Cathywood
a weekly price action market recap and outlook - tesla #2Good evening and i hope you are well.
I did not adjust my wave outlook since 2024-02-11 and so far it's pretty perfect. My thesis is we are in w3 and this will be a treat. Late and perma bulls are still long and or will buy 180/175. So if this bear channel breaks down, the short covering will be epic.
Market was/is at the strongest and this stock is in a broad bear channel. The next months the earnings will deteriorate and then we will see where the market thinks this stock is fairly priced. All bubbles pop or deflate, this is deflating. Elon won't even save it with 69 new AI announcements for the reminder of the year. If sh** really hit's the fan, he will be margin called because of x financing and this will fuel the sell off further.
bull case: Bulls pray that 175 will hold and they buy the double bottom. If it holds, they want to touch the upper bear channel line around 240 again but i would expect 200 to be bigger resistance then.
bear case: Price action wise was this a wedge bear flag which broke down and now market will test 175 if there are more buyers than sellers. Not rocket science so far.
short term: wait for market reaction at 175 and follow the trend there. we might go sideways first but i think the general market sell off will accelerate over the next weeks
medium-long term: down - what would change that? trading above 270
VRTX: opened a new 10% positionWe have added a new position and here is a link to the updated portfolio:
www.tradingview.com
VRTX had a positive earnings surprise on Nov 6th which pushed the price up to new highs. These new highs have been followed by a natural pullback which occured under low trading volume.
The new position has been added as the price broke through yesterdays high - a classical low risk pullback entry.
VRTX shows an exceptional RS according to IBD criteria which makes this trade a high momentum play.
General Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
Momentum, Growth & InnovationUpated Portolio:
Here is the link to our updated portfolio which has been up by ca. 10% in November:
www.tradingview.com
Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
Updated Portfolio: Growth, Momentum & InnovationHere is the link to our updated portfolio which has been up by > 12% last week:
www.tradingview.com
META is a new stock in our portfolio. A 5.8% position has been added today.
Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
MOMENTUM, GROWTH & INNOVATIONUpdated Watchlist:
www.tradingview.com
Selection Criteria:
Introducing our cutting-edge trading strategy, a synergy of Cathy Wood's keen fundamental analysis and Mark Minervini's acclaimed trend template criteria.
Imagine having the foresight to identify high-potential technology stocks that are not just promising on paper but are actively demonstrating robust performance in the market. That's the core of our approach. We meticulously select stocks that Cathy Wood's methodology identifies as leaders in technological innovation, ensuring that each company has a solid foundation for growth. But we don't stop there.
We apply Mark Minervini's trend template to verify that these stocks are not only fundamentally sound but are also in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend. This dual-layered strategy ensures that you're investing in companies that are both revolutionizing their industries and are currently capturing the market's momentum.
With our trading strategy, you're not just betting on potential; you're investing in technology stocks that are set to soar, backed by the analytical prowess of two of the most respected names in the trading world. Join us, and be part of a select group of traders who demand the best of both worlds: groundbreaking innovation and proven market trends.
Updated WatchlistHere is the link to our updated watchlist:
www.tradingview.com
Following the trading methodologies of Mark Minervini and Cathy Wood. Our trading strategy combines the best of both world's:
Stock selection is based on Cathy Woods fundamental analysis for high potential technology stocks which are already in a confirmed stage 2 uptrend according to Minervini's trend template criteria.
Cathie Wood's Trading MethodologyUnderstanding Cathie Wood's Trading Methodology
1. Introduction
In the dynamic world of finance, few have garnered as much attention in recent years as Cathie Wood, the visionary founder and CEO of ARK Investment Management. Underpinning her meteoric rise is a trading methodology that champions disruptive innovation and a futuristic outlook. Let's dive deep into what makes Wood's strategies stand out.
