Caterpillar: Digging DeeperOur forecast for Caterpillar suggests that the green wave is currently being developed. We reckon with further price drops in the short term before the beige wave IV can conclude. The pending low should then initiate a trend reversal, which should enable an upward move above $402.16. However, in the context of our 35% probable alternative scenario, the trend would reverse earlier. In this case, the beige wave alt.III would form a new high above $402.16.
Caterpillar_trade
CAT appears to be starting to digCAT as a blue-chip industrial is not a fast mover- it is best suited for options traders or investors.
On the 4 H chart, CAT rose from the lows on a trend up from last November through this
February. It then descended in a retracement about a 50% Fibonacci extent to its present value.
It is now at the POC line of the volume profile for support and is near to the mean anchored
VWAP line. RSI is above 50. I see this as an excellent long trade setup given that other sectors
may be cooling off there may be plenty of money looking for a new home. The volume indicator
shows steadily rising volumes. The stop loss is the line of one standard deviation below the
the mean VWAP while the target is the even dollar immediately below the ceiling of the
supply / resistance zone of the Luxalgo indicator. This seems to be a reasonable position to
diversify from techonolgy which seems to be a bit overextended.
Caterpillar: At site 🚧Caterpillar is at site, working on wave (2) in magenta, which should lead further downwards into the magenta-colored zone between $198.40 and $171.37. From there, the share should turn upwards again, climbing above the resistance at $266.04. However, there is a 34% chance that Caterpillar could slip through the magenta-colored zone and drop below the support at $160.02. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a new low in the form of wave alt.2 in green first before heading upwards again.
CAT Swing Long ReversalCAT has a downtrend 10% from its 30-day high.
However, fundamentally the industrial is holding up quite well.
The downtrend was inverse parabolic accompanied with
an appropriate volume pattern showing 3X relative volume
This is sometimes called the retirement trade pattern
or V-type pattern. CAT has dropped to three standard
deviations below the anchored VWAP /
This makes it undervalued well below fair value.
I see this as a good setup for a long swing trade or a call options
contract with the expectation of a 50% retracement of a
10# drop or a 5% price target For the call options I will
target the anchored VWAP at a strike of $243 about 12 DTE.
CAT - Bullish Above Major Trend Line Similar chart formations can be seen along this uptrend that has formed on CAT
The similarities become closer when you look at the white rectangles highlighted
This is the period before growth begins
The green circle furthers this, pinpointing where we are in a comparable price movement
10/17/21 CATCaterpillar, Inc. ( NYSE:CAT )
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery)
Current Price: $199.02
Breakout price trigger: $203.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $196.00-$187.00
Price Target: $223.80-$224.50 (1st) $247.20-$248.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 48-51d (1st), 147-155d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $CAT 12/17/21 210c, $CAT 3/18/22 220c
Trade price as of publish date: $4.10/cnt , $5.60/cnt
Adam Eve Cup of Tea! I see a nice break of this flag range, Im feeling a stretch punch after this nice W formation with a possible cup but from there we need to be caution around tp1 & tp2. A horizontal range can begin around the caution orange circles. Orange eye represents us to be watchful.
It seems on the hourly we are expanding and collecting orders in order to get that next push up. It is possible to revisit the purple horizontal line depending on fundamentals.
Price is holding above red ribbon
Should CAT go bearish upon tp1 zone and go bearish around spring through fall of next year, I feel it will be the last time we visit 100 for a long time and we will make our way to 200. This would give us an ABCD pattern breaking the daily low @ purple circles.
Orange - watchful
Red - Sellers are watching
Blue - Buyers are watching
As long as we stay above 142.00 I see us staying bullish. A break below that will take us to a 140 retest and buyers will be watching for impulses. This kind of scenerio would create an INV head&shoulder formation on the daily and have the onion effect of a slanted version on weekly marked by the green shoulder circles and take us to the 78-88% fib correction zone where "head" formations can form. This would also lead into a new flag formation outside the daily flag range we just broke out of creating a new trend.
As always please trade safely, manage risk, peace. love. trade.
CAT @ daily @ best dow share (+42%) 2016, still pretty bullish ?Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
DOW JONES Index incl. all 30 Shares (2016 Yearly Performance) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron