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Inverted Dead Cat BounceAnalysis on BTCUSD with the pattern Inverted Dead Cat Bounce, that happens after a Dead Cat Bounce. Price rises more than 15% in one day after a downtrend, showing a 4 weeks possible scenario. At the end of this period, there would have some opportunities to buy again. Sell on the 1-2 day of the event. A White Spinning Top candle pattern appeared at the start of the second week of the event, with high wicks on top and bottom of the candle, showing indecision.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ThiagoSchmitz
2
S&P Dead Cat Bounce?So I have shorted the S&P on the 4 hour due to this pattern: Very nice break, and as you can see on the 4 hour we have YET to make a lower high swing in this downtrend move. Trends are composed of multiple swings. I do like what I see on the daily chart. When an instrument has moved down close to 3% in a day, it is likely over extended. I can see a bounce here before a move down lower forming our first lower high swing on the daily chart and also a head and shoulder pattern. So a dead cat bounce perhaps on the cards here. But to me, it is just plain old market structure.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Uncharted-FX
4
CAT ShortEntry @ 136.73 Stop @ 140 and Take Profit @ 129. 30 shares. Max loss is $98.1 max profit will be at least double that if it breaks support at 129 I'll add to it and hold for another $3. 98.1 is less 0.981% capital less than 1%. Good Risk and reward. Reasons for the trade - Divergence from Range previous to the breakdown as the reversal began that's 1+ point. Volume in sell off and earnings were mediocre. Trending below 20/50 MA. +3 Grade A Trade. Should work out well. Let's see how it pans out. FB active with $6282.9 of capital// Roku active with $3807 // CAT active with 4101.9// with remaining of $5808.2 remaining. All Shorts. 3/100 on the 100 Trade Challange.
NYSE:CATShort
by Synaptic724
Adam Eve Cup of Tea! I see a nice break of this flag range, Im feeling a stretch punch after this nice W formation with a possible cup but from there we need to be caution around tp1 & tp2. A horizontal range can begin around the caution orange circles. Orange eye represents us to be watchful. It seems on the hourly we are expanding and collecting orders in order to get that next push up. It is possible to revisit the purple horizontal line depending on fundamentals. Price is holding above red ribbon Should CAT go bearish upon tp1 zone and go bearish around spring through fall of next year, I feel it will be the last time we visit 100 for a long time and we will make our way to 200. This would give us an ABCD pattern breaking the daily low @ purple circles. Orange - watchful Red - Sellers are watching Blue - Buyers are watching As long as we stay above 142.00 I see us staying bullish. A break below that will take us to a 140 retest and buyers will be watching for impulses. This kind of scenerio would create an INV head&shoulder formation on the daily and have the onion effect of a slanted version on weekly marked by the green shoulder circles and take us to the 78-88% fib correction zone where "head" formations can form. This would also lead into a new flag formation outside the daily flag range we just broke out of creating a new trend. As always please trade safely, manage risk, peace. love. trade.
NYSE:CATLong
by AschraM
CAT nyse Long (how to use the RSI in a slightly different way)NYSE:CAT CAT Nyse is looking to continue the push to the upside after breaking the downward Trend, I took the depth between the low and the downward trend and projected a price target. After a higher low and a Higher high which is clearly shown on the chart gives us a better probability that a continuation move is expected to the upside. Also if we look at the RSI, the indicator has pushed into the boundaries of the oversold area suggesting a strong bullish stance as shown on the green box, before it was consistently hitting the oversold area as shown in the red box which is translated to continued weakening. Price is currently trying to find support on the 140.50 which is considered strong support. If buyers are able to maintain price above this support, the bulls can be expected to take price towards the 156.50 level as a target In regards to the RSI, one way to use it besides the divergence method is that as the indicator continues to push within the oversold it means that the negative stance is expected to continue and vice-versa of course, this helps when price sometimes gives us a hard time to speculate if it indeed reversed into a positive stance from a negative one.
