCB Possible?Ankr just had a nice run up but it looks like a Dead Cat Bounce (DCB) may be at play comparing it to the last pump. Remember the 786 fib line with a DCB.
What are your thoughts? Comment below and hit the like please. Thank you!
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk #bitcoin #altcoins
10/17/21 CATCaterpillar, Inc. ( NYSE:CAT )
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery)
Current Price: $199.02
Breakout price trigger: $203.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $196.00-$187.00
Price Target: $223.80-$224.50 (1st) $247.20-$248.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 48-51d (1st), 147-155d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $CAT 12/17/21 210c, $CAT 3/18/22 220c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.10/cnt , $5.60/cnt
Be Ready For a Major Crash on BTCAs we can see, we fall on the 61% which is often the dead cat bounce level or the B wave in Elliott Wave.
The stock market is probably ready to make a major correction soon the Evergrande news can make it faster.
And we have to remember we have some single print in 19.8k to 21k (this is price was hit only a single time which market often retest.) without talk about unfilled CME gap which people think now it will be never filled again.
SPX: Crashing again! Time to panic?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today!
Breaking the short-term bull trend, the index is seeking its next support levels. We lost the Pennant downwards, along with the 21 ema and the 4,394. The 4,351 is another good support candidate, which is holding the price for now.
Our last support level is the 4,305, and below this point, we might assume the index will engage a stronger bearish momentum for a few weeks.
By losing the 4,305, we’ll confirm the idea that the index just did a Dead Cat Bounce to the 21 ema and it just resumed the bear trend, frustrating the possible bullish reversal to the ATH.
Right now, the index is in a “no-man’s land”. While we don’t see any meaningful bullish reaction, there’s nothing to do. While we don’t see any bearish confirmation, we can’t say it’ll reverse the long-term bullish bias either.
In the weekly chart, we are still above the 21 ema, and we could stay there for a few weeks from now, doing many frustrating signs. Only if we lost the 21 ema in the weekly chart we’ll see something new, and the market could do a sharper pullback. However, this won't be easy, as we have many support levels in the short/mid-term to work with.
For now, let’s just calmly wait for more signs. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates.
Have a good day.
SPX: Key Points you must watch from now!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today!
The index is doing exactly what we said it would do in our previous analysis, as it lost the support at 4,435 (1h chart), turning bearish for a few days. However, it is trying to react, and this reaction came quite quickly.
Since the index lost the purple trendline we knew that the bull trend got weaker, but this doesn’t mean reversal . When this happens, we usually seek the next support level, and in this case, the 4,367 is working nicely. We did a false breakout from it this week, but today’s reaction might indicate that we’ll see a reaction, at least to the 21 ema.
The 1h chart has a bullish pivot point at 4,394, which the index is triggering right now at this moment. This might be the start of something new that will cause the rally to the 21 ema in the daily chart.
If the trend will continue or if this will be a classic Dead Cat Bounce , it is too soon to tell. Let’s just react to the next signs.
If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates, and support this idea if it helped you!
Have a good day!