2. Historical Context
Investment, for decades, thrived on the mantra of 'safety first.' Blue-chip stocks, steady dividends, and bonds defined portfolios. However, the digital revolution brought with it companies that didn’t fit the traditional mold. Here, Wood saw an opportunity, challenging traditional norms and adopting an approach anchored in tomorrow rather than yesterday.
3. Disruptive Innovation as the Core
At the heart of ARK's investment strategy lies disruptive innovation. These are technologies or business models that transform industries and often render old methods obsolete. Think about how streaming altered entertainment or how electric vehicles (EVs) are reshaping mobility. In these disruptions, Wood sees not just change but investment opportunities.
4. Research-Driven Approach
While many firms tout the depth of their research, ARK goes a step further. It actively bridges the gap between sectors, combining insights from tech, healthcare, energy, and finance. The firm even collaborates with academia, startups, and online communities, believing that understanding disruption requires diverse perspectives.
5. Active Management and Portfolio Construction
Passive investing, tracking indices, has its merits, but Wood's vision is anything but passive. ARK's active management is about agility. As new research insights emerge or market dynamics shift, ARK's portfolios evolve, ensuring they reflect the most promising opportunities in disruptive sectors.
6. Contrarian Views and High Conviction Bets
Wood has never shied away from making bold claims, be it her bullish price target for Tesla or her belief in Bitcoin's potential. These high conviction bets might seem risky, but for Wood and ARK, they're informed decisions, grounded in research and a genuine belief in a company's or technology's transformative potential.
7. Exit Strategies and Risk Management
Every investment strategy, no matter how bullish, requires an exit plan. ARK's exit strategies, while not always publicized, are undoubtedly rooted in their rigorous research. Changes in a company's fundamentals, regulatory landscapes, or unexpected industry shifts can all trigger an exit. Additionally, risk is actively managed, with diversification strategies and hedging to cushion potential downturns.
8. Transparency and Engagement with the Public
A distinctive hallmark of ARK is its commitment to transparency. Unlike many peers, ARK frequently publishes its research, trades, and theses. This openness invites both praise and scrutiny, fostering a two-way dialogue between ARK and the investor community.
9. Criticisms and Challenges
No strategy is beyond critique. Wood's high conviction bets, while often profitable, expose portfolios to potential volatility. Detractors also argue that her strategies are too growth-focused, potentially overlooking stable, value-driven opportunities. Furthermore, ARK's rapid ascent means it now manages a sizable asset pool, which brings with it challenges of scale and agility.
10. Key Takeaways
Cathie Wood's vision extends beyond current market trends, anchoring firmly in future possibilities.
ARK's interdisciplinary research approach offers a holistic perspective on disruption.
Active portfolio management ensures adaptability in a fluid market landscape.
Transparency, while a double-edged sword, sets ARK apart, fostering trust and facilitating informed discourse.
11. Conclusion
In an era defined by rapid technological evolution, Cathie Wood's forward-looking trading methodology offers a refreshing perspective on investment. While not without its challenges, her approach underscores the importance of adaptability, conviction, and a keen understanding of the interplay between technology and industry. As the line between tech and traditional sectors blurs, methodologies like Wood's are not just relevant but imperative.
#ARKK reversing off anchored VWAP & 50dmaARKK still stuck in range of this bearish channel since bottoming in May. If you follow the anchored vwap from the recent high of the most recent rally, we are also starting to reject this Vwap. Additionally the 50dma is acting as resistance. Big resistance evident at $46
I think this will work itself lower and possibly retest the big horizontal support zone at $32-$33 in the coming weeks...
ARKK - Hydrophones Picking Up Crush DepthNoise has given way to a creaking Hull.
This JUNK ETF was doomed, it took some time, but
our $64 PO is coming into view.
Cathy has gone from Hero to Goat with her JPM
cohort - Tom Lee, the other Carnie.
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I detest lying shills.
ARKK - The Confederacy of the DunceApologies Milli's / Gen Z Cultists.
