CCL
Breakout long in CCLCarnival Cruise Lines, along with the other major cruise carriers, fell sharply during the COVID selloff for obvious reasons.
CCL has been consolidating for almost a year to create a new price acceptance zone.
But the stock is now breaking out on high volume.
Look for a continuation higher on sustained volume as it enters price discovery mode toward higher prices.
CCL LongCCL @ 24.60 48 shares
Stop is set to 21.75.
Target is 27.35.
I will move my stop and double down at 27.35 and pyramid into my trade adding 48 more shares with the same stop target at 29.99 or higher I will sell part of my trade.
Trend following trade. I want to practice holding long and being patient.
Target exit is 2 months.
It is written - CCL to $31+Draw whatever targets you prefer. Cup & Handle, Bull Flag,Inverse H&S, you name it. Excited on this one, entered in 21s.
All else aside, people want to cruise. Combine business fundamentals with technicals (including CCL $8B+ in cash as of 9/30/20) this could be a home run.
Carnival Cruise Line - "Megaphones"Currently, I'm still looking for the best price to enter a long-term investment. The technical analysis gives a hint that it possible for CCL to recover. We can see a potential Golden cross on the daily time-frame and a Broadening Wedge Patterns or "Megaphones" on the weekly.
Sooner or later, the business and tourism will be back to normal. Carnival will be on my watchlist for a long-term investment.
Here's below the "Megaphones"
Catalyst:
- Golden Cross
- Megaphones
CCL Wave 5Surprisingly Carnival Cruise popped up on my scanner and has a good Elliott Wave count. The ABC correction is following parallel channel and demand zone lines up with the mid-line of the parallel channel. Wave 2 and Wave 4 are alternating and the 0.382 lines up with the demand zone. Looking for a play after earnings report this week.
THE WEEK AHEAD: FDX, LEN, MU, CCL EARNINGS; XOP/XLE, IWM/RUTEARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT-RELATED VOLATILITY CONTRACTION PLAYS (IN ORDER OF ANNOUNCEMENT):
Here are the options-liquid underlyings announcing next week that I've culled down to 30-day >50% as candidates for volatility contraction plays:
LEN (21/49/11.6%),* announcing Wednesday after market close
MU (24/52/12.2%), announcing Wednesday (no time specified)
FDX (29/53/11.9%), announcing Thursday after market close
CCL (27/91/21.1%), announcing Friday (no time specified)
Pictured here is a January 15th 17.5/27.5 short strangle in CCL which announces Friday, paying 1.36 as of Friday close with delta/theta of -4.86/4.84 with break evens wide of 2 times the expected move on the call side, and between the 1 and 2 x on the put. Although no time is currently specified, it is likely to announce before market open (because who, like, announces after Friday close?), so would look to put on a play in the waning hours of Thursday's session if you want to take advantage of Friday's post-announcement volatility contraction.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS RANKED BY BANG FOR YOUR BUCK:
XOP (21/60/16.3%)**
GDXJ (15/44/12.9%)
XLE (30/45/12.5%)
KRE 924/41/11.1%)
SLV (25/40/11.2%)
GDX (16/38/10.7%)
EWZ (15/39/10.6%)
XBI (24/38/10.0%)
BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS:
IWM (25/30/7.8%)
QQQ (23/30/7.6%)
DIA (16/23/6.0%)
SPY (16/23/5.6%)
EFA (20/24/5.1%)
TREASURY/BOND FUNDS:
Adding a little bond/treasury section to here since I occasionally park what would otherwise be idle cash in short puts (See Post Below).
TLT (11/15/3.99%) (1.609% yield)
HYG (11/11/2.41%) (4.917% yield)
EMB (5/9/--)*** (4.024% yield)
AGG (29/8/--)*** (2.252% yield)
* -- The first metric is the implied volatility rank or percentile (i.e., where 30-day implied is relative to where it's been over the last 52 weeks); the second, 30-day implied volatility; and the third, what the January 15th at-the-money short straddle is paying as a function of stock price.
** -- Here, I'm using the short straddle price nearest 45 days until expiry to calculate the "bang for your buck" percentage, which would be the January 29th weekly.
*** -- EMB and AGG don't have weeklies nearest 45 days.
Carnival Corp - LargoEsta empresa de cruceros fue de las grandes perdedoras durante la caída del Covid en los mercados.
Sin, embargo, con más información del precio y el contexto, parece que ese movimiento lateral que tuvo era una acumulación y el rompimiento a la alza tuvo como catalizador las noticias sobre las vacunas que han salido exitosas en sus pruebas.
Esta semana podemos ver un testeo de la zona superior del rango lateral. O una ruptura de la línea de tendencia rosa.
Es posible un gran trade con buen riesgo beneficio.
LONG LYFT POTENTIAL 30% UPSIDELYFT starting to move after a POST IPO dump.
Looks good on the long side taking into consideration UBERs recent move above its IPO level.
Entering the Food business, I believe further government regualtion will be good for the stock.
Potential double bottom, trade into $50 resistance level.