CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) Bull Run - More Green To Come!The CBOE’ VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) has been doing good numbers increasing over 150% in the past two weeks.
The index is now retracing but additional bullish action is expected according to what I am seeing coming from the charts.
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) Analysis by Alan Masters
Before increasing by 150%+, the VIX’ touched a low point, which is the same as back in December 2006 (8.60); marked with a yellow square and brown line on the chart.
After touching bottom back in 2006, the VIX’ went up 1000% (from Dec. 06 to Oct. 08). Here is the chart:
snapshot
I believe we are seeing something similar now.
Additional bullish signals: MACD shows bullish divergence . Bullish RSI and STOCH .
New uptrend formed after bottomed was hit.
Strong break above EMA10, 50, 100 and 200. Note: Monthly candle is yet to close. This signal will only be confirmed once the monthly candle closes. A close above 18.70 on the monthly candle gives out a strong bullish signal; above 21.09 the signal becomes very strong.
Current support: 18.70
Next support: 16.31
Current resistance: 19.70
Next resistance: 21.09
Targets:
(1) 24.50
(2) 28.84
(3) 33.63
More targets on chart.
Note: This is no trade advice.
This information is shared for learning and entertainment purposes only.
If you enjoyed this post, please like, comment and follow, your support is highly appreciated.
Namaste.
Cboevix
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) Bull Run - More Green To Come!The CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) has been doing good numbers increasing over 150% in the past two weeks.
The index is now retracing but additional bullish action is expected according to what I am seeing coming from the charts.
CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX’ (VIX’) Analysis by Alan Masters
Before increasing by 150%+, the VIX’ touched a low point, which is the same as back in December 2006 (8.60); marked with a yellow square and brown line on the chart.
After touching bottom back in 2006, the VIX’ went up 1000% (from Dec. 06 to Oct. 08). Here is the chart:
I believe we are seeing something similar now.
Additional bullish signals: MACD shows bullish divergence. Bullish RSI and STOCH.
New uptrend formed after bottomed was hit.
Strong break above EMA10, 50, 100 and 200. Note: Monthly candle is yet to close. This signal will only be confirmed once the monthly candle closes. A close above 18.70 on the monthly candle gives out a strong bullish signal; above 21.09 the signal becomes very strong.
Current support: 18.70
Next support: 16.31
Current resistance: 19.70
Next resistance: 21.09
Targets:
(1) 24.50
(2) 28.84
(3) 33.63
More targets on chart.
Note: This is no trade advice.
This information is shared for learning and entertainment purposes only.
If you enjoyed this post, please like, comment and follow, your support is highly appreciated.
Namaste.
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Full retracement, when will Cboe VIX drop below 15-16?
YY
AMEX:CBOE
Part 2 - Risk-off August - VIX 2HZooming into the 2H chart, the February 2018 VIX spike has been labeled as the 1st leg of an Intermediate Degree bullish ABC formation.
Intermediate (A) (orange) presents a three swings sequence with its Minor ABC (red) sub-waves, in which Minor C (red) is unfolding with an impulsive swing.
Moving into Intermediate (B) (orange) and the corrective patterns, the entire structure has been labeled as a Zig-Zag, with a Leading Diagonal in Minor A (green), an Expanded Flat in Minor B (green) and an Impulse sequence in Minor C (green).
The Correction in Intermediate (B) (orange) seems to have ended, and if this scenario would be correct, then VIX could commence a larger degree rise in an Impulsive sequence.
The rise labeled as Minor 1 (red) exceeded the previous lower-high and this could indicate that an Impulsive sequence could be a possibility. Minor 2 (red) unfolded with a simple ABC (turquoise) correction, showing an Ending Diagonal in its last leg.
Should the VIX be destined to spike once more, it could affect the markets more than the previous one did, as Intermediate (C) (orange) could present an Extension in its Impulse.
Such imminent scenario would be invalidated or delayed only by a decrease below the 11.50 levels, as a wave two cannot surpass the start of a wave one.
Looking back on the previous volatility spike and towards the way this affected the markets, it can be noticed that, during those volatile events, the reactions were divided.
The USD remained stable towards strong, but the YEN was treated by investors as the true safe-haven asset. Metals and EUR lost considerable ground, while global Indices have shown historical one-week drops.
By looking into each market, one would notice some possible patterns and correlations with the February 2018 bears return.
Part1 - VIX Spike - Indices Flash CrashVIX (Volatility Index - CBOE) is showing signs of another "spike" in volatility sitting around the corner.
This would translate into a "fear" period.
US indices are showing wave counts which indicate that the current correction on the up-side might just finalize.
An Intermediate Degree (C) leg would be in focus for the completion of the current Primary Degree corrective structure.
Expected bearish outcome & levels:
- US30USD - 3500 points drop - levels in focus: 25850.00 & 26050.00
- SPXUSD - 350 points drop - levels in focus: 2825.00 & 2875.00
- NAS100USD - 1000-1500 points drop - levels in focus: 7500.00 & 7700.00
10-15% decrease in Indices.
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