NYSE:CATLong
by kbgeresy
BITCOIN TARGET HIT - WHAT'S NEXT?What a week we had in crypto market!!! Our target of $6650 was met precisely! I mentioned that we should expect $500-$1000 candle, and we had 500$ move couple days after.. :) I expect consolidation of some sort to be seen before bullish rally.. Orange box is consolidation zone 0 if we close above on daily - longs can be opened with best R/R ration depending on your trading management. Next target is $7750-$7850 region with possible spikes to ~$8000.. Only closing daily above $8500 would switch my bias and it can turn out to be strong bull rally - until then, I'm sticking to the green regions as my TPS Keep in mind that we have important zones to cover lower than our recent low - that's why I think it will be just a "dead-cat-bounce" before continuation lower.. A lot of choppy price action to be expected too! *Don't forget to take profits if you see market turning around at crucial zones. This is not a financial advise. Have a good one!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Patrikas10
2
Dead Cat Bounce - A Spooky PatternIntroduction Its halloween ! And i felt like making a post about spooky stuff related to trading. I wanted to discuss about what is a zombie economy but i clearly don't have the time nor the experience to do that. So instead i'll talk about the dead cat bounce, a pattern commonly found in downtrending (bearish) markets, this pattern is also known as "Bear market rally". We'll describe the pattern, its causes, its upsides and downsides. Unfortunately my knowledge on price patterns is relatively low, if you feel the need to correct me leave a comment. Brace Yourself The Dead Cat Is Coming ! A dead cat bounce is a pattern appearing during downtrends, this pattern is associated to a brief upper movement (recovery) followed by a continuation of the downtrend, therefore the pattern can be classified as a retracement. Terminology The term "dead cat bounce" comes from the saying that "Even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height", physics won't necessarily agree with that but the phrase can be deconstructed in order to explain the pattern described : "Even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height " - Dead : Refer to the downtrend. - Bounce : Describe the motion of the pattern. - Great Height : Emphasis on the prior downtrending movement magnitude. Causes Of A Dead Cat Bounce Causes of certain motions in prices fluctuations are hard to describe, the structures (trends, cycles/seasonality...)/patterns in price can be either : stochastic (the pattern is formed because of a realizations of random fluctuations) or deterministic (the pattern is formed because of certain external causes). A deterministic cause of a dead cat bounce is described by Kolja Johannsen as investors taking excessive risk and unprofitable positions in order to recover an initial loss in a declining market, the accumulations of those investors as well as investors believing in a reversal participate in the creation of this upward movement. Upsides Of Dead Cat Bounces When a security allow short positions, dead cat bounces allow late investors to go with the downtrend from a more interesting point. In stock markets they can allow investors to potentially profit from the bounce, however such strategy require extremely precise timing, one must make sure to sell at the maximum of the retracement. Such methodology make the investor exposed to the continuity of the downtrend, thus making the risk reward extremely uninteresting. Downsides Of Dead Cat Bounces A dead cat bounce like any retracement is a parasitic motion in the main trend, they might make investors believe in a reversal, in a mathematical standpoint those parasitic motions affect technical indicators, this is where robustness is required, robust indicators might be able to ignore the dead cat bounce. The dead cat bounce deform the main trend and therefore can add complexity to a trend model. Above a simple linear trend, we can describe it as a simple line + white noise, such equations are called equations of motions. However describing a dead cat bounce mathematically might require additional complexity. Detecting/Avoiding Dead Cat Bounces Classifying upward movements as either a retracement or reversal is no easy task, however we can still make use of several tools in order to detect or avoid dead cat bounces. The first tool being filters, filtering a dead cat bounce can be made using a low pass filters (filter noise/cyclic components) or notch filters (filter cyclic components). The filter setting must be adjusted in order to be able to filter the pattern. Blackman filter of period 100 Rolling max/min with period 100 (Donchian channels), no highest low have been detected here, witch allow us to remain with the main trend, note that rolling max/min are also low pass filter. Another approach might be made using support and resistances, we can see that both the minimum/maximum of the dead cat bounce are both pullbacks, altho this observation is clearly insignificant and lack logic (like most technical analysis approach) unlike the previously discussed method. Conclusions Altho my experience on patterns is low, i hope i could teach you something new in this post. Dead cat bounces make parts of those disruptive patterns that might make us take a bad position, we have also seen that they can be made from the emotional bias from investors, that is premature re-entering of a declining market, which is never a good idea. Finally we discussed methods to filter/detect such pattern. Like most patterns in technical analysis their detection/interpretation is relatively subjective to the user, the uniformity/complexity of stock market prices make detection of patterns quite complex. But the most important thing to take from this post is that strategies robust to retracements can help the investor make better decisions, going long because of a dead cat bounce is not a enjoyable experience, that cat wasn't so alive in the end...Happy Halloween !
Education
by alexgrover
8