Ignorance is an excuse until your Sorceress's "Thesis" is proven wrong.
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Where to begin... this has been ongoing for Month Six now.
Wood's is a complete Fraud, a Carnie of the MetaVerse, a complete
Predatory Package for the youth of our Nation.
Every Generation has its Hero for Tech, Wood's was hailed for her
Strategy.
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Permit me to Wreck the Illusion...
Cathy claims to have 5 Year Time Horizons for "Investment" - a Longer Term
Buy and Hold, chanting to the Universe and making discoveries on Saturdays.
Woods has churned her Fund more than any other Fund - Trading in and out
of TESLA at extremes which are laughable. Buying High / Selling Low is her
stock in Trade. Please read the filings and see for yourself.
This Degenerate Fund Churner manages to buy the most Ill-liquid and thinly
Traded Equities becoming the Egg Woman. She has lost hundreds of Millions
using this idiocy when forced to SELL, and she does.
ZILLOW was a very large holding.
Cathy SOLD into the LOWS after hemorrhaging Capital - the Fund Average was
claimed to be $67.57 is incorrect. The ARKK Fund Average was - spread among
more than a FEW of Cathy's Funds from 67.57 to 73.91 to by far the largest
holding within ARKK @ $82.51.
The total loss is well North of $40 MIllion.
Recorded SELLS:
November 17, 2021 @ 31,361
November 15, 2021 @ 471,622
November 12, 2021 @ 589,903
November 11, 2021 @ 137,710
November 5, 2021 @ 1,610,884
This has happened dozen of times as the Fund grew from $10 Billion to $85 Billion
die to Inflows from her largest Cult Base - REDDIT.
It will lose 63% of its "Value" - at minimum.
Cathy is a turn, burn and churn Artist.
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We warned repeatedly this was a complete Scam, another False Prophet for the Ages.
Her "Most Unexpected" excuses continue to mount.
Buying High, Concentration Risk, Liquidity Risk - remains her Risk.
Price tells you everything you need to know, we heavily warned to exit this Junk Fund
with JUNK Leadership... See Price.
It's far from over for ARKK.
In Five years this Fund will not exist IMHO.
ARKK - Jive Talking ONLY goes so farAdios Woodie we are SELLERS
20% Haircut dead ahead as the failed TSLA
GS will unwind this attempted New Age Guru
non-sense.
Woods is hanging on by a thread.
Position - 3.5K ~ 121.13
Last one out, please turn off the lights to 90s.
Buying up small cap spec garbage, priced to perfection...
Ends very badly.
xoxo - Hunter Killer
TSLA - Woodie Doubles down, Attempts to Call out BurryAnd fails miserably. Burry has outperformed the S&P by a factor of 10.112 X
Burry nailed the prior 2 Highs prior to meltdowns.
Burry is a Hedge Fund, Woods a Joke ETF.
Burry has been calling the Ball correctly for 20 Years.
Woods has been screwing the pooch of late with a track record
of 19 straight losses on entries.
Woods is well out of her league, by any metric - ARKK Gamblers
will see this JUNK Fund shed 20% with relative ease as CALLs only
go so far, desperate attempt by Woodie to prop up her very large
mistakes.
It will end very badly for Cathy as this reverses, the same tired
game once again.
We are SELLERs of ARKK @ 120.11.
The 750 Call buyer are back in play attempting their 5th Gamma
Squeeze on the Pivot of 679 and then 696.
We closed a small position in TSLA we bough to open @ 696 for 10 handles
@ 706 x 400.
We have a large sell ladder from 720 to 750....
- Hunter Killer
ARKK - 102s NextCathy Woods trading abilities are unparalleled.
Somehow she lost again... she's near perfect on rotation failures.
TSLA the most recent demonstration of FUD.
How on earth anyone buys this JUNK is comical.
ARKK had it's day, every DOGE does.
Adios ARKK, no covenants, just wracking up Management Fees.